Announcement

**Udog** · 12-13-2016, 08:31 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

— Dodgers signed 3B Justin Turner, closer Kenley Jansen to big contracts.

— College football coaching changes: Charlie Strong to USF, Luke Fickell to Cincinnati, Lane Kiffin to Florida Atlantic.

— Kiffin takes close to a 50% pay cut to become a head coach again.

— QB Jarrett Stidham transfers from Baylor to Auburn, a good get for Gus Malzahn.

— Dexter Fowler will be the first St Louis Cardinal to wear #25 since Mark McGwire.

— LIU 74, St John’s 73— Really bad loss for Chris Mullin; they also lost to Delaware State.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) First of all, the Rams are much better off NOW than they were when Jeff Fisher was hired as Rams’ coach in 2012. Much closer to being a winning team now but they’re still a losing team and in the NFL, that means you lose your job and that happened Monday. Special teams coach John Fassel will be the interim coach for the last three games.

Awkwardness: Rams’ COO Kevin Demoff is the son of agent Marvin Demoff, who is Fisher’s agent. Should make Christmas dinner only slightly uncomfortable in the Demoff home.

12) If you made me guess who the Rams go after to be their next coach, I’d say Jon Gruden. If you let me choose, I’d say this: a) a combination of Mike/Kyle Shanahan or b) Stanford coach David Shaw, with Norv Turner as OC

No matter what, it needs to be someone with an offensive background, since they traded six draft picks to get QB Jared Goff.

11) Sunday was a rough day in the NFC West: all four teams lost, while turning ball over 15 teams and the 49ers didn’t have any turnovers. That is 15 turnovers for three teams. Oy.

10) Semi-good news for the Dolphins; it is a sprained ACL/MCL for Ryan Tannehill, not a torn ACL. Doubtful he plays again this year, but it makes next season’s prospects way better.

9) Arizona WR Michael Floyd got a DUI; when you’re on a underachieving 5-7-1 team and you’re about to be a free agent and then this happens, then Floyd is about to lose his job.

8) So you want to be a college coach? One of Western Michigan’s basketball players was charged with murder Monday in the shooting of a fellow student.

First of all, our condolences to the family of the victim. Very, very sad.

Second, the WMU coaches are now on the hot seat. Western has made the NCAAs once in 13 years (2014) under this coach; they’re 3-6 this year and now this happens. People who had nothing to do with this crime are going to pay for it.

7) One of the trophies Arnold Palmer won at the Masters sold at an auction this week for $444,012. Wow.

6) Lakers’ 6th man Lou Williams scored 137 points in a four-game stretch last week; since 1970, that is the most points scored in any four-game stretch by a non-starter.

5) People are frontrunners: Duke-UNLV game in Las Vegas Saturday had more blue than red in the stands. If Duke’s football team played in Las Vegas, how much blue is in the stands?

4) May have to research this next year, but it would be cumbersome; what is the %age of pass/run plays on 2nd and 10, after an incomplete pass on first down? I swear, NFL teams almost always run the ball in that spot, because 3rd-and-10 is seen as a spot where turnovers happen. The term “manageable third down” is mentioned way too much.

3) Eagles lost long snapper Jon Dorembos to a wrist injury; the young man has had a tough life. When he was 12, living a normal suburban life, his father murdered his mother and is still in prison. Dorembos is also a magician who appeared on America’s Got Talent.

2) Think about Lane Kiffin’s resume; he’s been a head coach at Tennessee, USC and with the Raiders in the NFL; now he takes around a 50% pay cut to be HC at Florida Atlantic. Guess he didn’t like being an offensive coordinator, even at $1.6M a year.

1) Happy birthday to my late Uncle Roy, who would’ve turned 100 years old on Monday. He passed away when I was 7, during an operation that now would be routine bypass surgery, but in 1967. it was a new thing. I remember his laugh, a great, booming laugh. A good man.

