Announcement

**Udog** · 12-08-2016, 08:27 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

— Ian Desmond signs with Colorado for five years, $70M; he is expected to play 1B, unless the Rockies trade one of their OFs.

— White Sox traded Adam Eaton to Washington; they got four prospects in return. Eaton is overvalued by the sabermetric guys.

— Colorado 68, Xavier 66— Important win for the Pac-12.

— Grand Canyon 76, San Diego State 72— Very bad loss for the Mountain West.

— Aroldis Chapman gets $86M for five years to be the closer in the Bronx.

— Cubs replace Chapman by trading Jorge Soler to the Royals for Wade Davis.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud

13) Used to be I bought the NBA League Pass in part just to watch the Warriors play; their games were so much fun and Golden State has long played a wide-open, entertaining style.

Now that Kevin Durant stuffed the ballot box in trying to win a championship ring, Golden State isn’t fun to watch anymore; they’ve already won eight games by 23+ points. Close games are fun to watch; when it is 70-43 in the second quarter, not so much.

12) That said, Klay Thompson scored 60 points against Indiana Monday night; he made 21 baskets. On the 21 touches where he scored those hoops, he dribbled a total of 11 times. Catch-and-shoot…..get open and drill a jumper.

Kids who are interesting in learning the right way to play should watch Thompson and Steph Curry; they are so fundamentally sound in getting open and teammates give them great passes.

11) It is a good week to play basketball for Duke; they played Florida in New York City Tuesday and now they’re going to Las Vegas to play UNLV Saturday. Pretty good week for a college kid.

10) During the Jet game Monday night, Jon Gruden seemed annoyed that Baylor’s football team doesn’t have an actual playbook; he mentioned it more than once. It is a little unusual.

Speaking of Baylor and the Jets, Bryce Petty will start the Jets’ last four games, which seems like a good idea. At least they can get an idea if he’s good enough to be their QB moving forward.

9) Odd Fact of the Day: Detroit Lions and Miami Dolphins both have only one home loss this season, both to the Tennessee Titans. Wouldn’t have guessed that.

8) This is crazy; LSU defensive coordinator Dave Aranda will make $5.5M over the next three years- thats almost $2M a year, and he isn’t the head coach!!!

7) Former Alabama QB Blake Barnett, who started the Crimson Tide’s first game this year, has transferred to Arizona State

6) LA Clippers played 21 games in the first 36 days of the season; this week was the first time since October they two off days in a row.

5) Before the Lions won in New Orleans Sunday, they had lost 22 road games in row the week after Thanksgiving. Figuring Detroit usually has three extra days to prepare after playing on Thanksgiving Day, losing 22 games in a row is pretty dismal, even if they were all road games.

4) Over their last eight games, Jacksonville Jaguars are -16 (2-18) in turnovers.

3) Indiana State 72, Butler 71— Sycamore fans stormed the court after this upset, which happened on Larry Bird’s 60th birthday.

2) Supposedly, Sylvester Stallone wrote the original Rocky screenplay in 3.5 days.

1— I mentioned this a few weeks ago, but only in passing; here are the Jets’ last five coaches, with their record in their first season, and then their record the rest of their time with the Jets:

Al Groh: 9-7, left after one year
Herm Edwards: 10-6, 29-35
Eric Mangini: 10-6, 13-19
Rex Ryan: 9-7, 37-43
Todd Bowles: 10-6, 3-9

I can’t think of a reason why this is, except that there is incredible negativity involved in the New York press when it comes to the Jets, and it spreads to the fans. Once things start to go bad, it gets worse quickly.

**Udog** · 12-08-2016, 08:41 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 8

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DENVER (8 - 14) at WASHINGTON (7 - 13) - 12/8/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 164-213 ATS (-70.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DENVER is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 368-439 ATS (-114.9 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (6 - 15) at TORONTO (14 - 7) - 12/8/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) first half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (12 - 11) at MEMPHIS (15 - 8) - 12/8/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 8-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 10-4 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (4 - 18) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 15) - 12/8/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-43 ATS (-20.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (19 - 3) at UTAH (14 - 9) - 12/8/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 70-54 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 56-43 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 65-51 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 69-48 ATS (+16.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 70-49 ATS (+16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 58-39 ATS (+15.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (18 - 4) at CHICAGO (11 - 10) - 12/8/2016, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 965-843 ATS (+37.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 773-655 ATS (+52.5 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 320-265 ATS (+28.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 289-236 ATS (+29.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
CHICAGO is 119-161 ATS (-58.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-08-2016, 08:42 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 8

Nuggets won four of last six games with Washington; they won three of last five visits here. Over is 6-2-1 in last nine series games. Denver lost six of its last eight games; they’re 6-3 vs spread as a road underdog. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Nuggets are 2-2 vs spread if they played night before. Washington lost three of last four games; they’re 4-5 as home favorites. Over is 9-3 in Wizards’ last 12 games.

