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**Udog** · 12-12-2016, 08:37 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks in Week 14 of the Westgate SuperContest:

6) Green Bay Packers +2.5 (408)- W

5) Minnesota Vikings -3 (420)- W

4) Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 (440)- W

3) Washington Redskins -1 (481)- W

2) Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5 (558)- W

1) Baltimore Ravens +7 (577)
Strong week for popular opinion

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…..

Titans 13, Broncos 10— Tennessee has to be excited; they’re 7-6, tied for first in AFC South and they have the Rams’ #1 draft pick next year, so they’ll clean up next April and get even better. This was an ugly game; Titans scored 10 points on first two possessions, then held on for the win despite gaining only 178 yards the rest of the game. Mariota was 6-20/88 passing, but his team won. Five of last six Denver games stayed under the total.

Panthers 28, Chargers 16— San Diego turned ball over five times (-4). I have a question: Why can’t the Chargers just stay in San Diego and play in Qualcomm? Why is it better for them to move to LA and be a second rate tenant in a new ballpark? Who will go to their games there? At least in San Diego they have a whole city behind them, buying their gear, Maybe I’m an idiot, but seems to me every NFL team doesn’t need a brand-new stadium.

Texans 22, Colts 17— Houston is tied for first with Titans in AFC South; they ran ball for 185 yards, had 3 takeaways (+2), kicked five FGs- usually when a team scores one TD and kicks five FGs, they lose. Colts are 1-4-1 vs spread this year in game following a win; some teams cannot stand prosperity. This is only second time Texans have won in Indy (2-13). Under is 5-2 in last seven Houston games, 4-0 in Colts’ last four home games.

Bengals 23, Browns 10— I’m still amazed that an NFL franchise is worth roughly $1B, give or take, and the Browns are being run by Jonah Hill’s character from Moneyball. Seriously, why would you have a guy who spent most of the last 15 years as a baseball executive run your NFL team? It makes zero bleeping sense. Cleveland is 1-5-1 vs spread as a home underdog, losing home games by 5-20-3-25-15-14-13 points

Steelers 27, Bills 20— Pittsburgh ran ball for 240 yards in the snow, amidst rumors that Rex Ryan is going to get fired. If Ryan and Jeff Fisher both get fired, then maybe their teams can hire coaches who actually care about offense and the league will put out a better product. Pittsburgh has now won/covered its last four games.

Non-football observation: if you’re going to be outside in a snowstorm for 3.5 hours, put on a goddamn coat. Rex Ryan wore same clothes for this game he wore in the LA Coliseum when the Bills played there. Even his brother wore a parka.

Dolphins 26, Cardinals 23— Game was played in a monsoon; Arizona’s kicker had an awful day, but did make a 56-yard FG. Miami kicked FG on last play to win, but they lost QB Tannehill to an ACL injury, so looks like Matt Moore gets to run the ball club the rest of the way- their #3 QB is former Western Kentucky QB Doughty. Arizona needs to draft a QB next spring; Carson Palmer is getting up there in years.

NFC West went 0-4 Sunday, turning ball over 15 times and 49ers didn’t have any turnovers.

Lions 20, Bears 17— Detroit is now 9-4 despite trailing in 4th quarter in 12 of 13 games. You know it might be the Lions’ year when Stafford throws a pick-6 to give Chicago a 17-13 lead with 7:07 left, but Detroit drives back down field to score game-winning TD with 3:17 left. Lions are 6-1 at home with four wins by exactly three points.

Pretty sure I’m going to be in Las Vegas when the NFL schedule comes out for 2017; first thing I’m going to do is bet the under on the Lions’ win total for next year.

Vikings 25, Jaguars 16— Minnesota ran ball 29 times for 85 yards (28 for 70 if you take out one Bradford scramble for 15 yards); they scored only 16 points on five red zone drives, but won anyway. Jaguars are 0-6 at home, have lost eight games in a row (2-6 vs spread). Vikings had been 2-6 this season when they didn’t score a TD on defense/special teams, now they’re 3-6.

Mike Zimmer coached this game with his right eye totally covered by tape; he is one tough human. He wore sunglasses when Minnesota had the ball, but took them off so he could read his defensive call charts when Jaguars had the ball. Lot of admiration for coach Zimmer.

Bucs 16, Saints 11— Sean Payton was yukking it up two weeks ago when he ran the score up on the sorry Rams, but since then his team scored a total of 24 points in losses to Detroit, Tampa Bay. New Orleans is 5-8 and going nowhere with an aging QB; they’re 0-6 when they score less than 25 points. Under is 5-2 in Saints’ last seven games, 2-0-1 in Bucs’ last three.

Tampa Bay has won five games in a row and is looking smart for drafting Jameis Winston.

Redskins 27, Eagles 22— Washington won last five meetings with Philly, with average total in last six series games, 53.8; Eagles scored one offensive TD on 17 drives in two games with Redskins this year. Over is 11-2 in Washington games this season.

Jets 23, 49ers 17 OT— Niners snatched defeat from the jaws of victory, blowing a 17-3 halftime lead, losing their 12th straight game. Bryce Petty gets his first NFL win. Weird that SF was favored in its last two games, despite being an awful team.

I’m wondering if the networks stopped showing Colin Kaepernick kneeling during the National Anthem because he said he didn’t vote on Election Day. Just curious, thats all.

Packers 38, Seahawks 10— Seattle has now lost their last seven visits here; they’re 1-4-1 this season when scoring less than 26 points. Somehow, Green Bay’s defense has revived itself, allowing 36 points in last three games, after allowing 153 points in the four games before that- they had six takeaways in this game. Seattle is 2-4-1 on the road and they’ve fallen out of the #2 slot in the NFC, so they might be going on the road in the second week of the playoffs.

