Announcement

**Udog** · 12-07-2016, 08:14 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

— Baylor hired Temple’s football coach Matt Rhule; good move.

— Duke 84, Florida 74— Gators’ coach Mike White is the son of Duke’s AD; tough couple hours for Mrs White the wife/mom.

— San Antonio 105, Minnesota 91— Spurs are unbeaten on road.

— Florida Atlantic 79, Ohio State 77 (OT)— FAU came in 1-5 vs D-I teams, with one top 200 game (L 88-80 to Hofstra). Owls were a 20-point underdog.

— Magic 124, Wizards 116— John Wall scored 52 in a losing cause.

— Red Sox traded for Chris Sale, giving up four prospects. Most of what I read on the Interweb said Chicago got best of the deal. Boston ate the rest of Yoan Moncada’s contract since Sale’s deal is so team-friendly.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Random bowl game observations

13) Bowl rematch: North Texas went to West Point in October and beat the Cadets 35-18 as a 17-point underdog, Mean Green was +6 in turnovers that day; they were 1-11 last year, are in a bowl for only second time in last 12 years. Army is in its first bowl since 2010. These teams meet in the Dallas Bowl, played in the iconic Cotton Bowl.

12) South Florida is fun to watch; QB Flowers is a dynamic playmaker, especially on scramble plays, but against an SEC defense (lot faster than the typical AAC defense), he could be negated some. USF lost 55-35 to Florida State in September, a team with SEC-like speed. South Carolina won its last four bowl games, but that was with coach Spurrier.

11) Miami Ohio was 0-6, finished 6-6; Baylor was 6-0, finished 6-6. Too bad the powers-that-be couldn’t have hooked them up in a bowl.

Miami will play 5-7 Mississippi State (the 5-7 teams won their bowls LY); Baylor will be playing Boise State in its bowl, with a lame duck coaching staff- Bears hired Temple coach Rhule on Tuesday.

10) South Alabama is playing Air Force in its bowl game; Jaguars beat San Diego State and Mississippi State, but also lost to UL-Monroe and Georgia Southern, so you never know what you’re getting with USA. South Alabama lost 33-28 in its only other bowl game, couple years ago against Bowling Green.

9) New Mexico and Hawaii are playing bowl games on their home fields; is that fun? Would kids rather go somewhere else for a bowl? Lobos’ last four bowls have all been in Albuquerque- they’re 1-4 in their last five bowls.

8) Speaking of bowl travel, was is the worst place to go for a bowl? Anywhere with a beach can’t be considered, so that leaves Boise, Detroit, New York City. In Detroit/NYC, kids probably go to an NBA or NHL game as entertainment, but what do you do in Idaho for fun in December?

7) Idaho is dropping back to I-AA in 2018, so this bowl game has special meaning for them and they won’t mind playing in Boise. Vandals’ QB is Matt Linehan, son of the Dallas Cowboys’ OC. Idaho won five of its last six games (6-0 vs spread).

6) Old Dominion is playing in its first bowl game; Eastern Michigan’s last bowl was in 1987; the Bahamas Bowl is going to be fun. ODU scored 45.8 pts/game in its last four games. EMU covered eight of its last ten games. Both teams will be very happy to be there.

5) BYU-Wyoming used to be conference rivals; other than Utah, no one despises the Cougars more than Wyoming fans. BYU is 8-4, with four losses by a total of 8 points. This should be one of the better bowl games.

4) Indiana fired Kevin Wilson, but not because of their win-loss record; apparently he isn’t a nice guy and some of the players complained, so he is gone and the OC was promoted. Awkward.

Utah coach Kyle Whittingham is 8-1 in bowl games, the best bowl record since Boston College strung together eight straight bowl wins when Tom O’Brien was coach there.

3) TCU has only eight scholarship seniors, so the practices they get before the bowl and then the game itself serve as an early start for next season. Horned Frogs won four of last five bowls, scoring 89 points in last two- they beat Oregon in OT in Alamo Bowl LY.