Raptors won nine of last ten games with Minnesota; Wolves lost last six visits here (2-4 vs spread). Four of last five series games went over the total. Minnesota lost five of its last six games; they’re 3-4 vs spread as a road underdog. Over is 3-2 in their last five games. Toronto won six of its last seven games, is 6-3 as a home favorite. Over is 12-3 in their last fifteen games.

Memphis is 6-4 in its last ten games with Portland; Trailblazers won their last two visits here by six points each. Four of last six series games went over the total. Portland won three of its last four games; they’re 2-5 as road underdogs. Six of Blazers’ last seven games went over total. Memphis won 11 of its last 14 games; they’re 2-4 as home favorites. Under is 8-2 in their last ten home games.

76ers lost five of last seven games with New Orleans; Sixers lost last three visits here, by 37-25-7 points. Three of last four series games stayed under. 76ers lost their last eight games; they’re 2-5 as road underdogs. Three of their last four games stayed under total. New Orleans lost five of its last six games; they’re 2-5 as home favorites. Over is 9-2-1 in their home games.

Warriors won their last five games with Utah (4-1 vs spread); under is 2-0-1 in last three series games. Golden State is 15-1 in its last 16 games, 7-4 as road favorites, 1-3 vs spread if they played the night before. Three of their last four games went over the total. Utah won seven of its last eight games, is 7-4 at home, 1-1 as a home underdog. Last six Jazz games went over the total.

Spurs won five of last eight games with Chicago, but lost three of last five visits to Windy City (over 3-2). San Antonio won 13 of its last 14 games; they’re 9-3 as road favorites. Spurs’ last six games went over the total. Chicago lost five of last seven games, is 2-0 as a home underdog. Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

**Udog** · 12-08-2016, 08:44 AM

NBA

Thursday, December 8

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DENVER vs. WASHINGTON
Denver is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games on the road
Washington is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Denver
Washington is 7-13-1 ATS in its last 21 games when playing at home against Denver

7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. TORONTO
Minnesota is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

8:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NEW ORLEANS
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. MEMPHIS
Portland is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Memphis
Memphis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Memphis is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Portland

9:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. UTAH
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Utah is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games

9:30 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. CHICAGO
San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 12-08-2016, 10:17 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, December 8

San Antonio @ Chicago

Game 511-512
December 8, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
119.018
Chicago
121.942
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 3
192
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 3 1/2
198 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+3 1/2); Under

Golden State @ Utah

Game 509-510
December 8, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
134.033
Utah
125.078
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 9
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 6
211
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-6); Over

Philadelphia @ New Orleans

Game 507-508
December 8, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
111.492
New Orleans
117.786
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 6 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 9
204
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+9); Over

Portland @ Memphis

Game 505-506
December 8, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
116.865
Memphis
121.036
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 4
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 1
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-1); Under

Minnesota @ Toronto

Game 503-504
December 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
121.069
Toronto
125.609
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 4 1/2
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 7 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+7 1/2); Over

Denver @ Washington

Game 501-502
December 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
110.804
Washington
119.765
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 9
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 6
218
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-6); Under

**Udog** · 12-08-2016, 01:20 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, December 8

Denver at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
Denver: 12-3 ATS in road games off a road loss
Washington: 21-38 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games

Minnesota at Toronto, 7:00 PM ET
Minnesota: 2-10 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread
Toronto: 30-16 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more

Portland at Memphis, 8:05 PM ET
Portland: 5-16 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games
Memphis: 26-14 OVER after a non-conference game

Philadelphia at New Orleans, 8:05 PM ET
Philadelphia: 25-12 ATS in non-conference games
New Orleans: 9-21 ATS as a favorite

Golden State at Utah, 9:05 PM ET
Golden State: 29-16 ATS off a road win
Utah: 11-3 OVER after playing a game as favorite

San Antonio at Chicago, 9:30 PM ET
San Antonio: 14-4 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days
Chicago: 37-61 ATS after playing a road game

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/8

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/8

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