Announcement

**Udog** · 02-02-2017, 08:17 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

— Underdogs covered 11 of the last 15 Super Bowls.

— Clemson signed 14 football players Wednesday, from 10 different states.

— Washington Wizards won their last 15 home games (13-1-1 vs spread).

— Pro Bowl got higher TV ratings than 34 of 40 college bowl games.

— Former LSU coach Les Miles’ son is going to Nebraska, as a fullback.

— Cavaliers were 7-8 in January, Lebron James’ first losing month since 2006.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) Must admit, I watched some of the National Signing Day stuff on TV Wednesday and it is interesting, because the teams with the best players win, but when did self promotion become such a big deal? Have people (kids/parents alike) become such attention junkies that there has to be a news conference to announce where you’re going to college?

One kid had a Florida t-shirt on over a Florida State shirt over a USC shirt; it was like watching the old game show To Tell the Truth to see where he was going to college by what shirt was showing when he finally stopped undressing.

12) As one coach wrote in an article a few years back, “You have to recruit like hell to get them, but then when you get them, you have to de-program them.” Most college football players sit out as redshirts their first year, they just practice and get more physically mature, so the kids we saw sign today, most of them won’t see game action until 2018.

11) This year in the NFL, 48 QB’s threw 50+ passes; New England faced only two of the top 15 in passer rating this season, Matt Moore (Miami’s backup) and Ben Roethlisberger.

10) Michael Bidwill, president of the Arizona Cardinals, was once a federal prosecutor for six years.

9) Julian Javier was a 2B for the St Louis Cardinals in the 60’s/early 70’s; decent player. He had a career batting mark of 2-16 against Nolan Ryan, which doesn’t sound like much until you realize that his 16 AB’s vs Ryan, with no strikeouts, are the most AB’s by any player EVER against Ryan with no strikeouts.

Javier’s son Stan won a World Series ring as an OF with the ’89 A’s.

8) Nevada sportsbooks made $219.1M last year, their 3rd-best year ever, but 5.4% down from LY.

7) Raiders-Patriots will be playing a regular season game in Mexico City next season.

6) Irony; back in 1998, it looked like the Patriots were moving to Hartford, CT, but one of the main people involved in getting them a new stadium in Foxboro was an NFL employee not too many football fans knew about back then. Without this guy, the Patriots would be in the Nutmeg State.

That guy was Roger Goodell.

5) Sitting court side at the Mississippi State-Ole Miss Tuesday night? The great actor Morgan Freeman, who apparently goes to a lot of Ole Miss games.

4) Alabama signed two QB’s Wednesday; they just came thisclose to winning a national title with a freshman QB playing the whole season. Granted the incumbent QB isn’t a good passer yet, but he is a leader and he won a lot of games this year- why would a top prospect go there, when you know pretty much you might not start until 2020?

The incumbent QB sure as hell won’t be going to the NFL early, so the new kids will have to beat him out. Good luck there.

3) Colorado’s football coaches were sitting around a big table in their conference room, when this young lady comes sprinting into the room with a signed NLI in her hand— she gives it to Coach MacIntyre and he hi-5’s her and she sprints out. She had an Olympic medal around her neck.

Turns out the young lady won a bronze medal in track at the Olympics; pretty good gimmick for the Buffaloes on live TV.

2) Clemson’s new football facility opened the day before Signing Day, complete with a bowling alley, a barber shop and a nap area that resembles sleeping cars you see on a train.

1— One poor kid wanted to go to Alabama; he verbally committed, but the school doesn’t have a scholarship for him, so he is in limbo and may “grayshirt” which means he does nothing next fall, enters Alabama in January of 2018 and is a freshman-eligibility wise in the fall of 2018.

I would advise a recruit to “go where you are wanted” and it doesn’t sound like Alabama wants this kid that much. Hope things work out for him.

**Udog** · 02-02-2017, 08:33 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 2

Lakers lost eight of last ten games, but covered four of last five; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven road games. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Washington won its last 15 games (13-1-1 vs spread); they’re 9-0-1 vs spread in last ten games overall. Over is 3-0-1 in their last four home games. Road team won six of last eight Laker-Wizard games; teams split last six series games played here. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Atlanta lost three of last five games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as a road underdog, 7-3 if they played night before. Rockets are 5-7 in their last 12 games, 2-4 vs spread in their last six home games. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Hawks won their last six games with Houston (5-1 vs spread); three of last four series games played here went over. Atlanta won by 7-6 points in its last two visits to Houston. Hawks won six of last nine games, 2 of last 3 on road.

76ers lost three of last four games, are 10-11 as road underdogs. Last seven Philly games went over the total. San Antonio won 12 of last 15 home games; they’re 10-3 vs spread in last 13 home games. Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Spurs won their last ten games with Philly (7-3 vs spread); eight of last nine series games stayed under total. 76ers lost their last five visits to Alamo (1-4 vs spread). Philly won six of last nine games;

Warriors won their last eight games with the Clippers; they beat ‘em by 46 Saturday in Oakland. Golden State won its last four series games in Staples (3-1 vs spread). Six of last nine series games stayed under total. Warriors won four in row, 11 of last 12 games; they’re 13-12 as road favorites. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Clippers lost four of last six games, but won six of last seven at home. Last four LA games went over the total.

