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  • Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/10

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, January 10

    Good Luck on day #10 of 2017!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Odds to win the 2017 World Series:

    3-1— Chicago Cubs

    6-1— Boston Red Sox

    8-1— Dodgers-Mets-Giants-Astros

    10-1— Washington Nationals/Cleveland Indians

    12-1— Bronx Bombers

    15-1— Texas Rangers

    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……..

    13) Clemson 35, Alabama 31— One of greatest college football games ever. Some quick thoughts:
    — Clemson ran 98 plays from scrimmage, had 31 first downs. Against Alabama.
    — Crimson Tide was just 2-15 on third down. Hard to win with a freshman QB, even if he is a really good freshman.
    — Deshaun Watson threw for 420 yards; he threw for 405 vs Alabama LY. Can’t wait to see where he gets drafted in the NFL.
    — Alabama led 24-14 after the third quarter; at that point, no one thought they were losing.
    — I had great fun watching ESPNews, with six D-I coaches and Brian Griese watching the game. Three of the six happen to be ACC coaches. It was excellent TV.
    — Boston College coach Steve Addazio was good in studio but he didn’t know the clock doesn’t run during a PAT, which seems strange.
    — BYU coach Kilani Sitake had the line of the night, when coaches were busting his chops about his players going on Mormon missions: “If it was a great system to develop athletes, Alabama would be doing it.”
    — Clemson’s last national title was in 1981; their coach then was Danny Ford, who just like Dabo Swinney, is an Alabama graduate.

    12) This past weekend was first time in 15+ years that all four home favorites won/covered in the Wild Card round of the NFL playoffs. All four favorites covered in 2012, but Seattle was a road favorite in Washington that year.

    11) DeMarcus Cousins is a really good player, but has anger management issues; he already has 10 technical fouls this year. When he gets to 16, it is an automatic one-game suspension.

    10) Valparaiso 81, Detroit 74— This game was Sunday; Crusaders were 33-42 on the foul line, the visiting Titans 4-9. In a 7-point game. Detroit got hosed.

    9) Clippers/Lakers both played at home Sunday at Staples Center, the Clippers against Miami in the afternoon, Lakers against Orlando at night. Wonder how many people were at both games?

    8) Over last three years, #1 seeds are 6-0SU in the divisional round (3-3 vs spread). Over last five years, underdogs are 11-7-1 vs spread in all games of the divisional round- 49ers-Panthers game was a pick ‘em in 2013.

    7) Jacksonville promoted interim coach Doug Marrone to head coach, hired Tom Coughlin as an executive, and gave their GM a 2-year contract extension.

    6) Branden Grace finished last at the SBS Tournament of Champions this weekend at Kapalua; he cashed a check for $61,000. Winning a PGA Tour event has many bonuses, this being one of them, a spot in the TOC that guarantees you a nice check for the next year.

    5) I’d like to see an NBA team skip having gameday walk-thrus, see if it helped keep players fresher, both mentally/physically. Walk-thrus became a thing in the 70’s. Just wondering if the game would be crisper if players were only in the gym once a day on game day.

    4) Minnesota Vikings fired QB coach Scott Turner, who is Norv Turner’s son. Norv may have to take another OC job in order to get his son another job.

    3) Wake Forest has lost 25 ACC road games in a row. No bueno.

    2) Georgetown 83, St John’s 55— Red Storm are impossible to handicap; they get crushed in this game, after they won by 33 at Syracuse, and upset Butler. Hoyas won by 28, didn’t appear to play that well.

    1— Pelicans 110, Knicks 96— So you want to be an NBA coach? Derrick Rose was a no-show and didn’t call; he had Knick officials concerned enough that they checked his apartment. Apparently he had a family issue and went back to Chicago.

    I hope Rose and his family/friends are all healthy.

