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**Udog** · 02-06-2017, 08:58 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

— Florida State 109, Clemson 61— Losses like this get coaches fired.

— North Carolina 83, Notre Dame 76— Tar Heels out rebounded Notre Dame 44-25 in game played in Greensboro instead of Chapel Hill, because of a water main break.

— California 77, Colorado 66- Buffaloes played without couple of big men.

— Iowa 81, Nebraska 70— Cornhuskers were only down 3 with 3:57 left.

— Thunder 105, Trailblazers 99— Oklahoma City is 30-22, even without Durant.

— Raptors 103, Nets 95— Brooklyn is 9-42. Nine. and. Forty-two. Oy.

**********

Armadillo: My running diary of Super Bowl LI……..

After an interminable pre-game show, they’re actually going to play the Super Bowl. Here are some of my thoughts as I watch the game……….
6:25— Luke Bryan cranks out the National Anthem in 2:04; if you bet the under, go cash your ticket.

6:30— There is a golf playoff going on at the Phoenix Open; Webb Simpson and Hideki Matsuyama. Good competition, but am I the only person watching this?

6:33— President George H Bush (41) is flipping the coin; no matter what your politics, have to have lot of respect for this man, who went skydiving on his 75th birthday. A great American and a very tough guy— he was shot down while flying as a Navy pilot in the war.

6:38— While Atlanta won the coin toss, Simpson just left the winning putt about an inch short, just like Matsuyama did on the 18th hole. The playoff continues but now no one is watching.

6:41— An argument for Brady as the all-time best QB is that New England rarely has had a great WR; Julian Edelman was a QB in college at Kent State.

6:42— Patriots go 3-and-out; this is where I mention that in six Super Bowls, Brady-led offenses have scored zero first quarter points.

6:45— Falcons get a long run but wind up punting, first time in nine games they didn’t score a TD on their opening drive.

6:53— Budweiser had the option to have the first commercial, but turned it down- their research says commercials are better off run later in the game. Google had the first commercial instead.

6:55— Hideki Matsuyama makes a pretty long putt, wins the Phoenix Open for the second year in a row, and I put my remote away for the next three hours.

5:08 left in first quarter, 0-0. That total of 59 looks pretty daunting right now.

7:05— Scoreless first quarter. Weird stat that Brady has put up zero first quarter points out in the first quarter of his seven Super Bowls, yet won four of the first six.

7:07— New England fumbles, Falcons recover at the Atlanta 29. America cheers.

7:16— Devonte Freeman scores the first TD of the game; Atlanta is running ball down New England’s throat. 12:15 left in the half. Falcons 7-nil. Atlanta is 9-1 this year when they score first.

Referee Gene Steratore worked the Nebraska-Iowa basketball game today; someday I hope he gets to work a Super Bowl.

Good Honda commercial with some famous people talking over their high school yearbook pictures. It would take an enormous amount of money for me to show anyone my senior picture from way back when. Uh uh, no thanks.

Oh by the way, Falcons’ center Alex Mack is playing this game with a broken leg. In an age where NBA players now routinely take “maintenance days” just to rest up, a guy is playing on the offensive line with a freakin’ broken leg.

7:21— I’m still an advocate of throwing long passes towards YOUR SIDELINE; think you get an extra interference call or two a game that way.

7:28— Austin Hooper catches a TD pass from Ryan and Kyle Shanahan’s agent is doing backflips, whoever/wherever he is. Young Shanahan’s price tag is going up by the second here. 14-0 Atlanta with 8:48 left in the half.

Roger Staubach/Hank Aaron both had birthdays today; couple of pretty good ballplayers.

7:32— Total yards so far: 189-111, Falcons. Joe Buck informs me that no team has won a Super Bowl after trailing by more than ten points. Thanks, Joe.

Falcons traded five draft picks to Cleveland so they could draft Julio Jones; none of those five players is still in the NFL.

7:38— New England is dying here, but refs have called two defensive holding penalties on Atlanta on this drive. Falcons have allowed 30+ points six times this year, although only once since Halloween. Their tackling so far has been tremendous.

