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  • Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/6

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, January 6

    Good Luck on day #6 of 2016!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    If I had it to do it all over again, six colleges I would’ve chosen from to attend

    — Cal-Santa Barbara— Every other car there has a surfboard on its roof. The basketball coach back then lived on a freakin’ boat.

    — Arizona State— Sparky the Sun Devil and I would’ve been good buddies.

    — Cal State Fullerton— Could’ve got me a summer job at Disneyland.

    — UNLV— I would’ve flunked out in one semester, but it would’ve been a fun semester.

    — St Leo’s College— First thing you see when you pull into this Florida college is a built-in pool; I swear the place is a converted motel.

    — San Diego State— Not sure I would’ve studied much during Padre homestands, but I didn’t study very much in college anyway.

    As it was, I went to U of Albany, which was mostly a good experience, but that walk to the gym was so damn cold. Still shiver thinking about it. Wasn’t thinking too clearly back then.

    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Wrapping up a busy Thursday……

    13) Nebraska 93, Iowa 90, 2OT— Cornhuskers almost gagged game away (19-35) on foul line, but they won and are 3-0 in conference play for first time since joining the Big 14. Glynn Watson had been averaging 13.9 pts/game; he had 34 in this game.

    12) Purdue 76, Ohio State 75— Is it me or have their been an incredible amount of close games in first 7-10 days of conference play? I don’t trust Matt Painter teams in close games, but Boilers got a solid road win here, while Ohio State is 0-2 in league, with losses by 1-5 points.

    11) Minnesota 70, Northwestern 66— This was a damn good game, almost felt like a play-in game for the NCAA’s. Gophers had their hearts ripped out by Michigan State in Big 14 opener last week, but rallied for wins at Purdue and here- they’re 14-2 vs schedule #69, which means they’re headed for March Madness.

    10) Fairfield 97, Manhattan 79— Curtis Cobb is a 6-3 soph who was averaging 14.8 pts/game; then he went for 46 here as Stags are now tied for first in the wide-open MAAC.

    9) Rockets 118, Thunder 116— Russell Westbrook scored 49 as Oklahoma City rallied back from down 18, but it wasn’t enough. Houston is 28-9 and Mike D’Antoni is Coach of the First Half of the Year.

    On the UCLA-Cal broadcast, ESPN’s Dave Pasch was saying that Billy Donovan told him that Westbrook was basically an unknown coming out of high school. Florida’s coaches didn’t have him on their radar at all. He’s been a much better pro than he was a college player.

    8) UCLA 81, California 71— Bruins are this year’s Most Fun Team to Watch; they run like crazy and most of them can shoot and they don’t defend much. Problem is, Lonzo Ball will be in the NBA next year and they’ll be starting all over again. Enjoy it while you can.

    7) Of the 14 basketball coaches in the Big 14, 10 of them have been in their current job for at least five years, which struck me as odd. Thought there would be more turnover than that.

    6) More on football coaches as nomads: Jedd Fisch jumps from Michigan to UCLA, which will have its third offensive coordinator in three years. They also have a junior QB who will be playing for his third OC in three years. Not the best situation.

    5) Washington Redskins fired four defensive coaches, New Orleans Saints fired five coaches, none from the offensive side of the ball. I’m guessing a lot of former Ram defensive coaches will wind up on those two staffs.

    4) Houston Texans were penalized only 87 times this year, Oakland Raiders 147 times, which makes this week’s playoff game a little more interesting.

    3) Dallas defensive lineman Randy Gregory was suspended again by the NFL, this time for a full year, which means he is out for the playoffs that for the Cowboys start next week.

    2) Apparently Reds 2B Brandon Phillip blocked another off-season trade, this one to Atlanta. Last year, he vetoed a trade to Washington, which means he doesn’t care about winning, since the Nationals are really good and Cincinnati isn’t. Great guy to pay a lot of money to.

    1— Georgia Tech’s first three ACC basketball games: North Carolina-Duke-Louisville, with Duke and the Cardinals both coming off losses. After Saturday, it’ll only get easier for Josh Pastner’s Yellow Jackets.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Friday, January 6


