Announcement

**Udog** · 12-16-2016, 08:28 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

— Seahawks 24, Rams 3– Seattle clinches the NFC West title.

— Rams were first NFL team with a logo on their helmet; it was designed by Fred Gehrke, who played for the Rams and whose grandson is Christian Yelich, the Marlins’ left-fielder.

— Former Villanova/NBA star Kerry Kittles is now an assistant coach at Princeton.

— Monmouth 82, Memphis 79— Statement win for the Hawks.

— 5-9 Marcus Keene has been a dynamo for Central Michigan this season; when he played at Youngstown State, he was listed at 5-11. Apparently the move to CMU cost him a couple of inches.

— Michael Floyd gets a DUI, is cut by Arizona, gets signed by the 1st-place Patriots. Players on cruddy teams will be driving drunk all weekend, trying to get cut so they can hook up with good teams.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) RIP Craig Sager; the TNT sideline reporter passed away Thursday at age 65, after a courageous battle with leukemia. Known for his colorful wardrobe, Sager inspired us with his toughness as he would commute from chemo treatments to NBA playoff games last spring, then go back for chemo treatments the next day.

“Time is something that cannot be bought, it cannot be wagered with God, and it is not in endless supply, time is simply how we live our lives.” RIP sir.

12) Derek Dooley is the Cowboys’ WR coach; he was fired as Tennessee’s football coach four years ago. This month he got the last of his payments from Tennessee for having coached there. Four years of checks without stepping foot in Knoxville; not bad.

11) Jordy Nelson has 17 red zone receptions (plays inside opponents’ 20-yard line), the most of anyone in the NFL.

10) Tom Brady’s career record against Denver is 6-9, the only NFL team he is under.500 against.

9) Our thoughts and prayers are with baseball great Rod Carew, who received both a new heart and a new kidney Thursday. What a hitter Carew was, a career .*** hitter.

8) Chicago Bulls are the only NBA team this season that has scored more points on the foul line than they have on the 3-point arc.

7) Ole Miss signed a new offensive coordinator from I-AA Sam Houston State, a team that ran the Air Raid offense. Ole Miss HC Hugh Freeze was once a high school coach, so hiring a guy from a I-AA program is no big deal.

6) Sean Woods “resigned” as basketball coach at Morehead State, which probably means they gave him some money so he would go away and they wouldn’t have to fire him. One parent claimed Woods head-butted his son, one of the Morehead players, which obviously is not good.

5) NFL salary cap is expected to go up around $12M next year, so next time Richard Sherman whines about Thursday night games, maybe he should say whether or not he would be willing to take less of a salary if the NFL eliminated Thursday games. Maybe he would, maybe not.

4) 20 of 80 teams playing in bowl games had a 6-6 or worse record, part of the reason ESPN is having a harder time finding title sponsors for these games that featured such mediocre teams.

3) SEC Network is showing lot of basketball this month, but by God, except for Kentucky, does anyone in the SEC go to any of these games? Games at Alabama-Tennessee-Miss State-LSU, they seemed more like funerals than games on a college campus. After New Year’s, when conference games start, things will pick up but these December games have had practice-like atmospheres.

2) If you care about such things, Golden State Warriors are 4-0 as a road favorite when laying 7 or less points, 3-8 when laying 8+ points.

1) Given what happened earlier today, I’m not sure how any NBA player can simply take a day off now to “rest”. Live your life, use the gifts God gave you to entertain the public. Ron Boone played in 1,041 consecutive ABA/NBA games and his team didn’t travel on a chartered plane. Life is short, we need to do what we can, while we can.

