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  • Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/10

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, January 10

    Good Luck on day #10 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Odds to win the 2017 World Series:

    3-1— Chicago Cubs

    6-1— Boston Red Sox

    8-1— Dodgers-Mets-Giants-Astros

    10-1— Washington Nationals/Cleveland Indians

    12-1— Bronx Bombers

    15-1— Texas Rangers

    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……..

    13) Clemson 35, Alabama 31— One of greatest college football games ever. Some quick thoughts:
    — Clemson ran 98 plays from scrimmage, had 31 first downs. Against Alabama.
    — Crimson Tide was just 2-15 on third down. Hard to win with a freshman QB, even if he is a really good freshman.
    — Deshaun Watson threw for 420 yards; he threw for 405 vs Alabama LY. Can’t wait to see where he gets drafted in the NFL.
    — Alabama led 24-14 after the third quarter; at that point, no one thought they were losing.
    — I had great fun watching ESPNews, with six D-I coaches and Brian Griese watching the game. Three of the six happen to be ACC coaches. It was excellent TV.
    — Boston College coach Steve Addazio was good in studio but he didn’t know the clock doesn’t run during a PAT, which seems strange.
    — BYU coach Kilani Sitake had the line of the night, when coaches were busting his chops about his players going on Mormon missions: “If it was a great system to develop athletes, Alabama would be doing it.”
    — Clemson’s last national title was in 1981; their coach then was Danny Ford, who just like Dabo Swinney, is an Alabama graduate.

    12) This past weekend was first time in 15+ years that all four home favorites won/covered in the Wild Card round of the NFL playoffs. All four favorites covered in 2012, but Seattle was a road favorite in Washington that year.

    11) DeMarcus Cousins is a really good player, but has anger management issues; he already has 10 technical fouls this year. When he gets to 16, it is an automatic one-game suspension.

    10) Valparaiso 81, Detroit 74— This game was Sunday; Crusaders were 33-42 on the foul line, the visiting Titans 4-9. In a 7-point game. Detroit got hosed.

    9) Clippers/Lakers both played at home Sunday at Staples Center, the Clippers against Miami in the afternoon, Lakers against Orlando at night. Wonder how many people were at both games?

    8) Over last three years, #1 seeds are 6-0SU in the divisional round (3-3 vs spread). Over last five years, underdogs are 11-7-1 vs spread in all games of the divisional round- 49ers-Panthers game was a pick ‘em in 2013.

    7) Jacksonville promoted interim coach Doug Marrone to head coach, hired Tom Coughlin as an executive, and gave their GM a 2-year contract extension.

    6) Branden Grace finished last at the SBS Tournament of Champions this weekend at Kapalua; he cashed a check for $61,000. Winning a PGA Tour event has many bonuses, this being one of them, a spot in the TOC that guarantees you a nice check for the next year.

    5) I’d like to see an NBA team skip having gameday walk-thrus, see if it helped keep players fresher, both mentally/physically. Walk-thrus became a thing in the 70’s. Just wondering if the game would be crisper if players were only in the gym once a day on game day.

    4) Minnesota Vikings fired QB coach Scott Turner, who is Norv Turner’s son. Norv may have to take another OC job in order to get his son another job.

    3) Wake Forest has lost 25 ACC road games in a row. No bueno.

    2) Georgetown 83, St John’s 55— Red Storm are impossible to handicap; they get crushed in this game, after they won by 33 at Syracuse, and upset Butler. Hoyas won by 28, didn’t appear to play that well.

    1— Pelicans 110, Knicks 96— So you want to be an NBA coach? Derrick Rose was a no-show and didn’t call; he had Knick officials concerned enough that they checked his apartment. Apparently he had a family issue and went back to Chicago.

    I hope Rose and his family/friends are all healthy.

