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Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/6

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  • Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/6

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, December 6

    Good Luck on day #341
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    — Astros gave Carlos Beltran $16M for one year; they’ve got a really good lineup but who is going to pitch for them?

    — Giants signed closer Mark Melancon for four years, $62M.

    — Toronto signed utility guy Steve Pearce for two years at $6M or so a year.

    — Rich Hill got $48M for three years from the Dodgers

    — UConn 52, Syracuse 50— No wins are ugly, but this was not a well-played game.

    — St John’s 76, Cal-Northridge 70– Chris Mullin’s Red Storm is 26-46 from the arc in their last two games.

    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……..

    13) No one seems to know the whole story but it is difficult to fathom that Cam Newton was suspended for the first series of a game just because he didn’t have a tie on when he was supposed to— there almost has to be more to the story than that, as in the QB challenging the coach’s authority (more than once), and Sunday night, the coach showed who was boss in a very public way.

    12) If you care about such things, so far this season, NBA teams playing the second night of a back/back are 39-46 vs spread when facing a team that didn’t play the night before.

    11) Until Donald Trump gets sworn into office, the three wealthiest Presidents were: 1) George Washington 2) John Kennedy 3) Andrew Jackson.

    10) Seattle Seahawks had 25 undrafted players on their roster Sunday night and only two #1 draft picks- next week it’ll probably be 26 undrafted players, with safety Earl Thomas done for the year with a broken leg.

    9) Average clubhead speed for a PGA touring pro golfer: 109 mph. Average clubhead speed for an amateur golfer: 81 mph

    8) You could have a bought a ticket to the Colts-Jets game Monday night for as little as $6 online. Parking probably cost five times that.

    7) In 1972, Lafayette College had a freshman QB who was pretty good, but quit football to concentrate on his baseball career. You may have heard of him; Joe Maddon, now the world champion Cubs’ manager.

    6) Players in the All-Star Game will be playing the game for $20,000 per man to the winning side, zero to the losing side. Will that be enough to make all of ‘em stick around to the end?

    5) Eastern Washington’s basketball team is 6-2 with five straight wins; three of their last four wins came in overtime, with two of those three in double OT.

    4) Purdue hired Western Kentucky football coach Jeff Brohm, who favors a wide-open offense. Purdue is a tough place to win in football; maybe he should’ve waited for a better job (Oregon)?

    3) This is what college basketball was like before the shot clock; on December 22, 1969, Pete Maravich was 30-31 from the foul line. In one game. With no shot clock, great ball handlers dominated the game as soon as their team got the lead in the second half.

    There was a Duke-North Carolina game a few years before the shot clock came in that was 7-0 at halftime. A basketball game was 7-0 at halftime. No bueno.

    2) Letting quarterbacks sit and watch ain’t all bad; in his rookie year in the NFL, Tom Brady threw three passes. Three.

    1— Two quick Los Angeles Ram notes:

    a) When Case Keenum was QB this season, they converted 37.6% of their third down plays, not bad; in three games with Jared Goff under center, LA is 5-35 (14.3%) on third down. Of course, it would be nice if Goff’s receivers would catch the ball now and then; his first INT in Foxboro was a perfect pass that hit Lance Kendricks right in the hands but was tipped to a Patriot defender.

    b) Rams’ senior executive Kevin Demoff is the son of agent Marvin Demoff. One of Marvin Demoff’s clients is Jeff Fisher. Oy.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Tuesday, December 6


      Orlando won three of last four games, all on road; they’ve covered last four tries as a road underdog. Under is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Wizards won four of last six games; they’re 6-5 at home, 4-4 as home favorites. Over is 4-1 in Wizards’ last five games. Washington won nine of last ten games with Orlando, covering last five series games. Magic lost last four games here, by 5-16-9-12 points (1-3 vs spread). Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

      Chicago lost three of last four games; they get Rondo back from suspension here after losing to Portland without him last nite. Bulls are 5-3 as road underdogs. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight road games. Detroit won five of its last seven games (over 5-2), is 6-2 as a home favorite. Pistons won five of their last seven games with Chicago (6-1 vs spread), winning three of last four played here. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

      New York won three games, is 8-3 in its last 11; they’re 3-5 on road (under 4-3-1). Miami is 3-5 in its last eight games, losing last two at home; they’re 3-6 overall at home. Over is 3-1-1 in Heat’s last five games. Knicks lost nine of last ten games with Miami (1-9 vs spread), losing four of last five visits here, with losses by 26-11-14-17 points. Last four series games stayed under the total.

      Grizzlies won in double OT in New Orleans last night; they’ve won three games in row, 10 of last 13. Memphis is 2-3 as a home favorite; over is 3-0-1 in their last four games. 76ers lost their last seven games; they’re 0-6 on road, 1-5 vs spread as a road dog. Over is 4-2 in their road games. Memphis won its last eight games with Philly (4-3-1 vs spread); 76ers lost last three visits to Memphis, by 22-18-8 points. Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.

      San Antonio won by a point in Milwaukee last night; they’re 12-0 on road. 8-3 as a road favorite. Three of Spurs’ last four games stayed under. Minnesota lost seven of last nine games; they’re 3-6 at home, 0-4 as a home dog. Over is 4-1 in their last five games. Spurs won their last seven games with Minnesota (6-1 vs spread); San Antonio won last four visits to Twin Cities, by 29-15-25-25 points. Six of last seven series games went over.

