Announcement

**Udog** · 01-13-2017, 08:14 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

— Rams hired Redskins’ OC Sean McVay as their new head coach. Rumors have him hiring Wade Phillips as defensive coordinator.

— Saints had 73 passing plays of 20+ yards this year, most in NFL; McVay’s Redskins had 69.

— Nuggets 140, Pacers 112— Indiana’s players didn’t seem very interested in playing this game.

— Chargers are going to hire Anthony Lynn as their new coach.

— Justin Thomas eagled the 18th hole, shot a 59 in Hawai’i yesterday, the 8th Tour player to do it.

— Vice-President Joe Biden was awarded with the Presidential Medal of Freedom Thursday, the nation’s highest civilian honor.

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Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Wrapping up a Thursday night of hoop

13) UCLA 104, Colorado 89— Buffs are now 0-4 in Pac-12. UCLA is an offensive juggernaut- they made 19-31 on the arc in this game. Bryce Alford might be a better shooter than his dad– he was 9-14.

You cannot play help defense against UCLA, because they can all shoot, even Ball (43% on arc). Giving up layups is better than giving up 3-pointers.

12) Utah 86, USC 64— Young Trojans lost three of last four games after a 14-0 start.

11) Belmont 84, Morehead State 78— Evan Bradds is Belmont’s best scorer; he had 31 points, 10 rebounds in this game, but at one point about 8:00 into the game, Bradds put his fist up, wanted a rest. His coach sent a sub to the table but Belmont had a pretty good run going, so the coach wouldn’t call timeout- the game went on for another 3:00 before there was a whistle.

At one point, Bradds had the ball with a pretty good chance to score, but he passed- he seemed not to want to shoot, so he didn’t have to run back down to the other end. It was kind of funny. When the game got up/down, it was too fast for Bradds, but when it slowed down, he was by far the best player on the court.

10) UTEP 88, Florida International 87, 2 OT’s— Miners snap a 12-game losing streak in dramatic fashion.

9) Upset of the Night: 11-point underdog LaSalle won 87-75 at Rhode Island.

8) Arizona 91, Arizona State 75, LaSalle 87, Rhode Island 75— Rough night for the Hurley brothers.

Herb Sendek couldn’t win a whole lot at ASU and Bobby Hurley isn’t nearly as good a coach as Sendek is. Hurley will have to be a monster recruiter to win in Tempe— there aren’t lot of great high school players in Arizona. I don’t think Sean Miller has an Arizona kid in his rotation.

7) This is part of why handicapping college basketball is becoming more difficult; Arizona State has seven eligible players right now, Arizona has eight. Some of it is injuries, some is transfers, but an awful lot of teams are playing with very short rotations these days and it makes injuries, suspensions and other attrition so much more important than in the past.

Men’s basketball teams are allowed to have 13 players on scholarship; only 15 of 26 scholarships were filled in the ASU game. Nevada has four D-I transfers on scholarship who are sitting out this season, so they’re shorthanded. There are 351 D-I teams, only so many really good players.

6) NC-Greensboro 83, East Tennessee State 79— This was a fierce, physical game, tough game to ref, lot of chirping and staredowns. Two good teams with lot of good athletes. Someone at ESPN needs to get some Southern League games on their airwaves. Good basketball.

Greensboro is 13-5; they haven’t had a winning season in nine years, but they’re having one now. Good team coached by Wes Miller, who was a scrub at North Carolina in his playing days.

5) Iowa 83, Purdue 78— They were saying on the Northwestern-Rutgers game that Joe Lunardi doesn’t have any Big 14 teams seeded higher than a #5 in his bracketology for the NCAA tournament. Lot of pretty good teams, no great teams in the league this season.

4) Middle Tennessee State 69, Marshall 57— You hold the Thundering Herd to 57 points, you can play good defense. Marshall had been 42-94 on the arc in their last four games; they were 5-19 in this game.

3) St Mary’s 74, Portland 33— It is possible this was the worst basketball game ESPN has ever televised- it was 37-9 at the half. 37 to 9 and it was in Portland; team like the Pilots doesn’t get on ESPN very often— this was embarrassing.

I can’t remember a winning basketball team taking two foul shots in a game. St Mary’s was 2-2 on the line here; thats how little resistance they got in this game.

2) Gonzaga 93, LMU 55— Gonzaga-St Mary’s play Saturday night at 10 in the first of what should be three meetings this season between two very good teams.

1— Cincinnati 66, SMU 64— Bearcats are better shooting this team this year than they’ve been recently; they made 12-26 on arc in this game.

