Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/6

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, January 6

Good Luck on day #6
NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

If I had it to do it all over again, six colleges I would’ve chosen from to attend

— Cal-Santa Barbara— Every other car there has a surfboard on its roof. The basketball coach back then lived on a freakin’ boat.

— Arizona State— Sparky the Sun Devil and I would’ve been good buddies.

— Cal State Fullerton— Could’ve got me a summer job at Disneyland.

— UNLV— I would’ve flunked out in one semester, but it would’ve been a fun semester.

— St Leo’s College— First thing you see when you pull into this Florida college is a built-in pool; I swear the place is a converted motel.

— San Diego State— Not sure I would’ve studied much during Padre homestands, but I didn’t study very much in college anyway.

As it was, I went to U of Albany, which was mostly a good experience, but that walk to the gym was so damn cold. Still shiver thinking about it. Wasn’t thinking too clearly back then.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Wrapping up a busy Thursday……

13) Nebraska 93, Iowa 90, 2OT— Cornhuskers almost gagged game away (19-35) on foul line, but they won and are 3-0 in conference play for first time since joining the Big 14. Glynn Watson had been averaging 13.9 pts/game; he had 34 in this game.

12) Purdue 76, Ohio State 75— Is it me or have their been an incredible amount of close games in first 7-10 days of conference play? I don’t trust Matt Painter teams in close games, but Boilers got a solid road win here, while Ohio State is 0-2 in league, with losses by 1-5 points.

11) Minnesota 70, Northwestern 66— This was a damn good game, almost felt like a play-in game for the NCAA’s. Gophers had their hearts ripped out by Michigan State in Big 14 opener last week, but rallied for wins at Purdue and here- they’re 14-2 vs schedule #69, which means they’re headed for March Madness.

10) Fairfield 97, Manhattan 79— Curtis Cobb is a 6-3 soph who was averaging 14.8 pts/game; then he went for 46 here as Stags are now tied for first in the wide-open MAAC.

9) Rockets 118, Thunder 116— Russell Westbrook scored 49 as Oklahoma City rallied back from down 18, but it wasn’t enough. Houston is 28-9 and Mike D’Antoni is Coach of the First Half of the Year.

On the UCLA-Cal broadcast, ESPN’s Dave Pasch was saying that Billy Donovan told him that Westbrook was basically an unknown coming out of high school. Florida’s coaches didn’t have him on their radar at all. He’s been a much better pro than he was a college player.

8) UCLA 81, California 71— Bruins are this year’s Most Fun Team to Watch; they run like crazy and most of them can shoot and they don’t defend much. Problem is, Lonzo Ball will be in the NBA next year and they’ll be starting all over again. Enjoy it while you can.

7) Of the 14 basketball coaches in the Big 14, 10 of them have been in their current job for at least five years, which struck me as odd. Thought there would be more turnover than that.

6) More on football coaches as nomads: Jedd Fisch jumps from Michigan to UCLA, which will have its third offensive coordinator in three years. They also have a junior QB who will be playing for his third OC in three years. Not the best situation.

5) Washington Redskins fired four defensive coaches, New Orleans Saints fired five coaches, none from the offensive side of the ball. I’m guessing a lot of former Ram defensive coaches will wind up on those two staffs.

4) Houston Texans were penalized only 87 times this year, Oakland Raiders 147 times, which makes this week’s playoff game a little more interesting.

3) Dallas defensive lineman Randy Gregory was suspended again by the NFL, this time for a full year, which means he is out for the playoffs that for the Cowboys start next week.

2) Apparently Reds 2B Brandon Phillip blocked another off-season trade, this one to Atlanta. Last year, he vetoed a trade to Washington, which means he doesn’t care about winning, since the Nationals are really good and Cincinnati isn’t. Great guy to pay a lot of money to.

1— Georgia Tech’s first three ACC basketball games: North Carolina-Duke-Louisville, with Duke and the Cardinals both coming off losses. After Saturday, it’ll only get easier for Josh Pastner’s Yellow Jackets.

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, January 6

Washington won/covered its last eight home games; they’re 9-5 as home favorites. Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games. Minnesota lost its last three road games but covered three of its last five; they’re 6-6 as road underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under. Favorites covered four of last five Minnesota-Washington games; teams split last 10 meetings SU, with Timberwolves losing three of last four here (over 3-1).

Houston won its last six games (4-2 vs spread); they’re 7-4 as road favorites, 6-2 if they played the night before. Seven of their last eight games went over total. Orlando lost three of last four games; they’re 1-7 as home underdogs. Four of their last five games went over. Home side won six of last seven Houston-Orlando games; Rockets lost last two visits here, by 7-3 points. Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

Cleveland won eight of its last ten games but is 4-6 vs spread in last ten road games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Brooklyn lost four in row, nine of last ten games; they’re 8-7 as home underdogs. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Cavaliers won eight of last ten games with Brooklyn, but 3-4-1 vs spread in last eight; they split last four visits here, with wins by 13-22 points. Last six series games stayed under.

Philly won its last two games, is 5-2 vs spread in its last seven road games; under is 9-4 in their last 13 games overall. Celtics won eight of last ten games, are 2-5 in last seven games as a home favorite- their last six games went over the total. 76ers lost their last nine games with Boston (2-7 vs spread); Sixers lost their last four visits to Boston (1-3 vs spread). Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Bucks won seven of last nine games with New York, beating Knicks at buzzer in their last game Wednesday; Knicks lost three of last four visits to Milwaukee (1-3 vs spread). Three of last four series games stayed under total. New York lost its last six games overall; they’ve lost eight in row on road, but are 7-2 vs spread in last nine games as a road underdog. over is 9-6 in their last 15 games.