Falcons 42, Rams 14— Observations from this game and with apologies to the Falcons, I’ve got nothing to say about them— picked them last week and they lost.

— Rams should fire their head coach today, just to save everyone three more weeks of aggravation.

— Last three weeks: L21-49, L10-26, L14-42. Unacceptable results. Sometimes divorce is a good thing— just ask my ex-wife (its a joke!!!)

— The next coach should a) be an offensive guru or b) hire an offensive guru to be OC and yes, I’m thinking of Norv Turner, if we go the OC way.

— Find the best offensive line coach in America and pay him a boatload of cash to come to LA.

— They can keep Gregg Williams and John Fassel; defense/special teams ain’t the problem.

— Here are some W-L records of how QBs did their rookie year: Elway 4-6, PManning 3-13, EManning 1-6, Aikman 0-11, Stafford 2-8, Marino 7-2. Playing QB in the NFL is a hard job.

— I pay more money than I should for DirecTV, for one reason; to watch NFL games on Sundays, specifically the Rams. 13 consecutive non-winning seasons is getting my money’s worth.

Giants 10, Cowboys 7— Dak Prescott grew up in Louisiana; wonder if he ever played in a frigid night game before? Dallas is 11-2 with two losses to the Giants by total of four points. If playoffs started tomorrow, NFC Wild Card game would be Bucs @ Giants. AFC would be either Miami/Denver @ Oakland. Last five Giant games stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 12-12-2016, 08:51 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, December 12

Portland @ LA Clippers

Game 513-514
December 12, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
121.633
LA Clippers
121.643
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
Even
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 9 1/2
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+9 1/2); Under

LA Lakers @ Sacramento

Game 511-512
December 12, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
109.433
Sacramento
121.348
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 12
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
N/A

Denver @ Dallas

Game 509-510
December 12, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
115.502
Dallas
113.861
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
N/A

Brooklyn @ Houston

Game 507-508
December 12, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
106.718
Houston
131.289
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 24 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 14
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-14); Under

Washington @ Miami

Game 505-506
December 12, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
121.270
Miami
111.276
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 10
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 1
205
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-1); Over

Milwaukee @ Toronto

Game 503-504
December 12, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
121.787
Toronto
127.286
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 5 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 8 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+8 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ Indiana

Game 501-502
December 12, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
115.757
Indiana
124.759
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 9
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 2
212
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-2); Under

**Udog** · 12-12-2016, 08:52 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 12

Charlotte won three of last four games; they’re 2-1-1 as road underdogs. Five of last six Charlotte road games went over. Indiana won/covered its last three home games; they’re 5-4 as home favorites. Five of last six Pacer games went over total. Hornets won their last four games with Indiana, covered six of last seven; they won last two visits here, by 1-22 points. Three of last four series games went over.

Bucks lost three of last four games, is 1-5 as a road underdog; last three Milwaukee games went over total. Toronto won seven of its last eight games; they’re 7-3 as home favorites. Four of last six Raptor games went over total. Raptors won nine of last ten games with Milwaukee; covered six of last eight. Six of last seven series games stayed under. Bucks lost four of last five visits here (2-2-1 vs spread).

Washington lost four of last six games; they’re 2-6 on road, 1-3 as road favorites. Five of their last six games went over. Heat lost last five games; they’re 2-8 at home, 1-4 as a home underdog. Over is 5-3-1 in their last nine games. Miami won three of last four games with Washington; teams split last four games played here. Eight of last ten series games went over the total.

Brooklyn lost 11 of last 13 games; they’re 4-5-1 vs spread as road underdogs. Over is 11-3 in their last 14 games. Rockets won their last six games (5-1 vs spread); they’re 5-3 as home favorites. Three of last four Houston games stayed under. Nets won last two games with Houston after losing seven of previous eight series games; Brooklyn lost three of last four visits here (2-2 vs spread). Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Denver lost seven of last ten games; they’re 3-1 as road favorites. Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Nugget games. Mavericks lost five of last seven games, are 4-6 as home underdogs. Three of last four Dallas games went over. Dallas won five of last six games with Denver; three of last five series games went to OT. Nuggets lost last four visits here (0-3-1 vs spread). Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Portland lost eight of last ten road games, is 2-7 as a road underdog. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Clippers are 3-5 in last eight games, 1-4-1 vs spread in last six home games. Over is 12-4 in their last 16 games. Clippers beat Portland by 8-31 points this season, after Trailblazers ousted LA from playoffs in six games last spring; Blazers lost four of last five visits here (2-3 vs spread). Three of last four series games went over.

Lakers lost their last six games, are 1-6 vs spread in last seven games as a road underdog. Last four Laker games went over total. Sacramento lost five of last six games, is 3-2 as home favorites. Five of Kings’ last six games stayed under total. Lakers lost seven of last eight games with Sacramento, losing five of last six visits here (3-2-1 vs spread). Last three series games stayed under.

**Udog** · 12-12-2016, 08:55 AM

NBA

Monday, December 12

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
Indiana is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Charlotte

7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games when playing Miami
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games at home
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee

8:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. HOUSTON
Brooklyn is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 8 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

8:30 PM
DENVER vs. DALLAS
Denver is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Dallas is 5-10-3 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Denver

10:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 9 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games at home
LA Clippers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games

10:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 5 games
LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Sacramento is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

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Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/12

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/12

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