    That said, Derrick Rose is making $21,323,250 this year, or $260,039.63 per game. In this day and age, if you cannot text/call a teammate, coach or the GM when you’re going to miss a game, then you shouldn’t be paid for that game. Its not that hard.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Tuesday, January 10


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      BAYLOR (15 - 0) at W VIRGINIA (13 - 2) - 1/10/2017, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      W VIRGINIA is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      W VIRGINIA is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      W VIRGINIA is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
      W VIRGINIA is 43-22 ATS (+18.8 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
      BAYLOR is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      BAYLOR is 3-2 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
      BAYLOR is 3-2 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      SYRACUSE (10 - 6) at VIRGINIA TECH (12 - 3) - 1/10/2017, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      VIRGINIA TECH is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      VIRGINIA TECH is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      VIRGINIA TECH is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
      VIRGINIA TECH is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      VIRGINIA TECH is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
      VIRGINIA TECH is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
      VIRGINIA TECH is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
      VIRGINIA TECH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      VIRGINIA TECH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      VIRGINIA TECH is 3-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
      SYRACUSE is 3-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      MIAMI OHIO (8 - 7) at BALL ST (9 - 6) - 1/10/2017, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MIAMI OHIO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
      MIAMI OHIO is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
      BALL ST is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
      BALL ST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
      BALL ST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      BALL ST is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      BALL ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      BALL ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
      BALL ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      MIAMI OHIO is 3-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
      BALL ST is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      GEORGE MASON (11 - 5) at ST JOSEPHS (8 - 6) - 1/10/2017, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      ST JOSEPHS is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGE MASON over the last 3 seasons
      ST JOSEPHS is 2-0 straight up against GEORGE MASON over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      AKRON (12 - 3) at C MICHIGAN (10 - 5) - 1/10/2017, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      C MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
      AKRON is 2-1 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      OHIO U (10 - 3) at BUFFALO (7 - 8) - 1/10/2017, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      OHIO U is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
      OHIO U is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      OHIO U is 81-53 ATS (+22.7 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      OHIO U is 3-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
      OHIO U is 3-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      TOLEDO (9 - 6) at W MICHIGAN (4 - 10) - 1/10/2017, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      W MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      W MICHIGAN is 2-2 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
      W MICHIGAN is 2-2 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      E MICHIGAN (9 - 6) at BOWLING GREEN (7 - 8) - 1/10/2017, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      E MICHIGAN is 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) in January games since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      BOWLING GREEN is 2-1 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
      BOWLING GREEN is 2-1 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      N ILLINOIS (9 - 6) at KENT ST (9 - 6) - 1/10/2017, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      KENT ST is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1997.
      N ILLINOIS is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
      N ILLINOIS is 56-33 ATS (+19.7 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
      N ILLINOIS is 82-54 ATS (+22.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
      N ILLINOIS is 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
      KENT ST is 2-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      KENTUCKY (13 - 2) at VANDERBILT (8 - 7) - 1/10/2017, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      VANDERBILT is 48-26 ATS (+19.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
      KENTUCKY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      KENTUCKY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      KENTUCKY is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      KENTUCKY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      VANDERBILT is 2-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
      KENTUCKY is 2-1 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      AUBURN (10 - 5) at MISSOURI (5 - 9) - 1/10/2017, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      MISSOURI is 1-1 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
      MISSOURI is 2-1 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      XAVIER (13 - 2) at VILLANOVA (15 - 1) - 1/10/2017, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      VILLANOVA is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      VILLANOVA is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      VILLANOVA is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
      VILLANOVA is 42-22 ATS (+17.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
      XAVIER is 323-267 ATS (+29.3 Units) in all games since 1997.
      XAVIER is 323-267 ATS (+29.3 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
      XAVIER is 191-153 ATS (+22.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
      XAVIER is 188-150 ATS (+23.0 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
