Announcement

**Udog** · 01-18-2017, 08:04 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Random NFL coaches’ records on replay challenges:

— Jack Del Rio, Jax/Oak— 77 of 103, 74.8%

— Mike Mularkey, Buff/Jax/Tenn— 29 of 39, 74.4%

— Jay Gruden, Wash— 17 of 23, 73.9%

— John Fox, Car/Den/Chi— 125 of 170, 73.5%

— Bill O’Brien, Hst— 19 of 26, 73.1%

— Mike Zimmer, Minn— 15 of 21, 71.4%

No current NFL head coach has less than a 60% success rate in replay challenges.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……..

13) Alex Rodriguez is going to have his own TV show on CNBC, dealing with athletes who have had financial problems in their post-playing days. The show will match athletes with “money-savvy mentors” who will advise the athletes on way to upgrade their financial situations.

12) One growing trend in college basketball; more and more teams are playing only 7-8 guys in a game, some only six. Would expect to see a rule change next year, where it’ll take six fouls to foul out, rather than five fouls.

11) Creighton guard Mo Watson tore his ACL Monday at Xavier, his college career is over. Very sad for the young man and his team; he is the Bluejays’ best player.

10) This is tremendous; 25 moving companies based in San Diego banded together and refuse to help the Chargers move north to Los Angeles.

Chargers kept Ken Whisenhunt as OC, a good move.

9) ESPN’s Sean McDonough did his first basketball telecast of the season Monday night in Chapel Hill; he seemed positively giddy to be working with Jay Bilas, after working with Jon Gruden on Monday Night Football all season. Draw your own conclusions.

8) Oklahoma City Thunder has nine games left in January; eight of them are on the road. Thunder will fly over 14,000 miles in January alone.

7) Happy birthday to the great Betty White, who turned 95 on Tuesday.

Also congrats to Roy Williams on his 800th win Monday night.

6) Phillies signed OF Michael Saunders to a 1-year deal; the oft-injured Saunders is 30, has played 130+ games in only three seasons, but he did hit 24 HR’s for Toronto LY.

5) Two guys in Las Vegas pooled $300 and money-lined the Packers in Week 12, and let it ride ever since. Their $300 investment now is worth $28,213.60 and if Green Bay wins on Sunday, it’ll be worth $76,176.70.

These guys tried the same thing LY (with two other friends) but the Cowboys lost the first week of the wager. I’m guessing the two friends who didn’t re-up this year are kicking themselves.

One of the two guys played basketball for Seth Greenberg at Long Beach State and later was an assistant coach for Greenberg, I think at South Florida.

4) Quinnipiac is 4-4 in the MAAC, an ordinary team, but they’ve covered their last seven MAAC games, making them a great team for those who wager on the Bobcats.

3) Chris Paul tore ligaments in his thumb Monday night, is out 6-8 weeks.

2) Houston Texans fired their offensive coordinator two days after their loss in Foxboro; they said “they mutually parted ways” which means they paid off his contract and told him to take a hike.

1— Interesting discussion on the Australian Open late Monday night, on how tennis players on the rise can actually play too much, if they advance further than expected in tournaments.

Marginal players play in more events, but if they go deep into the tournaments, it reduces their down time between events, increasing their risk of injury and making conditioning a lot more important. As a player improves, he/she actually reduce the number of events they play in.

**Udog** · 01-18-2017, 08:17 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, January 18

Portland split its last ten games, covered three of last four on road; they’re 5-11 as road underdogs. Over is 10-4 in their last 14 road games. Hornets lost seven of last eight games; they’re 6-1 in last seven games as a home favorite. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. Portland won seven of last nine games with Charlotte (6-3 vs spread); Trailblazers lost three of last five visits here (2-3 vs spread). Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Memphis is 3-4 in its last seven games, 7-7 vs spread as a road underdog. Grizzlies are 5-7 vs spread in last 12 road games. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Wizards won five of last six games, are 11-1 vs spread in last 12 home games. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 home games. Home side won eight of last ten Memphis-Washington games; Grizzlies lost three of last four visits here (1-3 vs spread, over 3-1).

Raptors won its last four games, is 4-6 vs spread as a road favorite. Last six Toronto games went over the total. 76ers won four of last five games, covered seven of last eight; they’re 12-6 as home underdogs. Under is 4-1 in their last five games. Toronto won its last ten games with the 76ers, covered last seven; Raptors won last five visits to Philly, covered last four. Six of last seven series games went over total.

New York lost 11 of last 13 games, 8-4 vs spread in last 12 games as a road underdog. Four of their last five games stayed under. Celtics won seven of last eight games, are 9-7 as home favorites; six of their last eight home games went over the total. Knicks lost eight of last nine games with Boston, losing last four visits to Beantown (1-3 vs spread). Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Magic lost six of last seven games, is 3-5 in last eight games as a road underdog. Last three Orlando games went over. Pelicans won four of last five home games, are 5-9 as home faves (star Davis is banged up, check status). Last four NO games stayed under. Orlando won its last four games with New Orleans (3-1 vs spread); Magic lost three of last five visits to Bourbon Street. Last six series games stayed under the total.

Atlanta won nine of last ten games, covered eight of last ten on road. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six road games. Pistons lost three of last four games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. Three of last four Detroit games stayed under. Hawks won four of last five games with Detroit; six of last seven series games went over total. Atlanta won three of last four visits to Motor City, winning last two by 17-4 points.