    That said, Derrick Rose is making $21,323,250 this year, or $260,039.63 per game. In this day and age, if you cannot text/call a teammate, coach or the GM when you’re going to miss a game, then you shouldn’t be paid for that game. Its not that hard.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Tuesday, January 10


      Chicago won three of last four games; they’re 0-3 vs spread if they played at home night before. Under is 12-5-1 in bulls’ road games. Washington won/covered its last nine home games; they are 10-5 as home favorites. Over is 6-2 in their last eight home games. Wizards are 5-3 in their last eight games with Chicago; Bulls lost by 16-21 points in last two visits to Washington. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

      Boston won its last four games; they’re 3-2-1 vs spread as road underdogs. Over is 8-1-1 in their last ten games. Toronto lost five of last seven games; they’re 9-5 as home favorites. Over is 10-2 in their last dozen home games. Raptors won four of last five games with Boston; last three series games stayed under the total. Celtics lost three of last four visits to Canada (2-2 vs spread).

      Atlanta won five of its last six games, covered its last five; they’re 3-4 as road favorites. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Brooklyn lost its last six games; they covered four of last five tries as a home underdog. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Hawks won four of last five games with Brooklyn; they won three of last four visits here, but Nets covered three of those four games. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

      Charlotte lost its last four games; they’re 6-3-1 vs spread as road underdogs. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Houston won its last eight games (6-2 vs spread); they’re 9-7 as home favorites. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Rockets won nine of last ten games with Charlotte; Hornets lost last five visits to Houston (0-4-1 vs spread). Seven of last eight series games stayed under the total.

      Bucks lost last two games but won three of last four on road; they’re 4-8 as road underdogs. Three of their last four games stayed under. San Antonio won/covered seven of its last eight games; they’re 8-0 vs spread in last eight home games. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Spurs won last nine games with Milwaukee (7-2 vs spread); over is 6-4 in last ten series games. Bucks lost last four visits to Alamo (1-3 vs spread).

      Cavaliers won five of last six games; they’re 5-7 vs spread as a road favorite. Four of their last six games went over the total. Utah lost three of last four games but they won seven of last ten at home. Jazz are 2-2 as home underdogs. Under is 7-1 in their last eight games. Home side won last five Cleveland-Utah games; Cavaliers lost four of last five visits here, losing last two by 2-9 points. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

      Portland lost nine of its last ten road games; 3-2 as road favorites. Six of their last nine games stayed under total. Los Angeles won/covered their last three home games; they’re 7-5 as a home underdog. Four of last five Laker games went over the total. Lakers lost their last nine games with Portland (1-8 vs spread); Trailblazers won/covered their last four visits here. Last three series games went over total.

      Miami lost lost eight of its last nine games; they’re 5-3 as a road underdog of more than seven points. Four of last six Miami games went over. Warriors won 12 of last 14 games; they’re 0-4 vs spread in last four home games. Three of their last four games went over total. Golden State won its last four games with Miami; five of last six series games went over total. Heat lost last two visits here, by 15-8 points.

      Detroit won three of its last four games; they’re 5-9 as road underdogs. Last four Piston games went over the total. Sacramento lost its last three games, all at home; they’re 4-5 as home favorites. Six of their last eight games went over the total. Pistons won six of last seven games with Sacramento; they won won three of last five visits here. Five of last six series games stayed under total.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA

        Tuesday, January 10


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        7:00 PM
        CHICAGO vs. WASHINGTON
        Chicago is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Chicago's last 25 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Chicago
        Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

        7:30 PM
        ATLANTA vs. BROOKLYN
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
        Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta

        7:30 PM
        BOSTON vs. TORONTO
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
        Boston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
        Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
        Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston

        8:00 PM
        CHARLOTTE vs. HOUSTON
        Charlotte is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Houston
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games when playing Houston
        Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

        8:30 PM
        MILWAUKEE vs. SAN ANTONIO
        Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
        Milwaukee is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Antonio
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

        9:00 PM
        CLEVELAND vs. UTAH
        Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Utah
        Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        Utah is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
        Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