      Utah beat the Lakers in Staples last nite; Jazz is 6-4 at home, 3-5 as a home favorite. Last five Utah games went over the total. Suns lost five of last seven games; they’re 7-4 as a road underdog. Last three Phoenix games went over the total. Jazz won/covered their last four games with Phoenix; Suns lost last four visits to Salt Lake City (0-4 vs spread). Five of last six series games stayed under the total.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA

        Tuesday, December 6


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        7:00 PM
        ORLANDO vs. WASHINGTON
        Orlando is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
        Orlando is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing Washington
        Washington is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Orlando
        Washington is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games

        7:30 PM
        CHICAGO vs. DETROIT
        Chicago is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Detroit
        Chicago is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Detroit
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 10 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 16 of Detroit's last 24 games when playing at home against Chicago

        7:30 PM
        NEW YORK vs. MIAMI
        New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
        New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
        Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

        8:00 PM
        PHILADELPHIA vs. MEMPHIS
        Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
        Philadelphia is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
        Memphis is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
        Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

        8:00 PM
        SAN ANTONIO vs. MINNESOTA
        San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
        Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
        Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

        9:00 PM
        PHOENIX vs. UTAH
        Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
        Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
        Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
        Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Phoenix


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Long Sheet

          Tuesday, December 6


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ORLANDO (9 - 12) at WASHINGTON (7 - 12) - 12/6/2016, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ORLANDO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
          ORLANDO is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 368-438 ATS (-113.8 Units) in home games since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          WASHINGTON is 7-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
          WASHINGTON is 9-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
          7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          CHICAGO (11 - 9) at DETROIT (11 - 11) - 12/6/2016, 7:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DETROIT is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
          DETROIT is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          DETROIT is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          DETROIT is 6-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
          DETROIT is 5-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          NEW YORK (11 - 9) at MIAMI (7 - 13) - 12/6/2016, 7:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MIAMI is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
          NEW YORK is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
          MIAMI is 122-164 ATS (-58.4 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MIAMI is 6-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
          MIAMI is 6-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          -------------------------------------------------------------

          PHILADELPHIA (4 - 17) at MEMPHIS (14 - 8) - 12/6/2016, 8:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          PHILADELPHIA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
          MEMPHIS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
          MEMPHIS is 241-195 ATS (+26.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
          MEMPHIS is 122-91 ATS (+21.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
          MEMPHIS is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
          MEMPHIS is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
          PHILADELPHIA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
          MEMPHIS is 5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          SAN ANTONIO (17 - 4) at MINNESOTA (6 - 14) - 12/6/2016, 8:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          SAN ANTONIO is 964-843 ATS (+36.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
          SAN ANTONIO is 772-655 ATS (+51.5 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
          SAN ANTONIO is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          SAN ANTONIO is 145-102 ATS (+32.8 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
          SAN ANTONIO is 324-256 ATS (+42.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
          SAN ANTONIO is 387-312 ATS (+43.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
          MINNESOTA is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in all games this season.
          MINNESOTA is 44-68 ATS (-30.8 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
          MINNESOTA is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 34-54 ATS (-25.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 205 and 209.5 points since 1996.
          MINNESOTA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) first half of the season this season.
          MINNESOTA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 194-240 ATS (-70.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          SAN ANTONIO is 6-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
          SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
          6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          PHOENIX (6 - 14) at UTAH (13 - 9) - 12/6/2016, 9:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          PHOENIX is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
          UTAH is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
          UTAH is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
          PHOENIX is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          UTAH is 5-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
          UTAH is 5-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Dunkel

            Tuesday, December 6


            Phoenix @ Utah

            Game 511-512
            December 6, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Phoenix
            110.599
            Utah
            126.676
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Utah
            by 16
            188
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Utah
            by 7
            205
            Dunkel Pick:
            Utah
            (-7); Under

            San Antonio @ Minnesota


            Game 509-510
            December 6, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            San Antonio
            123.626
            Minnesota
            115.461
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            San Antonio
            by 8
            212
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            San Antonio
            by 4
            206
            Dunkel Pick:
            San Antonio
            (-4); Over

            Philadelphia @ Memphis


            Game 507-508
            December 6, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Philadelphia
            109.409
            Memphis
            121.120
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Memphis
            by 11 1/2
            183
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Memphis
            by 7 1/2
            196 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Memphis
            (-7 1/2); Under

            New York @ Miami


            Game 505-506
            December 6, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            New York
            122.735
            Miami
            117.326
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            New York
            by 5 1/2
            208
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Miami
            by 1
            204 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            New York
            (+1); Over

            Chicago @ Detroit


            Game 503-504
            December 6, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Chicago
            117.406
            Detroit
            127.874
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Detroit
            by 10 1/2
            189
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Detroit
            by 5 1/2
            199 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Detroit
            (-5 1/2); Under

            Orlando @ Washington


            Game 501-502
            December 6, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Orlando
            120.115
            Washington
            118.231
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Orlando
            by 2
            206
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Washington
            by 3 1/2
            196 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Orlando
            (+3 1/2); Over

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA
              Short Sheet

              Tuesday, December 6


              Orlando at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
              Orlando: 1-5 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog
              Washington: 5-2 ATS after a game committing 10+ less turnovers than opponents

              Chicago at Detroit, 7:35 PM ET
              Chicago: 6-18 ATS in road games after a combined score of 205 points or more
              Detroit: 14-4 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite

              New York at Miami, 7:35 PM ET
              New York: 25-13 ATS after a non-conference game
              Miami: 31-47 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games

              Philadelphia at Memphis, 8:05 PM ET
              Philadelphia: 4-14 ATS after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games
              Memphis: 24-10 ATS after allowing 105 points or more

              San Antonio at Minnesota, 8:05 PM ET
              San Antonio: 52-30 ATS in road games after a close win by 3 points or less
              Minnesota: 5-18 ATS in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5

              Phoenix at Utah, 9:05 PM ET
              Phoenix: 8-19 ATS in road games after one or more consecutive overs
              Utah: 31-17 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

              Comment

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