Announcement

**Udog** · 12-14-2016, 08:24 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

My six most interesting bowl games:

— South Florida-South Carolina— Want to see USF’s mobile QB against an SEC defense.

— Michigan-Florida State— Seminoles played better late in year; there are tensions between the coaches, regarding recruiting.

— West Virginia-Miami— Hurricanes lost their last six bowls.

— Eastern Michigan-Old Dominion— Monarchs’ first bowl, Eagles’ first since 1987.

— Miami OH-Mississippi State- Miami started season 0-6.

— Clemson-Ohio State— Woody Hayes’ last game was against the Tigers, when he slugged a Clemson LB late in game.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

We start the day with a couple of odd stories……..
13) Wake Forest’s football team fired one of its radio guys, an alum and former assistant coach, after they found out he “attempted to provide confidential and proprietary game preparations on multiple occasions, starting in 2014.” Yikes.

The guy was a Wake Forest assistant coach for 11 years under Jim Grobe, but was let go when the school changed coaches three years ago.

Sidebar: Are any ACC football coaches nervous? If they bought info from this guy, could be.

12) Morehead State basketball coach Sean Woods was charged with misdemeanor assault in Indiana by two of his players, who say Woods assaulted them during/after a game in Evansville. Woods has been suspended by the school pending a resolution of the case.

Hard to imagine him keeping his job, but he has a contract thru 2020; if the legal charges go away, then the school has to make a decision. Would be expensive to fire him without cause.

11) On November 28, High Point beat Morgan State 62-61 in one of those games you never notice, except that in this game, High Point trailed by 13 with 1:35 to play. At that point, a win was virtually a statistical impossibility, but the Panthers pulled it off.

High Point is coached by Scott Cherry, who is from Saratoga up here in my neck of the woods; he sat the bench for four years at North Carolina- the great coach Dean Smith was a family friend.

10) Packers @ Bears Sunday; game time temperature is expected to be one degree. One.

9) Miami Dolphins signed TJ Yates to be backup QB; Yates is 4-3 as an NFL starter going 2-0 for the Texans LY. He also won a playoff game for the Texans in 2011; not many backup QBs in the NFL have a playoff win under their belt.

8) Lebron James was named Sportsman of the Year by Sports Illustrated; I’m a little surprised, thought Joe Maddon might get the call for that.

7) All ten basketball teams in the Big X are in the top 75 right now. Very tough league; a good team is going to finish last.

6) Then there is the Mountain West, which has only one team in the RPI top 100, Nevada at #29. San Diego State has regressed; this is a one-bid league again this year.

5) Underreported story; former Ohio State football coach Jim Tressel is at Youngstown State, but he isn’t the football coach or the AD. He is the President of the whole freakin’ school.

4) Florida defensive coordinator Geoff Collins is the new football coach at Temple. if Paul Finebaum says he’s a good hire, thats good enough for me.

3) NFL will have four London games next year, hopefully not at 9:30am: Ravens-Jags, Vikings-Browns, Saints-Dolphins and Rams-Cardinals. Arizona-Baltimore-Cleveland will be playing in England for the first time.

2) Cleveland Browns are 0-13 this season, 2-11 vs spread; by way of comparison, the last winless NFL team, the ’08 Lions were 0-16 but went 7-9 against the spread.

1) More sad news, unfortunately. TV personality Alan Thicke, 69, passed away Tuesday after he collapsed while playing hockey with his son. Thicke was talented and funny; he had a talk show on TV for a while that was good but never quite caught on. Seemed like a good guy. RIP, sir.

**Udog** · 12-14-2016, 08:39 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, December 14

Memphis won its last six games, even without injured PG Conley; Grizzlies covered four of last five games as a road underdog. Last three Memphis games stayed under. Cleveland won/covered its last four games; they covered five of last six games as a home favorite. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Cavaliers won three of last four games with Memphis; they covered seven of last ten series games. Teams split last four games played here. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Magic lost their last three games, but covered six of last seven games as a road underdog. Three of last four Orlando games went over. Hawks won last two games but lost three of last four at home; they’re 0-3-1 vs spread in last four home games. Under is 12-3 in their last 15 games. Orlando won its last two games with Atlanta after losing six of previous seven series games; Magic lost three of last four visits here (3-1 vs spread). Four of last six series games stayed under the total.

Minnesota lost four in row, seven of last eight games; they’re 3-5 as road underdogs. Over is 7-2 in last nine Timberwolves games. Chicago won last two games by 4-5 points; they’re 3-4 as home favorites. Over is 3-1 in their last four home games. Minnesota won last two games with Chicago by 7-9 points; teams split last four games played here (Minnesota 3-1 vs spread). Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

Warriors won five of last six games but are 0-3 vs spread in last three; they’re 7-7 as road favorites (0-3 in last three). Under is 3-1 in last four Golden State games. Pelicans lost five of last six games; they’re 3-1 as home underdogs. Three of last four New Orleans games went over. Golden State won its last nine games with New Orleans (4-2 vs spread in last six); Warriors won last four visits to Bourbon Street (2-2 vs spread) winning by 8-14-11-4 points. Last four series games went over total.

New York won six of its last seven games; they’re 5-6 SU on road, 1-0 vs spread as road favorites. Three of last four Knick games went over. Phoenix lost six of last eight games; they’re 4-3 as home underdogs. Six of last seven Suns games went over total. Knicks won last two games with Phoenix by 18-31 points; teams split last four games played here (Suns 2-1-1 vs spread). Six of last seven series games stayed under.

