Announcement

**Udog** · 01-15-2017, 09:33 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Odds to win the 2017 Masters

15-2— Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy

8-1— Jason Day

10-1— Dustin Johnson

13-1— Hideki Matsuyama

18-1— Bubba Watson

20-1— Adam Scott, Eldrick Woods

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Falcons 36, Seahawks 20— Matt Ryan has a 2-4 career record in playoff games, with both wins at home against Seattle. Football is an emotional game; Seahawk lineman Michael Bennett went off on a reporter for a question he was asked after the game.

Side note: This result is a win for the Rams; had they waited for Kyle Shanahan to be available, this would’ve been bad. Now they already have their coach and are assembling a staff. Curious to see if Shanahan goes to San Francisco.

12) Patriots 34, Texans 16— Home favorites won/covered first six playoff games this month; bad for ratings, but what can you do? It is not pro wrestling or roller derby, where the finishes are scripted. Sometimes the top teams are just a lot better than the teams below them.

11) Upsets of the Day: Saint Louis (+14) got their first A-14 win, 63-56 at George Mason, and Brown (+12) upset Penn 82-70 in the Palestra. Stephen Spieth (Jordan’s brother) had 22 points for the victorious Bears and yes, he really is Jordan Spieth’s brother.

10) Louisville 78, Duke 69— Blue Devils are 2-3 in ACC, their worst league start since 1996, last time Mike Krzyzewski had his back operated on. Duke is fairly ordinary without big man Amile Jefferson, who has a bad foot (again). Louisville sometimes looks like they practice without a basketball, but boy can they defend.

9) West Virginia 74, Texas 72— Longhorns played their hearts out in first game without leading scorer Tevin Mack (suspended), but came up just short. This was just second win for West Virginia in their last eight games with Texas, which is floundering this year at 7-10, 1-4 Big X.

8) Mississippi State 67, Texas A&M 59— Starters in this game: 4 freshman, 5 sophomores and one lone junior. Two good teams; Ben Howland is quietly assembling a very good team down there in Starkville.

7) Loyola Marymount 79, Portland 78— Just watched a replay of this game; Portland led 78-73 with 0:45 left and then collapsed, just an awful loss, but LMU starts three seniors and they’re struggling, so unless they have a great recruiting year, they’ll get pummeled next year.

6) Illinois State 76, Wichita State 62— Big win for the Redbirds, who are challenging Wichita for MVC supremacy; it is possible the Valley could get two teams in NCAAs this year.

5) UCLA 83, Utah 82— If you had the Bruins -3, a pretty bad beat. Welsh hit two FT’s with 0:01 left to give UCLA an 83-80 lead, with ONE SECOND LEFT. Somehow, Utah throws a long pass right under the basket and the kid hits a short jumper and he celebrates like they just forced OT, except THEY WERE DOWN THREE POINTS. Why do these arenas have scoreboards?

4) UTEP 66, Florida Atlantic 65 OT— Miners came into this weekend on a 12-game losing skid, but they won both home games, both by a point in OT. Winning helps and losing doesn’t.

3) TCU 84, Iowa State 77— Is Jamie Dixon National Coach of the Year so far? After going 50-79 the last four years (8-64 in league play), Horned Frogs are 14-3 this year, 3-2 in Big X play and there are no easy games in the Big X. They beat a very experienced Cyclone team here.

2) Richmond 70, St Joe’s 66— Spiders were 5-5 when they inserted freshman De’Monte Buckingham into the starting lineup; they’re 6-1 since, are 5-0 in A-14 with three road wins.

1— San Diego 88, BYU 75— BYU won here 69-67 LY; two nights later, the teams met again in Provo and BYU crushed the Toreros 91-33. 91-33, an ugly night.

Revenge was sweet last night, as an 11-point underdog San Diego squad that played seven guys; three freshmen, two sophs, a junior from Germany and a senior, beat the Cougars and evened their record at 9-9.

**Udog** · 01-15-2017, 09:48 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, January 15

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NEW YORK (18 - 22) at TORONTO (26 - 13) - 1/15/2017, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (20 - 18) at ATLANTA (22 - 17) - 1/15/2017, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (14 - 26) at DALLAS (12 - 27) - 1/15/2017, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (31 - 11) at BROOKLYN (8 - 31) - 1/15/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 311-251 ATS (+34.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 93-57 ATS (+30.3 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
HOUSTON is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (20 - 21) at MEMPHIS (25 - 17) - 1/15/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (24 - 17) at SACRAMENTO (16 - 23) - 1/15/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-63 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 166-121 ATS (+32.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (18 - 24) at LA LAKERS (15 - 29) - 1/15/2017, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 55-69 ATS (-20.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 59-85 ATS (-34.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 196-240 ATS (-68.0 Units) after a division game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 149-193 ATS (-63.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 59-85 ATS (-34.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 38-52 ATS (-19.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 62-93 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 01-15-2017, 09:49 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, January 15

Knicks lost their last four games with Toronto but are 7-3 vs spread in last ten series games; they lost four of last five visits to Canada (3-2 vs spread). Six of last eight series games went over total. New York lost eight of last ten games; they’re 8-3 in last 11 games as a road underdog- their last three games stayed under. Raptors won three of last four home games, are 10-5 as home favorites. Last four Toronto games went over total.

Hawks won last three games with Milwaukee and six of last eight; Bucks lost three of last four visits here (1-3 vs spread). Six of last nine series games stayed under total. Bucks won five of last seven games, winning last three on road; they covered last three tries as a road underdog. Hawks won seven of last eight games; they’re 1-8 in last nine games as a home favorite. Last five Atlanta games stayed under.

