Announcement

**Udog** · 12-17-2016, 08:15 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

NFL trends for Week 15 games

— Baltimore is 1-5-1 in last seven games vs NFC teams.

— Panthers are 14-6 in last 20 games as a road dog.

— Texans are 8-1-1 vs spread in last ten divisional games.

— Vikings covered nine of last ten as a home favorite.

— New England covered nine of its last 12 games.

— Redskins are 13-4 vs spread in their last 17 games.

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random thoughts on a damn cold day

13) NBA has a problem on their hands; teams are routinely sitting stars when they play back/back games, and fans who are paying serious money to watch these games aren’t happy. I’m not talking about players who are legitimately injured, I’m talking about guys being given nights off to “rest”. Rest from what?

Seems like most teams try to rest their stars on the road, so their fans don’t get screwed out of seeing the hometown heroes play, but what about when the Cavaliers or Warriors or Rockets go on the road?

People pay a LOT OF MONEY to see Lebron play or Steph Curry or James Harden play and if they don’t play, thats bad for future business. Bad for current business, too.

“I never thought this would happen in our sport.” Allen Iverson said that about players resting during Friday night’s Lakers-Philly broadcast.

12) Gregg Popovich is the man most responsible for implementing this practice, but the media won’t call him on it because he’s won a lot and he’s a grumpy human on a good day.

But I remember walking into the Mandalay Bay sportsbook just before Christmas 2012 and there was a kerfuffle because the Spurs were on TNT that night and Parker/Duncan/Ginobili weren’t playing.

Spurs won anyway that night and now that practice has spread all over the league. Guys who played 2-3 games a day in their teen/AAU years can’t play a game one night, get on a private plane and fly to another city to play again the next night, its too much for them.

I sound like the old guy telling kids to get off his lawn but I’m right; modern NBA players make a bleeping fortune and they sit out games when they’re not hurt and it sucks.

11) I didn’t even mention people like myself who pay $200 for the Full Court package on TV; I want to watch ball, if a star sits out, I’ll just put another game on, so it isn’t as big a deal as if you go buy game tickets, then travel to the arena for that one game.

But when the average salary in the NBA is set to jump to $9M (AVERAGE!!!!) pretty soon, you’d think guys would suck it up and actually play in all the games, so people who drove 300 miles and use their savings to let their kid see Lebron or Dwyane Wade play wouldn’t go home disappointed.

10) There is a big mess up in Minnesota; 10 Golden Gopher football players were suspended for their bowl game, after an investigation into an alleged sexual assault at an off-campus apartment in September was re-opened. That opened a huge can of worms.

As a result of the investigation being re-opened, the rest of the Gophers are boycotting football activities, which puts their Holiday Bowl game with Washington State in jeopardy.

There is the potential for a lot of collateral damage here; bowls generally benefit charities, so that would be bad, Washington State would be negatively impacted, the people who work at Qualcomm Park and at ESPN would lose work.

There is the chance Minnesota could drop out of the bowl and be replaced by another team, but plans have been made and it would be cumbersome for another team to re-gather and begin bowl prep. Curious to see how this one plays out.

9) Elsewhere in Minnesota, Adrian Peterson will play this week against the Colts, coming back a little earlier than expected from his knee surgery.

8) This from Mr Bill Deacon on the Interweb:

“…..At the age of 52, Bill Wyman, Sir Mick (Jagger)’s former bandmate, married an 18-year-old called Mandy Smith. A few years later, Wyman’s grown-up son from a previous marriage married Mandy’s mother.

Which meant that Wyman’s mother-in-law was also his daughter-in-law.”

7) Louisville suspended its offensive coordinator as a result of the Wake Forest scandal, where a disgruntled former coach leaked gameplay info to Demon Deacon opponents.

I’ll say this, whether I’m right or wrong who knows, but it is how I feel: if a friend of yours does this and contacts you with gameplay info, no one on this planet is turning his friend in. You may ask him if anything is wrong, you may take the info and toss it away, but who would rat out their friend? It is unrealistic to think that would happen. A “friend” would not do that.

6) Austin Wiley, a top-20 basketball prospect in the class of 2017, has enrolled at Auburn and will be immediately eligible; this means the kid gave up his senior year of high school to play college hoop right now. Decisions like this are tough; you’re giving up a piece of your normal childhood, but for what?

Chances are he is a lot younger than his new teammates; from a social standpoint, is it a positive? He has to leave home; hopefully this turns out to be a good decision for the player, and is not a reaction to two Auburn players being suspended earlier this week after they got busted by the cops with weed.

5) Good news: Rod Carew is expected to make a full recovery from his heart/kidney transplants that took place Thursday night into Friday- whole thing took 13 hours. Medicine is an amazing thing.

4) Former NBA player Darius Miles is 35 years old; he made $62M in his 11-year playing career, which ended seven years ago. Unfortunately, Miles has declared for bankruptcy; this week his sports memorabilia was auctioned off near St Louis. You make $62M in 11 years, you shouldn’t be broke seven years later. Guys need to learn how to handle their money.

A guy like Shaquille O’Neal has been brilliant with his money; he owns close to 100 fast-food places and some car washes, plus she still banks a fortune each year doing commercials. Junior Bridgman owns 70 or 80 Wendy’s, but most athletes squander their money and that is a tragedy.

3) North Carolina is 8-4 vs Kentucky when they’ve played, with both teams in the top ten.

2) We will never see anything like this, but would love to hear a President’s candid thoughts (any President) after he leaves office.

— Was it what he thought it would be like?
— Did the time fly by?
— Did he enjoy it at all?
— Did he miss being able to drive his own car?
— Would he do it all over again, if he could?
— What advice would he give to future Presidents?