Lady Gaga is wearing sunglasses in an indoor stadium. With the roof closed.

Three defensive holding penalties on this drive; where were these guys when the Rams played New England in the Super Bowl?

7:45— Robert Alford picks off a pass and scores an 82-yard TD for the Falcons. Wow. Arthur Blank is looking for people to high-5 in his box. Alford showboats for the last 20 yards but for the love of God, this is a shocking result. 21-nil Falcons.

One of Mr Blank’s sons is named Max. Max Blank; is that a tremendous name or what? You could imagine a movie with a private eye named Max Blank.

Atlanta’s defensive coordinator is Richard Smith, working for his 8th NFL team in 28 years. His heartbeat has to be pretty high right now; his defense is playing its ass off!!!!

One of the endless list of prop bets was over 49.5 yards for the longest touchdown of the game, so if you had over, go cash your ticket.

7:55— Is Tom Brady the only NFL quarterback who makes less money than his wife?

A ticket to the first Super Bowl cost $12. A souvenir soda at this Super Bowl costs $11.

8:02— Troy Aikman kills Josh McDaniels’ play selection after a screen pass on 3rd down falls flat. New England kicks a field goal and it is 21-3 Falcons at halftime. I am stunned.

Time to hit the mens’ room and get some food!!!!

They opened the roof for the halftime show; seems like a good time to see what is on other channels:
— ESPN has a 30 for 30 on Allen Iverson
— ESPNU has a Memphis-USF womens’ basketball game. Do people bet on this?
— ESPN2 has the Harlem Globetrotters playing on an outdoor court.
— FX1 has motorcycle racing.
— NBC Sports Network has curling on (China 6-3 over US at the half)
— CBS Sports Network has poker on; Phil Hellmuth is playing with an Aria hat on that I declined to buy when I stayed there in December. For what I spent there, they should’ve thrown in a free hat.

8:35— Falcon offense went 68 minutes between drives; they get the second half kickoff.

Teams leading the Super Bowl at halftime are 37-10 (three games were tied).

8:47— Neither team scored on their first drive of second half; now Martha Stewart is on a commercial with Snoop Dawg. Another $5M down the drain.

8:55- Atlanta scores another touchdown; Arthur Blank is dancing again. Falcons just seem like the faster team across the board. 28-3 Atlanta; can we see Robert Kraft? Please?????

Right on cue, FOX shows Kraft and his hideous son Jonathan, who mocked Colts GM Ryan Grigson after he was fired. I understand why he would enjoy Grigson getting canned, since he helped instigate DeflateGate, but be a bigger person and keep it to yourself.

9:00— I’m in my late 50’s; right now I’m thinking of someone who is my age who became a Falcons’ fan as a little kid and has lived/died with every game of theirs since then. They must be SO EXCITED and that clock must be going so slowly for them.

Meanwhile, the Falcons have a new domed stadium opening next year; pretty good time to be selling luxury boxes/PSL’s for the new ballpark, eh?

9:05— Brady just ran for 15 yards, winning somebody a prop bet on his rushing yardage.

9:07— New England scores on a TD pass to White; time-consuming drive, and now the score is only 28-9 as Gostkowski clanks the PAT off the right upright.

Caesar’s Palace offered a prop on: “Will a PAT/FG hit the goal post?” The line was -$600 and of the $20,250 wagered, $20,o00 of it was on “No”. Whoops.

Mike Pence is sitting with Texans’ owner Robert McNair; when he was watching the Super Bowl at this time last year, Mr Pence had zero idea how much his life would change in a year. It won’t happen, but what a book he’ll be able to write if he ever wanted to.

If you had 8-0 in a square pool, you just threw something; if you had 8-9, you’re damn happy.

9:10— Onside kick fails miserably. Falcons take over at New England’s 45 with 2:06 left in the third quarter. If you’re an Atlanta fan, that clock can’t move fast enough.