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      RHODE ISLAND (10 - 4) at DAYTON (11 - 3) - 1/6/2017, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      RHODE ISLAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
      RHODE ISLAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      RHODE ISLAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      RHODE ISLAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      DAYTON is 2-2 against the spread versus RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
      DAYTON is 3-1 straight up against RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      DETROIT (2 - 12) at IL-CHICAGO (7 - 7) - 1/6/2017, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      IL-CHICAGO is 108-80 ATS (+20.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
      IL-CHICAGO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      IL-CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
      DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      WI-MILWAUKEE (4 - 11) at WI-GREEN BAY (8 - 6) - 1/6/2017, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      WI-GREEN BAY is 109-78 ATS (+23.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
      WI-MILWAUKEE is 150-117 ATS (+21.3 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
      WI-MILWAUKEE is 188-144 ATS (+29.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
      WI-MILWAUKEE is 182-141 ATS (+26.9 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      WI-GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
      WI-GREEN BAY is 4-1 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      KENT ST (9 - 5) at OHIO U (9 - 3) - 1/6/2017, 9:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      OHIO U is 138-103 ATS (+24.7 Units) in all home games since 1997.
      OHIO U is 138-103 ATS (+24.7 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
      OHIO U is 80-53 ATS (+21.7 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
      KENT ST is 118-88 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
      KENT ST is 118-88 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
      KENT ST is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      KENT ST is 3-1 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
      KENT ST is 3-1 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      OAKLAND (12 - 3) at VALPARAISO (11 - 3) - 1/6/2017, 9:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      VALPARAISO is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
      VALPARAISO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
      VALPARAISO is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
      OAKLAND is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      OAKLAND is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      OAKLAND is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
      OAKLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
      OAKLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      OAKLAND is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      OAKLAND is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
      OAKLAND is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
      OAKLAND is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      OAKLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
      VALPARAISO is 3-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      IONA (9 - 6) at MONMOUTH (10 - 5) - 1/6/2017, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      IONA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      IONA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MONMOUTH is 3-3 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
      IONA is 4-2 straight up against MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      RIDER (9 - 5) at MARIST (5 - 10) - 1/6/2017, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      RIDER is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      RIDER is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      RIDER is 85-116 ATS (-42.6 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
      RIDER is 100-73 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
      RIDER is 52-24 ATS (+25.6 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MARIST is 2-2 against the spread versus RIDER over the last 3 seasons
      RIDER is 3-1 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      W MICHIGAN (4 - 9) at AKRON (11 - 3) - 1/6/2017, 6:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      W MICHIGAN is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1997.
      AKRON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      AKRON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
      AKRON is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      AKRON is 3-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
      AKRON is 4-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Friday, January 6


        Akron is 11-3 vs schedule #309; Zips are #149 experience team that is playing pace #302- they are 5-1 vs teams outside top 200, with four wins by 10+ points- they won MAC opener 89-84 over Bowling Green. Zips start two juniors, two seniors. Western Michigan is 4-9 vs schedule #60; they lost MAC opener by 31 at Ohio. Broncos are #304 experience team that has #341 eFG% defense. Akron won its last four games with Western by 20-2-13-9 points; Broncos lost last eight visits to Akron, with six of eight losses by 12+ points.

        Monmouth has been disappointing so far, 10-5 vs schedule #138- they’ve lost last three games, last two to St Peter’s/Rider. Hawks are 2-3 vs top 125 teams, with best wins over Memphis/Princeton. Iona won six of last eight games with Monmouth, beating Hawks 79-76 in LY’s MAAC tourney; Hawk scored 92-110 points in their two series wins. Gaels won two of last three visits here. Iona lost three of last four games, losing to Fairfield and two CAA squads; Gaels are trying to blend two transfers into lineup- they’re 2-4 in true road games, winning at FDU/St Peter’s.

        Rider beat Monmouth in OT last game after losing previous two games; Broncs are 7-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200, 5-4 in true road games. Rider plays pace #91 but is shooting just 28% on arc (#334). Rider is 15-3 in last 18 games with Marist, winning three of last four visits here (they lost 71-58 in McCann Center LY). Red Foxes snapped 6-game skid in last game with an OT win over Manhattan; Marist is 0-7 vs teams in top 200- they’re starting three sophs and a freshman, have #237 eFG% defense in country, but they are 3-2 at home.

        Rhode Island is 10-4, looks like they’ve got a shot at going to NCAAs, but they’re 1-4 vs top 100 teams, with only win by 5 over Cincinnati on a neutral floor. Rams are 1-3 in true road games, with only win at Saint Louis; only one of their four losses was by more than five points. Dayton won its last four games with Rhode Island, winning last two by total of six points. URI lost its last five visits here, by 9-1-5-7-16 points. Dayton won its last four games, last three by 36-11-16 points; they’re 11-3 vs schedule #75, with their three losses by a total of nine points.

        Ill-Chicago is 7-7 this year after being 21-74 the previous three years; Flames start three frosh and two juniors- they’re on way up but it is a slow trip. UIC are 3-0 vs teams ranked outside top 300, winning by 8-16-10 points. Detroit won eight of last nine games with UIC, sweeping Flames LY by 18-11 points. Titans won last four visits here, by 12-6-11-11 points. Detroit 12 of last 13 games, with win over Western Kentucky; they lost first two Horizon games by 13-11 points. Titans have #343 eFG% defense- teams shoot 58% inside arc against them.

        Green Bay is 8-6 vs schedule #130; three of their last four D-I wins came in OT. Phoenix is #22 experience team that is playing pace #15, but they’re shooting only 30.1% on arc. Green Bay won four of last five games with Milwaukee, beating Panthers 70-61 in LY’s tourney; Milwaukee lost last two games in this building by 11-2 points. Panthers lost their last six games; they’re 1-7 vs top 200 teams, with only win over #171 Cal-Irvine. Milwaukee has new coach after winning 19+ games five of last seven years; they’re 4-11 this year, losing Horizon games by 1-9 points.