**Udog** · 12-13-2016, 08:45 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 13

NC Central @ LSU

Game 731-732
December 13, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC Central
57.628
LSU
61.724
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 4
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 10 1/2
146
Dunkel Pick:
NC Central
(+10 1/2); Over

Central Arkansas @ Michigan

Game 729-730
December 13, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Arkansas
45.352
Michigan
64.625
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 19 1/2
129
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 25 1/2
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Central Arkansas
(+25 1/2); Under

South Carolina St @ Clemson

Game 727-728
December 13, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina St
40.313
Clemson
74.133
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 34
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 29
144 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(-29); Over

Montana @ Oregon

Game 725-726
December 13, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montana
53.818
Oregon
76.277
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 22 1/2
127
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon
by 18
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon
(-18); Under

Morehead State @ East Washington

Game 723-724
December 13, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Morehead State
52.521
East Washington
49.114
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Morehead State
by 3 1/2
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
East Washington
by 3
151 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Morehead State
(+3); Under

Monmouth @ Memphis

Game 721-722
December 13, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Monmouth
64.841
Memphis
61.288
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Monmouth
by 3 1/2
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 3 1/2
152 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Monmouth
(+3 1/2); Over

Denver @ South Alabama

Game 719-720
December 13, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
52.745
South Alabama
52.848
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
Even
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Alabama
by 4
139
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+4); Over

Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee

Game 717-718
December 13, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee Tech
49.784
Tennessee
62.634
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 13
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 16 1/2
148 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee Tech
(+16 1/2); Under

Cal Riverside @ Santa Clara

Game 715-716
December 13, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cal Riverside
44.511
Santa Clara
55.075
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Santa Clara
by 10 1/2
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Santa Clara
by 5 1/2
126 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Santa Clara
(-5 1/2); Over

Temple @ Villanova

Game 713-714
December 13, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Temple
60.640
Villanova
83.121
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Villanova
by 22 1/2
128
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Villanova
by 16 1/2
136 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Villanova
(-16 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 12-13-2016, 08:47 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 13

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TEMPLE (7 - 3) at VILLANOVA (10 - 0) - 12/13/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 38-61 ATS (-29.1 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VILLANOVA is 2-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
VILLANOVA is 2-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UC-RIVERSIDE (2 - 4) at SANTA CLARA (4 - 6) - 12/13/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SANTA CLARA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SANTA CLARA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
SANTA CLARA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SANTA CLARA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UC-RIVERSIDE is 1-0 against the spread versus SANTA CLARA over the last 3 seasons
UC-RIVERSIDE is 1-0 straight up against SANTA CLARA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE TECH (4 - 7) at TENNESSEE (4 - 4) - 12/13/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE TECH is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against SEC opponents since 1997.
TENNESSEE is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (4 - 5) at S ALABAMA (6 - 3) - 12/13/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
S ALABAMA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 1-0 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONMOUTH (8 - 2) at MEMPHIS (7 - 2) - 12/13/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONMOUTH is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MONMOUTH is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MONMOUTH is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MONMOUTH is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MONMOUTH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MOREHEAD ST (2 - 6) at E WASHINGTON (7 - 2) - 12/13/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MOREHEAD ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.
E WASHINGTON is 32-57 ATS (-30.7 Units) in December games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MONTANA (3 - 7) at OREGON (8 - 2) - 12/13/2016, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S CAROLINA ST (2 - 7) at CLEMSON (6 - 2) - 12/13/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S CAROLINA ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
S CAROLINA ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
S CAROLINA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
S CAROLINA ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
CLEMSON is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

C ARKANSAS (1 - 8) at MICHIGAN (7 - 3) - 12/13/2016, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NC CENTRAL (6 - 4) at LSU (5 - 2) - 12/13/2016, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-13-2016, 08:48 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, December 13

Villanova beat Temple last three years by 16-23-16 points; Wildcats are 10-0 this season, with four top 100 wins- they trailed Notre Dame for first 31:00 Saturday, won/covered 74-66. Villanova has #7 eFG% in country, shooting 39.6% on arc. Temple won six of last seven games with win over West Virginia; Owls are 7-3 with losses by 5-3-3 points, despite injury concerns. Temple lost at UMass, won at St Joe’s in their two true road games. Big East home favorites are 16-11 vs spread; AAC road underdogs are 7-10.

Cal-Riverside was 13-29 on arc in 77-63 home win over Santa Clara LY; Highlanders are 0-4 vs D-I teams this year (two non-D-I wins); this is their first game in two weeks. Riverside is 0-4 on road with 74-62 loss at UNLV closest D-I game they’ve played. UCR is shooting 35.2% inside arc; their eFG% is #349 in country. Santa Clara is 0-2 vs Big West teams this year, losing to Davis by 5, Irvine by 3; Broncos lost their last four D-I games. WCC home favorites are 20-13 vs spread; Big West road underdogs are 8-21.

Tennessee lost by hoop at North Carolina Sunday after leading by 15 in first half, by 5 with 4:32 left; Vols are 4-4, but with three top 25 losses- they’re 2-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, winning by 9-40 points. Tennessee is forcing turnovers on 23.8% of possessions (#16). Tennessee Tech is 2-7 vs D-I teams after losing by 8 at Michigan St Saturday; Golden Eagles have only one loss by more than 15 points (by 19 to Lipscomb). SEC home favorites are 21-20 vs spread; OVC road underdogs are 22-27.

