Announcement

**Udog** · 12-19-2016, 08:26 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks in Week 15 of the Westgate SuperContest:

6) Patriots (430) -3.5- W

5) Lions (433) +4- L

4) Ravens (456) -5.5- L

3) Raiders (501) -3- T

2) Buccaneers (593) +6.5- W

1) Steelers (603) -3- W

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Giants 17, Lions 6— Seattle jumps Detroit into #2 seed in NFC after an inept offensive performance by Lions in their 3rd (and last) outdoor game of year. Giants are 8-1 in last nine games, now head on road to Philly/Washington to end season. Last eight Detroit games stayed under the total, as have last six Giant games.

Steelers 24, Bengals 20— Bengals led 20-6 wth 2:51 left in first half, but Steelers kicked FG’s on five consecutive drives, then finally scored TD and won/covered fifth game in row, with four of those wins on road- they’ve now won seven of last eight games with Cincinnati. Favorites are 8-1 vs spread in AFC North divisional games this season.

Ravens 27, Eagles 26— Eagles scored TD with 0:04 left, went for two points and the win, a play I just disagree with, especially on road with a rookie QB who had just run for a TD. Tennessee did it, failed but wound up winning anyway. Philly has now lost nine of last ten games after a 3-0 start; they’re 1-7 on road. Ravens won its last five home games (4-1 vs spread).

Every TV announcer “loves the aggressive nature of going for two” in that spot. Without fail, they cover the coach’s butt by saying that, but I disagree. Let your entire team decide the game.

Packers 30, Bears 27— Green Bay blew a 27-10 4th quarter lead, but Rodgers hit Jordy Nelson with a 60-yard bomb to set up the GW field goal with 0:03 left. Packers have now won last seven games in Chicago, but Bears have to like what they see out of 3rd-string QB Barkley.

if Dallas wins Sunday night, Packers are tied with Tampa Bay for last Wild Card slot.

Colts 34, Vikings 6— Stunning no-show by Minnesota that basically ends their season; game was 27-nil at the half. I spent 50 Sunday afternoons watching Sam Bradford play for the Rams, so I’m not totally surprised by all this, and the Norv Turner resignation should’ve raised the red flag about as high as it can go, that there were big problems with this team.

Bills 33, Browns 13— Worst thing for the Browns is that they still have zero idea who their QB is as they move towards 2017. Cleveland is 2-12 vs spread; ’08 Lions went 0-16, but were 7-9 against spread. In its last four games, Cleveland was outscored 65-9 in first half. Buffalo is 7-1 if they allow 21 or less points, 0-6 if they allow more. Over is 11-2 in Buffalo’s last 13 games.

Titans 19, Chiefs 17— Chiefs led 14-0 after 10:31 of play but lost. Kansas City had the ball with 3:12 left up 17-16 and Tennessee had no timeouts left (other than 2:00 warning), but Chiefs couldn’t get a first down and lost 19-17 at home for the second time in five weeks (Bucs were other loss). Tennessee has now won four of last five games; they went for two-point conversion and the lead with 3:12 left, down 17-16 and won despite not getting it.

Texans 21, Jaguars 20— Houston benched Brock Osweiler after his second INT; he has $37M in guaranteed money coming his way. Bill O’Brien coached this game like he was getting fired if Houston misses the playoffs— Tom Savage may have saved O’Brien’s butt by leading this comeback that makes the Texans 6-1 at home this season. Jaguars lost their ninth game in a row; they fired coach Gus Bradley after the game- at least he’ll get to spend Christmas with his family.

Saints 48, Cardinals 41— 20 possessions in this game; 11 TD’s, three FG’s tried, not a lot of defense played. Cardinals have now allowed 30.9 pts/game their last seven games, giving up 22 TD’s on opponents’ last 72 drives. NFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 10-2 vs spread this season. Except for Seattle, NFC West has been a dumpster fire in 2016.

Falcons 41, 49ers 13— First three times they had the ball, Atlanta ran 22 plays for 157 yards and a quick 21-nil lead— Falcons coasted the rest of the way, running ball for 248 yards, throwing for 302. 49ers haven’t won since Week 1; they allowed 12.6 yards/pass attempt in this game. In their last three games, Niners have been outscored 52-0 in second half. I’m going to spend Christmas Eve in a sportsbook watching Rams-49ers; Feliz Navidad. Over is 12-2 in Falcon games this season.

Patriots 16, Broncos 3— In their last three games, Denver has two offensive TDs on 35 drives; we’re going to find out this winter how patient John Elway is. Will he go after Tony Romo and try to jumpstart his offense for 2017? Patriots won for just second time in last eight visits here. Under is 8-3 in last 11 Denver games, 4-1 in last five Patriot games.

Raiders 19, Chargers 16— Two years ago, Oakland went 3-13 with rookie Derek Carr at QB; things have improved for him. Oakland is 6-1 in true road games this year; they’re 8-1 in games decided by 7 or less points, thanks in large part to a +15 turnover ratio. San Diego is 1-7 in games decided by 7 or less points; their TO ratio is -6. There is a very fine line between winning and losing in the NFL.

Cowboys 26, Buccaneers 20— Prescott went 32-36/280 in this highly entertaining game; putting to rest any potential QB controversy. Jameis Winston is going to be really good; this was his first game in the brightest of NFL spotlights. Bucs’ 5-game win streak is snapped. Packer fans were rooting like hell for Dallas, Giant fans were rooting for Tampa Bay.

**Udog** · 12-19-2016, 08:51 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 19

Washington three in row, five of last six games; their last five games went over total. Wizards are 3-2 as a road underdog. Indiana won/covered its last four home games; they’re 6-4 as home favorites. Last four Pacer games stayed under total. Pacers won four of last five games with Washington in series where road team won five of last six series games. Wizards won three of last four visits here. Over is 6-1 in last seven series games.

Detroit lost three of its last four games; they won/covered last five road games. Under is 6-2 in Pistons’ last eight games. Chicago lost last three games by 26-11-5 points; they’re 3-4 in last seven home games (2-5 vs spread). Five of Bulls’ last six games stayed under total. Pistons won six of last eight games with Chicago; Detroit won by 3-4 points in last two visits to Windy City. Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

Atlanta is 3-2 in its last five games after a 1-10 skid; Hawks are 4-6 as road underdogs. Three of last four Atlanta games went over. Oklahoma City won seven of its last nine home games; they’re 9-4 as home favorites. Last seven Thunder games stayed under total. Thunder won six of last eight games with Atlanta; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Hawks lost last three visits here, by 2-8-13 points.

Phoenix lost six of its last eight games; they’re 9-5 as road underdogs. Over is 7-3 in Suns’ last ten games. Timberwolves lost five of last six games; they’re 3-2 vs spread as home favorites. Over is 7-4 in their last eleven games. Minnesota won three of last four games with Phoenix; five of last six series games stayed under the total. Suns lost last three visits to Twin Cities, by 2-30-5 points.

Dallas lost its last nine road games (2-7 vs spread); they’re 1-3 if they played night before. Over is 5-3 in last eight Maverick games. Nuggets won three of last four games; they’re 4-4 as home favorites. Over is 10-1-1 in last twelve Denver games. Mavericks won six of last seven games with Denver; over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Dallas lost three of last five games in this building.

**Udog** · 12-19-2016, 08:53 AM

NBA

Monday, December 19

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. INDIANA
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Atlanta is 6-19 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Oklahoma City
Atlanta is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Phoenix's last 24 games
Phoenix is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games

8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Detroit

9:00 PM
DALLAS vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing Denver
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

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**Udog** · 12-19-2016, 09:27 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, December 19

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WASHINGTON (12 - 14) at INDIANA (14 - 14) - 12/19/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (13 - 14) at OKLAHOMA CITY (16 - 11) - 12/19/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-50 ATS (-19.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (14 - 15) at CHICAGO (13 - 13) - 12/19/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 255-307 ATS (-82.7 Units) first half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 7-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (8 - 19) at MINNESOTA (7 - 19) - 12/19/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 82-105 ATS (-33.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 195-242 ATS (-71.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (7 - 20) at DENVER (11 - 16) - 12/19/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 358-296 ATS (+32.4 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 469-392 ATS (+37.8 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 86-60 ATS (+20.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
DALLAS is 73-46 ATS (+22.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 73-48 ATS (+20.2 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-19-2016, 12:28 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, December 19

Dallas @ Denver

Game 709-710
December 19, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
118.937
Denver
118.763
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
Even
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 8 1/2
203
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+8 1/2); Under

Phoenix @ Minnesota

Game 707-708
December 19, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
109.597
Minnesota
121.077
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 11 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 5
214
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-5); Under

Detroit @ Chicago

Game 705-706
December 19, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
116.145
Chicago
114.945
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
187
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3
195
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+3); Under

Atlanta @ Oklahoma City

Game 703-704
December 19, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
113.104
Oklahoma City
122.590
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 9 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 3
210
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-3); Over

Washington @ Indiana

Game 701-702
December 19, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
120.202
Indiana
121.667
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 1 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 6
212
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+6); Over

**Udog** · 12-19-2016, 12:59 PM

Clippers' Blake Griffin will miss the next 3-6 weeks after undergoing arthroscopic surgery on his right knee. Clippers host Denver on Tues.

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/19

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/19

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