Bucks lost four of last six games, are 5-9 as road underdogs. Five of their last six games went over total. Houston lost three of last four games; they’re 1-4 in last five games as a home favorite. Five of their last six games went over the total. Rockets won five of last six games with Milwaukee; over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Bucks lost last three visits to Houston, by 10-6-4 points.

Pacers won six of last seven games, but lost four of last five games away from home. Seven of their last eight games went over total. Sacramento lost five of its last six games, six of last seven at home; over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Kings won last four games with Indiana; they covered four of last five series games. Pacers lost by 1-11 points in last two visits here. Last three series games stayed under total.

Warriors won last four games with Oklahoma City, winning by 26 in first reunion with Durant and his old team on Nov 3. Thunder lost last four visits to Oakland (0-4 vs spread). Under is 7-2 in last nine series games. Thunder won four of last six games overall, but lost six of last eight on road; they’re 2-4 in last six games as a road dog. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Golden State won four in row, eight of last nine games; they’re 10-12 as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under.

**Udog** · 01-18-2017, 08:20 AM

NBA

Wednesday, January 18

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. PHILADELPHIA
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

7:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. WASHINGTON
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Memphis is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

7:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Charlotte is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Portland

7:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
New York is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games at home

8:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. NEW ORLEANS
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
New Orleans is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. DETROIT
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Atlanta

8:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. HOUSTON
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games at home

10:30 PM
INDIANA vs. SACRAMENTO
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Sacramento is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games

10:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Golden State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

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**Udog** · 01-18-2017, 10:02 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, January 18

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PORTLAND (18 - 25) at CHARLOTTE (20 - 21) - 1/18/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 2-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (25 - 18) at WASHINGTON (21 - 19) - 1/18/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MEMPHIS is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (28 - 13) at PHILADELPHIA (13 - 26) - 1/18/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
TORONTO is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
TORONTO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
TORONTO is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-71 ATS (-30.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 81-110 ATS (-40.0 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 114-155 ATS (-56.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (18 - 24) at BOSTON (26 - 15) - 1/18/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (17 - 26) at NEW ORLEANS (16 - 26) - 1/18/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 4-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (24 - 17) at DETROIT (19 - 24) - 1/18/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (20 - 20) at HOUSTON (32 - 12) - 1/18/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 245-298 ATS (-82.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 312-252 ATS (+34.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (21 - 19) at SACRAMENTO (16 - 24) - 1/18/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
INDIANA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games this season.
INDIANA is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 41-58 ATS (-22.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 4-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (25 - 18) at GOLDEN STATE (35 - 6) - 1/18/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-64 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 133-109 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 123-100 ATS (+13.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 73-53 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 74-52 ATS (+16.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 73-54 ATS (+13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 64-47 ATS (+12.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 110-80 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 167-121 ATS (+33.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 9-5 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 11-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 01-18-2017, 01:59 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, January 18

Oklahoma City @ Golden State

Game 517-518
January 18, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
116.135
Golden State
133.091
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 17
236
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 13 1/2
228 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-13 1/2); Over

Indiana @ Sacramento

Game 515-516
January 18, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
117.314
Sacramento
116.447
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 1
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 1 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+1 1/2); Under

Milwaukee @ Houston

Game 513-514
January 18, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
121.587
Houston
118.963
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 2 1/2
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 7
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+7); Over

Atlanta @ Detroit

Game 511-512
January 18, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
122.719
Detroit
114.942
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 8
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 1
201
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-1); Over

Orlando @ New Orleans

Game 509-510
January 18, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
112.480
New Orleans
120.961
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 8 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 4 1/2
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-4 1/2); Over

New York @ Boston

Game 507-508
January 18, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
114.202
Boston
126.994
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 13
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 8
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-8); Over

Toronto @ Philadelphia

Game 505-506
January 18, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
125.780
Philadelphia
115.640
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 10
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 5
213
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-5); Under

Memphis @ Washington

Game 503-504
January 18, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
124.816
Washington
120.950
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 4
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 3
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+3); Under

Portland @ Charlotte

Game 501-502
January 18, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
118.932
Charlotte
118.618
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
Even
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 4 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+4 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 01-18-2017, 02:40 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Wednesday, January 18

Portland at Charlotte, 7:05 PM ET
Portland: 5-17 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games
Charlotte: 15-5 ATS in home games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games

Memphis at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
Memphis: 9-19 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
Washington: 11-3 ATS after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points

Toronto at Philadelphia, 7:05 PM ET
Toronto: 15-6 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games
Philadelphia: 18-36 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210

NY Knicks at Boston, 7:35 PM ET
New York: 8-0 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog
Boston: 2-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points

Orlando at New Orleans, 8:05 PM ET
Orlando: 26-11 ATS in road games in non-conference games
New Orleans: 13-24 ATS as a favorite

Atlanta at Detroit, 8:05 PM ET
Atlanta: 94-67 ATS after playing a game as favorite
Detroit: 86-116 ATS in home games after 2 straight games giving up 10 or less offensive rebounds

Milwaukee at Houston, 8:05 PM ET
Milwaukee: 2-10 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite
Houston: 22-11 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more

Indiana at Sacramento, 10:35 PM ET
Indiana: 25-10 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days
Sacramento: 11-23 ATS in home games after scoring 105 points or more

Oklahoma City at Golden State, 10:35 PM ET
Oklahoma City: 7-19 ATS in road games in January games
Golden State: 10-2 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more

Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/18

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/18

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