        Oakland is 12-3 vs schedule #315; they won last three games, scoring 81 pts/game. Grizzlies start three juniors and a senior; they won first two Horizon games by 19-11 points. Valparaiso won four of last five games with Oakland, winning last three by 6-17-2 points. Grizzlies lost last three visits here, by 3-6-2 points. Crusaders are #38 experience team that is 12-3 vs schedule #140; Valpo is 3-2 vs top 100 teams, with best win over #33 Rhode Island. This is just third true road game for Oakland; they won by 21 at Robert Morris, lost by by 12 at Michigan State.

        Ohio is 9-3 vs schedule #338; they’re 1-2 vs top 150 teams, with best win at Georgia Tech. Bobcats have #25 eFG% defense are shooting 40.6% on arc (#9). Kent State won four of last five games with Ohio, but lost 72-61 in Athens LY. Golden Flashes are 4-3 in last seven games here. Favorites covered last four series games. Kent State is 9-5 vs schedule #331; they won last two games over Texas/Ball State, but are 1-2 in true road games, losing at Northeastern, Oregon State, winning at Texas. Kent is #1 team in country on offensive boards (42.9%).

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB

          Friday, January 6


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          6:30 PM
          WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. AKRON
          Western Michigan is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
          Western Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Akron's last 8 games when playing Western Michigan
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games when playing at home against Western Michigan

          7:00 PM
          RHODE ISLAND vs. DAYTON
          Rhode Island is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Rhode Island is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          Dayton is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
          Dayton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

          7:00 PM
          IONA vs. MONMOUTH
          Iona is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Monmouth's last 5 games
          Monmouth is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games

          7:00 PM
          RIDER vs. MARIST
          Rider is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          Rider is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Marist
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Marist's last 12 games when playing at home against Rider
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Marist's last 8 games when playing Rider

          8:00 PM
          WISC-MILWAUKEE vs. WISC-GREEN BAY
          Wisc-Milwaukee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisc-Milwaukee's last 7 games on the road
          Wisc-Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
          Wisc-Green Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

          8:00 PM
          DETROIT vs. ILLINOIS-CHICAGO
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Illinois-Chicago
          Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Illinois-Chicago
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois-Chicago's last 5 games when playing Detroit
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois-Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

          9:00 PM
          OAKLAND vs. VALPARAISO
          Oakland is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games on the road
          Oakland is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Valparaiso
          Valparaiso is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Oakland
          Valparaiso is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oakland

          9:00 PM
          KENT STATE vs. OHIO
          Kent State is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
          Kent State is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
          Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Ohio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB
            Dunkel

            Friday, January 6



            Western Michigan @ Akron

            Game 531-532
            January 6, 2017 @ 6:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Western Michigan
            48.018
            Akron
            63.456
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Akron
            by 15 1/2
            144
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Akron
            by 11 1/2
            151
            Dunkel Pick:
            Akron
            (-11 1/2); Under

            Rider @ Marist


            Game 529-530
            January 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Rider
            52.083
            Marist
            47.066
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Rider
            by 5
            159
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Rider
            by 2 1/2
            151
            Dunkel Pick:
            Rider
            (-2 1/2); Over

            Oakland @ Valparaiso


            Game 525-526
            January 6, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Oakland
            64.116
            Valparaiso
            62.399
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Oakland
            by 2
            155
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Valparaiso
            by 4
            147
            Dunkel Pick:
            Oakland
            (+4); Over

            Iona @ Monmouth


            Game 527-528
            January 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Iona
            57.126
            Monmouth
            53.543
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Iona
            by 3 1/2
            152
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Monmouth
            by 6
            162
            Dunkel Pick:
            Iona
            (+6); Under

            Kent State @ Ohio


            Game 523-524
            January 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Kent State
            53.731
            Ohio
            64.381
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Ohio
            by 10 1/2
            157
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Ohio
            by 7
            147 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Ohio
            (-7); Over

            WI-Milwaukee @ Green Bay


            Game 521-522
            January 6, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            WI-Milwaukee
            43.713
            Green Bay
            57.130
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Green Bay
            by 13 1/2
            144
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Green Bay
            by 9
            139 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Green Bay
            (-9); Over

            Detroit @ Illinois-Chicago


            Game 519-520
            January 6, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Detroit
            46.289
            Illinois-Chicago
            51.486
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Illinois-Chicago
            by 5
            147
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Illinois-Chicago
            by 7 1/2
            159 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Detroit
            (+7 1/2); Under

            Rhode Island @ Dayton


            Game 517-518
            January 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Rhode Island
            69.100
            Dayton
            70.003
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Dayton
            by 1
            146
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Dayton
            by 4
            138
            Dunkel Pick:
            Rhode Island
            (+4); Over

            Comment

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