1) Nothing brings out hostility in people like getting stuck in traffic jams at Christmastime, when everyone is in a hurry to do the same thing; where I live, traffic jams are uncommon, but there was one today around 1:45 in the afternoon and people were salty about it. Horns blaring, near-accidents, people cutting off other cars, great fun.

Guy in lane next to me in a red Mercedes banged his horn so hard it looked like he might’ve hurt his hand. Why? Because the car in front of him let someone cut in front of them from a parking lot. Hey buddy, you drive a Mercedes, you’re probably rich. Chill. Merry Christmas!!!

**Udog** · 12-17-2016, 08:24 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, December 17

Phoenix lost five of last seven games but is 7-3 vs spread in last ten road games. Over is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Oklahoma City lost three of its last four games; they’re 8-4 as home favorites. Last six Thunder games stayed under total. Thunder won its last five games with Phoenix (3-2 vs spread); Suns lost last five visits here, but covered three of last four. Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Indiana lost last three road games by 8-6-7 points; Pacers are 2-5 as road underdogs. Last three Indiana games stayed under total. Detroit is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 7-3 as home favorites. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Pacers won five of last six games with Detroit; Indiana won three of its last five visits to Motor City (3-2 vs spread). Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Charlotte lost three of its last four games; they’re 3-2-1 as road underdogs. Under is 5-1 in Hornets’ last six games. Atlanta won three of last four games; they’re 0-4-1 in last five games as a home favorite. Hawks’ last three games went over the total. Home side won eight of last nine Charlotte-Atlanta games; Hornets lost last four visits here (1-3 vs spread). Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Lakers snapped their 8-game skid last night; they’re 2-6 in last eight games as a road underdog. LA’s last three games stayed under the total. Cavaliers won/covered five of last six games; they are 6-1 in last seven games as a home favorite. Three of last four Cleveland games stayed under. Lakers lost last four games with Cleveland (1-3 vs spread); Lakers lost four of last five visits to Lake Erie (2-3 vs spread). Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Rockets were 24-61 on arc last nite, most 3’s ever tried in one NBA game; Houston won its last nine games (7-2 vs spread)- they’re 5-2 as a road favorite. Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Minnesota lost four of last five games; they’re 1-6 in last seven games as a home underdog. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Rockets won their last seven games with Minnesota (3-4 vs spread); Houston won its last three visits here, by 12-2-24 points. Last nine series games went over total.

New York covered six of last seven road games; they’re 13-4 vs spread in last 17 games overall. Over is 6-4-1 in New York’s last 11 road games. Denver lost three of last four home games; they are 4-7 SU at home. Over is 9-1-1 in Nuggets’ last 11 games overall. Knicks lost five of last seven games wth Denver; New York lost its last four visits here (1-3 vs spread). Last six series games stayed under total.

Portland lost five of its last six games; they’re 3-8 as a road underdog. Over is 9-3 in Blazers’ last 12 games. Warriors won seven of last eight games but are 0-5 vs spread in last five; they are 5-7 as home favorites. Under is 5-1 in their last six games. Golden State won seven of last eight games with Portland (6-2 vs spread); Trailblazers lost last five visits to Oakland (1-4 vs spread). Nine of last ten series games went over.

**Udog** · 12-17-2016, 08:26 AM

NBA

Saturday, December 17

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Trend Report
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5:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games

7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. DETROIT
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indiana's last 12 games on the road
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing Indiana

7:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. CLEVELAND
LA Lakers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Cleveland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

8:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. MINNESOTA
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Houston

9:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. DENVER
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York

10:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Portland's last 12 games
Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Golden State's last 12 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Portland

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**Udog** · 12-17-2016, 11:52 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, December 17

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PHOENIX (8 - 18) at OKLAHOMA CITY (15 - 11) - 12/17/2016, 5:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (13 - 14) at DETROIT (14 - 14) - 12/17/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 66-94 ATS (-37.4 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (11 - 18) at CLEVELAND (18 - 6) - 12/17/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in December games this season.
LA LAKERS are 50-71 ATS (-28.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 133-186 ATS (-71.6 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (14 - 13) at ATLANTA (13 - 13) - 12/17/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-4 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (20 - 7) at MINNESOTA (7 - 18) - 12/17/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) first half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MINNESOTA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 44-70 ATS (-33.0 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) first half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (14 - 12) at DENVER (10 - 16) - 12/17/2016, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (13 - 15) at GOLDEN STATE (23 - 4) - 12/17/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
PORTLAND is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 127-101 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 117-92 ATS (+15.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 68-48 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 69-49 ATS (+15.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 58-43 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 73-105 ATS (-42.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 10-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 11-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
11 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-17-2016, 12:00 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, December 17

Portland @ Golden State

Game 713-714
December 17, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
116.420
Golden State
131.970
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 15 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 13 1/2
231 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-13 1/2); Under

New York @ Denver

Game 711-712
December 17, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
117.964
Denver
115.732
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 3 1/2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+3 1/2); Over

Houston @ Minnesota

Game 709-710
December 17, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
128.920
Minnesota
117.983
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 11
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 4 1/2
220
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-4 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ Atlanta

Game 707-708
December 17, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
118.649
Atlanta
116.831
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 2 1/2
207
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+2 1/2); Over

LA Lakers @ Cleveland

Game 705-706
December 17, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
110.714
Cleveland
130.766
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 20 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 16
218
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-16); Over

Indiana @ Detroit

Game 703-704
December 17, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
120.547
Detroit
117.065
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 3 1/2
189
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 4
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+4); Under

Phoenix @ Oklahoma City

Game 701-702
December 17, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
110.147
Oklahoma City
121.639
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 11 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 6 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-6 1/2); Under

Announcement

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/17

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/17

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