17 years ago, the Rams led Tennessee 16-0 in the third quarter; a game that seemed over soon got very dicey. That freakin’ clock went so slow. Atlanta fans are not resting easily yet.

9:18— Third quarter is over. 28-9 Atlanta.

9:20— Arizona CB Tyrann Mathieu just tweeted this: “NE should have played Mike Floyd. They have no deep threats… ATL LBs too good. They aren’t any mis matches”

In NFL history, teams leading by 19+ points after third quarter in playoff games are 94-0.

9:27— New England is driving again, but Grady Jarrett (#97 on the Falcons) is having a big game; he has just tossed a few guys out of his way tonight. If you’re thinking (too early) about an MVP for this game, Jarrett deserves consideration.

Jarrett’s dad, by the way, is former Falcon linebacker Jesse Tuggle.

9:29— Patriots kick a field goal; game is 28-12 Atlanta with 9:44 left. If you’re a Falcon fan, that damn clock needs to start moving a little faster. Couple of first downs wouldn’t hurt, either.

Ryan is 7-7 for 121 yards on passes thrown in the middle third of the field. Atlanta’s offense has done very little in this game, but they have run the ball for 6.8 yards/attempt.

9:38— Ryan is sacked/fumbles and New England recovers on the Atlanta 25; if you’re a lifelong Falcon fan, your blood pressure just went up. A lot. This will be the longest hour of your life.

Random baseball stat that I just saw on Twitter: Claudell Washington struck out 39 times against Nolan Ryan, the most of any player ever.

9:40— Danny Amendola just caught a TD pass from Brady and the score is 28-20 with 5:56 left. When Amendola played for the Rams, he got hurt on every other play. Now he’s Cal Ripken.

I’ve lived through a game just like this; if you’re an avid Falcon fan, life is standing still right now; you’re ignoring the commercials and praying for Ryan to hit Julio Jones a couple times. Nothing else matters; you’re not hungry, Arthur Blank isn’t dancing anymore and your team that has never won a Super Bowl is desperately holding on.

9:45— Ryan hits Freeman for a big gain and Atlanta has the ball at midfield. Clock is under 5:00 but one of the Atlanta linemenn just got hurt.

9:49— Julio Jones just made a great catch!!! Fantastic!!! First down and Atlanta is in field goal range. Clock is at 4:40, the ball is on the 22 and those five draft picks the Falcons traded to the Browns so they could draft Jones seems like a mere pittance.

9:53— Good God. The Falcons implode, wind up with a 4th-and-33 near midfield; they’re punting with 3:38 left and New England has two timeouts left.

I’m guessing this is getting big TV ratings.

10:00— Julian Edelman just made a great catch on a deflected pass; Atlanta wasted their last challenge— they’ll lose it. That catch will go down in history as a great play but by God Atlanta, make a play!!!!

10:02— New England is inside the Atlanta 25 and Falcon fans are promising to give up any bad habits they might have if just this one time, their team can win. Even if the Patriots score a TD, they need the 2-point conversion to tie the score.

How hard is Roger Goodell rooting for the Falcons right now?

10:06— White scores another TD. 28-26. High drama. Patriots have to go for 2- they make it, so now a game that was 28-9 after three quarters is 28-28. Kraft and his creepy son are hugging in their box. Aikman just called Brady the best QB ever. I have empathy for loyal Falcon fans.

0:57 left, the Falcons have no timeouts; if you bet the over, the only way you can lose in on a safety. If you took three points or money-lined Atlanta, you’re queasy.

10:10— I saw an article this week that said if the Patriots win 31-28, Vegas sports books would be refunding tickets for a week— so many wagers would be pushed.

10:14— First overtime in Super Bowl history. 28-28. FOX executives have to be thrilled.

10:18— Patriots are -$165 in OT; Atlanta is +$145. New England has the ball first.

During the week, odds on there being overtime was +$525.

10:23— Pass interference on Atlanta; ball is on the 2-yard line. TD wins the game; if they kick a FG, Falcons will get the ball for one possession.

