Announcement

**Udog** · 01-17-2017, 09:38 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

— Each player on Super Bowl winner gets $107,000; each player on losing side gets $53,000.

— If I ran the Sacramento Kings, we’d trade DeMarcus Cousins before giving him a $200M contract; you give a guy that much cash, he has to be beyond reproach.

— Rory McIlroy has a rib injury, withdrew from the Abu Dhabi golf event this week.

— NBA’s Denver Nuggets have players from six different countries.

— #26 national basketball recruit, PG Matt Coleman chose Texas over Duke.

— Ram coach Sean McVay’s father played safety at Indiana, where his coach was ESPN’s Lee Corso.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) When Orlando Magic coach Frank Vogel was in 8th grade, he appeared on the David Letterman Show in the Stupid Human Tricks segment, spinning a basketball on a toothbrush while brushing his teeth. I’m not a sure how a kid starts practicing that stunt, but he did and got good enough to be on national TV.

12) Speaking of the Magic, guard DJ Augustin has played for nine different NBA teams over the last six seasons; he’s banked roughly $28.3M in his career and must be an expert packer, too.

11) If you’re Mike Tomlin, whats your reaction that one of your star players was broadcasting your postgame speech live over the Interweb? Would’ve been nice if Antonio Brown had turned the camera off when Tomlin started speaking, but that isn’t what happened.

10) Kansas City Chiefs are first team in NFL playoff history to score multiple touchdowns, allow zero touchdowns in a playoff game, and still lose the game.

9) When the Packers hired Mike McCarthy as coach in 2006, the guy he beat out for the job was Sean Payton. Would’ve been fun to see Payton work with Aaron Rodgers.

8) Tex-Arlington 89, South Alabama 83— Glad to see the Sun Belt get exposure on ESPN; back when ESPN first started, Sun Belt was one of the first leagues to let ESPN broadcast its games on a regular basis.

7) Creighton 72, Xavier 67— Costly victory for Bluejays; senior PG Mo Watson went down with a knee injury and it didn’t look good- he said he heard it pop, rarely a good thing.

6) Saturday was just third time ever that the LA Lakers/Clippers/Kings all played in Staples Center on the same day.

5) After the 2014 college basketball season, South Florida tried to hire Manhattan coach Steve Masiello as basketball coach, but changed their mind after it turned out he was a couple courses short of having graduated from college at Kentucky.

Masiello got Manhattan to the NCAAs two years in a row and was one of hot names in the coaching carousel, but the last couple of years, Jaspers are just 20-29 and are struggling in the MAAC this season. Masiello has since gotten his college degree, but isn’t a hot name anymore, which seems ludicrous. He hasn’t gotten dumber the last two years.

Anyway, the South Florida job is open again; curious to see if USF goes after Masiello this time. They were also interested in then-UNLV coach Dave Rice back then; he’s an assistant at Nevada these days. Either guy would be a good hire for the Bulls.

4) There will be three college football games at Fenway Park next fall: UConn-Boston College, Brown-Dartmouth and UMass-Maine.

Long time ago, back in the 60’s, the Patriots played home games at Fenway.

3) Turns out Derrick Rose got fined $193,848 for missing that game last week; when the NBA suspends a player for a game, they take 1/110th of a player’s salary- for Rose thats the number. So not answering a phone call and making up a lie for 30 seconds cost him $193,848. Wow.

2) There is a new casino opening in Schenectady on February 8, around 15 miles from Armadillo World HQ. Am curious to see what it is like. Also wonder how long it will be before we can go there and bet on ballgames, like in Las Vegas.

1— Last week I asked about why the Chargers would move to LA instead of just staying where they were; read over the weekend where the value of the Charger franchise would roughly double after the move, more than making up for the $550M relocation fee they will pay out over the next decade. When in doubt, the answer is always “its about the money”.

