Announcement

**Udog** · 12-08-2016, 08:29 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

— Ian Desmond signs with Colorado for five years, $70M; he is expected to play 1B, unless the Rockies trade one of their OFs.

— White Sox traded Adam Eaton to Washington; they got four prospects in return. Eaton is overvalued by the sabermetric guys.

— Colorado 68, Xavier 66— Important win for the Pac-12.

— Grand Canyon 76, San Diego State 72— Very bad loss for the Mountain West.

— Aroldis Chapman gets $86M for five years to be the closer in the Bronx.

— Cubs replace Chapman by trading Jorge Soler to the Royals for Wade Davis.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud

13) Used to be I bought the NBA League Pass in part just to watch the Warriors play; their games were so much fun and Golden State has long played a wide-open, entertaining style.

Now that Kevin Durant stuffed the ballot box in trying to win a championship ring, Golden State isn’t fun to watch anymore; they’ve already won eight games by 23+ points. Close games are fun to watch; when it is 70-43 in the second quarter, not so much.

12) That said, Klay Thompson scored 60 points against Indiana Monday night; he made 21 baskets. On the 21 touches where he scored those hoops, he dribbled a total of 11 times. Catch-and-shoot…..get open and drill a jumper.

Kids who are interesting in learning the right way to play should watch Thompson and Steph Curry; they are so fundamentally sound in getting open and teammates give them great passes.

11) It is a good week to play basketball for Duke; they played Florida in New York City Tuesday and now they’re going to Las Vegas to play UNLV Saturday. Pretty good week for a college kid.

10) During the Jet game Monday night, Jon Gruden seemed annoyed that Baylor’s football team doesn’t have an actual playbook; he mentioned it more than once. It is a little unusual.

Speaking of Baylor and the Jets, Bryce Petty will start the Jets’ last four games, which seems like a good idea. At least they can get an idea if he’s good enough to be their QB moving forward.

9) Odd Fact of the Day: Detroit Lions and Miami Dolphins both have only one home loss this season, both to the Tennessee Titans. Wouldn’t have guessed that.

8) This is crazy; LSU defensive coordinator Dave Aranda will make $5.5M over the next three years- thats almost $2M a year, and he isn’t the head coach!!!

7) Former Alabama QB Blake Barnett, who started the Crimson Tide’s first game this year, has transferred to Arizona State

6) LA Clippers played 21 games in the first 36 days of the season; this week was the first time since October they two off days in a row.

5) Before the Lions won in New Orleans Sunday, they had lost 22 road games in row the week after Thanksgiving. Figuring Detroit usually has three extra days to prepare after playing on Thanksgiving Day, losing 22 games in a row is pretty dismal, even if they were all road games.

4) Over their last eight games, Jacksonville Jaguars are -16 (2-18) in turnovers.

3) Indiana State 72, Butler 71— Sycamore fans stormed the court after this upset, which happened on Larry Bird’s 60th birthday.

2) Supposedly, Sylvester Stallone wrote the original Rocky screenplay in 3.5 days.

1— I mentioned this a few weeks ago, but only in passing; here are the Jets’ last five coaches, with their record in their first season, and then their record the rest of their time with the Jets:

Al Groh: 9-7, left after one year
Herm Edwards: 10-6, 29-35
Eric Mangini: 10-6, 13-19
Rex Ryan: 9-7, 37-43
Todd Bowles: 10-6, 3-9

I can’t think of a reason why this is, except that there is incredible negativity involved in the New York press when it comes to the Jets, and it spreads to the fans. Once things start to go bad, it gets worse quickly.