**Udog** · 12-16-2016, 08:39 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, December 16

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FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 5) at MIAMI (7 - 2) - 12/16/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 98-70 ATS (+21.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
MIAMI is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
MIAMI is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TX-ARLINGTON (8 - 3) at BRADLEY (5 - 5) - 12/16/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TX-ARLINGTON is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games since 1997.
TX-ARLINGTON is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
TX-ARLINGTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
BRADLEY is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TX-ARLINGTON is 2-0 against the spread versus BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
TX-ARLINGTON is 2-0 straight up against BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S DAKOTA (8 - 4) vs. PORTLAND (5 - 3) - 12/16/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LONG BEACH ST (2 - 10) vs. OREGON ST (3 - 7) - 12/16/2016, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LONG BEACH ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
OREGON ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
OREGON ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
OREGON ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
OREGON ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DREXEL (4 - 5) at RIDER (6 - 3) - 12/16/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 8-33 ATS (-28.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
RIDER is 73-104 ATS (-41.4 Units) in all home games since 1997.
RIDER is 73-104 ATS (-41.4 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
RIDER is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1997.
RIDER is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 32-56 ATS (-29.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAMFORD (6 - 3) at S ALABAMA (6 - 4) - 12/16/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAMFORD is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAMFORD is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAMFORD is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 112-146 ATS (-48.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ALABAMA is 1-0 against the spread versus SAMFORD over the last 3 seasons
S ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against SAMFORD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N DAKOTA ST (7 - 4) at N DAKOTA (5 - 3) - 12/16/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N DAKOTA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
N DAKOTA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
N DAKOTA ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA ST is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA ST is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
N DAKOTA ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N DAKOTA is 2-1 against the spread versus N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
N DAKOTA ST is 2-1 straight up against N DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND ST (4 - 4) at SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 1) - 12/16/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 84-118 ATS (-45.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 82-117 ATS (-46.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 straight up against PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-16-2016, 08:39 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, December 16

Miami is 7-2 with two losses vs top 30 teams (Iowa St/Florida); Hurricanes are #268 experience team playing #266 pace- they’re 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, with three wins by 30+ points and a 74-57 win over Wofford. Florida Atlantic is 2-5 vvs D-i teams but upset Ohio State in OT in its last game 10 days ago; Owls made 10-25 on arc in that game, are making 38.1% of their 3’s for season- they have four losses to teams ranked outside the top 200. ACC home favorites are 29-19 vs spread; C-USA road underdogs are 21-19.

Tex-Arlington won its last five D-I games with last four of those on road; Mavericks are #15 experience team but still turn ball over 23.2% of time, which is way too much. UTA blasted Bradley by 11-36 points last two years; they made 17-40 on arc in LW’s win. Bradley is 5-5 this year vs schedule #303; they’re 3rd-least experienced team in country, with no seniors in their rotation. Braves are 2-2 at home, losing to Delaware/Nevada by 14-22 points. Sun Belt road favorites are 4-3 vs spread; MVC home underdogs are 3-2.

First game in 11 days for Portland, after they beat Rio Grande in double OT last game; Pilots are 4-3 vs D-i foes under new coach Porter- they’re shooting 37.9% on arc (#72) and are #58 experience team. South Dakota is 6-4 vs schedule #231; Coyotes are #294 experience team that got put together for first time this year. USD has #308 eFG%, making just 44.9% inside arc. South Dakota is 1-2 on road, with only win by 5 at Drake. WCC home favorites are 22-13 vs spread; Summit League road underdogs are 16-22.

Long Beach State is a road favorite despite being 1-10 vs D-I opponents, with only win by 9 over Pepperdine nine days ago. 49ers over scheduled again; they’ve played 2nd-hardest schedule in America so far, but thats because guarantee $$ helps pay their coach’s inflated salary. Oregon State has ton of injuries, with Tinkle/Dew/N’diaye all out hurt. Beavers have already lost at home to Lamar and Savannah State, no bueno. Big West favorites are 2-3 away from home; Pac-12 home underdogs are 1-2.

Rider is 6-3 vs schedule #301; they’ve #96 experience team playing #43 pace. Broncs are shooting 29% on arc (#327), 60.5% on foul line (#337) but they have #43 eFG% defense so that helps. Drexel has new coach, is 4-5 vs schedule #249; they lost by point to St Joe’s in last game after leading by 11 with under 15:00 left. Dragons start two frosh, two juniors; they’re #223 experience team. Rider Rider is 5-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200. MAAC home favorites are 1-3 vs spread; CAA road underdogs are 13-8.

South Alabama won in double OT at Samford LY, after being down 10 with 7:48 left in regulation; both teams were under 60% on foul line. USA lost four of its last five games after a 4-0 start; Jags are shooting just 28.5% on arc (#333)- they force turnovers 23.7% of time (#19). Samford is 5-3 vs schedule #316; Bulldogs are making 38.8% of 3-pointers, despite being #320 team in experience. This is Samford’s first D-I game in twelve days. Sun Belt home favorites are 7-6 vs spread; SoCon road underdogs are 15-12.

North Dakota State was 1-20 on arc in 74-56 home loss to North Dakota nine days ago in Fargo; Bison beat UC Davis by 4 since then; they’re 2-2 in true road games, 1-4 vs top 200 teams, with only win in opener vs Arkansas State. North Dakota is 2-3 vs D-i teams with losses by 1-4-8 points (and three non-D-I wins). Fighting Hawks had lost by 2-29 points in last couple series games. Big Sky home favorites are 3-8 vs spread; Summit League road underdogs are 16-22 against the spread.

