Announcement

**Udog** · 01-07-2017, 08:37 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

— Grizzlies 128, Warriors 119 OT— Golden State was up 20 in third quarter.

— Celtics 110, 76ers 106— Al Horford hit game-winning 3-ball from right corner.

— Monmouth 92, Iona 74— Surprisingly easy win for the Hawks.

— Dayton 67, Rhode Island 64— Preview of A-14 conference tourney final?

— Oakland 78, Valparaiso 66— Solid road win for the Golden Grizzlies.

— Wizards 112, Timberwolves 105— Washington won/covered nine in row at home.

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……..

13) Apparently George Karl had some juicy stuff in his new book about his time with the Kings in Sacramento, but that part of the book had to be removed because his going-away gift from the Kings had a clause in it that didn’t allow him to tell any stories from his time in Sacramento.

12) Clippers TV voice Ralph Lawler called DeMarcus Cousins “a coach-killer” on the air Friday nite, strong words. Cousins has played for six coaches in his seven years with the Kings, so hard to argue with Mr Lawler, but it sure as hell ain’t all Cousins’ fault.

11) Consider that Sacramento drafted Jimmer Fredette, when Klay Thompson, Kawhi Leonard were still on the board— can’t blame that blunder on Cousins and there are numerous other drafting miscues that have set Sacramento’s franchise way behind in the west.

10) Odd Stat of the Day: Notre Dame is shooting 84.4% on the foul line, best in country, but their opponents shoot 78.5% against them, best %age against any team in the country.

9) Seattle Mariners made couple of trades Friday, trading Seth Smith/Nathan Karns to different teams; they get Jarrod Dyson/Yovani Gallardo back. Orioles saved $4M by dealing Gallardo. Seth Smith is going to love Camden Yards.

8) Minnesota Gophers quickly signed up coach PJ Fleck from Western Michigan, making me think they used the players’ boycott from last month as an excuse to dump Tracy Claeys to add a coach they think is better. If thats true, karma is going to kick them in the butt.

7) Indianapolis Colts are keeping Chuck Pagano as coach and also keeping their GM, in an odd bit of stability that wasn’t expected. Colts have been 11-5/11-5/11-5/8-8/8-8 in Pagano’s five years, but thats in a weak division when they have Andrew Luck at QB. We’ll see how this works out for them- they did have three rookie starters on the OL this year.

6) Michigan State is playing Penn State today, but at the Palestra in Philly, not in Happy Valley, which is roughly 200 miles away. Giving away your home court edge isn’t a great idea.

5) Miami Dolphins prepped for their playoff game with the Steelers Sunday by using footballs that were stored in a freezer. Matt Moore went to Oregon State, so he’s played in crummy weather before, not sure if he has ever played in frigid weather.

4) Oakland Raiders are playing in the playoffs tomorrow for the first time since 2002; their last road playoff win was in 1980, when I was a junior in college and had a full head of hair.

3) Seems unfair to me that the Eagles denied the Jets permission to interview their QB coach John DeFillippo to be the Jets’ new OC. If you’re moving up to be a coordinator or a head coach, you should be free to interview with whomever you like— I would understand denying a team if the coach is only making a lateral move.

2) You look at the start of conference play in college basketball and Indiana-San Diego State-Georgetown-Louisville, teams that are most always in the NCAAs, are a combined 0-9 already in conference games. Go figure.

1— Lebron James says the Cavaliers still need a point guard, which tells me that pretty soon, Cleveland will be making a trade.

For a point guard.

**Udog** · 01-07-2017, 08:53 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, January 7

New York snapped a 6-game skid last night; they’re 8-2 vs spread in last ten games as a road underdog. Three of their last four games went over over total. Indiana won/covered its last four games; they’re 9-5 as home favorites. Last five Pacer games went over. Knicks lost seven of last eight games with Indiana; they lost last five games in this arena (1-4 vs spread). Seven of last nine series games stayed under.

New Orleans lost seven of last nine road games, is 5-8-1 as a road underdog. Last four Pelican games stayed under. Boston won nine of last 11 games; they’re 7-6 as home favorites. Over is 7-1-1 in their last nine games. Celtics won four of last five games with New Orleans; Pelicans lost by 8-7 points in last couple visits here. Last three series games stayed under total.

Utah lost its last two games after winning four in row before that; they’re 8-1 as road favorites- favorites are 16-2 vs spread in their road games. Five of last six Jazz games stayed under. Timberwolves lost last three games; they’re 4-6 as a home dog. Four of their last six games stayed under. Jazz won its last four games with Minnesota and won five of last six visits to Twin Cities. Utah is 7-3 vs spread in last ten series games (over 5-5). Jazz

Nuggets lost their last four games; they’re 8-5 as road underdogs (2-4 in last six). Last four Denver games went over. Oklahoma City lost four of last five games but they’re 8-4 vs spread in last 12 home games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven home games. Thunder won their last seven games with Denver (5-2 vs spread); Nuggets lost last five visits here (1-4 vs spread). Over is 7-1 in last eight series games.

