Announcement

**Udog** · 12-27-2016, 08:17 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds to win the college basketball national title:

3-1: Duke, Kentucky

5-1: UCLA

7-1: North Carolina, Kansas

8-1: Villanova

12-1: Baylor

15-1: Louisville-Indiana-Gonzaga

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Cowboys 42, Lions 21— How does a team that has trailed in 4th quarter in 14 of 15 games still have a shot to make the playoffs? First half of this game was great but then Cowboys won going away, winning easily in a game they didn’t need.

Redskins are happier than hell; they’re in playoffs if they beat the Giants Sunday except for one incredible scenario. If Packers/Lions tie Sunday, they both make the playoffs. Imagine if that game goes overtime and both teams play cautiously, just to make playoffs? Wow.

12) Did Edwin Encarnacion turn down more money from the A’s than he took from Cleveland?

I can feel my blood pressure going up; A’s were going to sign him, then if they weren’t in the pennant race in July, trade him to a contender for prospects, the way they traded Matt Holliday and Ben Zobrist. Oakland’s starting pitching is better than it has been in couple years, so they could contend this year, if everything goes well.

Not often a player turns down more $$$ to sign elsewhere, especially if elsewhere is Cleveland.

11) Note to self; next year, when the Broncos play the Chiefs, there will be hard feelings, moreso than usual in this divisional rivalry, after Dontari Poe’s TD pass in the last 2:00 of Sunday nite’s win. Mr Poe is a defensive end who weighs over 300 pounds; him throwing a TD pass was the kind of stunt that gets remembered for a long time. Hopefully we can take advantage of that next year.

10) I was surprised by this: the mayor of New York City makes $225K. The governor of the state of New York only makes $179K. Shouldn’t a governor make more than a may0r?

9) Ravens’ WR Steve Smith was 11th wide receiver taken in the 2001 NFL Draft; the graduate of Santa Monica College and Utah is the only one of those 11 WR’s who is still playing in the NFL.

8) Houston Texans have been outscored by 42 points this season, but are in the playoffs.

7) When Jay Ajayi had his big run in overtime that set up the Dolphins’ game-winning FG Saturday, Buffalo only had ten men on the field. That kind of stuff gets coaches fired.

6) Matt Ryan has thrown TD passes to 13 different players this season, most in NFL history in one season.

5) Derek Carr is going to be the first-ever NFL QB to win 12+ regular season games but not make a playoff start- thats how unusual the timing of his injury was.

4) San Diego State 62, San Francisco 48— Aztecs win the Diamond Head tourney in Hawaii.

3) Nuggets 106, Clippers 102— No Paul, no Griffin, no Redick……no good.

2) Pistons 106, Cavaliers 90— Handicapping the NBA means you have to keep close tabs on who is “resting” that night. Lebron James “rested” last night and the Cavaliers got killed. Go figure.

1— 16 NFL games this Sunday, the way it should be. Most of the important games are at 4:00, except for the Detroit-Green Bay game, which is the night game. Should be quite a day.

**Udog** · 12-27-2016, 08:28 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 27

Michigan State @ Minnesota

Game 521-522
December 27, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan State
57.628
Minnesota
72.209
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 14 1/2
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 5
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-5); Over

SMU @ Memphis

Game 519-520
December 27, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SMU
68.143
Memphis
69.195
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 1
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SMU
by 3
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+3); Over

Kent State @ Texas

Game 517-518
December 27, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
55.110
Texas
62.865
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 8
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 13 1/2
142 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kent State
(+13 1/2); Under

Cornell @ Syracuse

Game 515-516
December 27, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cornell
48.669
Syracuse
60.888
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Syracuse
by 12
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Syracuse
by 20 1/2
144
Dunkel Pick:
Cornell
(+20 1/2); Over

Rutgers @ Wisconsin

Game 513-514
December 27, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rutgers
61.772
Wisconsin
73.248
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 11 1/2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 19
125
Dunkel Pick:
Rutgers
(+19); Over

Illinois @ Maryland

Game 511-512
December 27, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois
63.179
Maryland
68.962
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Maryland
by 6
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Maryland
by 3 1/2
138 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Maryland
(-3 1/2); Over

Northwestern @ Penn State

Game 509-510
December 27, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northwestern
69.915
Penn State
59.947
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northwestern
by 10
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northwestern
by 2 1/2
141
Dunkel Pick:
Northwestern
(-2 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 12-27-2016, 08:29 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 27

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NORTHWESTERN (11 - 2) at PENN ST (8 - 5) - 12/27/2016, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 2-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ILLINOIS (10 - 3) at MARYLAND (12 - 1) - 12/27/2016, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MARYLAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 1-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RUTGERS (11 - 2) at WISCONSIN (11 - 2) - 12/27/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RUTGERS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
RUTGERS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
RUTGERS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 146-109 ATS (+26.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 1-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-1 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CORNELL (3 - 8) at SYRACUSE (7 - 5) - 12/27/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CORNELL is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
CORNELL is 119-83 ATS (+27.7 Units) in road games since 1997.
CORNELL is 119-83 ATS (+27.7 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
CORNELL is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in December games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus CORNELL over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 2-0 straight up against CORNELL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENT ST (7 - 5) at TEXAS (6 - 5) - 12/27/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
KENT ST is 117-88 ATS (+20.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
KENT ST is 117-88 ATS (+20.2 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
KENT ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SMU (10 - 3) at MEMPHIS (9 - 3) - 12/27/2016, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 4-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 4-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (8 - 5) at MINNESOTA (12 - 1) - 12/27/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-27-2016, 08:30 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, December 27

Visitor won five of last six Northwestern-Penn State games; Wildcats won by 16-10 points in last two visits to Happy Valley. Northwestern won its last eight games, is 11-2 vs schedule #290; they’re 3-2 vs top 100 teams, with two losses by combined six points to Butler/Notre Dame, both top 25 teams. Wildcats lost 70-68 at Butler in their only true road game. #96 Penn State is 8-5 vs schedule #176; they’re 1-3 vs top 100 teams, with only win by 16 at #98 St John’s. Nittany Lions are #336 experience team playing #31 pace; Northwestern is #180 experience team.

