Announcement

**Udog** · 12-29-2016, 08:19 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win this year’s NBA championship……

— Golden State Warriors -$140

— Cleveland Cavaliers 11-5

— San Antonio Spurs 9-2

— Los Angeles Clippers 10-1

— Toronto Raptors/Boston Celtics 22-1

— Houston Rockets/Oklahoma City Thunder 40-1

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Random thoughts after my vacation

13) It is good to be home; had great fun at the Aria Hotel in Las Vegas for eight days, but now it is time to get to work on college basketball. Having fun can be tiring.

12) There was a middle-aged man doing pushups in the McCarran Airport terminal by gate B14 Wednesday morning; I enjoyed my jelly doughnut while watching him exercise.

11) One of the basic rules of life: If there is a screaming child on an airplane that I am on, the child will undoubtedly be sitting right behind me. Just because.

10) $8 for WiFi is a sound investment for a 5-hour flight. Makes the time go so much faster.

9) Walking on the Las Vegas Strip at night is something everyone should do at least once; great place to people watch. It is better in summer than winter, but any time of year is fine.

Not a lot of English being spoken in Las Vegas this week; lot of visitors from other countries. Lot of people taking pictures of the ceiling in the Bellagio.

8) Planet Hollywood improved their sportsbook; put little dining area in near the bar, with white furniture that brightens the whole place up.

I’m watching the end of the Laker game Tuesday; game is 99-99 with 0:58 left, total is 204.5. Two guys in their 20’s come in and stand next to me; one of them has over 204.5. It looked good for his bet until a couple of missed foul shots, then lousy shot selection by D’Angelo Russell doomed him. My new friend was not happy. I went on my way.

7) If you ran an NFL franchise that needed a QB, would you trade a 1st and 4th-round draft choice to New England for Jimmy Garoppolo? Apparently that offer is on the table.

6) Dez Bryant’s TD pass against the Lions Monday night was the only left-handed TD pass in the NFL this season.

5) Tampa Bay Lightning head coach John Cooper was once a public defender in Lansing, MI; not sure how he got from there to being an NHL head coach, but he should write a book.

4) Oakland Raiders’ QB Matt McGloin is 1-5 as an NFL starter, with all six starts coming in 2013, when he helped ruin my ridiculously injury-riddled fantasy team (he was my 7th QB that year).

McGloin’s only win was against Houston, coached then by Gary Kubiak. McGloin needs to beat Kubiak’s Broncos this week for the Raiders to win the AFC West title.

3) I’m typing this and Bill Walton is at the UCLA-Oregon game talking about clothing-optional beaches in California. He is a gem.

2) Rookie QB Carson Wentz bought his offensive linemen shotguns for Christmas; if I’m coaching the Eagles, not sure I think thats such a great idea.

1) Northwestern 31, Pittsburgh 24— Cubs won World Series, Northwestern won a bowl game; whats next? Northwestern in NCAA tournament? That could happen too.

**Udog** · 12-29-2016, 08:34 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, December 29

Dallas @ LA Lakers

Game 511-512
December 29, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
117.330
LA Lakers
114.924
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 2 1/2
204
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+2 1/2); Over

Toronto @ Phoenix

Game 509-510
December 29, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
120.933
Phoenix
120.096
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 8 1/2
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+8 1/2); Under

Philadelphia @ Utah

Game 507-508
December 29, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
109.584
Utah
125.125
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 15 1/2
183
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 13
196
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-13); Under

Oklahoma City @ Memphis

Game 505-506
December 29, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
122.800
Memphis
120.246
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2 1/2
194
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 2
198 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+2); Under

Boston @ Cleveland

Game 503-504
December 29, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
126.523
Cleveland
122.823
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 3 1/2
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 6
215
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+6); Over

Miami @ Charlotte

Game 501-502
December 29, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
112.174
Charlotte
121.885
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 9 1/2
192
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 6
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-6); Under

**Udog** · 12-29-2016, 08:35 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 29

Hornets won four of last six games with Miami; teams split last four games played here. Last six series games stayed under total. Favorites covered six of last eight series games. Heat lost five of last six games; they’re 7-2 in last nine games as a road underdog. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Charlotte won three of last four games, covered four of last five as a home favorite- under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

Cavaliers won seven of last eight games with Boston (5-3 vs spread); Celtics lost four of last five visits here (3-2 vs spread). Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Boston won six of last seven games; they’re 3-2 as road underdogs. Last five Celtic games went over total. Cleveland won five of its last six games; they’re 8-2 in last ten games as a home favorite- their last three games stayed under total.