Miami lost six of last seven games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six road games. Three of their last four games went over total. Lakers are 3-5 in last eight home games, 3-5 if they played the night before. Last three LA games went over total. Lakers lost eight of last nine games with Miami (4-5 vs spread); Heat won three of last four visits here with wins by 3-6-9 points. Four of last five series games stayed under total.

Golden State won 11 of last 12 games, is 8-10 as a home favorite (0-3 in last three); three of their last four games went over total. Memphis lost four of last five road games, is 5-6 as a road underdog. Six of their last seven games went over total. Warriors won seven of last eight games with Memphis (6-2 vs spread); under is 8-2 in last ten series games. Grizzlies lost last three visits to Oakland, by 20-50-21 points.

Clippers won last two games overall but lost last five road games; they’re 3-9 vs spread in last 12 road games. Six of their last eight games stayed under total. Sacramento lost three of last four games, is 1-6 vs spread in its last seven home games. Five of their last six games went over. Road team won five of last six Clipper-King games, with LA winning seven of last eight. Clips won last five visits here (2-3 vs spread). Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

[Udog]

NBA

Friday, January 6

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. WASHINGTON
Minnesota is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Washington's last 18 games
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. ORLANDO
Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Orlando is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home
Orlando is 4-11-2 ATS in its last 17 games at home

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. BOSTON
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BROOKLYN
Cleveland is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Brooklyn is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. MILWAUKEE
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Milwaukee's last 18 games at home
Milwaukee is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing New York

10:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. GOLDEN STATE
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Memphis is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Memphis

10:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the LA Clippers last 8 games
LA Clippers are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
Sacramento is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing LA Clippers

10:30 PM
MIAMI vs. LA LAKERS
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Lakers are 3-16 SU in their last 19 games
LA Lakers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games


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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, January 6

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MINNESOTA (11 - 24) at WASHINGTON (16 - 18) - 1/6/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 87-109 ATS (-32.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 376-439 ATS (-106.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 143-184 ATS (-59.4 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (28 - 9) at ORLANDO (16 - 21) - 1/6/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 309-250 ATS (+34.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (26 - 8) at BROOKLYN (8 - 26) - 1/6/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (9 - 24) at BOSTON (21 - 14) - 1/6/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 45-70 ATS (-32.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 48-34 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 100-136 ATS (-49.6 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (16 - 19) at MILWAUKEE (18 - 16) - 1/6/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 7-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (11 - 26) at LA LAKERS (13 - 26) - 1/6/2017, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 2-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (22 - 16) at GOLDEN STATE (31 - 5) - 1/6/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 131-106 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 121-97 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 71-51 ATS (+14.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 72-53 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 8-6 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 10-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (24 - 14) at SACRAMENTO (15 - 20) - 1/6/2017, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, January 6


LA Clippers @ Sacramento

Game 515-516
January 6, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
121.116
Sacramento
112.732
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 8 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 1 1/2
207
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+1 1/2); Over

Memphis @ Golden State

Game 513-514
January 6, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
122.289
Golden State
127.399
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 5
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 13 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+13 1/2); Under

Miami @ LA Lakers

Game 511-512
January 6, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
111.627
LA Lakers
119.637
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 8
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 3
210 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-3); Over

New York @ Milwaukee

Game 509-510
January 6, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
112.449
Milwaukee
126.187
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 13 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 6
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-6); Under

Philadelphia @ Boston

Game 507-508
January 6, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
117.508
Boston
121.065
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 3 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 12 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+12 1/2); Under

Cleveland @ Brooklyn

Game 505-506
January 6, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
120.289
Brooklyn
114.791
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 5 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 13
221
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+13); Under

Houston @ Orlando

Game 503-504
January 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
126.786
Orlando
116.237
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 10 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 5 1/2
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-5 1/2); Over

Milwaukee @ Washington

Game 501-502
January 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
115.679
Washington
123.109
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 7 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-5); Over

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Friday, January 6

Minnesota at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
Minnesota: 20-45 ATS off a close road loss of 3 points or less
Washington: 20-9 ATS in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread

Houston at Orlando, 7:05 PM ET
Houston: 12-3 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210
Orlando: 7-20 ATS in home games after a game where they attempted 10 or less free throws

Cleveland at Brooklyn, 7:35 PM ET
Cleveland: 5-1 ATS after a division game
Brooklyn: 5-10 ATS after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more

Philadelphia at Boston, 7:35 PM ET
Philadelphia: 10-25 ATS vs. division opponents
Boston: 27-11 ATS after a game where they made 12 or more 3 point shots

NY Knicks at Milwaukee, 8:05 PM ET
New York: 8-2 ATS after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points
Milwaukee: 1-5 ATS against Atlantic division opponents

Miami at LA Lakers, 10:35 PM ET
Miami: 8-2 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread
Los Angeles: 1-6 ATS after 3 or more consecutive overs

Memphis at Golden State, 10:35 PM ET
Memphis: 7-0 OVER in road games after playing a game as favorite
Golden State: 32-16 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent

LA Clippers at Sacramento, 10:35 PM ET
Los Angeles: 4-12 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games
Sacramento: 6-1 ATS off a home loss