**Udog** · 01-17-2017, 09:56 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, January 17

Denver @ LA Lakers

Game 709-710
January 17, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
111.430
LA Lakers
119.565
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 8
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 1
227
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-1); Under

Minnesota @ San Antonio

Game 707-708
January 17, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
118.282
San Antonio
132.369
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 14
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 11
202 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-11); Over

Dallas @ Chicago

Game 705-706
January 17, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
112.495
Chicago
126.474
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 14
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 5 1/2
196 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-5 1/2); Over

Houston @ Miami

Game 703-704
January 17, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
123.380
Miami
113.256
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 10
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 7 1/2
220
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-7 1/2); Over

Toronto @ Brooklyn

Game 701-702
January 17, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
122.286
Brooklyn
109.224
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 13
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 11
227
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-11); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 17

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TORONTO (27 - 13) at BROOKLYN (8 - 32) - 1/17/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
TORONTO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
BROOKLYN is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
BROOKLYN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 5-5 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 8-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (32 - 11) at MIAMI (11 - 30) - 1/17/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 312-251 ATS (+35.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (13 - 27) at CHICAGO (21 - 21) - 1/17/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 363-301 ATS (+31.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 473-395 ATS (+38.5 Units) in road games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 121-163 ATS (-58.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 57-91 ATS (-43.1 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
CHICAGO is 42-61 ATS (-25.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 35-49 ATS (-18.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (14 - 27) at SAN ANTONIO (31 - 9) - 1/17/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 70-51 ATS (+13.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 498-412 ATS (+44.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 148-103 ATS (+34.7 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 202-139 ATS (+49.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 300-239 ATS (+37.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 90-68 ATS (+15.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (16 - 23) at LA LAKERS (15 - 30) - 1/17/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 164-216 ATS (-73.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DENVER is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 55-70 ATS (-22.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 59-86 ATS (-35.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 149-194 ATS (-64.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 38-53 ATS (-20.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 6-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 17

Nets lost their last nine games (2-7 vs spread); they’re 9-9 as home underdogs. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Toronto won five of last six home games, covered four of last five. Last five Raptor games went over total. Raptors won their last six games with Brooklyn; they drilled the Nets 132-113 at home four nights ago. Raptors won by 17-7 points in last two visits here. Three of last four series games stayed under total.

Houston won 10 of its last 12 games, is 10-5 vs spread as a road favorite. Their last five games went over the total. Miami lost nine of last ten games; they’re 3-7 as home underdogs. Three of their last four home games went over. Home side won six of last seven Houston-Miami games; Rockets lost five of last six visits to South Beach (3-3 vs spread). Three of last four series games stayed under.

Dallas is 4-3 in its last seven road games (5-2 vs spread); they’re 7-7 overall in last 14 games. Four of Mavericks’ last five games stayed under. Bulls won last two games by 8-4 points; they won five of last seven home games, are 6-10 as home favorites. Four of their last five home games went over. Dallas won six of last eight games with Chicago; Mavericks won last three visits to Windy City by 22-3-6 points. Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games.

Minnesota won three of last four games, covered four of last five, but they’ve lost last five on road (1-4 vs spread). Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. San Antonio lost two of last three games after an 11-2 run; they’re 10-8 as home favorites. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Spurs won their last eight games with Minnesota, which lost last four visits to Alamo (1-3 vs spread). Six of last eight series games went over total.

Nuggets lost six of their last eight true road games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven games as a road underdog. Last seven Denver games went over total. Lakers lost their last four games (1-3 vs spread); they’re 3-4-1 vs spread as home favorites. Denver won eight of its last ten games with the Lakers, winning last five games played here; last five series games went over the total.

NBA

Tuesday, January 17

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
Houston is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Miami
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. BROOKLYN
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Chicago is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games when playing at home against Dallas

8:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. SAN ANTONIO
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Minnesota is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
San Antonio is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games

10:30 PM
DENVER vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Denver is 12-2 SU in their last 14 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
LA Lakers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games

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**Udog** · 01-17-2017, 05:51 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, January 17

Toronto at Brooklyn, 7:35 PM ET
Toronto: 12-3 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games
Brooklyn: 3-11 ATS after a non-conference game

Houston at Miami, 7:35 PM ET
Houston: 16-7 ATS after one or more consecutive overs
Miami: 1-10 ATS after a game where they made 12 or more 3 point shots

Dallas at Chicago, 8:05 PM ET
Dallas: 17-6 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog
Chicago: 13-28 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games

Minnesota at San Antonio, 8:35 PM ET
Minnesota: 2-10 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders
San Antonio: 42-26 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders

Denver at LA Lakers, 10:35 PM ET
Denver: 13-3 ATS in road games after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games
Los Angeles: 4-15 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/17

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/17

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