Announcement

**Udog** · 12-10-2016, 08:34 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

— Titans covered twice in last 10 games as a home favorite.

— Seahawks are 13-6 vs spread in their last 19 games.

— Carolina is 4-10-1 vs spread in their last 15 games.

— Lions are 6-1-1 in last 8 games as an NFC North home favorite.

— Surprising fact: the Prime Minister of Japan went to college at USC.

— Hartford 65, Boston College 63— BC is in same league as Duke, UNC, Louisville and they’ve already lost to Nicholls St and Hartford. Yikes.

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random thoughts on a cold day

Catching up on some stuff from during the week…….
13) First of all, a football-related weather forecast; supposed to snow heavily in Green Bay all day Sunday; 6-8 inches in all. Could be Packers’ snowiest home game since 1985, so if you’re wagering or have fantasy players in that game, act accordingly.

12) Houston Rockets’ Sam Dekker is a good example of a guy working his butt off to improve his body and therefore his game, making himself a serviceable NBA player. Dekker played in only three games LY, hurt his back; he is averaging 16+ minutes a game this year.

11) College football coaching moves: Willie Taggart goes from South Florida to Oregon, Purdue hires Western Kentucky coach Jeff Brohm and Houston promotes OC Major Applewhite to replace the departed Tom Herman.

10) Taggart was making $1.8M at South Florida, will make $3.2M now. Brohm was making $800K at WKU, will make $3.3M now- interesting. Good luck competing against Harbaugh and Urban Meyer, by the way.

Brohm’s first game at Purdue will be against his old boss Bobby Petrino and Louisville.

9) Gonzaga 98, Washington 71— If you’re coaching in the Pac-12 and one of your better players transfers to Gonzaga, what does it say about your program? Spokane is way out of the way, dangerously close to Idaho, but they win a lot and kids like to win.

What Gonzaga did to Washington in this game was flat embarrassing— Lorenzo Romar’s team has fallen into the trap of recruiting one-and-done kids, meaning his team is always very young but with very little chance to develop team chemistry, since their better guys have at least one eye on the NBA already.

8) Tex-Arlington 66, Saint Mary’s 51— We like Arlington, but were still surprised that this game wasn’t close at all. UTA was quicker all over the court and dominated the game. In no way did the Gaels look like a top 15 team.

7) Iowa 78, Iowa State 64— People get impatient with me for not picking games in pre-conference play anymore, and I point to games like this, scores that make zero sense. Iowa isn’t a good team; Cyclones are one of the most experienced teams in America and they got waxed in this game, against an in-state rival. Go figure.

6) If Chiefs’ speedster Tyreek Hill played for the Giants, Showtime would’ve already done one (or more) movies about him and he’d have 6-7 commercials on TV every day. He’s very good and still underrated.

5) Louisiana Tech’s football team is 8-5; in only two of their 13 games was the Las Vegas pointspread single digits- Tech was favored by 10+ points eight times, an underdog of 10+ three times. That is very unusual.

4) ESPN’s Jeff Van Gundy is a great basketball analyst; he was explaining Friday night how Houston’s Clint Capela is actually an upgrade over Dwight Howard for the Rockets, because it allows Houston to easily define what they want to do on offense (pick/roll). As soon as he explained it, Rockets scored an easy basket, with Capela getting the layup.

3) CF Dexter Fowler signed with St Louis, the Cubs’ arch-rival; move allows Matt Carpenter to drop down into the middle of the Cardinals’ lineup.

2) I really like Florida State’s Darvin Cook as a running back; think he’ll be an excellent NFL player. Not sure why he’s not getting more of a push for postseason awards but he’ll get paid next year and for years to come.

1— Long time ago, I put myself thru college as a student manager of the school’s basketball team; it was mostly great fun, learned a lot plus our team was really good so that helped too.

For a year, our JV basketball coach shared an office with the school’s swimming coach. One day, a kid on the JV hoop team calls in to say he can’t come to practice that day- the swimming coach takes the call, and asks the kid for his number, so the JV coach can call him back.

“Coach already knows my number; I’m number 45.” And he hangs up.

Oy.

**Udog** · 12-10-2016, 08:48 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, December 10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (8 - 15) at ORLANDO (10 - 14) - 12/10/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
DENVER is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (11 - 10) at WASHINGTON (8 - 13) - 12/10/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 140-182 ATS (-60.2 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 369-439 ATS (-113.9 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (12 - 12) at INDIANA (11 - 12) - 12/10/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
PORTLAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
INDIANA is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (14 - 9) at CLEVELAND (16 - 5) - 12/10/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (5 - 17) at HOUSTON (16 - 7) - 12/10/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) first half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 356-294 ATS (+32.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 468-391 ATS (+37.9 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 72-45 ATS (+22.5 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 237-193 ATS (+24.7 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 310-256 ATS (+28.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 186-147 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 10-5 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 11-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (7 - 16) at CHICAGO (12 - 10) - 12/10/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 56-89 ATS (-41.9 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (20 - 3) at MEMPHIS (16 - 8) - 12/10/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 70-55 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 56-43 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 117-88 ATS (+20.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 70-50 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 8-5 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 10-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (6 - 15) at SAN ANTONIO (18 - 5) - 12/10/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 965-844 ATS (+36.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 773-656 ATS (+51.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 489-411 ATS (+36.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 155-120 ATS (+23.0 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 325-256 ATS (+43.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 320-266 ATS (+27.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 198-139 ATS (+45.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 388-312 ATS (+44.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (8 - 14) at UTAH (14 - 10) - 12/10/2016, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (7 - 16) at LA CLIPPERS (16 - 7) - 12/10/2016, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-10-2016, 08:49 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, December 10

Denver lost five of its last six games, is 7-4 as road underdog. Over is 6-1-1 in Nuggets’ last eight games. Magic lost their last four home games, are 0-4 as a home underdog this season; under is 10-4 in their last fourteen games. Orlando won last two games with Denver, after losing previous five; over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Nuggets won three of last five visits to Magic Kingdom.

