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Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/11

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  • Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, December 11

    Good Luck on day #346 of 2016!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Matchup Links

    NCAAB Matchups

    NCAAB Hot and Not

    NCAAB Injuries


    NASCAR Schedule

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Six most popular Week 14 picks in Westgate Super Contest

    6) Green Bay Packers +2.5 (408)

    5) Minnesota Vikings -3 (420)

    4) Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 (440)

    3) Washington Redskins -1 (481)

    2) Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5 (558)

    1) Baltimore Ravens +7 (577)

    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Running Diary of a sports Saturday…….

    11:45am— I am not a morning person; like to stay up late and then sleep late, so dragging my butt out of bed at 11:25 for some Rice Krispies and the start of the Temple-DePaul game seems like an even worse idea now that Temple leads 13-1 5:30 into the game.

    This is part of a HoopHall doubleheader in the Miami Heat’s arena and there might’ve been 100 people in the arena when the game started. Players probably had their pregame meal at 7:30am. Coaches will do most anything to get their teams on national TV.

    12:05— Mercifully, games are starting that have people in the stands.

    Arizona is playing with seven scholarship players at Missouri, due to injury/eligiblity issues. Missouri hasn’t been any good since Frank Haith bolted for Tulsa. Supposedly Missouri has a kid who is a real good scorer who becomes eligible for their next game, so that should help the Tigers.

    UMass-Providence from the Dunkin’ Donuts Center; every time I watch a Providence home game, I get hungry for a jelly donut and a hot chocolate.

    Dunkin’ Donuts have drive-thru windows (I’ve never used one); seems to me if you’re sucking down donuts, least you can do is get out of the car to buy them.

    Villanova-Notre Dame is the best noon game, from the arena in New Jersey where the NHL’s Devils play. The great Bill Raftery is on this game; met him in Syracuse close to 30 years ago. Good guy, as friendly in person as he seems on TV.

    Notre Dame leads early 15-6; Mike Brey is an underrated coach.

    12:50— Arizona was up 17 at Missouri, but Tigers cut lead to 41-36 at the half. Sean Miller looks like a guy in a bar at 3am who just lost his job— tie undone, frazzled. He’s never been in the Final Four at a school where Final Fours are expected and his team is dangerously thin this season.

    Good one in Newark; Notre Dame is better than expected- they lead Villanova 41-36 at the half of a high-level game. Could easily be an NCAA tournament game.

    I was in the Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas when Villanova won the national title last April; great fun. Opening Day of baseball, last college hoop game of the year- first Monday in April has become one of the better days of the sports year.

    1:25— CBS’ Carter Blackburn is one of the best play-by-play guys on TV; he is working with Raftery today on the Villanova game. Few years ago, he was working a Conference USA game with Pete Gillen when Rice’s mascot Sammie the Owl was ejected for bitching (hooting?) at a referee. Blackburn should be doing NFL games on the network; someday he’ll call a Final Four.

    Easy way for college basketball to increase scoring in its games: allow continuation baskets after fouls, the way they do in the NBA. Would be simple enough to do, makes the game more fun.

    1:45— Final: Temple 74, DePaul 65— Blue Demons fought back, but they’re not very good.

    ESPNU had a live Pop Warner football game from Florida on TV this morning. Seriously? They televise 12-year old kids playing football? Thought that was only at the Little League World Series in August. No wonder I like to sleep late.

    Sean Miller can relax: his Arizona team went on a 21-0 run, leads Mizzou by 22 with 2:00 left.

    Remember the time when Pitt’s Jerome Lane dunked in a game and shattered the backboard while Raftery screamed “Send it in Jerome!!!” on live TV? Miller assisted on that dunk.

    2:05— Villanova 74, Notre Dame 66— If you won this game laying 6.5 points with the Wildcats, you had the wrong side in this game, but you covered. Thats an interesting debate; people will say “I won, how could they be the wrong side?” but sometimes the covering team lucked out. Notre Dame controlled this game for 36:00 but faded down the stretch- couldn’t hit that one shot to cover the number.

