Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/27

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, December 27

Good Luck on day #362
NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds to win the college basketball national title:

3-1: Duke, Kentucky

5-1: UCLA

7-1: North Carolina, Kansas

8-1: Villanova

12-1: Baylor

15-1: Louisville-Indiana-Gonzaga

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Cowboys 42, Lions 21— How does a team that has trailed in 4th quarter in 14 of 15 games still have a shot to make the playoffs? First half of this game was great but then Cowboys won going away, winning easily in a game they didn’t need.

Redskins are happier than hell; they’re in playoffs if they beat the Giants Sunday except for one incredible scenario. If Packers/Lions tie Sunday, they both make the playoffs. Imagine if that game goes overtime and both teams play cautiously, just to make playoffs? Wow.

12) Did Edwin Encarnacion turn down more money from the A’s than he took from Cleveland?

I can feel my blood pressure going up; A’s were going to sign him, then if they weren’t in the pennant race in July, trade him to a contender for prospects, the way they traded Matt Holliday and Ben Zobrist. Oakland’s starting pitching is better than it has been in couple years, so they could contend this year, if everything goes well.

Not often a player turns down more $$$ to sign elsewhere, especially if elsewhere is Cleveland.

11) Note to self; next year, when the Broncos play the Chiefs, there will be hard feelings, moreso than usual in this divisional rivalry, after Dontari Poe’s TD pass in the last 2:00 of Sunday nite’s win. Mr Poe is a defensive end who weighs over 300 pounds; him throwing a TD pass was the kind of stunt that gets remembered for a long time. Hopefully we can take advantage of that next year.

10) I was surprised by this: the mayor of New York City makes $225K. The governor of the state of New York only makes $179K. Shouldn’t a governor make more than a may0r?

9) Ravens’ WR Steve Smith was 11th wide receiver taken in the 2001 NFL Draft; the graduate of Santa Monica College and Utah is the only one of those 11 WR’s who is still playing in the NFL.

8) Houston Texans have been outscored by 42 points this season, but are in the playoffs.

7) When Jay Ajayi had his big run in overtime that set up the Dolphins’ game-winning FG Saturday, Buffalo only had ten men on the field. That kind of stuff gets coaches fired.

6) Matt Ryan has thrown TD passes to 13 different players this season, most in NFL history in one season.

5) Derek Carr is going to be the first-ever NFL QB to win 12+ regular season games but not make a playoff start- thats how unusual the timing of his injury was.

4) San Diego State 62, San Francisco 48— Aztecs win the Diamond Head tourney in Hawaii.

3) Nuggets 106, Clippers 102— No Paul, no Griffin, no Redick……no good.

2) Pistons 106, Cavaliers 90— Handicapping the NBA means you have to keep close tabs on who is “resting” that night. Lebron James “rested” last night and the Cavaliers got killed. Go figure.

1— 16 NFL games this Sunday, the way it should be. Most of the important games are at 4:00, except for the Detroit-Green Bay game, which is the night game. Should be quite a day.

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 27

Utah @ LA Lakers

Game 507-508
December 27, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
122.000
LA Lakers
115.149
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 7
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 4 1/2
204
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-4 1/2); Under

Houston @ Dallas

Game 505-506
December 27, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
123.322
Dallas
121.251
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 6 1/2
210
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+6 1/2); Over

Oklahoma City @ Miami

Game 503-504
December 27, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
118.127
Miami
119.647
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2 1/2
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+2 1/2); Under

Memphis @ Boston

Game 501-502
December 27, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
120.086
Boston
123.682
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 3 1/2
187
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 6 1/2
198
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+6 1/2); Under




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, December 27

Celtics won three of last four games with Memphis; five of last six series games went over the total. Grizzlies lost by 3-20 points in last two visits to Beantown. Memphis got whacked last nite in Orlando; they’re 3-5 in last eight games overall, 5-5 as a road underdog- three of their last four games went over the total. Boston won five of last six games; they’re 4-5 as a home favorite (0-4 in last four)- their last four games went over.

Thunder won four of last five games with Miami; they lost three of last five visits to South Beach. Last six series games stayed under the total. Oklahoma City won four of its last five games; they are 2-2 as road favorites- last four Thunder games went over the total. Heat lost four of their last five games; they’re 3-5 vs spread as home underdogs. Four of last six Miami games stayed under the total.

Houston won five of last six games with Dallas, splitting last four games in this building; five of last six series games stayed under the total. Rockets won 12 of last 14 games, are 6-4 as a road favorite, 5-1 if they played night before. Last three Houston games went over. Mavericks won three of last four home games, are 6-6 as a home underdog (3-0 in last three). Over is 5-5 in their last ten games.

Lakers lost six of last seven games with Utah; Jazz won three of last four series games played here. Three of last four series games went over. Utah lost its last three games, by 30-1-6 points; they’re 7-0 as a road favorite (favorites are 13-1 vs spread in their road games). Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Lakers lost eight of last ten games, are 5-4 as home underdogs; four of their last five games went over total.




NBA

Tuesday, December 27

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Boston
Memphis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston
Boston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games when playing at home against Memphis

7:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

8:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games on the road
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston

10:30 PM
UTAH vs. LA LAKERS
Utah is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Utah is 7-18 SU in their last 25 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 9 of the LA Lakers last 12 games at home
LA Lakers are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games


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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 27

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MEMPHIS (20 - 13) at BOSTON (18 - 13) - 12/27/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 46-33 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 51-29 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 19-42 ATS (-27.2 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
BOSTON is 121-159 ATS (-53.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
BOSTON is 99-133 ATS (-47.3 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
BOSTON is 98-135 ATS (-50.5 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (19 - 12) at MIAMI (10 - 21) - 12/27/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 55-41 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 126-167 ATS (-57.7 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (23 - 9) at DALLAS (9 - 22) - 12/27/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 360-298 ATS (+32.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
HOUSTON is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) first half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 11-5 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 12-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (18 - 13) at LA LAKERS (12 - 22) - 12/27/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 195-240 ATS (-69.0 Units) after a division game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, December 27

Memphis at Boston, 7:35 PM ET
Memphis: 22-10 ATS off a road loss
Boston: 54-85 ATS in home games after a combined score of 215 points or more

Oklahoma City at Miami, 7:35 PM ET
Oklahoma City: 4-13 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games
Miami: 26-14 ATS after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers

Houston at Dallas, 8:35 PM ET
Houston: 13-4 ATS after allowing 105 points or more
Dallas: 1-10 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog

Utah at LA Lakers, 10:35 PM ET
Utah: 7-0 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less
Los Angeles: 13-28 ATS after scoring 105 points or more