      XAVIER is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      XAVIER is 126-92 ATS (+24.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
      XAVIER is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      VILLANOVA is 4-1 against the spread versus XAVIER over the last 3 seasons
      VILLANOVA is 4-1 straight up against XAVIER over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      DUKE (14 - 2) at FLORIDA ST (15 - 1) - 1/10/2017, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      DUKE is 92-65 ATS (+20.5 Units) in January games since 1997.
      DUKE is 61-34 ATS (+23.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
      DUKE is 199-144 ATS (+40.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      FLORIDA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
      DUKE is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      N KENTUCKY (12 - 5) at WI-GREEN BAY (9 - 6) - 1/10/2017, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      N KENTUCKY is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
      N KENTUCKY is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      WI-GREEN BAY is 2-0 against the spread versus N KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
      WI-GREEN BAY is 2-0 straight up against N KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      INDIANA (11 - 5) at MARYLAND (14 - 2) - 1/10/2017, 9:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      INDIANA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
      MARYLAND is 2-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      KANSAS (14 - 1) at OKLAHOMA (6 - 8) - 1/10/2017, 9:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      KANSAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
      OKLAHOMA is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
      OKLAHOMA is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      KANSAS is 3-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
      KANSAS is 3-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      PROVIDENCE (11 - 6) at DEPAUL (7 - 9) - 1/10/2017, 9:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PROVIDENCE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
      DEPAUL is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all games this season.
      DEPAUL is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
      DEPAUL is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
      DEPAUL is 64-93 ATS (-38.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
      DEPAUL is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
      DEPAUL is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      PROVIDENCE is 3-1 against the spread versus DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
      PROVIDENCE is 3-1 straight up against DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      FLORIDA (12 - 3) at ALABAMA (9 - 5) - 1/10/2017, 9:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      FLORIDA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      FLORIDA is 2-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
      FLORIDA is 2-1 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      MISSISSIPPI ST (10 - 4) at ARKANSAS (12 - 3) - 1/10/2017, 9:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ARKANSAS is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      ARKANSAS is 2-2 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
      ARKANSAS is 3-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      UNLV (8 - 9) at NEW MEXICO (9 - 7) - 1/10/2017, 9:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      UNLV is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
      UNLV is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      UNLV is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      UNLV is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW MEXICO is 86-60 ATS (+20.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
      NEW MEXICO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      NEW MEXICO is 2-2 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
      NEW MEXICO is 2-2 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      KANSAS ST (13 - 2) at TEXAS TECH (12 - 3) - 1/10/2017, 9:15 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      KANSAS ST is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
      KANSAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
      KANSAS ST is 83-58 ATS (+19.2 Units) in January games since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      TEXAS TECH is 3-1 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
      TEXAS TECH is 2-2 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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      SAN JOSE ST (8 - 6) at SAN DIEGO ST (8 - 7) - 1/10/2017, 11:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SAN JOSE ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      SAN JOSE ST is 2-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
      SAN DIEGO ST is 3-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      CANISIUS (10 - 6) at FAIRFIELD (8 - 5) - 1/10/2017, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CANISIUS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      CANISIUS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
      FAIRFIELD is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
      FAIRFIELD is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
      FAIRFIELD is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      FAIRFIELD is 3-1 against the spread versus CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
      FAIRFIELD is 2-2 straight up against CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      NIAGARA (5 - 11) at MANHATTAN (5 - 11) - 1/10/2017, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      NIAGARA is 4-0 against the spread versus MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
      MANHATTAN is 2-2 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      TENNESSEE TECH (7 - 11) at SE MISSOURI ST (6 - 12) - 1/10/2017, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SE MISSOURI ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
      SE MISSOURI ST is 69-97 ATS (-37.7 Units) in all home games since 1997.
      SE MISSOURI ST is 69-97 ATS (-37.7 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
      SE MISSOURI ST is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      TENNESSEE TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus SE MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
      SE MISSOURI ST is 1-1 straight up against TENNESSEE TECH over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Tuesday, January 10