    Odd bowl matchup: North Texas (+16.5) went to West Point Oct 22 and upset Army 35-18; UNT was +6 in turnovers in game where Cadets outgained North Texas 396-320- this is the only rematch of this bowl season. Favorites won/covered the Heart of Dallas Bowl the last five years, with all five games decided by 13+ points. Favorites rarely dominate bowl games.

    Mediocre set of 2:00 TV games; I’m focusing on Rhode Island-Houston, Wisconsin-Marquette.

    2:45— URI is up 42-37; Rams have lot of injuries, seems like every year.

    Former major league pitcher Anthony Varvaro (relieved in 166 games in a 6-year MLB career) made over $2M in his baseball career, but now he has a new job— he will be a police officer with the Port Authority Police of NY/NJ- he pitched for the Red Sox’ AAA team this past summer. Interesting career change.

    3:02— Halftime: Marquette 40, Wisconsin 35- Best game going on right now, Katin Reinhardt plays for Marquette, his third college (UNLV, USC) in five years. College coaches are like NBA GMs now, poaching other teams for unhappy kids who might catch lightning in a bottle with a new team for one season. This is why teams have very little depth; unhappy subs are constantly transferring. The grass is always greener somewhere else.

    But what do these kids do when they become adults and join the real world? Reinhardt isn’t an NBA player, so he’ll play in Europe for a while then have to find a real job. He’ll have a boss and a wife and kids and he won’t be able to pull up stakes and move every time he is unhappy.

    3:50— Houston 82, Rhode Island 77— Danny Hurley’s team is banged-up and having trouble on the road. This game had the feel of an NIT first-round game in March.

    Meanwhile, Wisconsin went on a 26-8 run and is up 15 at Marquette. Just because you sit next to Mike Krzyzewski and played for him doesn’t mean you can coach like him.

    In one 3-game stretch in November, Maryland’s football team was outscored 149-13; how in the name of Ralph Friedgen are the Terps in a bowl game, much less favored to win it? They play Boston College in a bowl at 2:30 on a Monday afternoon; fitting time slot, at least.

    4:16— Wisconsin 93, Marquette 84— Damn. High scoring. Badgers are a veteran team; I’m curious how Greg Gard will fare once these kids are gone and he has to recruit new guys. I’m not judging, just saying this is being done with players Bo Ryan recruited.

    Is it fun to be rich? Everyone has problems, rich people’s problems seem better than mine.

    Las Vegas Sands Corp. owner Sheldon Adelson lost more than $3 billion in less than an hour this week, after word came from Macau that the government there was reducing the amount of money people can withdraw from one of Macau’s largest banks by 50%.

    Because of this rule change, stock in Macau’s casinos dipped so much that Adelson’s stake was worth $3.2B less than it had been an hour earlier. The guy is still worth $29B, so not like he has to panhandle for food, but minus-$3.2B is still a rough couple of hours.

    This all has to do with Chinese people wanting to gamble in Macau and how they withdraw money to do so. They just opened a new Asian-themed casino in Las Vegas, that also caters to Chinese clientele.

    5:35— Duke was killing UNLV 20-3, it is 20-7 now. Rebels are basically an expansion team; when they hired Marvin Menzies, think he had four players on the roster, so this is a total rebuild- they’re in way over their head today, getting 24.5 points down the street from their own campus.

    Dick Vitale is doing this game; it is tough for me to listen to him anymore. He is talking about 1990 and the Tarkanian years— that era is long gone and ain’t ever coming back. Menzies will build this roster up and UNLV will be a solid mid-major, but no more Final Fours.

    Wichita State 53, Oklahoma 50— 9:10 left. Good ballgame with March implications.
    Butler 44, Cincinnati 39— 15:00 left. Big East-AAC games are always interesting. Still makes me laugh that there are Big EAST teams in Cincinnati, Indy, Milwaukee and Omaha.

