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Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/13

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  • Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/13

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, December 13

    Good Luck on day #348
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    — Dodgers signed 3B Justin Turner, closer Kenley Jansen to big contracts.

    — College football coaching changes: Charlie Strong to USF, Luke Fickell to Cincinnati, Lane Kiffin to Florida Atlantic.

    — Kiffin takes close to a 50% pay cut to become a head coach again.

    — QB Jarrett Stidham transfers from Baylor to Auburn, a good get for Gus Malzahn.

    — Dexter Fowler will be the first St Louis Cardinal to wear #25 since Mark McGwire.

    — LIU 74, St John’s 73— Really bad loss for Chris Mullin; they also lost to Delaware State.

    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) First of all, the Rams are much better off NOW than they were when Jeff Fisher was hired as Rams’ coach in 2012. Much closer to being a winning team now but they’re still a losing team and in the NFL, that means you lose your job and that happened Monday. Special teams coach John Fassel will be the interim coach for the last three games.

    Awkwardness: Rams’ COO Kevin Demoff is the son of agent Marvin Demoff, who is Fisher’s agent. Should make Christmas dinner only slightly uncomfortable in the Demoff home.

    12) If you made me guess who the Rams go after to be their next coach, I’d say Jon Gruden. If you let me choose, I’d say this: a) a combination of Mike/Kyle Shanahan or b) Stanford coach David Shaw, with Norv Turner as OC

    No matter what, it needs to be someone with an offensive background, since they traded six draft picks to get QB Jared Goff.

    11) Sunday was a rough day in the NFC West: all four teams lost, while turning ball over 15 teams and the 49ers didn’t have any turnovers. That is 15 turnovers for three teams. Oy.

    10) Semi-good news for the Dolphins; it is a sprained ACL/MCL for Ryan Tannehill, not a torn ACL. Doubtful he plays again this year, but it makes next season’s prospects way better.

    9) Arizona WR Michael Floyd got a DUI; when you’re on a underachieving 5-7-1 team and you’re about to be a free agent and then this happens, then Floyd is about to lose his job.

    8) So you want to be a college coach? One of Western Michigan’s basketball players was charged with murder Monday in the shooting of a fellow student.

    First of all, our condolences to the family of the victim. Very, very sad.

    Second, the WMU coaches are now on the hot seat. Western has made the NCAAs once in 13 years (2014) under this coach; they’re 3-6 this year and now this happens. People who had nothing to do with this crime are going to pay for it.

    7) One of the trophies Arnold Palmer won at the Masters sold at an auction this week for $444,012. Wow.

    6) Lakers’ 6th man Lou Williams scored 137 points in a four-game stretch last week; since 1970, that is the most points scored in any four-game stretch by a non-starter.

    5) People are frontrunners: Duke-UNLV game in Las Vegas Saturday had more blue than red in the stands. If Duke’s football team played in Las Vegas, how much blue is in the stands?

    4) May have to research this next year, but it would be cumbersome; what is the %age of pass/run plays on 2nd and 10, after an incomplete pass on first down? I swear, NFL teams almost always run the ball in that spot, because 3rd-and-10 is seen as a spot where turnovers happen. The term “manageable third down” is mentioned way too much.

    3) Eagles lost long snapper Jon Dorembos to a wrist injury; the young man has had a tough life. When he was 12, living a normal suburban life, his father murdered his mother and is still in prison. Dorembos is also a magician who appeared on America’s Got Talent.

    2) Think about Lane Kiffin’s resume; he’s been a head coach at Tennessee, USC and with the Raiders in the NFL; now he takes around a 50% pay cut to be HC at Florida Atlantic. Guess he didn’t like being an offensive coordinator, even at $1.6M a year.

    1) Happy birthday to my late Uncle Roy, who would’ve turned 100 years old on Monday. He passed away when I was 7, during an operation that now would be routine bypass surgery, but in 1967. it was a new thing. I remember his laugh, a great, booming laugh. A good man.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Dunkel

      Tuesday, December 13


      Oklahoma City @ Portland

      Game 711-712
      December 13, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Oklahoma City
      121.096
      Portland
      122.222
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Portland
      by 1
      224
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Portland
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      Portland
      N/A

      New York @ Phoenix


      Game 709-710
      December 13, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      New York
      116.400
      Phoenix
      115.502
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      New York
      by 1
      230
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      New York
      by 3 1/2
      220 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Phoenix
      (+3 1/2); Over

      Golden State @ New Orleans


      Game 707-708
      December 13, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Golden State
      123.075
      New Orleans
      119.526
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Golden State
      by 3 1/2
      224
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Golden State
      by 10 1/2
      225
      Dunkel Pick:
      New Orleans
      (+10 1/2); Under

      Minnesota @ Chicago


      Game 705-706
      December 13, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Minnesota
      118.419
      Chicago
      116.805
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Minnesota
      by 1 1/2
      218
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Chicago
      by 7
      208 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Minnesota
      (+7); Over

      Orlando @ Atlanta


      Game 703-704
      December 13, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Orlando
      112.168
      Atlanta
      117.237
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Atlanta
      by 5
      185
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Atlanta
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      Atlanta
      N/A

      Memphis @ Cleveland


      Game 701-702
      December 13, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Memphis
      121.002
      Cleveland
      130.166
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Cleveland
      by 9
      210
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Cleveland
      by 13
      201 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Memphis
      (+13); Over