        Baylor is a 6-point underdog the day after they got to #1 in country for first time ever; Bears are 15-0 vs schedule #38- they won by 26 in only true road game, at Oklahoma. Baylor has six top 50 wins; they’re playing 10th-slowest tempo in country, are #125 at protecting ball, important vs West Virginia pressure. Mountaineers force turnovers on 32.8% of possessions. Bears lost twice to West Virginia LY, after winning six of previous seven games with WVU. Bears won three of last four visits here. Big X home favorites are 2-7-1 vs spread in conference play.

        Syracuse is 0-2 in true road games, losing by 17 at Wisconsin, 15 at BC. Orange beat Miami/Pitt at home in their last two games. Virginia Tech allowed 98.5 pts/game in losing its last two games since they upset Duke at home in ACC opener- teams are shooting 56.9% inside arc against Tech in ACC tilts. Syracuse is 4-0 vs Virginia Tech in ACC play, winning by 20-2 in two visits to Blacksburg- last three series games were decided by 2 points or in OT. Tech lost by 8 in OT in Carrier Dome LY. ACC single digit home favorites are 6-2 vs spread.

        Ohio U scored 87 pts/game in winning its first two MAC games by 31-18 points; Bobcats are 1-3 in true road games, with only win at Ga Tech- they lost at WKU, Iona, Marshall. Buffalo/Ohio split last six meetings; Bulls beat Ohio in MAC tourney last March. Buffalo lost five of last six visits to Athens, losing last two 63-61/103-96. Buffalo is 2-0 in d-I home games (vs teams #329/344); they split first two MAC games, upsetting Eastern Michigan in Ypsilanti last game. Home teams are 8-4 vs spread in MAC games, home dogs are 1-0.

        Kentucky won its first three SEC games by 23-42-26 points; they lost by 3 at Louisville, won by 26 at Ole Miss in only two true road games. Vanderbilt is 0-4 vs top 50 teams, with three of those four losses by 10 or less points- they lost by 3 at Alabama Saturday, blowing a 14-point second half lead. Vandy scored only 7 points in last 10:00 of game. Kentucky won eight of last ten games with Vanderbilt, winning three of last four visits here, with wins by 6-9-2 points- they lost at Vandy LY. SEC double digit favorites are 4-2 vs spread this season.

        Missouri lost its last six games (four of six were at home), losing first two SEC games by 11-5 points; Tigers are shooting 25.9% on arc, 3rd-worst in country- they’ve made only 20.6% of 3’s in SEC games. Tigers are #340 experience team. Auburn lost its first three SEC games, allowing 88 pts/game; teams are shooting 56.8% inside arc against them in league play. Missouri is 4-1 vs Auburn as SEC rivals; teams split two games played here. Home side won four of the five games. SEC home underdogs are 2-0 so far this month.

        Villanova is 6-1 in Big East games with Xavier, winning by 23-13-31 points in three games in Philly- they lost last meeting 90-83 LY. Wildcats are 15-1 vs schedule #23- they beat Marquette by 12 in last game, after losing at Butler last week. Xavier won its last six games; they’re 1-2 in true road games, winning by 5 at Georgetown, losing at Baylor/Colorado. Musketeers scored 81+ points in their last five games. Villanova puts its opponents on foul line less than any team in country. Big East single digit favorites are 9-3 vs spread this season.

        Duke will be without big man Jefferson/Coach K tonight. Duke won its last four games with Florida State, after losing four of previous five series games. Blue Devils won last three visits here, by 8-19-3 points. Florida State won its last 11 games, winning first three ACC games by 16-2-15 points- they’re 6-1 in top 100 games, with only loss by 3 to Temple on a neutral floor. Home teams are 6-3-1 vs spread in ACC games when spread was 6 or less points. Duke was 17-10 when Jefferson was injured and couldn’t play last season.

        This is really Indiana’s first true road game of year; they lost at Fort Wayne in OT, but there were more Hoosier fans than FW fans in arena that nite. Hoosiers snapped 3-game skid with easy win over Illinois Saturday; they’re 3-4 in top 100 games, Maryland is #318 experience team that plays beyond its years; they’re 5-2 in top 100 games, losing to Pitt/Nebraska. Indiana-Maryland split four Big 14 meetings; home side won three regular series meetings with Terps winning in ’15 conference tourney. Big 14 home favorites of 4 or less points are 4-2 vs spread.

        Oklahoma lost its last six games, with four losses by 5 or less points; they’re 0-4 in Big X tilts, losing at home by 26 to Baylor in only conference home game. Sooners are #326 experience team whose bench plays #9 minutes. Jayhawks won 14 games in row since losing opener; they’re 3-0 in Big X, winning by 6-8-17 points. Kansas won five of its last six games with Oklahoma, sweeping senior-laden Sooners LY by 3-4 points. Teams split last four games played here. Big X home underdogs are 2-3 vs spread this month.

        Florida won its last five games, winning first three SEC games by 9-7-13 points; Gators are 2-1 in true road games, losing by 5 at FSU, winning by 9 at Arkansas. Alabama won its last four games, allowing 57 pts/game in winning first two SEC games- they rallied back from down 14 in second half to beat Vandy Saturday. Tide is 0-3 in top 50 games, losing by 5-9-13 points. Alabama beat Florida in Gainesville LY, ending an 11-game series skid. Gators won last five visits here, by 7-1-9-6-2 points. SEC favorites of 6 or less points are 3-9 vs spread this month.