    6:05— Duke 42-26 at the half and UNLV’s kids are playing their butts off. One thing Vitale was talking about that has some merit; making it six fouls for a college player to foul out. Think the game would be better that way.

    Wichita State beats Oklahoma 76-73; Doug Gottlieb had this one right. ESPN messed up when they let Gottlieb bolt for CBS. He is a better analyst than Jay Bilas and more personable.

    This game pushed the spread when the Wichita kid made a foul shot he was trying to miss with 0:00.5 left and Shockers up by 2.

    Army 21, Navy 17— Cadets win this rivalry game for first time in 15 years.

    8:00— Duke 94, UNLV 45— If I’m Marvin Menzies, next time he makes recruiting calls, the term “…..immediate playing time is available” would be used. A lot. It is an effective phrase.

    8:30— It bugs me that the Heisman Trophy has an actual hour-long TV program to give out an award when it takes 90 seconds to announce the winner. Guess people are stupid enough to buy commercial time, so they have the program and it makes money. Why?

    9:00— Halftime: Michigan 50, UCLA 50— Outstanding game.

    Lamar Jackson won the Heisman Trophy. Good for him.

    I’m off to go have dinner and watch some more games. Have a nice day.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Dunkel

      Sunday, December 11


      New Orleans @ Northwestern

      Game 741-742
      December 11, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      New Orleans
      52.384
      Northwestern
      66.552
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Northwestern
      by 14
      122
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Northwestern
      by 20
      135
      Dunkel Pick:
      New Orleans
      (+20); Under

      Savannah St @ Oregon State


      Game 739-740
      December 11, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Savannah St
      37.902
      Oregon State
      48.926
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Oregon State
      by 11
      168
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Oregon State
      by 17 1/2
      162 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Savannah St
      (+17 1/2); Over

      LIU-Brooklyn @ St John's


      Game 737-738
      December 11, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      LIU-Brooklyn
      39.299
      St John's
      59.890
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      St John's
      by 20 1/2
      153
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      St John's
      by 15
      147 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      St John's
      (-15); Over

      UC-Irvine @ St Mary's


      Game 735-736
      December 11, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      UC-Irvine
      49.417
      St Mary's
      72.372
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      St Mary's
      by 23
      111
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      St Mary's
      by 18
      120
      Dunkel Pick:
      St Mary's
      (-18); Under

      Pepperdine @ USC


      Game 733-734
      December 11, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Pepperdine
      52.700
      USC
      68.240
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      USC
      by 15 1/2
      163
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      USC
      by 19
      151
      Dunkel Pick:
      Pepperdine
      (+19); Over

      Santa Barbara @ San Diego


      Game 731-732
      December 11, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Santa Barbara
      54.620
      San Diego
      46.533
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Santa Barbara
      by 8
      133
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      San Diego
      by 1 1/2
      137 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Santa Barbara
      (+1 1/2); Under

      Nevada @ Washington


      Game 729-730
      December 11, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Nevada
      63.461
      Washington
      63.176
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Nevada
      Even
      176
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Washington
      by 4
      166
      Dunkel Pick:
      Nevada
      (+4); Over

      St Joseph's @ Drexel


      Game 727-728
      December 11, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      St Joseph's
      55.127
      Drexel
      56.025
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Drexel
      by 1
      138
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      St Joseph's
      by 5 1/2
      143 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Drexel
      (+5 1/2); Under

      Alabama @ Oregon


      Game 725-726
      December 11, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Alabama
      65.205
      Oregon
      70.554
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Oregon
      by 5 1/2
      140
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Oregon
      by 11 1/2
      130
      Dunkel Pick:
      Alabama
      (+11 1/2); Over

      Northern Illinois @ Minnesota


      Game 723-724
      December 11, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Northern Illinois
      55.823
      Minnesota
      62.632
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Minnesota
      by 7
      130
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Minnesota
      by 15 1/2
      135
      Dunkel Pick:
      Northern Illinois
      (+15 1/2); Under