**Udog** · 12-08-2016, 08:48 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 8

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PACIFIC (3 - 4) at MASSACHUSETTS (5 - 2) - 12/8/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MASSACHUSETTS is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FORDHAM (5 - 4) at ST JOHNS (4 - 5) - 12/8/2016, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FORDHAM is 161-202 ATS (-61.2 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
FORDHAM is 93-125 ATS (-44.5 Units) in road games since 1997.
FORDHAM is 93-125 ATS (-44.5 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
FORDHAM is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOHNS is 1-1 against the spread versus FORDHAM over the last 3 seasons
ST JOHNS is 1-1 straight up against FORDHAM over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VANDERBILT (5 - 4) at MIDDLE TENN ST (8 - 1) - 12/8/2016, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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IOWA ST (6 - 2) at IOWA (4 - 5) - 12/8/2016, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-1 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 2-0 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TX-ARLINGTON (7 - 3) at ST MARYS-CA (6 - 0) - 12/8/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST MARYS-CA is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 44-22 ATS (+19.8 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TX-ARLINGTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SOUTHERN UTAH (2 - 6) at LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT (2 - 3) - 12/8/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN UTAH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SOUTHERN UTAH is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 233-280 ATS (-75.0 Units) in all games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 233-280 ATS (-75.0 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 50-77 ATS (-34.7 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 94-127 ATS (-45.7 Units) in all home games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 94-127 ATS (-45.7 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 90-121 ATS (-43.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 76-107 ATS (-41.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NICHOLLS ST (4 - 4) at FLORIDA ST (8 - 1) - 12/8/2016, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 1-0 straight up against NICHOLLS ST over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-08-2016, 08:48 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 8

Pacific blew 20-point lead with 12:00 left at Fullerton Saturday, losing 78-77; Tigers are 3-0 at home, 0-4 on road, with losses by 39-7-1-10 points- three of those games were in California, the other in Reno- this is at UMass, long way from home. Minutemen are 1-2 vs top 200 teams, with losses by total of five points; they’re turning ball 21.8% of time, shooting just 28.4% on arc. UMass is forcing turnovers 23.8% of time, has #40 eFG% defense. WCC road underdogs are 7-7 vs spread; A-14 home favorites are 12-24.

St John’s is 4-5, 0-4 vs top 200 teams; their best win is over #223 Northridge; Red Storm lost 73-57 to Fordham LY, snapping 4-game series win streak. Mullin has yet to turn program around; St John’s is #349 experience team; they’re shooting 40.3% on arc but only 43.9% inside it. Fordham is 4-4 vs D-I teams; their best win is over #193 St Peter’s; they lost last three games by 4-1-12 points. Rams are forcing turnovers 29.6% of time, #2 in country. Big East home favorites are 14-9 vs spread; A-14 road underdogs are 9-6.

Vanderbilt is 5-4 this season, 1-3 on neutral court; this is their first true road game. Vandy is shooting 42.7% on arc, only 45.7% inside it and they’re turning ball over 20.8% of time- they’re 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 24-10-4 points. Middle Tennessee is 9-1, beating UNCW by 5 in its only top 100 game; Blue Raiders are forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#37)- they won by 15 at Ole Miss of SEC last Wednesday. SEC underdogs are 11-13 vs spread, 2-4 on road. C-USA home favorites are 9-9.

Iowa State beat Iowa last three years by 3-1-15 points; home side won 10 of last 12 series games, with Cyclones winning two of last three visits here. State just beat Omaha by 44, after Mavericks had upset Iowa 98-89 in Iowa City. Cyclones are #5 experience team; this is their first true road game of season- they’re 1-2 vs top 100 teams, with home loss in OT to Cincinnati. Iowa is #341 experience team; they’re 4-5, with best win over #286 Stetson. Big X favorites are 10-8 away from home; Big 14 underdogs are 18-12, 2-2 at home.

Tex-Arlington will be a popular underdog in March; they’re 7-3, with win at Texas, losses by 4 at Arkansas, 17 at Minnesota- they’ve won last four D-I games, but St Mary’s is best team they’ve played. Gaels are 6-0 vs schedule #91; four of their six opponents are top 100 teams- they have wins at Dayton/Stanford. St Mary’s is playing 2nd-slowest tempo in country; they’re shooting 64.1% inside arc, #1 in country. Arlington is turning ball over 23.2% of time, but St Mary’s doesn’t force lot of turnovers. WCC home favorites are 16-11 vs spread; Sun Belt road underdogs are 15-15.