Denver shot 71.4% inside arc LY in 69-56 home win over South Alabama, but Pioneers ran Princeton offense LY- they play faster now. Pioneers are #296 experience team playing pace #220 (played pace #350 LY); they’ve split six true road games, winning last game at Air Force. South Alabama lost three of last four games after a 5-0 start, losing last home game to Middle Tennessee; Jaguars are forcing turnovers 23.5% of the time. Sun Belt home favorites are 7-5 vs spread; Summit League road underdogs are 15-16.

Memphis is 7-2 vs schedule #338; they’re #253 experience team that is 2-2 vs top 100 teams, with wins by 8-7 points. Tigers start three sophs and a junior; four starters played 37:00+ in last game. Memphis bench is playing #319 minutes. Monmouth is #39 experience team playing #49 pace, #227 schedule. Hawks won their last seven games (over teams ranked #194 or lower) but are 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 1 to South Carolina, 21 at Syracuse. AAC home favorites are 11-7 vs spread; MAAC road underdogs are 10-13.

Eastern Washington won its last six games with three OT wins; Eagles are 3-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, winning by 4-5-5 points. EWU scored 80+ points in its last six games, but they’re in bottom 5 in country at forcing turnovers. Morehead State lost its last six games, giving up 90.7 pts/game in its last three games; teams are shooting 47.9% on arc vs Eagles, best % in country vs one team. Morehead has worst foul differential in country. Big Sky home favorites are 3-7 vs spread; OVC road underdogs are 22-27.

Oregon won tough game by 9 over Alabama Sunday (trailed by point with 4:12 left); Ducks forced 18 turnovers, held Bama to 2-19 on arc. Oregon won last six games with other wins vs Tennessee/UConn; they’re turning ball over 21.1% of time, making just 32% on arc. Montana is 3-6 with losses by 14-24 points to USC/Washington State of Pac-12; Griz lost last game by hoop at Wyoming, after they led by 5 with 5:37 left. Pac-12 home favorites are 23-21 vs spread; Big Sky road underdogs are 24-26.

**Udog** · 12-13-2016, 08:52 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, December 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
URBANA vs. WRIGHT STATE
No trends available
Wright State is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Wright State is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home

7:00 PM
DARTMOUTH vs. HARTFORD
Dartmouth is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Dartmouth is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hartford
No trends available

7:00 PM
GEORGIA SOUTHERN vs. FLORIDA GULF COAST
Georgia Southern is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
No trends available

7:00 PM
STONY BROOK vs. HOFSTRA
No trends available
Hofstra is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Stony Brook
Hofstra is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA A&T vs. MASSACHUSETTS
No trends available
Massachusetts is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Massachusetts is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
CENT CONN STATE vs. YALE
No trends available
Yale is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
Yale is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
TEXAS SOUTHERN vs. CINCINNATI
No trends available
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. VILLANOVA
Temple is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Temple's last 5 games on the road
Villanova is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Temple
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Villanova's last 25 games

7:00 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE vs. CLEMSON
No trends available
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against South Carolina State
Clemson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
TENNESSEE TECH vs. TENNESSEE
Tennessee Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee Tech is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee Tech

7:30 PM
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M vs. LOUISIANA TECH
No trends available
Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Louisiana Tech is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:05 PM
DENVER vs. SOUTH ALABAMA
No trends available
South Alabama is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
South Alabama is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Denver

9:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL vs. LSU
No trends available
LSU is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
LSU is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

9:00 PM
CENTRAL ARKANSAS vs. MICHIGAN
No trends available
Michigan is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Michigan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

9:00 PM
MONMOUTH vs. MEMPHIS
Monmouth is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Memphis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Memphis is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

9:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. TEXAS EL PASO
New Mexico State is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Texas El Paso
Texas El Paso is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against New Mexico State
Texas El Paso is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

9:05 PM
MOREHEAD STATE vs. EASTERN WASHINGTON
Morehead State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Eastern Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Eastern Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:00 PM
MONTANA vs. OREGON
Montana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Montana is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:00 PM
UC RIVERSIDE vs. SANTA CLARA
UC Riverside is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UC Riverside's last 6 games on the road
Santa Clara is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

10:05 PM
NEW HOPE CHRISTIAN COLLEG vs. PORTLAND STATE
No trends available
Portland State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

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Announcement

Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/13

Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/13

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