      Tennessee @ North Carolina


      Game 721-722
      December 11, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Tennessee
      67.935
      North Carolina
      78.393
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      North Carolina
      by 10 1/2
      155
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      North Carolina
      by 18 1/2
      159
      Dunkel Pick:
      Tennessee
      (+18 1/2); Under

      Western Kentucky @ Indiana State


      Game 719-720
      December 11, 2016 @ 4:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Western Kentucky
      52.408
      Indiana State
      56.655
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Indiana State
      by 4
      142
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Indiana State
      by 8 1/2
      135 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Western Kentucky
      (+8 1/2); Over

      Florida @ Florida State


      Game 717-718
      December 11, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Florida
      74.466
      Florida State
      71.520
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Florida
      by 3
      154
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Florida State
      by 3 1/2
      149 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Florida
      (+3 1/2); Over

      Hofstra @ Kentucky


      Game 715-716
      December 11, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Hofstra
      57.727
      Kentucky
      75.272
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Kentucky
      by 17 1/2
      157
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Kentucky
      by 24
      166
      Dunkel Pick:
      Hofstra
      (+24); Under

      Delaware @ Yale


      Game 713-714
      December 11, 2016 @ 2:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Delaware
      44.454
      Yale
      63.733
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Yale
      by 19 1/2
      122
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Yale
      by 11
      126 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Yale
      (-11); Under

      Ole Miss @ Virginia Tech


      Game 711-712
      December 11, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Ole Miss
      56.294
      Virginia Tech
      75.052
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Virginia Tech
      by 20
      157
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Virginia Tech
      by 10 1/2
      153 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Virginia Tech
      (-10 1/2); Over

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Sunday, December 11


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OLE MISS (6 - 2) at VIRGINIA TECH (7 - 1) - 12/11/2016, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        VIRGINIA TECH is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        VIRGINIA TECH is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        VIRGINIA TECH is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        OLE MISS is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
        OLE MISS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
        OLE MISS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        OLE MISS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
        OLE MISS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        DELAWARE (5 - 3) at YALE (4 - 4) - 12/11/2016, 2:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        DELAWARE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
        YALE is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        YALE is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        YALE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
        YALE is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        HOFSTRA (6 - 4) vs. KENTUCKY (8 - 1) - 12/11/2016, 3:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        KENTUCKY is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        HOFSTRA is 38-18 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        FLORIDA (7 - 2) at FLORIDA ST (9 - 1) - 12/11/2016, 4:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        FLORIDA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
        FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        W KENTUCKY (3 - 5) at INDIANA ST (5 - 4) - 12/11/2016, 4:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        INDIANA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
        INDIANA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
        INDIANA ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        INDIANA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANA ST over the last 3 seasons
        W KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against INDIANA ST over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TENNESSEE (4 - 3) at N CAROLINA (9 - 1) - 12/11/2016, 5:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        N CAROLINA is 279-230 ATS (+26.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
        N CAROLINA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) against SEC opponents since 1997.
        N CAROLINA is 162-127 ATS (+22.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
        TENNESSEE is 124-84 ATS (+31.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
        TENNESSEE is 107-76 ATS (+23.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
        N CAROLINA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        N ILLINOIS (4 - 4) at MINNESOTA (9 - 1) - 12/11/2016, 5:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        N ILLINOIS is 81-52 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ALABAMA (4 - 3) at OREGON (7 - 2) - 12/11/2016, 6:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ALABAMA is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) in December games since 1997.
        ALABAMA is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing with 7 or more days rest since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ALABAMA is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
        OREGON is 1-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ST JOSEPHS (3 - 4) at DREXEL (4 - 4) - 12/11/2016, 6:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ST JOSEPHS is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        ST JOSEPHS is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        ST JOSEPHS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
        ST JOSEPHS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        ST JOSEPHS is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
        DREXEL is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DREXEL is 1-1 against the spread versus ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
        ST JOSEPHS is 2-0 straight up against DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NEVADA (7 - 2) at WASHINGTON (4 - 4) - 12/11/2016, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WASHINGTON is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        UC-SANTA BARBARA (1 - 5) at SAN DIEGO (4 - 5) - 12/11/2016, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SAN DIEGO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SAN DIEGO is 1-0 against the spread versus UC-SANTA BARBARA over the last 3 seasons
        SAN DIEGO is 1-0 straight up against UC-SANTA BARBARA over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PEPPERDINE (4 - 5) at USC (8 - 0) - 12/11/2016, 10:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        USC is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        USC is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        USC is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        UC-IRVINE (5 - 5) at ST MARYS-CA (6 - 1) - 12/11/2016, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UC-IRVINE is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
        ST MARYS-CA is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
        ST MARYS-CA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
        ST MARYS-CA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        ST MARYS-CA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ST MARYS-CA is 1-0 against the spread versus UC-IRVINE over the last 3 seasons
        ST MARYS-CA is 2-0 straight up against UC-IRVINE over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        LONG ISLAND (6 - 3) vs. ST JOHNS (5 - 5) - 12/11/2016, 12:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ST JOHNS is 1-0 straight up against LONG ISLAND over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SAVANNAH ST (2 - 8) at OREGON ST (3 - 6) - 12/11/2016, 6:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NEW ORLEANS (4 - 3) at NORTHWESTERN (6 - 2) - 12/11/2016, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NORTHWESTERN is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
        NORTHWESTERN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NORTHWESTERN is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons

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        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Sunday, December 11


          First true road game for Ole Miss squad that split its last four games after a 4-0 start; Rebels are #70 experience team playing #75 pace- they’re shooting 39.3% on arc (#41) but teams are shooting 43.3% against them (#344). Ole Miss hasn’t played in 8 days. Virginia Tech is 7-1 vs schedule #289; Hokies are 2-1 in top 10 games, losing to Texas A&M by 3 on a neutral floor, beating Nebraska/Michigan, both away from home. ACC home favorites are 27-17 vs spread; MAC road underdogs are 14-15.

          Yale is 4-4 vs schedule #54, with only two home games (wins by 8-4) in there; Bulldogs split pair of games vs teams outside top 200, losing at Bryant, winning at Sacred Heart. Yale is thin because of injuries; they’re playing pace #301. Delaware is 5-3 vs schedule #312 with two non-D-I wins; Blue Hens lost by 6 at LaSalle in their only top 200 game this season. Teams have shot only 24.8% on arc vs Delaware, best 3-point defense in country. Ivy League home favorites are 3-6 vs spread; CAA road underdogs are 11-7.

          Kentucky’s five wins vs teams outside top 100 have been by 23-24-24-31-35 points; this game is in Brooklyn, Wildcats head to Las Vegas next to play North Carolina Saturday. Kentucky is forcing turnovers 23.9% of time (#16); they’re 5th-least experienced team playing pace #10 in country. Hofstra is close to home; they’re 6-4 vs schedule #279- they lost to St Bonaventure by 6 at home, in only top 100 game so far. None of their losses are by more than 14 points, until today. SEC home favorites are 21-19 vs spread; CAA road underdogs are 11-7.

          Florida State beat Florida the last two years by a hoop each time, after losing five in row before that. Seminoles are 9-1 vs schedule #284; their bench has played #4 minutes in country. FSU is 3-1 in top 100 games, losing to Temple by 3 on neutral floor- they’ve beaten Illinois/Minnesota/Iona for top 100 wins. Gators are 2-2 in top 50 games, losing to Gonzaga by 5, Duke by 10 on neutral floors. Florida won by 31 at North Florida in only true road game this season. ACC home favorites are 27-17 vs spread; SEC road underdogs are 2-5.