San Francisco is 7-1 vs easiest schedule in America up to now; every team they’ve played is rated #235 or lower, with only loss by 6 at #239 Eastern Washington. Dons are making 40.7% of their 3’s, have #4 eFG% in country- they hammered Portland State 77-40 in last meeting couple years ago. Vikings are 2-4 but they did win 91-85 at Pepperdine of WCC, their only win in five true road games- they lost by 16 at LMU. PSU has #344 eFG% defense in country. WCC home favorites are 22-13 vs spread; Big Sky road underdogs are 24-26.

**Udog** · 12-16-2016, 08:42 AM

NCAAB

Friday, December 16

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE vs. FURMAN
No trends available
Furman is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
Furman is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. MIAMI
Florida Atlantic is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Florida Atlantic's last 14 games on the road
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida Atlantic
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic

7:00 PM
DREXEL vs. RIDER
Drexel is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Rider is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Rider is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
MILLIGAN vs. WILLIAM & MARY
No trends available
William & Mary is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
William & Mary is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home

7:00 PM
UNC WILMINGTON vs. HIGH POINT
UNC Wilmington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
No trends available

8:00 PM
ARKANSAS STATE vs. CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Arkansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arkansas State is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
No trends available

8:00 PM
TEXAS-ARLINGTON vs. BRADLEY
Texas-Arlington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas-Arlington's last 5 games on the road
Bradley is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games at home
Bradley is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games

8:00 PM
TEXAS-PAN AMERICAN vs. LAMAR
Texas-Pan American is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Lamar
Texas-Pan American is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
No trends available

8:05 PM
MONTANA TECH vs. IDAHO STATE
No trends available
Idaho State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Idaho State is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games

8:05 PM
SAMFORD vs. SOUTH ALABAMA
Samford is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
South Alabama is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
South Alabama is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

9:00 PM
CAL STATE-EAST BAY vs. STANFORD
No trends available
Stanford is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Stanford is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

9:00 PM
NORTH DAKOTA STATE vs. NORTH DAKOTA
No trends available
North Dakota is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

10:00 PM
BETHESDA vs. CS NORTHRIDGE
No trends available
CS Northridge is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of CS Northridge's last 9 games

10:00 PM
PORTLAND STATE vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Portland State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

11:00 PM
LONG BEACH STATE vs. OREGON STATE
Long Beach State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oregon State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Oregon State is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

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**Udog** · 12-16-2016, 09:51 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, December 16

Portland St @ San Francisco

Game 535-536
December 16, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland St
48.238
San Francisco
58.839
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 10 1/2
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 8 1/2
158
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-8 1/2); Under

North Dakota St @ North Dakota

Game 533-534
December 16, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Dakota St
48.300
North Dakota
60.602
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Dakota
by 12 1/2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Dakota
by 5 1/2
135
Dunkel Pick:
North Dakota
(-5 1/2); Over

Samford @ South Alabama

Game 531-532
December 16, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Samford
52.345
South Alabama
51.542
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Samford
by 1
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Alabama
by 2 1/2
137
Dunkel Pick:
Samford
(+2 1/2); Over

Drexel @ Rider

Game 529-530
December 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Drexel
53.235
Rider
49.742
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Drexel
by 3 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rider
by 5 1/2
147
Dunkel Pick:
Drexel
(+5 1/2); Under

Long Beach St @ Oregon State

Game 527-528
December 16, 2016 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Long Beach St
46.753
Oregon State
50.921
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon State
by 4
130
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Long Beach St
by 3 1/2
139
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon State
(+3 1/2); Under

South Dakota @ Portland

Game 525-526
December 16, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Dakota
53.383
Portland
51.331
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Dakota
by 2
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 4
147
Dunkel Pick:
South Dakota
(+4); Over

TX-Arlington @ Bradley

Game 523-524
December 16, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TX-Arlington
64.190
Bradley
50.037
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TX-Arlington
by 14
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TX-Arlington
by 11 1/2
143
Dunkel Pick:
TX-Arlington
(-11 1/2); Under

Florida Atlantic @ Miami-FL

Game 521-522
December 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida Atlantic
51.870
Miami-FL
73.367
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 21 1/2
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 19
137
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-FL
(-19); Over

Announcement

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/17

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/17

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