Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/8

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Sunday, January 8

Good Luck on day #8
NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

— Cleveland Browns hired Gregg Williams to run their defense next season.

— Pacers 123, Knicks 109— NY is now 0-7 on back end of a back/back, 2-5 vs spread.

— Nevada 105, New Mexico 104 OT— I think Coach Neal can start looking for a new job after Lobos blew a 17-point lead with 2:42 left to play.

— Boise State 78, San Diego State 66— Aztecs are 0-3 in Mountain West, Boise State is 3-0. Colorado State is tied for 2nd place, but Rams are down to seven eligible players.

— Early line on next week’s NFC playoff game: Falcons (-4) vs Seattle.

— Pistons-Blazers NBA game was postponed due to an ice storm in Portland.

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Texans 27, Raiders 14— Oakland was having such a great season until Derek Carr broke his leg, then the whole fell apart very quickly. Raiders were also without their LT, center and backup QB in this game, as Houston advances to play the Patriots in Foxboro next week.

Back in Week 3, Texans were actually favored (-1) in Foxboro, but the Jacoby Brissett-led Patriots smoked Houston 27-0. New England will have a better QB playing next week.

12) Seahawks 26, Lions 6— Detroit wound up 0-4 in outdoor games this season, scoring 13.3 pts/game in those four; they haven’t won a playoff game since 1991 and before that, 1957.

Overall, Lions have lost nine straight playoff games, an NFL record; their last road playoff win was when Dwight Eisenhower was President. Oy.

Cris Collinsworth was saying how the Lions “have something going now”, referring to their long-term contention, but they also trailed in 4th quarter in 16 of 17 games this season, so they conceivably could’ve been a 1-15 team, instead of a playoff team.

11) Mississippi State 95, LSU 78— There was wintry weather in the south this weekend, so Miss State took a bus to Baton Rouge, rather than flying. On their way, they saw a car skid on the ice and turn over off the side of the road.

Miss State coaches/trainers got an unconscious woman out of the car and she is reportedly doing well in the hospital. Then the Bulldogs went to LSU and drilled the Tigers, their best win of the year. Hopefully everyone got home safely.

10) Baylor 61, Oklahoma State 57— Monday morning the Bears will be #1 in the country for the first time; they were lucky in this game— Oklahoma State was only 11-20 on the foul line. Baylor isn’t the best team in the country, but they’re having a surprisingly good season and figure to be a top 4 seed in the NCAA’s, as long as they stay healthy.

9) Notre Dame 75, Clemson 70— Irish were 15-32 on the arc as the better team lost this game. Clemson was up 7 at the half but lost their second straight nailbiter. There were a total of only 14 foul shots taken in this whole game.

Game was 70-70 with 1:10 left, so if you took 4 points with Clemson, this was a bad beat.

8) Villanova 93, Marquette 81— Wildcats were a ridiculous 14-23 on the arc; Marquette was 14-31. Wildcats shot 69% inside the arc, scored 1.43 pts/possession, which is really good.

7) Upset of the Day: Tex-San Antonio 69, Louisiana Tech 68— Roadrunners were a 16-point underdog; they trailed by 10 at the half.

6) Weber State at Idaho State— Weber State led 13-2 less than 5:00 into the game, but then the game was suspended due to a leaky roof in Idaho State’s gym.

5) Nevada coach Eric Musselman once coached the Rapid City Thrillers in the old CBA, which basically was the D-League before the D-League existed. One of his players in Rapid City was current Mew Mexico coach Craig Neal, who is 4-5 years older than Musselman.

Now the two are Mountain West coaching rivals.

4) NC State-North Carolina, Gonzaga-Portland and Wofford-Samford games were postponed and will be played today. There was cruddy weather all over the country Saturday.

3) Butler 85, Georgetown 76 OT— Bulldogs were little flat with noon tipoff three days after they knocked off Villanova, but they shot 10-20 on the arc and survived a stunningly-soft Georgetown team that is now 0-4 in the Big East.

Bulldogs never got on their flight home; the plane had mechanical issues, second road game in a row Butler had airplane issues trying to get back to Indianapolis.

2) Georgia 71, Missouri 66— Assistant coaches from both sides got into a little fracas as the end of the first half. Players were milling around, but the coaches were more fired up than they were. I’m guessing there will be fines. Mizzou was 6-36 on the arc in this game; they’re not very good.

1— Kid named Sam Cunliffe transferred from Arizona State after his first semester of college; think he scored 9.5 pts/game for ASU but now will be going to Kansas, where he’ll be eligible at this time next year.

This transferring is getting ridiculous; an AVERAGE of two kids per team transferred after last year and there are 351 Division I teams. Teams are basically getting rebuilt on the fly, like an expansion team in pro sports.

UNLV, Delaware basically had to cob together teams wherever they could find players last April/May after coaching changes and player defections. Hurts the quality of the product, for sure.

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, January 8

76ers lost four of their last five road games; they’re 6-2 vs spread in last eight road games. Over is 4-2 in their last six games. Nets lost their last five games; they’re favored for first time this year. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Home side won last five Philly-Brooklyn games; 76ers lost by 9-17 points in last two visits to Barclays’ Center. Under is 8-1-1 in last nine series games.

Miami lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 9-5 in last 14 games as a road underdog. Four of last five Miami games went over. Clippers won/covered last three games; they’re 3-6-1 in last ten games as a home favorite. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Clippers won four of last five games with Miami; road team won five of last six series games. Last four series games stayed under.