          Indiana State was outscored 23-4 on foul line in 75-62 loss at Western Kentucky LY; Sycamores are 5-4 vs schedule #48 this year, upsetting Butler at home Wednesday on Larry Bird’s 60th birthday- home crowd rushed the floor. Sycamores won their last three games, last two by one point each. Hilltoppers lost last four games; they’re 0-4 on road, all against teams ranked #116 or worse; best team WKU has beaten is #232 Jacksonville State. WKU is 0-5 vs top 200 teams. MVC home favorites are 16-7 vs spread; C-USA road underdogs are 20-18.

          Rick Barnes is from Hickory, NC, coached in ACC for Clemson; he knows what he is up against in Chapel Hill today. His young Volunteers are 4-3 vs schedule #137- his bench is playing #11 minutes, so lot of young guys getting experience. Vols’ losses are by 13-12-4 points, with Wisconsin/Oregon in there so Tennessee has talent. North Carolina is 9-1, beating Davidson by 9 in last game (only win by less than 15 points); they’re rebounding 42.9% of their own missed shots. ACC home favorites are 27-17 vs spread; SEC road underdogs are 2-5.

          Minnesota is 9-1 vs schedule #169 with #312 experienced team; Gophers have #3 eFG% defense in country, holding teams to 39.7% inside arc. Northern Illinois lost four of last five games, with three losses by 5 or less points; Huskies as usual are struggling with shooting, making 27.9% on arc- they have #313 eFG%. NIU split pair with #126 Indiana State, best team they’ve played so far this season. Minnesota’s only loss is by 8 at Florida State. Big 14 home favorites are 23-28; MAC road underdogs are 14-15.

          Oregon beat Alabama 72-68 in Birmingham LY, rallying back from down 12 in second half. Ducks are 7-2, 3-2 vs top 100 teams, with losses to Baylor/Georgetown- they’re blocking 24.7% of opponents’ shots, most in country- their eFG% is #18. Alabama hasn’t played in nine days, since 77-68 loss at Texas in their only road game. Crimson Tide is 4-3, losing all three top 10 games by 5-8-9 points- their best win is over #169 Ball State. Pac-12 home favorites are 22-19; SEC road underdogs are 2-5.

          St Joe’s beat Drexel the last five years, the last two years by a combined four points. Hawks lost their last four games after a 3-0 start- they beat Columbia by 20 in only game vs team outside the top 200. St Joe’s is #299 experience team thats played schedule #75; all four of their losses are to top 100 teams. Drexel is 0-3 vs top 200 teams, losing by 13-21-11 points; best team they’ve beaten is #275 North Texas. A-14 favorites are 14-6 vs spread away from home; CAA home underdogs are 1-4.

          Nevada is 6-2 vs schedule #143, winning by 22 at Bradley in only road game- they lost final of Alaskan Shootout by 2 to Iona after beating Gaels by 15 the week before- thats best team they’ve played this season. Washington is #342 experience team playing pace #5- they gave up 92.3 pts/game in losing last three games. Best team Huskies have beaten is #165 Long Beach State, which is 1-10 vs D-I teams. Washington was down 47-22 at half at Gonzaga in last game. Pac-12 home favorites are 22-19; Mountain West road underdogs are 14-7.

          San Diego is #345 experience team; they’re 4-5 vs #302 schedule, playing pace #312. Toreros’ wins are all vs teams ranked outside top 300- best win is by 7 over #306 Fullerton. UCSB is 0-5 vs D-I teams; they haven’t played in 10 days, when they beat a D-II team. Gauchos also haven’t played a team outside 200 yet; they’re shooting 24.2% on arc, 2nd-worst in country. UCSB lost to WCC’s San Francisco by 12, their only WCC opponent so far this year. WCC home favorites are 18-13 vs spread; Big West road underdogs are 8-18.