10:24— New England scores, the Patriots win 34-28 and my condolences to Falcon fans.

**Udog** · 02-06-2017, 09:24 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 6

Washington won its last 17 home games (14-2-1 vs spread); their last home loss was December 6 to Orlando. Over is 4-1-1 in their last six home games. Cleveland won four of last five games overall, but lost five of last seven road games (5-8 vs spread in last 13). Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Cavaliers won six of last eight games with Washington, winning three of last four visits here (over 3-1).

Lakers lost their last 12 road games, are 4-0 vs spread in last four; they covered five of last six games overall. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. New York lost three of last four games overall and four of last five at home. Four of their last five games went over. Knicks won their last five games with the Lakers; under is 3-2 in last five series games played here. LA lost its last five visits to Manhattan (1-4 vs spread).

Oklahoma City won its last two games, is 5-8 vs spread in last 13 road games. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games overall. Pacers won their last six games, are 6-2-1 vs spread in last nine home games. Under is 8-3 in their last eleven games. Indiana won three of its last four games with Oklahoma City; over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Teams split last four series games played here.

Clippers lost six of their last eight games, are 5-9 vs spread in last 14 road games. Five of their last six games went over total. Raptors won three of last four games, are 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 8-2-1 in last 11 Toronto games. Clippers lost four of last five games with Toronto; they lost three of last four visits to Canada, with losses by 25-16-18 points. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Jazz won three of last four games; they’re 0-7 vs spread in their last seven road games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Atlanta won three of its last four games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four home games. Over is 8-4 in their last twelve games. Hawks won eight of last ten games with Utah, winning four of last five played here (4-1 vs spread). Four of last five series games stayed under.

Philly lost five of its last six road games; they’re 12-7 vs spread in last 19 games overall. Eight of their last nine games went over. Pistons won five of their last six home games; they’re 5-8 vs spread in last 13 home games. Seven of their last eight games went over the total. 76ers lost four of last five games with Detroit; they lost three of last four visits here, losing by 18-13-20 points. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Miami won its last ten games, but 8 of those 10 were at home; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last ten road games. Three of last four Heat games went over total. Minnesota lost its last three games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five home tilts. Wolves’ last seven games went over total. Heat won seven of last ten games with Minnesota; they won five of last six visits to Twin Cities. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Phoenix lost six of last seven games, is 6-4 vs spread in its last ten road games. Six of their last seven games went over total. Pelicans lost their last four games, are 5-7 vs spread in last 12 home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Suns won three of last four games with New Orleans; they won by 1-21 points in last two visits to Bourbon Street. Road team won four of last five series games. Five of last six series games went over.

Mavericks won/covered six of last seven games; they’re 8-4 vs spread in last 12 road games. Four of their last five games went over total. Nuggets lost three of last four games, are 5-1 vs spread in last six home games. Five of their last six games went over total. Dallas won six of last eight games with the Nuggets; teams split last four series games played in Denver. Four of last five series games went over.

San Antonio won/covered seven of last nine games; they covered four of last six road games. Spurs’ last three games stayed under the total. Grizzlies won/covered four of last five games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last 10 home games. Last six Memphis games went over. Spurs won their last nine games with Memphis (7-2 vs spread); they won last four visits here, by 20-14-9-21 points. Four of last five series games stayed under.

Chicago is 3-2 in its last five road games, 6-2 vs spread in its last eight; four of their last five games went over total. Kings lost three of last four games but just beat the Warriors; they’re 2-10 vs spread in last 12 home games. Last three Sacramento games stayed under. Bulls won their last four games with Sacramento, but lost three of last four visits here- home side won nine of last ten series games. Last seven series games stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 02-06-2017, 09:25 AM

NBA

Monday, February 6

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. INDIANA
Oklahoma City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games
Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City

7:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 6 games on the road
LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. WASHINGTON
Cleveland is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland

7:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. TORONTO
LA Clippers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
Toronto is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home

7:30 PM
UTAH vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Detroit is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Phoenix is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Phoenix