        New Mexico blew a 14-point lead with 1:10 left at home three nites ago, losing to Nevada in OT; tough game to bounce back from. Lobos lost last two games by total of five points. UNLV lost its first two conference road games by 14-16 points; they’re basically an expansion team that lacks muscle inside. Rebels are 0-7 vs teams in top 125; their best win is #142 Wyoming, but that was at home. UNLV is 4-7 in last 11 games with New Mexico, but they won two of last three games in The Pit. Mountain West home favorites are 10-5 vs spread this season.

        Home side won last four Kansas State-Texas Tech games; Wildcats lost by 11-9 points in last two visits here- they’re 11-2 in last 13 series games overall. Tech is 11-2 vs schedule #314; they’re #8 experience team, are 1-2 in Big X, upsetting West Va in OT, losing at Iowa State, Kansas. K-State forced turnovers 24.9% of time in Big X games, but has worst 3FG% defense at same time- they split two true road games, losing by hoop at Kansas, winning at Saint Louis by 31. Big X home favorites are 2-7-1 vs spread in conference play.

        Fairfield scored 95 pts/game in winning its last two games, by 6-18 points. Stags are 3-1 at home, with only loss to #96 Bucknell. Fairfield played three starters 38:00+ in an 18-point win in their last game- not much depth. Canisius had 7-game win streak snapped Sunday at Iona; they’re 5-4 in true road games, 6-2 vs teams outside top 150. Canisius won its last four games with Fairfield, winning by 12-26-14 points in last three visits here. Favorites covered last four series games. MAAC home favorites of 4 or less points are 3-4 vs spread.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAA (COLLEGE)

          DUNKEL'S HIGHLIGHTED GAME


          Xavier at Villanova - Tuesday January 10, 2017
          The Musketeers head to Villanova tonight to face a Wildcats team that is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 games as a home favorite of 7 to 12 1/2 points. Villanova is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by 16. Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-7 1/2).

          TUESDAY JANUARY 10, 2017

          Kentucky
          @
          Vanderbilt


          Game 537-538
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Kentucky
          78.335
          Vanderbilt
          71.653
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Kentucky
          by 7
          154
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Kentucky
          by 11 1/2
          160
          Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt
          (+11 1/2); Under

          Northern Illinois
          @
          Kent State


          Game 535-536
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Northern Illinois
          56.815
          Kent State
          52.396
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Northern Illinois
          by 4 1/2
          136
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Kent State
          by 5
          139
          Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois
          (+5); Under

          Eastern Michigan
          @
          Bowling Green


          Game 533-534
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Eastern Michigan
          58.987
          Bowling Green
          50.671
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Eastern Michigan
          by 8 1/2
          161
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Eastern Michigan
          by 2
          153 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan
          (-2); Over

          Toledo
          @
          Western Michigan


          Game 531-532
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Toledo
          60.554
          Western Michigan
          52.405
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Toledo
          by 8
          157
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Toledo
          by 3
          153
          Dunkel Pick: Toledo
          (-3); Over

          Ohio
          @
          Buffalo


          Game 529-530
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Ohio
          55.416
          Buffalo
          62.998
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Buffalo
          by 7 1/2
          157
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Ohio
          by 1 1/2
          151
          Dunkel Pick: Buffalo
          (+1 1/2); Over

          Akron
          @
          Central Michigan


          Game 527-528
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Akron
          53.169
          Central Michigan
          60.404
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Central Michigan
          by 7
          155
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Akron
          by 2 1/2
          170
          Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan
          (+2 1/2); Under

          George Mason
          @
          St Joseph's


          Game 525-526
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: George Mason
          60.444
          St Joseph's
          61.307
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: St Joseph's
          by 1
          153
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: St Joseph's
          by 4 1/2
          144
          Dunkel Pick: George Mason
          (+4 1/2); Over

          Miami-OH
          @
          Ball State


          Game 523-524
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Miami-OH
          44.065
          Ball State
          59.538
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Ball State
          by 15 1/2
          140
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Ball State
          by 7
          146
          Dunkel Pick: Ball State
          (-7); Under

          Syracuse
          @
          Virginia Tech


          Game 521-522
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Syracuse
          67.933
          Virginia Tech
          64.736
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Syracuse
          by 3
          158
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Virginia Tech
          by 4
          151 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Syracuse
          (+4); Over