NBA

Thursday, February 2

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. WASHINGTON
LA Lakers are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against Washington
LA Lakers are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games when playing Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Lakers

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. HOUSTON
Atlanta is 6-15-1 ATS in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta

8:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN ANTONIO
Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing San Antonio
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Antonio's last 11 games

10:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing LA Clippers
Golden State is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 02-02-2017, 09:37 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 2

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LA LAKERS (17 - 34) at WASHINGTON (28 - 20) - 2/2/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 41-55 ATS (-19.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
WASHINGTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
WASHINGTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (28 - 21) at HOUSTON (36 - 16) - 2/2/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 313-256 ATS (+31.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 69-48 ATS (+16.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (18 - 30) at SAN ANTONIO (37 - 11) - 2/2/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 73-54 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 500-414 ATS (+44.6 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 328-268 ATS (+33.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 204-155 ATS (+33.5 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 131-99 ATS (+22.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (42 - 7) at LA CLIPPERS (31 - 18) - 2/2/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 138-111 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 128-102 ATS (+15.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 69-48 ATS (+16.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 204-161 ATS (+26.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 103-139 ATS (-49.9 Units) in February games since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 256-307 ATS (-81.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 195-254 ATS (-84.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-02-2017, 11:07 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, February 2

Golden State @ LA Clippers

Game 707-708
February 2, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
124.828
LA Clippers
125.422
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 1
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 8 1/2
227
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+8 1/2); Under

Philadelphia @ San Antonio

Game 705-706
February 2, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
115.751
San Antonio
125.851
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 10
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 15
211
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+15); Over

Atlanta @ Houston

Game 703-704
February 2, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
115.927
Houston
121.471
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 5 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 9
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+9); Over

LA Lakers @ Washington

Game 701-702
February 2, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
111.518
Washington
132.333
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 21
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 11
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-11); Under

**Udog** · 02-02-2017, 02:13 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, February 2

LA Lakers at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
Los Angeles: 7-23 ATS after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds
Washington: 15-6 ATS as a home favorite

Atlanta at Houston, 8:05 PM ET
Atlanta: 5-13 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games
Houston: 15-6 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent

Philadelphia at San Antonio, 8:35 PM ET
Philadelphia: 7-19 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games
San Antonio: 12-3 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 210

Golden State at LA Clippers, 10:35 PM ET
Golden State: 34-17 ATS after a non-conference game
Los Angeles: 7-16 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games

**Udog** · 02-02-2017, 02:22 PM

NBA

Thursday, February 2

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Thursday’s NBA Game of the Day: Warriors at Clippers
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Golden State shot 62 percent from the field and made 17 3-pointers Saturday while defeating Los Angeles for the eighth consecutive time.

Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Clippers (+8, 227)

The Los Angeles Clippers were steamrolled by Golden State just five nights ago and will look to rise from that embarrassment when they host the Warriors on Thursday. Clippers coach Doc Rivers had the players watch the entire replay of the game Monday to remind them how badly they were whipped in the 144-98 defeat.

Golden State shot 62 percent from the field and made 17 3-pointers Saturday while defeating Los Angeles for the eighth consecutive time. Point guard Stephen Curry scored 43 points and made nine 3-pointers versus Los Angles and he was solid again Wednesday when he drained 11 3-pointers while scoring 39 points during a 126-111 victory over the Charlotte Hornets. The Clippers bounced back from their trouncing by posting a 124-114 road win over the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday. Forward Blake Griffin produced 29 points on 10-of-14 shooting against Phoenix in his third game since returning from knee surgery.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: The Warriors opened as 8-point road favorites and the line has yet to move as of Thursday morning. The total hit the board at 226 and has been bet up one full point to 227.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "After annihilating the Clippers just days ago, the Clippers will attempt to put forth a better effort on their home floor. Having defeated the Suns last night this is a back to back scenario for the Clippers. Can they put forth the same offense they did last night against the Suns against a Warriors team clicking on all cylinders?"

WHAT BOOKS SAY: “We opened this afternoon Warriors -8 and took a little bit of smart money on the road team. If the wiseguys don't get involved to a great extent this could balloon quickly as the public will be on Golden State because of its recent thrashing of L.A. as well as the Clippers' recent
slide without Paul.”

INJURY REPORT:

Warriors - SG Shaun Livingston (Questionable, back), PF David West (Questionable, back), C Zaza Pachulia (Mid February, shoulder)

Clippers - PG Chris Paul (Mid March, thumb), PF Brice Johnson (Out indefinitely, back)

POWER RANKINGS: Warriors (-15.2) - Clippers (-8.3) + home court (-3) = Warriors -3.9

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (42-7 SU, 22-25-2 ATS, 21-28 O/U): Curry's latest huge performance came in front of his father, Dell, the former NBA sharpshooter who is part of the Hornets' broadcasting crew. He was 11-of-15 from behind the arc and is a scorching 26-of-42 over his past three games, an accuracy rate that impresses small forward Kevin Durant. "He's shooting 3s like guys shoot 2s," Durant said after Wednesday's win. "He's got it going right now. We have to continue to feed him and continue to play off him."

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (31-18 SU, 24-25 ATS, 28-12 O/U): Griffin matched his season best for points against the Suns and Los Angeles will be counting on him again with point guard Chris Paul (thumb) slated to miss his seventh straight contest. He is 19-of-28 shooting over the past two games and guard Jamal Crawford sees Griffin soon regaining his stature as one of top players in the league. "Blake is dynamic. He's unbelievable," Crawford said after the Phoenix game. "That's why when he's out there playing, he's always in the MVP conversation. There is a top bar of guys in the NBA and he's on that top shelf."

TRENDS:

* Warriors are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
* Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.
* Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
* Under is 8-0 in Warriors last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
* Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 home games.
* Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.

CONSENSUS: 61 percent of users are siding with the road favorite Warriors and Over is picking up 66 percent of the totals wagers.

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Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/2

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/2

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