          Young/thin USC (#327 experience, #269 bench) is 8-0 with three top 60 wins; Trojans are playing #68 pace, have WCC wins over San Diego (76-55), BYU (91-84). This is their first game in eight days. Pepperdine lost its last four games; they lost by 26 to St Bonaventure in their only top 100 game so far- Waves were playing third day in row. Pepperdine is 1-3 vs teams in top 150; their best win is over #146 Little Rock, by a point. Four of their five losses are by 11 or less points. Pac-12 home favorites are 22-19; WCC road underdogs are 8-8.

          St Mary’s got smoked at home by Tex-Arlington last game; Gaels were 8-27 on arc- they’re shooting 38.4% on season from arc. St Mary’s beat Cal-Irvine last couple of years by 10-3 points. Gaels have veteran team is playing 2nd-slowest pace in country. Irvine 4-5 vs D-I teams; they’re #337 in experience, turning ball over 22.1% of time (#305), but because Big West is so awful this year, they still have shot at winning league. Anteaters do have the #34 eFG% defense. WCC home favorites are 18-13 vs spread; Big West road underdogs are 8-18.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB

            Sunday, December 11


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            Trend Report
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            12:00 PM
            MISSISSIPPI vs. VIRGINIA TECH
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games on the road
            Mississippi is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
            Virginia Tech is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
            Virginia Tech is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

            12:00 PM
            MANHATTANVILLE vs. COLUMBIA
            No trends available
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbia's last 5 games at home
            Columbia is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home

            1:05 PM
            QUINNIPIAC vs. HOLY CROSS
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Quinnipiac's last 6 games on the road
            Quinnipiac is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            No trends available

            2:00 PM
            MONTREAT COLLEGE vs. APPALACHIAN STATE
            No trends available
            Appalachian State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Appalachian State is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games

            2:00 PM
            ANDERSON SC vs. COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON
            No trends available
            College of Charleston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
            College of Charleston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

            2:00 PM
            SIENA HEIGHTS vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
            No trends available
            Eastern Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Eastern Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

            2:00 PM
            DELAWARE vs. YALE
            Delaware is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games on the road
            Yale is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
            Yale is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

            3:00 PM
            HOFSTRA vs. KENTUCKY
            No trends available
            Kentucky is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games

            3:00 PM
            CHICAGO STATE vs. SAINT LOUIS
            Chicago State is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games on the road
            Saint Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saint Louis's last 6 games at home

            4:00 PM
            FLORIDA vs. FLORIDA STATE
            Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida State
            Florida is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
            Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida

            4:30 PM
            WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. INDIANA STATE
            Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana State's last 6 games
            Indiana State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

            5:00 PM
            TENNESSEE vs. NORTH CAROLINA
            Tennessee is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tennessee's last 13 games on the road
            North Carolina is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of North Carolina's last 9 games

            5:00 PM
            NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. MINNESOTA
            Northern Illinois is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 6 games on the road
            Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home

            6:00 PM
            ALABAMA vs. OREGON
            Alabama is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
            Alabama is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
            Oregon is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
            Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

            6:00 PM
            SAINT JOSEPH'S vs. DREXEL
            Saint Joseph's is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road
            Saint Joseph's is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            Drexel is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games
            Drexel is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Saint Joseph's

            6:00 PM
            SAVANNAH STATE vs. OREGON STATE
            No trends available
            Oregon State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
            Oregon State is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home

            7:00 PM
            NEW ORLEANS vs. NORTHWESTERN
            No trends available
            Northwestern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            Northwestern is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

            8:00 PM
            NEVADA vs. WASHINGTON
            Nevada is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada's last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games

            8:00 PM
            UC IRVINE vs. ST. MARY'S
            UC Irvine is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games on the road
            UC Irvine is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            St. Mary's is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Mary's last 5 games

            8:00 PM
            SANTA BARBARA vs. SAN DIEGO
            Santa Barbara is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            San Diego is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
            San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Santa Barbara

            8:15 PM
            FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. FLORIDA GULF COAST
            Florida International is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            No trends available

            10:00 PM
            PEPPERDINE vs. USC
            Pepperdine is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pepperdine's last 7 games on the road
            USC is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            USC is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


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