Home side won both Illinois-Maryland games in Big 14 play; Illini won by 7 two years ago, then lost 81-55 here LY. Illini won its last six games overall, is 10-3 vs schedule #130; they’re #42 experience team. This is first true road game for Illinois; they’re 2-2 in neutral court games, 3-2 vs top 100 teams, with best wins vs #57/58 VCU/NC State. Maryland is very young except for star guard Trimble; Terps are #321 experience team that is 12-1 vs schedule #239- they’re 6-0 in games decided by six or less points, with best wins over K-State/Oklahoma State.

Home side won both Wisconsin-Rutgers games; Badgers lost by 5 at Rutgers in 2015, routed Scarlet Knights 79-57 here LY. Wisconsin won its last seven games, is 11-2 vs schedule #192; they’ve got #19 eFG% while playing pace #343- they’re #62 experience team. Rutgers has new coach, is much improved at 11-2 vs schedule #347, losing to Miami by 12, Seton Hall by 11. Knights are shooting 29.7% on arc; they’re 2-2 in true road games, winning at DePaul, Stony Brook. Badgers don’t play again for a week after this.

Syracuse is 7-5 vs schedule #199; they lost by 33 at home to St John’s in last game. Orange is 3-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, winning by 28-42-6 points- they beat Cornell last three years, by 21-17-22 points. Syracuse opens ACC play in Boston Sunday. Cornell is 3-8 against schedule #121; Big Red is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 15-30-12 points. Cornell is 1-6 in true road games, with only win at #329 Lafayette- only one of their eight losses is by more than 19 points.

Texas is 3-5 in its last eight games; they open Big X play Friday at Kansas State. Longhorns are 5-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with three wins by 21+ points. Texas is #339 experience team that is shooting 30.3% on arc, with #205 eFG%- their eFG% defense is #48, much better. Kent State is 7-5 vs schedule #340; they lost last game by 12 at Oregon State team that has been riddled by injuries, Golden Flashes force turnovers 21% of time, are #1 team in country on offensive boards, but Texas is first top 100 team they’ve played, so big step up for them.

SMU won its last four games with Memphis, winning 69-62/66-57 in last two visits here; both squads have new coaches, with Tigers having edge with Tubby Smith on bench. SMU won its last six games but is 0-2 in true road games, losing at USC/Boise State- they’re #159 experience team that is playing pace #334. Mustangs are 2-3 vs top 100 teams, with wins over Pitt/TCU. Memphis is 9-3 vs schedule #318; they’re 2-3 vs top 100 teams, with wins over Iowa, Oklahoma. Memphis is shooting only 31.4% on arc (#286).

Michigan State is #313 experience team that is 8-5 vs schedule #60; Spartans are lost by 9 at Duke in their only true road game- they’re 2-3 in neutral floor games. Michigan State/Minnesota actually split last four series games, with two of the four games going to overtime; Spartans won 69-61 here LY, lost previous visit 76-63. Gophers are 12-1 vs schedule #205; they’re 4-1 vs top 100 teams, with best wins over Arkansas/UT-Arlington. Minnesota has won its last six games, has #8 eFG% defense- this is big game for them after going 8-23 LY.

**Udog** · 12-27-2016, 08:30 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, December 27

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Trend Report
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3:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. PENN STATE
Northwestern is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Northwestern is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Penn State
Penn State is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Northwestern
Penn State is 14-4-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Northwestern

5:00 PM
ILLINOIS vs. MARYLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games on the road
Illinois is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Maryland's last 7 games when playing Illinois
Maryland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Illinois

7:00 PM
LANDER vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
No trends available
South Carolina is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
South Carolina is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

7:00 PM
CORNELL vs. SYRACUSE
Cornell is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Cornell is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Syracuse
Syracuse is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Cornell
Syracuse is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Cornell

7:00 PM
RUTGERS vs. WISCONSIN
Rutgers is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
KENT STATE vs. TEXAS
Kent State is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games on the road
Texas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 10 games

7:00 PM
HOWARD vs. VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH
No trends available
Virginia Commonwealth is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home
Virginia Commonwealth is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

8:00 PM
COVENANT vs. TENNESSEE STATE
No trends available
Tennessee State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Tennessee State is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home

9:00 PM
SOUTHERN METHODIST vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Southern Methodist is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Memphis is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games

9:00 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan State's last 6 games on the road
Michigan State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Michigan State
Minnesota is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing Michigan State

9:00 PM
EASTERN NEW MEXICO vs. NEW MEXICO STATE
No trends available
New Mexico State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Mexico State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:00 PM
CS BAKERSFIELD vs. SANTA BARBARA
CS Bakersfield is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Santa Barbara is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
Santa Barbara is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

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Announcement

Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/27

Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/27

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