Loyola Marymount is 1-3 vs D-I teams, but they lost to UConn/Boise State by total of 4 points, so there is a pulse there; Lions are #18 experience team whose only D-I win was by 16 over Portland State, a Big Sky rival of Southern Utah. SUU is 0-6 vs D-I teams, 0-3 in true road games, losing by 14-12-10 points, so they have some talent; their closest loss was 89-81 at home to UNLV. Thunderbirds are shooting only 39.4% inside arc. WCC home favorites are 16-11 vs spread; Big Sky road underdogs are 18-23.

**Udog** · 12-08-2016, 08:50 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, December 8

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Trend Report
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6:30 PM
FORDHAM vs. ST. JOHN'S
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fordham's last 6 games on the road
Fordham is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
St. John's is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. John's last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
PACIFIC vs. MASSACHUSETTS
Pacific is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pacific is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Massachusetts is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Massachusetts is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
VANDERBILT vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vanderbilt's last 8 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 5 games at home
Middle Tennessee is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

7:30 PM
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF vs. ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
No trends available
Arkansas-Little Rock is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Arkansas-Little Rock is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arkansas-Pine Bluff

8:00 PM
IOWA STATE vs. IOWA
Iowa State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Iowa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa
Iowa is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games at home
Iowa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
YALE vs. SACRED HEART
Yale is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
No trends available

8:00 PM
DELAWARE STATE vs. NORTH TEXAS
No trends available
North Texas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home

9:00 PM
NICHOLLS STATE vs. FLORIDA STATE
No trends available
Florida State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Florida State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

9:05 PM
GREAT FALLS vs. EASTERN WASHINGTON
No trends available
Eastern Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Eastern Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

10:00 PM
TEXAS-ARLINGTON vs. ST. MARY'S
No trends available
St. Mary's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
St. Mary's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

10:00 PM
SOUTHERN UTAH vs. LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Southern Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Loyola Marymount is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Loyola Marymount is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

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**Udog** · 12-08-2016, 09:42 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, December 8

Nicholls State @ Florida State

Game 525-526
December 8, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nicholls State
48.528
Florida State
68.630
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida State
by 20
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 29
156 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Nicholls State
(+20); Under

Southern Utah @ Loyola Marymount

Game 523-524
December 8, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Utah
41.631
Loyola Marymount
59.611
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Loyola Marymount
by 18
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Loyola Marymount
by 11
151 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Loyola Marymount
(-11); Over

TX-Arlington @ St Mary's

Game 521-522
December 8, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TX-Arlington
59.563
St Mary's
71.099
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Mary's
by 11 1/2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Mary's
by 15
142
Dunkel Pick:
TX-Arlington
(+15); Under

Vanderbilt @ Middle Tennessee

Game 517-518
December 8, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vanderbilt
68.126
Middle Tennessee
63.066
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vanderbilt
by 5
129
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Middle Tennessee
by 2 1/2
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vanderbilt
(+2 1/2); Under

Iowa State @ Iowa

Game 519-520
December 8, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa State
69.423
Iowa
67.577
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 2
161
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 5 1/2
156
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa
(+5 1/2); Over

Fordham @ St John's

Game 515-516
December 8, 2016 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fordham
47.499
St John's
56.378
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St John's
by 9
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St John's
by 5
135
Dunkel Pick:
St John's
(-5); Under

Pacific @ Massachusetts

Game 513-514
December 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pacific
52.916
Massachusetts
60.134
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Massachusetts
by 7
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Massachusetts
by 9
141
Dunkel Pick:
Pacific
(+9); Over

Announcement

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/8

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/8

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