2) Underdogs covered last four Holiday Bowls, winning three of the four SU; there was a time when Holiday Bowl was famous for high scoring games, so fitting that Mike Leach’s Washington State team will be there. This is third bowl in four years for Coogs, after they went ten years in between bowl appearances. Leach has done a great job reviving the Wazzu program.

1— Florida State-Michigan and USC-Penn State are terrific bowl matchups between traditional powers.

After watching the Showtime reality show on the Seminoles this fall, am curious how they do in this bowl, given a chance to get healthier and then there was the war of words between the two coaches about the satellite camps Harbaugh runs in Florida.

If you’re Penn State coach Franklin, missing out on the playoff is disappointing, but isn’t playing in the Rose Bowl really good and in the long run, couldn’t that help PSU’s recruiting more than a loss to Alabama in the national semifinal?

**Udog** · 12-07-2016, 08:23 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 7

Detroit won four of last five games; they covered last three tries as a road underdog. Piston’s last three road games went over total. Charlotte won four of last six games; they’re 0-6 vs spread (2-4 SU) in last six home games. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Favorites covered six of last seven Piston-Hornet games; Detroit won last two, by 7-23 points. Pistons lost four of last six visits here. Last three series games went over.

Celtics won/covered five of last six road games; they’re 4-3 as road favorites. Four of last six Boston games went over. Orlando is off a 4-1 road trip; they lost last three home games, are 0-3 as home underdogs. Under is 8-3 in Magic’s last eleven games. Home side won last ten Boston-Orlando games; Celtics lost last five visits here, by 2-5-5-19-5 points. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Denver lost five of last seven games but is 8-2 vs spread on road, 2-0 when favored. Over is 5-0-1 in Nuggets’ last six games. Brooklyn lost 10 of last 11 games; they’re 6-5 as home underdogs. Over is 9-3 in last dozen Brooklyn games. Nets won their last five games with Denver, winning last two by a point each; Nuggets lost four of last five visits to Brooklyn. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Heat lost five of last eight games but won three of last four on road; Miami covered five of last six tries as a road underdog. Over is 4-1-1 in last six Heat games. Hawks lost their last seven games (1-6 vs spread); they’re 6-4 as home favorites. Under is 10-2 in their last 12 games. Miami won three of last four games with Atlanta, winning by 12-4 points in last two visits here. Six of last seven series games stayed under.

Lakers lost eight of last 11 games; they’re 1-5 in last six games as a road underdog. Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Rockets won five of last six games; they’re 3-3 as home favorites. Five of last six Houston games went over the total. Lakers lost eight of last ten games with Houston, losing last two visits here by 29-20 points. Four of last five series games went over total.

Cleveland snapped 3-game skid with win in Toronto Monday; they’re 2-5 vs spread as a road favorite. Six of Cavs’ last seven games went over total. New York won/covered its last four games; they’re 2-1 as a home underdog. Over is 4-2-1 in Knicks’ last seven games. Knicks lost their last seven games with Cleveland; Cavaliers won last five visits to Manhattan by 14-6-18-3-5 points. Last eight series games stayed under total.

Portland won/covered four of last five games; they’re 2-4 as road underdogs. Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Milwaukee won four of last five games; they’re 2-4 as home favorites. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Home side won last five Portland Milwaukee games; Trailblazers lost four of last five visits to Milwaukee, losing last two by 2-7 points. Under is 6-1 in last seven series games.

Sacramento lost three of its last four games; they’re 3-8 on road, 1-0 as road favorites. Kings’ last three games stayed under the total. Mavericks lost 11 of last 13 games but covered four of last five; under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Kings won three of last four games with Dallas; Sacramento is 8-2 vs spread in last ten series games, but they’ve lost four of last five visits to Dallas. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Indiana is 2-7 on the road, 0-3 as a road favorite; four of last five Pacer games went over the total. Phoenix lost four of last five games; they’re 4-2 as home underdogs. Suns’ last four games went over the total. Suns won five of last seven games with Indiana; they covered nine of last ten series games. Teams split last four series games played here. Four of last six series games stayed under the total.