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Long Sheet

        Tuesday, December 13


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MEMPHIS (17 - 8) at CLEVELAND (17 - 5) - 12/13/2016, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MEMPHIS is 241-196 ATS (+25.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
        MEMPHIS is 123-92 ATS (+21.8 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
        MEMPHIS is 152-115 ATS (+25.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
        CLEVELAND is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
        CLEVELAND is 3-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ORLANDO (10 - 15) at ATLANTA (12 - 12) - 12/13/2016, 7:35 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ORLANDO is 5-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
        ATLANTA is 5-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MINNESOTA (6 - 18) at CHICAGO (13 - 10) - 12/13/2016, 8:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MINNESOTA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games this season.
        MINNESOTA is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) first half of the season this season.
        MINNESOTA is 194-242 ATS (-72.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
        MINNESOTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
        CHICAGO is 120-161 ATS (-57.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
        CHICAGO is 2-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        GOLDEN STATE (21 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (8 - 17) - 12/13/2016, 8:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        GOLDEN STATE is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
        GOLDEN STATE is 127-99 ATS (+18.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        GOLDEN STATE is 117-90 ATS (+18.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
        GOLDEN STATE is 51-33 ATS (+14.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        GOLDEN STATE is 58-41 ATS (+12.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW ORLEANS is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW ORLEANS is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
        NEW ORLEANS is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NEW ORLEANS is 6-6 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
        GOLDEN STATE is 12-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NEW YORK (14 - 10) at PHOENIX (7 - 17) - 12/13/2016, 9:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PHOENIX is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW YORK is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
        NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
        NEW YORK is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
        PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OKLAHOMA CITY (15 - 9) at PORTLAND (12 - 14) - 12/13/2016, 10:35 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
        PORTLAND is 5-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Tuesday, December 13


          Memphis won its last six games, even without injured PG Conley; Grizzlies covered four of last five games as a road underdog. Last three Memphis games stayed under. Cleveland won/covered its last four games; they covered five of last six games as a home favorite. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Cavaliers won three of last four games with Memphis; they covered seven of last ten series games. Teams split last four games played here. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

          Magic lost their last three games, but covered six of last seven games as a road underdog. Three of last four Orlando games went over. Hawks won last two games but lost three of last four at home; they’re 0-3-1 vs spread in last four home games. Under is 12-3 in their last 15 games. Orlando won its last two games with Atlanta after losing six of previous seven series games; Magic lost three of last four visits here (3-1 vs spread). Four of last six series games stayed under the total.

          Minnesota lost four in row, seven of last eight games; they’re 3-5 as road underdogs. Over is 7-2 in last nine Timberwolves games. Chicago won last two games by 4-5 points; they’re 3-4 as home favorites. Over is 3-1 in their last four home games. Minnesota won last two games with Chicago by 7-9 points; teams split last four games played here (Minnesota 3-1 vs spread). Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

          Warriors won five of last six games but are 0-3 vs spread in last three; they’re 7-7 as road favorites (0-3 in last three). Under is 3-1 in last four Golden State games. Pelicans lost five of last six games; they’re 3-1 as home underdogs. Three of last four New Orleans games went over. Golden State won its last nine games with New Orleans (4-2 vs spread in last six); Warriors won last four visits to Bourbon Street (2-2 vs spread) winning by 8-14-11-4 points. Last four series games went over total.

          New York won six of its last seven games; they’re 5-6 SU on road, 1-0 vs spread as road favorites. Three of last four Knick games went over. Phoenix lost six of last eight games; they’re 4-3 as home underdogs. Six of last seven Suns games went over total. Knicks won last two games with Phoenix by 18-31 points; teams split last four games played here (Suns 2-1-1 vs spread). Six of last seven series games stayed under.

          Portland lost tough game in Staples Center last night, Trailblazers’ 4ht straight loss; Blazers won/covered five of last seven home games. Over is 8-2 in Portland’s last ten games. Oklahoma City won seven of last eight games, winning last three road tilts. Last four Thunder games stayed under the total. Home side won last six Oklahoma City-Portland games; Thunder lost last four visits here, by 5-5-3-17 points. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA

            Tuesday, December 13


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            7:00 PM
            MEMPHIS vs. CLEVELAND
            Memphis is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Cleveland
            Memphis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
            Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis

            7:30 PM
            ORLANDO vs. ATLANTA
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 8 games on the road
            Orlando is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Atlanta's last 24 games when playing Orlando

            8:00 PM
            MINNESOTA vs. CHICAGO
            Minnesota is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
            Minnesota is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
            Chicago is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Minnesota
            Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

            8:00 PM
            GOLDEN STATE vs. NEW ORLEANS
            Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
            Golden State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
            New Orleans is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Orleans's last 16 games at home

            9:00 PM
            NEW YORK vs. PHOENIX
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing New York
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games at home

            10:30 PM
            OKLAHOMA CITY vs. PORTLAND
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Portland
            Oklahoma City is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
            Portland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA
              Short Sheet

              Tuesday, December 13


              Memphis at Cleveland, 7:05 PM ET
              Memphis: 28-9 ATS off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog
              Cleveland: 2-10 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite

              Orlando at Atlanta, 7:35 PM ET
              Orlando: 1-8 ATS after allowing 105 points or more
              Atlanta: 10-4 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games

              Minnesota at Chicago, 8:05 PM ET
              Minnesota: 0-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders
              Chicago: 69-45 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread

              Golden State at New Orleans, 8:05 PM ET
              Golden State: 69-48 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders
              New Orleans: 3-13 ATS after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games

              New York at Phoenix, 9:05 PM ET
              New York: 9-0 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread
              Phoenix: 8-21 ATS after 2 straight games where they made 9 or more 3 point shots

              Oklahoma City at Portland, 10:35 PM ET
              Oklahoma City: 13-3 ATS after a game where they made 60% of their free throws or worse
              Portland: 1-6 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog

              Comment

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