        10:30 PM
        MIAMI vs. GOLDEN STATE
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games when playing on the road against Golden State
        Miami is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Golden State
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games at home
        Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

        10:30 PM
        DETROIT vs. SACRAMENTO
        Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
        Detroit is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Sacramento
        Sacramento is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit
        Sacramento is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit

        10:30 PM
        PORTLAND vs. LA LAKERS
        Portland is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
        Portland is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
        LA Lakers are 17-8 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against Portland
        LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Portland


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA (PROFESSIONAL)

          DUNKEL'S HIGHLIGHTED GAME


          Milwaukee at San Antonio - Tuesday January 10, 2017
          The Bucks head to San Antonio tonight to face the Spurs and come into the contest with a 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games versus Western Conference opponents. Milwaukee is the pick (+10) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by only 5 1/2.
          Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+10).

          Detroit
          @
          Sacramento

          Game 517-518
          January 10, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Detroit
          119.103
          Sacramento
          114.308
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Detroit
          by 5
          219
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Sacramento
          by 2
          205 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Detroit
          (+2); Over

          Miami
          @
          Golden State


          Game 515-516
          January 10, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Miami
          114.592
          Golden State
          123.949
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Golden State
          by 9 1/2
          211
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Golden State
          by 16
          219 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Miami
          (+16); Under

          Portland
          @
          LA Lakers

          Game 513-514
          January 10, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Portland
          122.534
          LA Lakers
          117.294
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Portland
          by 5
          214
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Portland
          by 1 1/2
          222 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Portland
          (-1 1/2); Under

          Cleveland
          @
          Utah

          Game 511-512
          January 10, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Cleveland
          125.754
          Utah
          116.902
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Cleveland
          by 9
          207
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Cleveland
          by 2
          201 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Cleveland
          (-2); Over

          Milwaukee
          @
          San Antonio

          Game 509-510
          January 10, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Milwaukee
          123.000
          San Antonio
          128.618
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: San Antonio
          by 5 1/2
          213
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: San Antonio
          by 10
          205
          Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee
          (+10); Over

          Charlotte
          @
          Houston

          Game 507-508
          January 10, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Charlotte
          122.723
          Houston
          124.173
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Houston
          by 1 1/2
          218
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Houston
          by 9 1/2
          225 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Charlotte
          (+9 1/2); Under

          Atlanta
          @
          Brooklyn

          Game 505-506
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Atlanta
          119.633
          Brooklyn
          114.320
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Atlanta
          by 5 1/2
          204
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Atlanta
          by 7 1/2
          213
          Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn
          (+7 1/2); Under

          Boston
          @
          Toronto

          Game 503-504
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Boston
          116.888
          Toronto
          126.864
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Toronto
          by 10
          224
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Toronto
          by 4 1/2
          218
          Dunkel Pick: Toronto
          (-4 1/2); Over

          Chicago
          @
          Washington

          Game 501-502
          January 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating: Chicago
          111.721
          Washington
          128.741
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total: Washington
          by 17
          212
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total: Washington
          by 10
          202 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Washington
          (-10); Over
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Short Sheet

            Tuesday, January 10


            Chicago at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
            Chicago: 6-20 ATS against Southeast division opponents
            Washington: 25-11 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more 3 straight games

            Boston at Toronto, 7:35 PM ET
            Boston: 31-18 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent
            Toronto: 3-13 ATS after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds

            Atlanta at Brooklyn, 7:35 PM ET
            Atlanta: 92-65 ATS after playing a game as favorite
            Brooklyn: 7-19 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread

            Charlotte at Houston, 8:05 PM ET
            Charlotte: 46-73 ATS against Southwest division opponents
            Houston: 17-5 ATS after allowing 105 points or more

            Milwaukee at San Antonio, 8:35 PM ET
            Milwaukee: 13-28 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive home losses
            San Antonio: 10-1 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread

            Cleveland at Utah, 9:05 PM ET
            Cleveland: 4-17 ATS after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent
            Utah: 61-35 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread

            Portland at LA Lakers, 10:35 PM ET
            Portland: 4-14 ATS after playing a game as favorite
            Los Angeles: 11-2 ATS in home games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers

            Miami at Golden State, 10:35 PM ET
            Miami: 1-8 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games
            Golden State: 35-19 ATS off a road win against a division rival

            Detroit at Sacramento, 10:35 PM ET
            Detroit: 60-39 ATS in road games after scoring 110 points or more
            Sacramento: 10-22 ATS in home games after scoring 105 points or more

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA

              Tuesday, January 10


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Tuesday’s NBA Game of the Day: Celtics at Raptors
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              The Raptors have dropped five of their last seven games to see their lead over the Celtics for the second spot in the conference reduced to one game.

              Boston Celtics at Toronto Raptors (-4.5, 218)

              The Boston Celtics won four straight and six of their last seven, and now have their sights set on moving further up the Eastern Conference standings. The streaking Celtics can take a big step in that pursuit when they visit the struggling Toronto Raptors on Tuesday.

              The Raptors dropped five of seven to see their lead over the Celtics for the second spot in the conference reduced to one game as the two squads approach the halfway point to the season. Boston does have one physical issue to address, as guard Avery Bradley missed Saturday's 117-108 win over New Orleans due to a strained Achilles and he is questionable for this one. The bulk of Toronto's recent slide occurred on the road but it continued in the opener of a four-game homestand Sunday, when Houston knocked off the Raptors 129-122. Toronto allowed at least 110 points five times during its 2-5 swoon.

              TV:
              7:30 p.m. ET, NBA TV, CSN New England (Boston), Sportsnet ONE (Toronto)

              LINE HISTORY:
              The Raptors opened at 4.5-point home favorites and, as of Tuesday afternoon, there have been no changes to that number. The total hit the betting board at 218 but took a jump up to 219.5 late Tuesday morning. Check out the complete line history here.

              INJURY REPORT:


              Celtics - SG J. Young (Out Indefinitely, ankle), C T. Zeller (Out, infection), SG A. Bradley (Out, achilles).

              Raptors - PG D. Wright (Mid Jan, shoulder), C J. Sullinger (Late Jan, foot).

              POWER RANKINGS:
              Celtics (-5.6) - Raptors (-10.9) + home court (-3) = Raptors -8.3

              ABOUT THE CELTICS (23-14 SU, 20-15-2 ATS, 20-17 O/U):
              Marcus Smart got the start in Bradley's place in the win over the Pelicans and scored a season-high 22 points while making 5-of-7 3-pointers. "(My mentality was) just to bring it early," Smart told reporters "Avery Bradley was out, it's a tough game." Smart is shooting 36.2 percent from long range in his 11 starts - including 3-of-7 against Toronto on Dec. 9 - and 28.7 percent in 23 games off the bench.

              ABOUT THE RAPTORS (24-12 SU, 22-14-1 ATS, 24-13 O/U):
              Celtics All-Star guard Isaiah Thomas might be licking his chops while thinking about matching up with Toronto, which allowed opponents' stars to dominate of late. Chicago's Jimmy Butler went off for 42 points in an overtime win against the Raptors on Saturday and Houston's James Harden posted another triple-double with 40 points, 11 assists and 10 rebounds in Sunday's triumph at Air Canada Centre. "We played against two superstars and they beat us," guard Kyle Lowry - who tied a season low with two made baskets in the loss to the Rockets - told reporters. "Jimmy did it last night and James did it tonight. We've got to make sure to stop those guys and adjust to the game plan a little bit better."

              TRENDS:


              * Celtics are 7-0-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
              * Raptors are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
              * Over is 10-1 in Celtics' last 11 overall.
              * Over is 11-2 in Raptors' last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
              * Celtics are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

              CONSENSUS:
              65 percent of users are siding with the home favorite Raptors and Over is picking up 59 percent of the totals wagers.


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Comment

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