Washington lost five of its last six road games; they’re 5-4 vs spread as road underdogs. Over is 6-2-1 in their last nine road games. Milwaukee won three of last four games; they’re 6-6 as home favorites. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Home side won last six Washington-Milwaukee games; Wizards lost by 7-27 points in last two visits to Milwaukee. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Rockets won its last seven games (5-2 vs spread); they’re 8-4 as road favorites. Seven of last nine Houston games went over total. Raptors lost four of last six games; they’re 0-2 as home underdogs. Over is 9-2 in their last 11 home games. Home side won eight of last ten Houston-Toronto games; teams split last ten meetings, with Raptors 4-1 in last five played here. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Utah won five of its last seven games; they’re 1-8 as road underdogs this year. Six of last seven Jazz games stayed under total. Grizzlies won last two home games, are 5-4 in last nine overall, 4-5 as a home favorite. Over is 7-1 in their last eight games. Road team won seven of last ten Utah-Memphis games; Jazz won three of last four visits to Memphis. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Cleveland won nine of its last 11 games, is 5-6 as a road favorite. Over is 8-2 in their last ten road games. Phoenix won three of last five games (4-1 vs spread); they’re 6-5 as home underdogs. Suns’ last five games stayed under the total. Cavaliers won four of last five games with Phoenix, but Suns are 5-2 vs spread in last seven series games. Under is 8-1-1 in last ten series games.

Warriors won 11 of last 13 games, are 1-6 vs spread in last seven games as a road favorite. Four of their last five games went over total. Sacramento lost four of last five games, is 5-3 as a home underdog. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Golden State won its last ten games with Sacramento (9-1 vs spread); they won last five trips to Sacramento (4-1 vs spread). Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Orlando lost four of last five games; they’re 9-3 in last 12 games as a road underdog. Four of their last five road games went over. Lakers won four of last six home games; they’re 2-4-1 as home favorites. LA’s last four games went over the total. Home side won last seven Magic-Laker games; Orlando lost last three visits here, by 9-17-9 points. Last six series games stayed under total.

Detroit lost 8 of last 11 games; they’re 4-9 as road underdogs. Last three Piston games went over the total. Trailblazers are 3-2 in last five games; they covered last three at home, are 9-3 as home favorites. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Pistons won last two games with Portland after losing previous five series games; they lost three of last four visits to Moda Center (1-3 vs spread). Nine of last ten series games went over total. This game was postponed from last nite because of an ice storm in Portland.

[Udog]

NBA

Sunday, January 8

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Trend Report
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12:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. BROOKLYN
Philadelphia is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

2:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Washington's last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Milwaukee's last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington

3:30 PM
MIAMI vs. LA CLIPPERS
Miami is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the LA Clippers last 9 games
LA Clippers are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games

6:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. TORONTO
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Houston is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Toronto's last 19 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing at home against Houston

8:00 PM
UTAH vs. MEMPHIS
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games

8:30 PM
CLEVELAND vs. PHOENIX
Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing Cleveland

9:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. SACRAMENTO
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Sacramento is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Golden State

9:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of the LA Lakers last 17 games at home


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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, January 8

Orlando @ LA Lakers

Game 515-516
January 8, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
118.612
LA Lakers
116.037
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 2 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 2
216
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+2); Under

Golden State @ Sacramento

Game 513-514
January 8, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
124.047
Sacramento
118.072
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 6
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 11
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+11); Under

Cleveland @ Phoenix

Game 511-512
January 8, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
125.939
Phoenix
114.090
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 12
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 9
219
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-9); Under

Utah @ Memphis

Game 509-510
January 8, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
117.597
Memphis
125.640
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 8
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 3
191
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-3); Over

Houston @ Toronto

Game 507-508
January 8, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
126.212
Toronto
120.825
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 5 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 2
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-2); Under

Washington @ Milwaukee

Game 505-506
January 8, 2017 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
117.676
Milwaukee
124.064
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 6 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 4
213
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-4); Under

Miami @ LA Clippers

Game 503-504
January 8, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
115.127
LA Clippers
115.777
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 1
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
N/A

Philadelphia @ Brooklyn

Game 501-502
January 8, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
114.162
Brooklyn
113.141
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
by 2 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+2 1/2); Under

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, January 8

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PHILADELPHIA (9 - 25) at BROOKLYN (8 - 27) - 1/8/2017, 12:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 5-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (11 - 27) at LA CLIPPERS (25 - 14) - 1/8/2017, 3:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (17 - 18) at MILWAUKEE (18 - 17) - 1/8/2017, 2:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (29 - 9) at TORONTO (24 - 12) - 1/8/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 310-250 ATS (+35.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (23 - 15) at MEMPHIS (23 - 16) - 1/8/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (27 - 8) at PHOENIX (12 - 25) - 1/8/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (31 - 6) at SACRAMENTO (15 - 21) - 1/8/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 131-107 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 121-98 ATS (+13.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 62-46 ATS (+11.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 7-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (16 - 22) at LA LAKERS (14 - 26) - 1/8/2017, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 130-90 ATS (+31.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
ORLANDO is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 58-84 ATS (-34.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 148-192 ATS (-63.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 37-50 ATS (-18.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 3-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (17 - 21) at PORTLAND (16 - 22) - 1/8/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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