Raptors lost three of last four road games; they’re 4-4 as road favorites. Three of Toronto’s last four games stayed under. Chicago won four of last six games; they’re 3-0 as a home underdog. Three of their last four games went over. Bulls won/covered their last nine games with Toronto; Raptors lost last four visits here (0-4 vs spread) with losses by 9-16-7-12 points. Last seven series games went over total.

Atlanta won four of last five games; they’re 2-4 as road favorites. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Mavericks lost four of last six games; they’re 6-7 vs spread as a home underdog. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Hawks won/covered their last five games with Dallas; Hawks won three of last four visits here (3-1 vs spread). Four of last five series games stayed under.

Hornets lost three of last four games; they’re 6-2-1 as a road underdog. Six of their last seven games went over total. San Antonio won/covered six of last seven games; they covered their last seven home games. Five of their last six games went over. Spurs won nine of last ten games with Charlotte but Hornets covered three of last four; Charlotte lost last five visits to Alamo (1-4 vs spread). Four of last six series games stayed under total.

Detroit lost 8 of last 11 games; they’re 4-9 as road underdogs. Last three Piston games went over the total. Trailblazers are 3-2 in last five games; they covered last three at home, are 9-3 as home favorites. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Pistons won last two games with Portland after losing previous five series games; they lost three of last four visits to Moda Center (1-3 vs spread). Nine of last ten series games went over total.

**Udog** · 01-07-2017, 08:54 AM

NBA

Saturday, January 7

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. INDIANA
New York is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games ,on the road
New York is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing New York
Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing New York

7:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. BOSTON
New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Boston8-2-1 SU in its last 11 games
Boston4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
DENVER vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Denver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games

8:00 PM
UTAH vs. MINNESOTA
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing at home against Utah
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CHICAGO
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Toronto
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

8:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. SAN ANTONIO
Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

8:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. DALLAS
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

10:00 PM
DETROIT vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games at home

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**Udog** · 01-07-2017, 09:49 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, January 7

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NEW YORK (17 - 19) at INDIANA (19 - 18) - 1/7/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 66-52 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
NEW YORK is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
NEW YORK is 50-36 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 50-37 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (14 - 23) at BOSTON (22 - 14) - 1/7/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 108-141 ATS (-47.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.
BOSTON is 48-35 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 64-38 ATS (+22.2 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
BOSTON is 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
BOSTON is 123-159 ATS (-51.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
BOSTON is 101-134 ATS (-46.4 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
BOSTON is 100-137 ATS (-50.7 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (22 - 15) at MINNESOTA (11 - 25) - 1/7/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 87-110 ATS (-34.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 22-36 ATS (-17.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 197-244 ATS (-71.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (14 - 22) at OKLAHOMA CITY (21 - 16) - 1/7/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in home games on Saturday games since 1996.
DENVER is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (24 - 11) at CHICAGO (18 - 18) - 1/7/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 56-90 ATS (-43.0 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
CHICAGO is 32-47 ATS (-19.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 8-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 8-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (20 - 16) at DALLAS (11 - 25) - 1/7/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 362-299 ATS (+33.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (20 - 17) at SAN ANTONIO (29 - 7) - 1/7/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 46-72 ATS (-33.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 72-103 ATS (-41.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 68-49 ATS (+14.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 496-411 ATS (+43.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 156-120 ATS (+24.0 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 83-51 ATS (+26.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 324-267 ATS (+30.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 203-154 ATS (+33.6 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 298-238 ATS (+36.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 88-66 ATS (+15.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (17 - 21) at PORTLAND (16 - 22) - 1/7/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PORTLAND is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 01-07-2017, 01:53 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, January 7

Detroit @ Portland

Game 715-716
January 7, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
120.125
Portland
117.215
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 3
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 3 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+3 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ San Antonio

Game 713-714
January 7, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
123.361
San Antonio
127.979
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 4 1/2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 11 1/2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+11 1/2); Under

Atlanta @ Dallas

Game 711-712
January 7, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
124.205
Dallas
115.261
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 9
192
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
197 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-1 1/2); Under

Toronto @ Chicago

Game 709-710
January 7, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
123.640
Chicago
116.528
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 7
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
208
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-1 1/2); Under

Denver @ Oklahoma City

Game 707-708
January 7, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
111.746
Oklahoma City
123.641
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 12
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 7 1/2
221
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-7 1/2); Over

Utah @ Minnesota

Game 705-706
January 7, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
123.640
Minnesota
115.212
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 8 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 3 1/2
193
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-3 1/2); Over

New Orleans @ Boston

Game 703-704
January 7, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
122.174
Boston
120.411
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 7 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+7 1/2); Under

New York @ Indiana

Game 701-702
January 7, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
116.572
Indiana
121.015
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 4 1/2
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 7 1/2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+7 1/2); Over

Announcement

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/7

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/7

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