          Baylor
          @
          West Virginia


          Game 519-520
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Baylor
          74.768
          West Virginia
          84.143
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: West Virginia
          by 9 1/2
          148
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: West Virginia
          by 6
          139
          Dunkel Pick: West Virginia
          (-6); Over

          Tennessee Tech
          @
          SE Missouri St


          Game 567-568
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Tennessee Tech
          50.948
          SE Missouri St
          49.562
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Tennessee Tech
          by 1 1/2
          136
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: SE Missouri St
          by 3
          142
          Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech
          (+3); Under

          Niagara
          @
          Manhattan


          Game 565-566
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Niagara
          48.383
          Manhattan
          49.224
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Manhattan
          by 1
          157
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Manhattan
          by 6
          147
          Dunkel Pick: Niagara
          (+6); Over

          Canisius
          @
          Fairfield


          Game 563-564
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Canisius
          51.536
          Fairfield
          58.855
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Fairfield
          by 7 1/2
          174
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Fairfield
          by 4
          164 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Fairfield
          (-4); Over

          San Jose St
          @
          San Diego St


          Game 561-562
          January 10, 2017 @ 11:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: San Jose St
          52.611
          San Diego St
          61.558
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: San Diego St
          by 9
          142
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: San Diego St
          by 12
          130
          Dunkel Pick: San Jose St
          (+12); Over

          Kansas State
          @
          Texas Tech


          Game 559-560
          January 10, 2017 @ 9:15 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Kansas State
          63.516
          Texas Tech
          77.925
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Texas Tech
          by 14 1/2
          138
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Texas Tech
          by 5 1/2
          130
          Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech
          (-5 1/2); Over

          UNLV
          @
          New Mexico


          Game 557-558
          January 10, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: UNLV
          52.430
          New Mexico
          59.835
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: New Mexico
          by 7 1/2
          143
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: New Mexico
          by 10 1/2
          151 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: UNLV
          (+10 1/2); Under

          Mississippi State
          @
          Arkansas


          Game 555-556
          January 10, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Mississippi State
          62.772
          Arkansas
          69.328
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Arkansas
          by 6 1/2
          147
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Arkansas
          by 10 1/2
          151
          Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State
          (+10 1/2); Under

          Florida
          @
          Alabama

          Game 553-554
          January 10, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Florida
          77.648
          Alabama
          62.438
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Florida
          by 15
          142
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Florida
          by 5 1/2
          130 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Florida
          (-5 1/2); Over

          Providence
          @
          DePaul


          Game 551-552
          January 10, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Providence
          62.569
          DePaul
          56.023
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Providence
          by 6 1/2
          148
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Providence
          by 4 1/2
          136 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Providence
          (-4 1/2); Over

          Kansas
          @
          Oklahoma


          Game 549-550
          January 10, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Kansas
          72.107
          Oklahoma
          70.989
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Kansas
          by 1
          149
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Kansas
          by 11
          157
          Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma
          (+11); Under

          Indiana
          @
          Maryland


          Game 547-548
          January 10, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Indiana
          69.176
          Maryland
          72.559
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Maryland
          by 3 1/2
          144
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Indiana
          by 1
          151
          Dunkel Pick: Maryland
          (+1); Under

          Northern Kentucky
          @
          Green Bay


          Game 545-546
          January 10, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Northern Kentucky
          49.263
          Green Bay
          60.963
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Green Bay
          by 11 1/2
          142
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Green Bay
          by 3
          154 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Green Bay
          (-3); Under

          Duke
          @
          Florida State


          Game 543-544
          January 10, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Duke
          74.543
          Florida State
          79.055
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Florida State
          by 4 1/2
          145
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Florida State
          by 1 1/2
          157
          Dunkel Pick: Florida State
          (-1 1/2); Under

          Xavier
          @
          Villanova


          Game 541-542
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Xavier
          68.114
          Villanova
          84.350
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Villanova
          by 16
          153
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Villanova
          by 7 1/2
          143
          Dunkel Pick: Villanova
          (-7 1/2); Over

          Auburn
          @
          Missouri


          Game 539-540
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Auburn
          59.097
          Missouri
          55.307
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Auburn
          by 4
          137
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Auburn
          by 1 1/2
          148 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Auburn
          (-1 1/2); Under
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment

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