Golden State won 14 of its last 15 games; they’re 9-1 on road, 6-4 as road favorites. Four of their last five games went over total. Clippers lost four of last six games, are 7-3 at home, all as favorites. Over is 11-3 in their last fourteen games. Clippers lost their last six games with Golden State (3-3 vs spread); Warriors won last three visits here, by 3-7-4 points. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

**Udog** · 12-07-2016, 08:26 AM

NBA

Wednesday, December 7

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. CHARLOTTE
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Charlotte's last 18 games when playing Detroit
Charlotte is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. ORLANDO
Boston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Orlando is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Orlando is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Boston

7:30 PM
DENVER vs. BROOKLYN
Denver is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games

7:30 PM
MIAMI vs. ATLANTA
Miami is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games

8:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing New York
Cleveland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. HOUSTON
LA Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing Houston
LA Lakers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games at home
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against Portland

8:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. DALLAS
Sacramento is 8-15-2 ATS in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Sacramento's last 20 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing Sacramento
Dallas is 1-9-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Sacramento

9:00 PM
INDIANA vs. PHOENIX
Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

10:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. LA CLIPPERS
Golden State is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Golden State's last 15 games
LA Clippers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games
LA Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 12-07-2016, 10:09 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 7

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DETROIT (12 - 11) at CHARLOTTE (12 - 9) - 12/7/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 4-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 4-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (12 - 9) at ORLANDO (10 - 12) - 12/7/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 4-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (8 - 13) at BROOKLYN (5 - 15) - 12/7/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 4-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (7 - 14) at ATLANTA (10 - 12) - 12/7/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 84-59 ATS (+19.1 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
ATLANTA is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (10 - 13) at HOUSTON (14 - 7) - 12/7/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 99-132 ATS (-46.2 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (14 - 5) at NEW YORK (12 - 9) - 12/7/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
8 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (12 - 10) at MILWAUKEE (10 - 9) - 12/7/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 242-297 ATS (-84.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (7 - 13) at DALLAS (4 - 16) - 12/7/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 152-193 ATS (-60.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 30-47 ATS (-21.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 355-293 ATS (+32.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 310-255 ATS (+29.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (10 - 11) at PHOENIX (6 - 15) - 12/7/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
INDIANA is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (18 - 3) at LA CLIPPERS (16 - 6) - 12/7/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 69-54 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 116-87 ATS (+20.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 68-48 ATS (+15.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 69-49 ATS (+15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 57-39 ATS (+14.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 249-299 ATS (-79.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 4-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-07-2016, 11:16 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 7

Golden State @ LA Clippers

Game 719-720
December 7, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
132.825
LA Clippers
124.470
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 8 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 4
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-4); Under

Indiana @ Phoenix

Game 717-718
December 7, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
113.790
Phoenix
116.296
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 2 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 5
219
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+5); Over

Sacramento @ Dallas

Game 715-716
December 7, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
120.797
Dallas
112.341
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 8 1/2
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 3 1/2
194
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(-3 1/2); Over

Portland @ Milwaukee

Game 713-714
December 7, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
118.912
Milwaukee
123.700
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 5
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 2
218
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-2); Under

Cleveland @ New York

Game 711-712
December 7, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
127.701
New York
117.618
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 10
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 7 1/2
217
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-7 1/2); Over

LA Lakers @ Houston

Game 709-710
December 7, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
112.704
Houston
128.137
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 15 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 12
220
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-12); Under

Miami @ Atlanta

Game 707-708
December 7, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
109.153
Atlanta
120.090
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 11
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 7 1/2
199
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-7 1/2); Over

Denver @ Brooklyn

Game 705-706
December 7, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
119.261
Brooklyn
107.204
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 12
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 5
221
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-5); Under

Boston @ Orlando

Game 703-704
December 7, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
124.717
Orlando
117.602
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 7
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 4 1/2
197 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-4 1/2); Over

Detroit @ Charlotte

Game 701-702
December 7, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
118.237
Charlotte
127.410
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 9
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 5 1/2
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-5 1/2); Under

Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/7

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/7

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