Portland lost tough game in Staples Center last night, Trailblazers’ 4ht straight loss; Blazers won/covered five of last seven home games. Over is 8-2 in Portland’s last ten games. Oklahoma City won seven of last eight games, winning last three road tilts. Last four Thunder games stayed under the total. Home side won last six Oklahoma City-Portland games; Thunder lost last four visits here, by 5-5-3-17 points. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

**Udog** · 12-14-2016, 08:39 AM

NBA

Tuesday, December 14

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. ORLANDO
LA Clippers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games
LA Clippers are 18-7 SU in their last 25 games
Orlando is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Orlando is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Toronto is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games

7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana

7:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. WASHINGTON
Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte

7:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
LA Lakers are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Brooklyn's last 10 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers

8:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. HOUSTON
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games

8:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. MEMPHIS
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Memphis's last 11 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Memphis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

8:30 PM
DETROIT vs. DALLAS
Detroit is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit
Dallas is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Detroit

9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Oklahoma City's last 16 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Utah is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Utah is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

9:30 PM
BOSTON vs. SAN ANTONIO
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

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**Udog** · 12-14-2016, 09:56 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 14

Boston @ San Antonio

Game 519-520
December 14, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
122.954
San Antonio
124.035
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 1
193
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 8
201 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+8); Under

Oklahoma City @ Utah

Game 517-518
December 14, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
117.046
Utah
128.978
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 12
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
N/A

Detroit @ Dallas

Game 515-516
December 14, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
119.156
Dallas
119.483
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
Even
193
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 4 1/2
189 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+4 1/2); Over

Sacramento @ Houston

Game 513-514
December 14, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
123.157
Houston
123.575
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
Even
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 9 1/2
217
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+9 1/2); Under

Cleveland @ Memphis

Game 511-512
December 14, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
127.150
Memphis
124.019
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 7 1/2
203
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+7 1/2); Over

LA Lakers @ Brooklyn

Game 509-510
December 14, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
113.625
Brooklyn
108.432
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 5
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
by 1 1/2
228
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+1 1/2); Under

Charlotte @ Washington

Game 507-508
December 14, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
116.957
Washington
119.471
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
Pick
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
Over

LA Clippers @ Orlando

Game 505-506
December 14, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
127.054
Orlando
113.179
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 14
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
N/A

Toronto @ Philadelphia

Game 503-504
December 14, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
134.156
Philadelphia
116.224
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 18
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 8 1/2
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-8 1/2); Under

Indiana @ Miami

Game 501-502
December 14, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
113.559
Miami
123.275
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 9 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
205
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-1 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 12-14-2016, 10:07 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 14

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INDIANA (13 - 12) at MIAMI (8 - 17) - 12/14/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 123-165 ATS (-58.5 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (17 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (6 - 18) - 12/14/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) first half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-66 ATS (-34.6 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 111-152 ATS (-56.2 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 9-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (18 - 7) at ORLANDO (11 - 15) - 12/14/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-0 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (14 - 11) at WASHINGTON (9 - 14) - 12/14/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 56-82 ATS (-34.2 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 370-439 ATS (-112.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 171-213 ATS (-63.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 90-123 ATS (-45.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-4 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (10 - 17) at BROOKLYN (6 - 17) - 12/14/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in December games this season.
LA LAKERS are 195-239 ATS (-67.9 Units) after a division game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 49-70 ATS (-28.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 2-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (18 - 5) at MEMPHIS (17 - 9) - 12/14/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (9 - 15) at HOUSTON (18 - 7) - 12/14/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) first half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 100-132 ATS (-45.2 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (13 - 13) at DALLAS (6 - 18) - 12/14/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 357-295 ATS (+32.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DETROIT is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (15 - 10) at UTAH (15 - 10) - 12/14/2016, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (13 - 11) at SAN ANTONIO (19 - 5) - 12/14/2016, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 966-844 ATS (+37.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 774-656 ATS (+52.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 143-110 ATS (+22.0 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 490-411 ATS (+37.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 326-256 ATS (+44.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 321-266 ATS (+28.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 198-154 ATS (+28.6 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 289-237 ATS (+28.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
BOSTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-14-2016, 01:56 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Wednesday, December 14

Indiana at Miami, 7:05 PM ET
Indiana: 1-13 ATS in road games after scoring 110 points or more
Miami: 24-13 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

Toronto at Philadelphia, 7:05 PM ET
Toronto: 8-1 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7
Philadelphia: 10-24 ATS vs. division opponents

LA Clippers at Orlando, 7:05 PM ET
Los Angeles: 26-46 ATS after allowing 120 points or more
Orlando: 16-6 ATS after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds

Charlotte at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
Charlotte: 1-5 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 200
Washington: 6-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less

LA Lakers at Brooklyn, 7:35 PM ET
Los Angeles: 6-16 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210
Brooklyn: 32-20 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

Cleveland at Memphis, 8:05 PM ET
Cleveland: 5-17 ATS in road games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite
Memphis: 10-1 ATS in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more

Sacramento at Houston, 8:05 PM ET
Sacramento: 23-43 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent
Houston: 11-2 ATS after allowing 105 points or more

Detroit at Dallas, 8:35 PM ET
Detroit: 15-4 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite
Dallas: 27-56 ATS after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers

Oklahoma City at Utah, 9:05 PM ET
Oklahoma City: 5-11 ATS after 4 or more consecutive unders
Utah: 28-14 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games

Boston at San Antonio, 9:35 PM ET
Boston: 9-16 ATS when playing with 2 days rest
San Antonio: 12-3 ATS after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots

Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/14

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/14

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