8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games

9:00 PM
DALLAS vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Denver
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Denver is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

9:30 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. MEMPHIS
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Memphis
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Memphis is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Antonio

10:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. SACRAMENTO
Chicago is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games at home

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**Udog** · 02-06-2017, 09:58 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, February 6

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CLEVELAND (34 - 15) at WASHINGTON (30 - 20) - 2/6/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 30-20 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
WASHINGTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
WASHINGTON is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 6-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (17 - 36) at NEW YORK (22 - 30) - 2/6/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (30 - 22) at INDIANA (28 - 22) - 2/6/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-67 ATS (-25.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 169-123 ATS (+33.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
INDIANA is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (31 - 20) at TORONTO (31 - 21) - 2/6/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-0 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (32 - 19) at ATLANTA (30 - 21) - 2/6/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (18 - 32) at DETROIT (23 - 28) - 2/6/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
DETROIT is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
DETROIT is 108-156 ATS (-63.6 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (21 - 30) at MINNESOTA (19 - 32) - 2/6/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 80-66 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 135-103 ATS (+21.7 Units) in February games since 1996.
MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
MIAMI is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MIAMI is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 344-405 ATS (-101.5 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (16 - 35) at NEW ORLEANS (19 - 32) - 2/6/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 92-61 ATS (+24.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (20 - 30) at DENVER (22 - 28) - 2/6/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 368-302 ATS (+35.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 476-397 ATS (+39.3 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 75-51 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 192-150 ATS (+27.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
DENVER is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (39 - 11) at MEMPHIS (31 - 22) - 2/6/2017, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 90-62 ATS (+21.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 126-95 ATS (+21.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 74-55 ATS (+13.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 304-242 ATS (+37.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 108-79 ATS (+21.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 8-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 10-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (25 - 26) at SACRAMENTO (20 - 31) - 2/6/2017, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 02-06-2017, 10:02 AM

NBA Betting Road Map: Unprecedented run for white-hot Heat

No team as bad as the Heat were, has ever won 10 in a row, not to mention 10 straight ATS wins, too.

For much of the season, most NBA pundits believed we would eventually see a rematch between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors in the NBA Finals. However, the Washington Wizards have played like they want to break into the conversation. Scotty Brooks' squad is now 14-2 since Jan. 4, which compares favorably to Cleveland's 8-7 record. So, the Wizards must be considered a dark horse to represent the Eastern Conference. Let's take a look at other goings-on around the NBA.

Spread Watch

The Miami Heat blew out the 76ers,125-102, on Saturday for their 10th straight win (both SU and ATS). The craziest thing about this hot streak is that it would have been impossible to see it coming. Indeed, the Heat were 11-30 (.268) prior to ripping off their 10 wins. The last time anything even remotely close to this happened, where a bad team went on an extended win streak, was two seasons ago, when the 5-23 (.178) Pistons went on a 7-0 SU/ATS streak. Then in 2005, the 22-46 (.323) Warriors won eight in a row (6-2 ATS). But no team this bad has ever won 10 in a row, not to mention 10 straight ATS wins, too.

Additionally, Miami didn't compile this streak only against cupcakes. They beat, arguably, the best team in NBA history, Golden State and also knocked off Houston and Atlanta. This week, the Heat will hit the road for games at Minnesota, Milwaukee, Brooklyn and Philadelphia. Expect the streak to be snapped on Monday by the Timberwolves, as NBA teams off back-to-back wins are a poor 37-62 ATS their last 99, if they scored 117-plus points in their previous game and they're matched up against a foe off a loss.

Totals Watch

The San Antonio Spurs have gone Over the total in 14 of their last 20 games, notwithstanding the fact that the Spurs have given up the second least amount of points (behind Utah) and have the 2nd most efficient defense (after Golden State). Moreover, since Paul Gasol got injured, the Spurs have played at a faster pace. Before Gasol's injury, the Spurs were 25th in the league in pace and averaged 96.93 possessions per 48 minutes. But after his injury, that number is up to 101.37 possessions per 48 minutes and the Spurs are 6th in pace in this stretch. Gasol likely won't return until after the All-Star Break, so the Spurs' next six games at least, should be played at this faster pace.