Milwaukee won five of last seven games; they’re 3-4 on road, 1-4 as a road underdog. Under is 5-2 in their road games this season. Washington lost four of last five games, are 5-7 at home, 5-5 as home favorites. Four of last five Wizard games went over total. Wizards won seven of last nine games with Milwaukee; Bucks lost last four visits here, by 5-29-11-13 points. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Portland lost seven of last nine road games; they’re 2-6 as road underdogs. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Pacers are 4-3 in last seven games; they’re 8-4 at home, 4-4 as home favorites; four of Indiana’s last five games went over the total. Trailblazers won seven of last eight games with Indiana, winning by 9-10 points in last two visits here. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Hornets won/covered their last three games; they’re 6-3 on road, 2-0-1 as road underdogs. Four of last five Charlotte road games went over. Cavaliers won/covered last three games, winning last two by 32-30 points. Cavs are 5-6-1 as home favorites. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Cleveland won seven of last eight games with Charlotte, which lost last five visits to Lake Erie (0-3-1 vs spread in last four). Three of last four series games went over.

Mavericks are 1-10 on road, 4-7 as road underdogs; their last three games went over the total. Houston won its last five games (4-1 vs spread); they’re 4-3 as home favorites. Six of Rockets’ last eight games went over the total. Rockets won four of last five games with Dallas, which lost four of last five visits here (2-3 vs spread). Four of last five series games stayed under the total.

Miami lost its last four games; they lost by 3 in Cleveland last night. Heat is 5-8 on road, 6-4 as road underdogs. Three of Heat’s last four games stayed under. Bulls lost three of last four games, are 6-3 at home, 3-3 as home favorites. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Miami won/covered four of last five games with Chicago; Heat won last three visits here, by 12-5-22 points. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Golden State won its last eight road games (6-2 vs spread); Warriors are 7-5 as road favorites. Under is 5-1 in their last six road games. Memphis won its last five games (4-1 vs spread); they’re 8-4 at home, 4-2 as home underdogs. Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 home games. Warriors won their last seven games with Memphis (6-1 vs spread); Golden State won its last four visits here, by 17-13-1-16 points. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Brooklyn is 1-8 on road, 1-3-1 vs spread in last five games as a road underdog. Over is 10-3 in their last 13 games. San Antonio is 13-2 in its last 15 games, but 2-7 vs spread as a home favorite. Five of Spurs’ last six games stayed under total. Spurs won eight of last ten games with Brooklyn (7-2 vs spread in last nine); Nets lost last five visits to Alamo (0-4 vs spread in last four). Under is 7-1-1 in last nine series games.

Sacramento lost at home to the Knicks last night; they’re 4-8 on road, 3-7 as road underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Utah won seven of last nine games; they’re 3-6 as home favorites. Six of last seven Jazz games went over total. Jazz won six of last nine games with Sacramento; Kings lost three of last four visits to Salt Lake City (1-1-2 vs spread). Four of last five series games went over total.

Pelicans lost four in row, six of last seven games; they’re 3-5 as a road underdog. Four of last six New Orleans games stayed under. Clippers lost five of last seven games, are 5-4-1 as home favorites. Over is 11-4 in their last fifteen games. Clippers won five of last six games with New Orleans; Pelicans lost last five visits here (2-3 vs spread) losing by 3-21-7-20-32 points. Six of last eight series games went over total.

**Udog** · 12-10-2016, 08:51 AM

NBA

Saturday, December 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. WASHINGTON
Milwaukee is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:00 PM
DENVER vs. ORLANDO
Denver is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Orlando is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Denver

7:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. INDIANA
Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games

7:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. CLEVELAND
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Charlotte
Cleveland is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home

8:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. MEMPHIS
Golden State is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games on the road
Memphis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
Memphis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State

8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. CHICAGO
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. HOUSTON
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Dallas is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Houston
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

8:30 PM
BROOKLYN vs. SAN ANTONIO
Brooklyn is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

9:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. UTAH
Sacramento is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games
Utah is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

10:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 6 games at home
LA Clippers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-10-2016, 12:06 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, December 10

New Orleans @ LA Clippers

Game 519-520
December 10, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
117.237
LA Clippers
119.688
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 2 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
N/A

Sacramento @ Utah

Game 517-518
December 10, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
116.895
Utah
127.431
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 10 1/2
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
N/A

Brooklyn @ San Antonio

Game 515-516
December 10, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
110.678
San Antonio
122.075
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 11 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 14 1/2
210
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+14 1/2); Over

Golden State @ Memphis

Game 513-514
December 10, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
127.254
Memphis
125.686
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 1 1/2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 10 1/2
210
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+10 1/2); Under

Miami @ Chicago

Game 511-512
December 10, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
113.194
Chicago
120.686
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 7 1/2
190
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 10 1/2
199 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+10 1/2); Under

Dallas @ Houston

Game 509-510
December 10, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
111.404
Houston
130.399
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 19
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 13 1/2
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-13 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ Cleveland

Game 507-508
December 10, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
122.330
Cleveland
129.792
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 7 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
N/A

Portland @ Indiana

Game 505-506
December 10, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
117.064
Indiana
119.523
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 2 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 1
217
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+1); Under

Milwaukee @ Washington

Game 503-504
December 10, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
112.790
Washington
124.267
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 10 1/2
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 4 1/2
210 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-4 1/2); Under

Denver @ Orlando

Game 501-502
December 10, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
117.285
Orlando
112.744
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 4 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 1
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-1); Over

Announcement

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/10

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/10

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment