Announcement

**Udog** · 12-21-2016, 08:26 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

NFL trends with Week 16 sneaking up on us:

— Cleveland is 1-12-1 vs spread in its last fourteen games.

— Steelers are 10-3 in last thirteen games as a home favorite.

— Atlanta is 8-17 in its last 25 games as a favorite.

— New England covered 10 of its last 13 games.

— Rams are 1-7-2 vs spread in last 10 games; 49ers are 2-11 in last 13.

— Chiefs covered twice in their last ten home games.

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Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Some of my favorite movie quotes

13) “Who’s the u-boat commander?” From Risky Business, when the kid’s father’s Porsche winds up in Lake Michigan, and then in a repair shop to be cleaned up.

12) “I believe in the Church of Baseball. I’ve tried all the major religions, and most of the minor ones. I’ve worshipped Buddha, Allah, Brahma, Vishnu, Siva, trees, mushrooms, and Isadora Duncan. I know things. For instance, there are 108 beads in a Catholic rosary and there are 108 stitches in a baseball. When I learned that, I gave Jesus a chance. But it just didn’t work out between us. The Lord laid too much guilt on me. I prefer metaphysics to theology. You see, there’s no guilt in baseball, and it’s never boring.”
Susan Sarandon, from Bull Durham

11) “He’s a great player, but I don’t think we can get him in academically.”
Jerry Tarkanian, playing himself in Blue Chips

10) “In ‘Confessions of a Winning Poker Player,’ Jack King said, ‘Few players recall big pots they have won, strange as it seems, but every player can remember with remarkable accuracy the outstanding tough beats of his career.’ It seems true to me, ‘cause walking in here, I can hardly remember how I built my bankroll, but I can’t stop thinking of how I lost it.”
Matt Damon in Rounders

9) “I guess it comes down to a simple choice; get busy living, or get busy dying.”
Tim Robbins from Shawshank Redemption

8) “……Who cares? I’ll tell you. Me. I’m not your best friend. I’m your only friend. I don’t make anything? I’m making you money. And lest we forget, that’s the only reason any of you became stockholders in the first place. You want to make money! You don’t care if they manufacture wire and cable, fried chicken, or grow tangerines!

You want to make money! I’m the only friend you’ve got. I’m making you money. Take the money. Invest it somewhere else. Maybe, maybe you’ll get lucky and it’ll be used productively. And if it is, you’ll create new jobs and provide a service for the economy and, God forbid, even make a few bucks for yourselves.

And if anybody asks, tell ’em ya gave at the plant. And by the way, it pleases me that I am called “Larry the Liquidator.” You know why, fellow stockholders? Because at my funeral, you’ll leave with a smile on your face and a few bucks in your pocket. Now that’s a funeral worth having!”
Danny DeVito, in Other People’s Money

7) “It’s supposed to be hard. If it wasn’t hard, everyone would do it. The hard… is what makes it great.” Tom Hanks in A League of Their Own

6) “You don’t want the truth because deep down in places you don’t talk about at parties, you want me on that wall, you need me on that wall. We use words like honor, code, loyalty. We use these words as the backbone of a life spent defending something. You use them as a punchline. I have neither the time nor the inclination to explain myself to a man who rises and sleeps under the blanket of the very freedom that I provide, and then questions the manner in which I provide it. I would rather you just said thank you, and went on your way, Otherwise, I suggest you pick up a weapon, and stand a post. Either way, I don’t give a damn what you think you are entitled to.”
Jack Nicholson, from A Few Good Men

5) “Being perfect is not about that scoreboard out there. It’s not about winning. It’s about you and your relationship with yourself, your family and your friends. Being perfect is about being able to look your friends in the eye and know that you didn’t let them down because you told them the truth. And that truth is you did everything you could. There wasn’t one more thing you could’ve done. Can you live in that moment as best you can, with clear eyes, and love in your heart, with joy in your heart? If you can do that gentleman – you’re perfect!”
Billy Bob Thornton in Friday Night Lights

4) “And you know Steve you get the feeling that Billy Chapel isn’t pitching against left handers, he isn’t pitching against pinch-hitters, he isn’t pitching against the Yankees. He’s pitching against time. He’s pitching against the future, against age, and even when you think about his career, against ending. And tonight I think he might be able to use that aching old arm one more time to push the sun back up in the sky and give us one more day of summer.”
The great Vin Scully, from For Love of the Game

3) “GOD LIKES ME! HE REALLY, REALLY, LIKES ME! WHAT A DAY! WHAT A FABULOUS DAY!”
Richard Dreyfuss in Let It Ride

2) “You’re a goddamn quarterback! You know what that means? It’s the top spot, kid. It’s the guy who takes the fall. It’s the guy everybody’s looking at first – the leader of a team – who will support you when they understand you. Who will break their ribs and their noses and their necks for you, because they believe. ‘Cause you make them believe. That’s a quarterback.”
Al Pacino, from Any Given Sunday

1)“Do whats in your heart, son. You’ll be fine.”
Robin Williams, from Good Will Hunting

**Udog** · 12-21-2016, 09:27 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 21

Cavaliers won seven of last eight games; they’re 6-2 in last eight games as a home favorite. Over is 10-4 in their last fourteen games. Milwaukee is 4-6 on road, 2-6 as road underdogs. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Cavaliers won six of last eight games with Milwaukee; they needed OT to beat them on road last night. Bucks are 7-4 vs spread in last 11 series games. Over is 9-2 in last 11 series games.

Memphis won nine of last ten games with Detroit (8-2 vs spread), winning four of last five visits to Motor City. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Grizzlies lost four of last five games; they lost in OT at home to Boston last nite- they’re 4-5 as road underdogs. Detroit lost last three games, losing by 33 at Chicago Monday; Pistons are 7-4 as home favorites. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

Hawks are 6-4 in last ten games with Minnesota but Wolves won last two; Minnesota covered four of last five series games, but lost five of last six visits here. Over is 6-2 in last eight series games. Minnesota lost five of last seven games but covered last four; they’re 4-5 as road underdogs. Over is 8-4 in their last twelve games. Atlanta lost five of its last six home games; they’re 0-5-1 vs spread in last six home tilts. Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

Wizards are 6-4 in last games with Bulls, but lost three of last four visits to Chicago, with losses by 5-5-11 points. Five of last six series games went over total. Washington won five of its last seven games, is 4-2 as a road underdog. Over is 9-1-1 in last eleven Wizard games. Chicago lost three of last four games, is 1-5 in last six tries as a home favorite. Under is 5-1-1 in Bulls’ last seven games.

Thunder won three of last four games with New Orleans, but Pelicans are 6-3 vs spread in last nine meetings. Oklahoma City lost three of last four visits to Bourbon Street. Over is 4-2 in last six series games. Thunder lost three of last four games, are 1-5 vs spread in last six; they’re 1-2 as road favorites. New Orleans split its last six games but lost four of last five at home; they’re 4-1 as home underdogs. Last three Pelican home games stayed under.

Road team won last six Houston-Phoenix games Rockets won last five visits here (4-1 vs spread). Over is 7-2 in last nine series games. Suns lost four of last five games, are 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. Over is 8-3 in last 11 Phoenix games. Houston had its 10-game win streak snapped last night; they’re 5-3 as road favorites. Over is 9-5 in their last 14 games. Don’t forget D’Antoni had his greatest days coaching the Suns but was stupidly fired; this has to mean a little bit more than usual to him.

Jazz won seven of last ten games with Sacramento (4-2-1 vs spread in last seven): Kings lost four of last five visits here (1-2-2 vs spread). Four of last six series games went over. Utah lost by 30 in Oakland last night; they’ve won four of last five games, are 4-7 as home favorites. Five of last six Jazz games stayed under. Sacramento lost five of last seven road games; they’re 4-8 as a road underdog Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Cousins had 55 points last night in a home win over Portland.

Dallas-Portland split last ten games but Mavericks covered four of last five; under is 3-1 in last four series games played here. Dallas lost three of last four visits here, losing by 6-19-21 points. Mavericks are 1-13 on road, 5-9 as road underdogs. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games. Trailblazers lost seven of last eight games, but they won/covered six of last eight at home- they’re 7-2 as home favorites. Over is 10-4 in their last fourteen games.

**Udog** · 12-21-2016, 09:43 AM

NBA

Wednesday, December 21

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

7:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. DETROIT
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ATLANTA
Minnesota is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Minnesota is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Minnesota

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games
Oklahoma City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CHICAGO
Washington is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

9:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 10 games at home

9:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. UTAH
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Sacramento is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

10:00 PM
DALLAS vs. PORTLAND
Dallas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Portland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games

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**Udog** · 12-21-2016, 12:03 PM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 21

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MILWAUKEE (13 - 13) at CLEVELAND (20 - 6) - 12/21/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (18 - 12) at DETROIT (14 - 16) - 12/21/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (8 - 19) at ATLANTA (14 - 14) - 12/21/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (12 - 15) at CHICAGO (14 - 13) - 12/21/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 256-307 ATS (-81.7 Units) first half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (16 - 12) at NEW ORLEANS (10 - 20) - 12/21/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-59 ATS (-24.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-51 ATS (-20.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (21 - 8) at PHOENIX (8 - 20) - 12/21/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 65-47 ATS (+13.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 109-78 ATS (+23.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
HOUSTON is 92-57 ATS (+29.3 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
HOUSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (11 - 17) at UTAH (18 - 11) - 12/21/2016, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (7 - 21) at PORTLAND (13 - 17) - 12/21/2016, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-21-2016, 12:04 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 21

Dallas @ Portland

Game 715-716
December 21, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
116.314
Portland
118.162
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 2
194
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
N/A

Sacramento @ Utah

Game 713-714
December 21, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
115.042
Utah
126.501
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 11 1/2
183
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
N/A

Houston @ Phoenix

Game 711-712
December 21, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
126.845
Phoenix
113.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 13 1/2
235
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 5 1/2
223
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-5 1/2); Over

Oklahoma City @ New Orleans

Game 709-710
December 21, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
115.509
New Orleans
120.054
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 4 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 1 1/2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+1 1/2); Over

Washington @ Chicago

Game 707-708
December 21, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
113.837
Chicago
124.278
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 10 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 4
207
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-4); Over

Minnesota @ Atlanta

Game 705-706
December 21, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
116.209
Atlanta
118.985
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 3
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
N/A

Memphis @ Detroit

Game 703-704
December 21, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
120.149
Detroit
114.612
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 5 1/2
174
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 6 1/2
185
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+6 1/2); Under

Milwaukee @ Cleveland

Game 701-702
December 21, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
119.944
Cleveland
129.500
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 9 1/2
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
N/A

Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/21

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/21

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