This week, the Spurs will embark on the first leg of their eight-game Rodeo Road Trip. On Monday, San Antonio will be in Memphis, followed by games against the 76ers (Wednesday), Pistons (Friday) and Knicks (Sunday). The Grizzlies (6-0 Over run), 76ers (8-1 Over run), Pistons (14-4 Over run) and Knicks (4-1 Over run) have all been involved in relatively high-scoring games of late, so I look for the Spurs' stretch of Over to continue.

Injury Watch

Toronto's DeMar DeRozan continues to be sidelined by his ankle injury. The All-Star injured himself on Jan. 22, against the Phoenix Suns. He initially missed three games and returned Jan. 29 to play 36 minutes vs. the Magic. But, he's been out for their last four games.

Not surprisingly, the Raptors have struggled without DeRozan on the floor. Dating back to the Jan. 22 game, the Raptors are 3-6 SU and 4-5 ATS. Toronto is also currently without forward Patrick Patterson, as well. Overall, the Raptors are 8-9 in the 17 games that either or both players have missed since Jan. 1.

This week, the Raptors will alternate home and road games against the Clippers (Monday), Timberwolves (Wednesday) and Pistons (Sunday). If DeRozan and Patterson are both out on Monday against Los Angeles, then the Clippers would be worth a look.

Schedule Watch

Since the Spurs moved into their current home, the AT&T Center, 14 years ago, they have taken an extended road trip at this time of year while the San Antonio Stock Show & Rodeo took over the premises. The Spurs have used these Rodeo Road Trips over the years to bond as a team, as well as to generate momentum for the playoff push to come. Which has gone exceptionally well. They've gone 82-35 SU and 61-52-2 ATS on these road trips. They've had just one losing trip, and that was in 2015, when they went 4-5.

Last season, the Spurs bounced back to go 7-1 on their eight-game road trip, and they'll have another eight-game trip this season. First up will be a Memphis Grizzly squad looking to avenge last year's playoff series defeat (a 4-0 sweep). Overall, the Spurs have won nine straight vs. Memphis, but .545 (or better) teams, playing a division foe with revenge from a playoff series loss, have gone 24-48-1 ATS since 1991. Look for Memphis to cover as a home underdog.

**Udog** · 02-06-2017, 11:41 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, February 6

Chicago @ Sacramento

Game 521-522
February 6, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
120.320
Sacramento
118.763
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 2
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+2); Over

San Antonio @ Memphis

Game 519-520
February 6, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
130.424
Memphis
118.966
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 11 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 2 1/2
203
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-2 1/2); Over

Dallas @ Denver

Game 517-518
February 6, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
117.019
Denver
124.662
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 7 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 2 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-2 1/2); Under

Phoenix @ New Orleans

Game 515-516
February 6, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
114.620
New Orleans
112.253
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 2 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 5
221
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+5); Under

Memphis @ Minnesota

Game 513-514
February 6, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
117.741
Minnesota
123.794
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 6
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 1
206
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-1); Over

Philadelphia @ Detroit

Game 511-512
February 6, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
107.381
Detroit
124.884
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 17 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 9 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-9 1/2); Under

Utah @ Atlanta

Game 509-510
February 6, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
124.032
Atlanta
117.583
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 6 1/2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
197 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(+1 1/2); Over

LA Clippers @ Toronto

Game 507-508
February 6, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
111.357
Toronto
123.724
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 12 1/2
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 5
216
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-5); Over

Oklahoma City @ Indiana

Game 505-506
February 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
122.436
Indiana
120.361
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 4 1/2
210 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+4 1/2); Over

LA Lakers @ New York

Game 503-504
February 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
112.657
New York
121.172
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 8 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 5
220
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-5); Under

Cleveland @ Washington

Game 501-502
February 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
127.206
Washington
125.612
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 1
220
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+1); Under

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/6

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/6

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