Home side won five of last six Thunder-Grizzly games; Oklahoma City lost three of last four visits here. Favorites covered last six series games, with last three going over total. Thunder won/covered their last four games; they’re 3-4 as road underdogs. Four of last five OKC games went over total. Memphis lost five of last seven games overall, three of last four at home; they are 3-5 as home favorites. Four of their last five games went over total.

76ers lost their last eight games with Utah (3-5 vs spread); they lost last four visits to Salt Lake City (2-2 vs spread). Five of last six series games stayed under total. Philly lost five of its last six games; they covered four of last five games as a road underdog. Under is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Jazz lost three of last four games; they’re 4-8 as home favorites. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Suns won four of last six games with Toronto, but Raptors won three of last five visits to desert. Underdogs covered four of last five series games- five of last six went over total. Toronto lost in Oakland last night; they’re 8-2 in last ten games, 3-3 as road favorites, 2-1-1 if they played night before. Phoenix lost six of last seven games; they’re 5-5 as home underdogs. 2-2 if they played night before. Suns’ last five games went over the total.

Lakers lost their last ten games with Dallas (3-7 vs spread); Mavericks won last six series games played here. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Dallas lost five of last eight games; they’re 7-10 as a road underdog. Last two Dallas games went over total. Lakers lost five of last six games; they’re 1-3-1 as a home favorite. Four of their last six games went over the total.

**Udog** · 12-29-2016, 08:36 AM

NBA

Thursday, December 29

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Miami
Charlotte is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. CLEVELAND
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Boston is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing Boston
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 12 games

9:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. UTAH
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Utah's last 13 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Utah is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games

9:00 PM
TORONTO vs. PHOENIX
Toronto is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Toronto's last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games

10:30 PM
DALLAS vs. LA LAKERS
Dallas is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 8-16-1 ATS in their last 25 games
LA Lakers are 2-13 SU in their last 15 games

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**Udog** · 12-29-2016, 09:24 AM

MIAMI (10 - 22) at CHARLOTTE (18 - 14) - 12/29/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 159-123 ATS (+23.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.
MIAMI is 55-42 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 8-8 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 8-8 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (19 - 13) at CLEVELAND (23 - 7) - 12/29/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games this season.
BOSTON is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games in December games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games first half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 245-200 ATS (+25.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-6 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 9-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (20 - 12) at MEMPHIS (20 - 14) - 12/29/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (7 - 23) at UTAH (19 - 13) - 12/29/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (22 - 9) at PHOENIX (9 - 23) - 12/29/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (9 - 23) at LA LAKERS (12 - 23) - 12/29/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 360-299 ATS (+31.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 471-394 ATS (+37.6 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 86-60 ATS (+20.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
DALLAS is 75-48 ATS (+22.2 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 140-105 ATS (+24.5 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 147-191 ATS (-63.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 53-73 ATS (-27.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 8-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-29-2016, 02:02 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, December 29

Indiana at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
Indiana: 4-12 ATS in road games
Washington: 22-9 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent

Charlotte at Orlando, 7:05 PM ET
Charlotte: 40-22 UNDER after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games
Orlando: 19-5 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog

Milwaukee at Detroit, 7:35 PM ET
Milwaukee: 8-19 ATS in road games after a combined score of 205 points or more
Detroit: 14-3 ATS in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games

New York at Atlanta, 7:35 PM ET
New York: 12-2 ATS after allowing 110 points or more
Atlanta: 24-36 ATS after playing a road game

Brooklyn at Chicago, 8:05 PM ET
Brooklyn: 34-21 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
Chicago: 14-26 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

LA Clippers at New Orleans, 8:05 PM ET
Los Angeles: 54-87 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half
New Orleans: 142-101 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent

Phoenix at San Antonio, 8:35 PM ET
Phoenix: 1-9 ATS in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
San Antonio: 26-15 ATS after a non-conference game

Minnesota at Denver, 9:05 PM ET
Minnesota: 18-7 ATS in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points
Denver: 17-32 ATS in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread

Sacramento at Portland, 10:05 PM ET
Sacramento: 18-6 OVER in road games after playing a game as a home favorite
Portland: 1-8 ATS against Pacific division opponents

Toronto at Golden State, 10:35 PM ET
Toronto: 8-0 ATS as a road underdog
Golden State: 6-16 ATS in home games in non-conference games

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/29

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/29

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