**Udog** · 01-13-2017, 08:37 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, January 13

Toledo @ Central Michigan

Game 727-728
January 13, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toledo
60.844
Central Michigan
50.680
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 10
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 1 1/2
174
Dunkel Pick:
Toledo
(-1 1/2); Under

Rider @ Manhattan

Game 725-726
January 13, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rider
47.310
Manhattan
56.675
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Manhattan
by 9 1/2
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Manhattan
by 1
149
Dunkel Pick:
Manhattan
(-1); Under

Yale @ Pennsylvania

Game 723-724
January 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Yale
54.761
Pennsylvania
65.383
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pennsylvania
by 10 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pennsylvania
by 1 1/2
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pennsylvania
(-1 1/2); Over

Brown @ Princeton

Game 721-722
January 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brown
51.967
Princeton
60.045
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Princeton
by 8
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Princeton
by 16 1/2
153
Dunkel Pick:
Brown
(+16 1/2); Under

Detroit @ Oakland

Game 719-720
January 13, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
50.057
Oakland
61.638
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 11 1/2
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
by 18 1/2
153
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+18 1/2); Under

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, January 13

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DETROIT (2 - 14) at OAKLAND (14 - 3) - 1/13/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROWN (9 - 7) at PRINCETON (8 - 6) - 1/13/2017, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PRINCETON is 3-1 against the spread versus BROWN over the last 3 seasons
PRINCETON is 4-0 straight up against BROWN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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YALE (8 - 5) at PENNSYLVANIA (6 - 6) - 1/13/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YALE is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 126-87 ATS (+30.3 Units) in road games since 1997.
YALE is 126-87 ATS (+30.3 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
YALE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
YALE is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
YALE is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 90-125 ATS (-47.5 Units) in all home games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 90-125 ATS (-47.5 Units) in home lined games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
YALE is 3-1 against the spread versus PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
YALE is 4-0 straight up against PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RIDER (11 - 5) at MANHATTAN (6 - 11) - 1/13/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 101-73 ATS (+20.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
RIDER is 53-24 ATS (+26.6 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 2-2 against the spread versus RIDER over the last 3 seasons
RIDER is 3-1 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TOLEDO (9 - 7) at C MICHIGAN (10 - 6) - 1/13/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
TOLEDO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 5-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 5-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, January 13

Central Michigan lost its first three MAC games, by 22-4-4 points- they gave up 87 pts/game, maybe because they start two guards who are both 5-9 (they scored 60 of CMU’s 85 points in last game). Chippewas won their last five games with Toledo, winning by 8-8 points in last two games played here. MAC home favorites are 7-4 vs spread. Toledo won four of last five games, winning two of first three MAC tilts, scoring 83.7 pts/game. Rockets are 6th-worst team in nation at forcing turnovers; they’re 1-4 in true road games, with only win by 4 at Wright State.

Detroit is 1-14 vs D-I teams (schedule #69); they’ve lost five games in row, losing first two on Horizon road by 14-7 points. Titans are 0-4 vs top 100 teams, with all four losses by 20+ points. Oakland won five of last six games with Detroit; they beat Titans by 4-11 points LY. Detroit lost its last three visits here, by 8-5-11 points. Horizon home favorites of 7+ points are 5-3 vs spread. Grizzlies won last five games; they’re 4-0 in Horizon, winning first two Horizon home games by 19-11 points. Oakland has #13 eFG% defense this year, a big improvement from last year.

Princeton won its last four games, giving up 54.6 pts/game; Tigers are are 5-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, winning by 16-13-3-28-29 points- they beat Penn 61-52 in Ivy League opener in last game. Princeton won its last six games with Brown, which lost its last six visits here, by 18-34-17-4-18-11 points. Bears allowed 83.5 pts/game in losing last two games by total of five points; their last four games were all decided by five or less points. Brown is 0-3 vs top 100 teams this season, losing by 29-7-38 points.

Yale won five of its last six games; they’re 2-5 in true road games, with wins at Washington/Sacred Heart- four of their five road losses were to top 100 teams. Bulldogs are 7-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with only loss at Bryant. Yale won its last eight games with Penn, winning last four games in Palestra by 9-7-27-20 points. Quakers won three of last four games; they’re 3-2 at home, losing to Villanova/George Mason. Penn is 5-2 vs teams ranked outside top 100, losing to Geo Mason/Navy.

Rider won its last three games, scoring 85 pts/game; they’re in first place in MAAC. 11 of their 16 games have been on road. Broncs are 9-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200; they’re #91 experience team that is playing pace #31. Rider won three of last four games with Manhattan; underdogs covered three of those four games. Broncs won four of last six games in Draddy Gym. Manhattan lost three of its last four games; they’re turning ball over 24% of time, 6th-worst %age in country. MAAC home underdogs are 5-4 vs spread.

NCAAB

Friday, January 13

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. OAKLAND
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
TOLEDO vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toledo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Central Michigan
Toledo is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Central Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Central Michigan's last 8 games when playing Toledo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 5 games when playing at home against Toledo

8:00 PM
YALE vs. PENNSYLVANIA
Yale is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Yale's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pennsylvania's last 5 games

8:00 PM
BROWN vs. PRINCETON
Brown is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Brown is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Princeton
Princeton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brown
Princeton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brown

9:00 PM
RIDER vs. MANHATTAN
Rider is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Rider is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Manhattan
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Manhattan's last 12 games when playing at home against Rider
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Manhattan's last 20 games when playing Rider

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Announcement

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/13

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/13

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