Dallas won seven of last eight games with Minnesota; T’wolves lost last four visits to Dallas (1-3 vs spread). Under is 5-1-1 in last seven series games. Minnesota won its last three games (all at home) but lost last three road games; they’re 6-7 as road underdogs. Mavericks lost six of last nine games, including three of last four at home; they’re 1-1 as home favorites. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Rockets won seven of last ten games with Brooklyn, winning three of last five played here; Nets covered last four series games. Over is 3-2 in last five series games in Brooklyn. Houston lost its last two games after a 9-game win streak; they’re 9-5 as road favorites. Three of their last four games went over. Brooklyn lost its last nine game (2-7 vs spread), with five of the nine at home. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Road team won five of last seven Chicago-Memphis games; Bulls won two of last three visits here. Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games in Memphis. Bulls lost three of last four games; they’re 8-9 vs spread as road underdogs, 4-4 if they played night before. Grizzlies won three of last four games, are 4-2 in last six games as a home favorite. Last three Memphis games stayed under the total.

Kings won three of last four games with Oklahoma City; they covered six of last seven series games. Thunder won/covered once in last five visits to Sacramento. Oklahoma City won three of last four games but lost five of last six on road; they’re 3-3 as road favorites. Last three Thunder games stayed under total. Sacramento lost six of last eight games; they’re 0-4 in last four games as a home underdog. Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Lakers won seven of last eight games with Detroit; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Pistons lost last five visits to Staples Center (0-5 vs spread). Detroit lost its last three games, by 6-20-33 points; they’re 2-3 as road favorites. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Lakers lost last three games, by 21-40-16 points; they’re 7-7 as home underdogs. Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 01-15-2017, 09:50 AM

NBA

Sunday, January 15

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Trend Report
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2:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

3:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. TORONTO
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
New York is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York

3:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Atlanta is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Milwaukee

6:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 13 games
Houston is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Brooklyn's last 13 games

9:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. MEMPHIS
Chicago is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Memphis
Chicago is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 10 games at home

9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games
Oklahoma City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

9:30 PM
DETROIT vs. LA LAKERS
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Detroit is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 5-18-1 SU in their last 24 games ,
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 01-15-2017, 10:28 AM

Revenge is overrated when betting NBA Finals rematches

Going back to 2012-13, the reigning NBA title winner is 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS when facing the team they defeated in the finals the previous season.

Losing always hurts. Losing when you’re inches from a championship, however, can leave long-lasting scars.

The Cleveland Cavaliers marked the Golden State Warriors with just that after coming back from 3-1 hole in last year’s NBA Finals, winning three straight games to stun the defending champion Warriors, who had just completed a record-breaking 73-win regular season.

NBA bettors were leaning hard on the “revenge” angle when those two teams clashed in a Christmas Day rematch this season, pushing the line from Golden State -1.5 to -3.5 by tipoff on Dec. 25. Cleveland would record its fourth straight win over the Warriors, edging Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant & Co. 109-108 as home underdogs.

Revenge sounds sexy, but when it comes to NBA Finals rematches the truth is the defending champ has had edge. Going back to 2012-13, the reigning NBA title winner is 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS when facing the team they defeated in the finals the previous season. And peeling back the years even further, defending champs are 15-12 SU and 15-10-2 ATS (60%) in a finals rematch since 2003-04.

The Cavaliers and Warriors mix it up for the second time this season Monday night, when LeBron James and Cleveland roll into the Bay Area.

Defending champs on the road in those rematches are 3-1 SU and ATS since 2012-13, winning by an average score of 104.25-96.75 – a difference of 7.5 points on the scoreboard. And since 2003-04 those defending title winners are 9-4 ATS but just 7-6 in the win/loss column, winning by an average score of 96.08-94.62 in that span.

The Cavs enters Monday well rested, coming off a 120-108 win at Sacramento Friday. Cleveland is 11-7 SU and only 7-11 ATS away from home so far this season, with a 9-4 SU and 5-8 ATS mark versus Western Conference opponents.

Golden State also has an extended break, coming off a 127-107 home win over Detroit Thursday. The Warriors are 18-3 SU and 9-12 ATS as hosts with a 12-1 SU and 6-6-1 ATS record versus Eastern Conference foes. That lone loss came against the Cavs on Xmas Day.

**Udog** · 01-15-2017, 12:41 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, January 15

Detroit @ LA Lakers

Game 863-864
January 15, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
116.385
LA Lakers
110.022
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 6 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 2
211
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-2); Over

Oklahoma City @ Sacramento

Game 861-862
January 15, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
115.623
Sacramento
122.094
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 6 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+2); Under

Chicago @ Memphis

Game 859-860
January 15, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
120.888
Memphis
120.402
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
Even
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 7 1/2
191 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+7 1/2); Over

Houston @ Brooklyn

Game 857-858
January 15, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
126.019
Brooklyn
106.585
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 19 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 12 1/2
233 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-12 1/2); Under

Minnesota @ Dallas

Game 855-856
January 15, 2017 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
116.607
Dallas
124.170
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 7 1/2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 1
195 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-1); Over

Milwaukee @ Atlanta

Game 853-854
January 15, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
125.001
Atlanta
120.232
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 5
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 3
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+3); Under

New York @ Toronto

Game 851-852
January 15, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
116.540
Toronto
123.158
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 6 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 9 1/2
217
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+9 1/2); Under

Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/15

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/15

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