Announcement

**Udog** · 12-05-2016, 09:27 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks for Week 13 in the Westgate Super Contest

— Detroit Lions +6 (564) W

— Atlanta Falcons -4 (516) L

— New Jersey Giants +6.5 (515) L

— Green Bay Packers -6.5 (447) W

— Seattle Seahawks -6.5 (417) W

— Washington Redskins +2.5 (408) L

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Broncos 20, Jaguars 10— Jaguars have now lost seven games in a row; QB Bortles threw his 11th career pick-6 in this game- he has 10 career wins. Jags are -16 in turnovers their last eight games. First career win for rookie QB Paxton Lynch. AFC South underdogs are 7-13 vs spread, 2-6 at home.

Chiefs 29, Falcons 28— Eric Berry scored 8 points; he had a pick-6 in last 1:00 of first half when score was tied, then scored game-winning two points on a pick-2 in 4th quarter, after Falcons had taken a 28-27 lead. Atlanta also gave up a TD on a 55-yard fake punt. Over is 10-2 in Falcon games this season. Not a good day at all for the Atlanta coaches.

Packers 21, Texas 13— You say Texans should struggle in cold weather, being a dome team and all, but QB Osweiler grew up in Montana; shouldn’t he be used to it? Houston is 1-5 on road, 1-4 as road underdogs, losing away games by 27-18-18-7-8 points- its not the cold, they’re just bad on the road.

Bengals 32, Eagles 14— Philly has now lost seven of last nine games after its 3-0 start; Eagles lost last six road games, are 1-4 as road underdogs this year, losing away games by 1-7-6-5-11-18 points.

As far as rookie QB’s go, here are some W-L records of rookie QB’s:
John Elway 4-6, Troy Aikman 0-11, Eli Manning 1-6, Peyton Manning 3-13, Dan Marino 7-2. Oddly enough, Marino is only one of those five who never won a Super Bowl.

Lions 28, Saints 13— Didn’t see Sean Payton celebrating much on the sidelines today. Detroit is now 8-4, atop NFC North; this was first game all year they didn’t trail in 4th quarter. Lions are 4-1 as road underdogs this year. Last six Detroit games stayed under total.

Bears 26, 49ers 6— On a snowy day in Windy City, 49ers completed 5 of 15 passes for a net of six yards. Bears had six sacks in a game where neither side completed a pass in first quarter, but Chicago wound up 11-18/184 passing. Under is 4-1-1 in Chicago home games.

Patriots 26, Rams 10— My three favorite football movies:
1) Any Given Sunday 2) Invincible 3) Friday Night Lights

Some Christmas trivia: the Rockefeller Center Christmas tree in New York City is 94 feet tall and weighs over 30,000 pounds.

It is accurate to say that Sunday afternoon wasn’t a happy one in my living room.

Ravens 38, Dolphins 6— Miami’s 6-game win streak was put to an emphatic end- this game was 24-0 at half; Ravens have won four of last five games- they’ve allowed 11.4 pts/game in last five home games.

Raiders 38, Bills 24— Buffalo led 24-9 halfway thru third quarter but got outscored 29-0 from that point on. On their last six drives, Oakland ran 34 plays for 230 yards and four TD’s, with two short TD drives of 38-16 yards. Over is 10-2 in Raider games this season.

Buffalo was -2 in turnovers; teams that were -2 or worse in turnovers are 7-64 in the NFL this season.

Buccaneers 28, Chargers 21— Tampa Bay has won four straight road games for first time ever; they’re 5-1 on road this year, NFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 12-2 vs spread this season, 9-1 on road.

Bucs are tied with Atlanta atop NFC South and would be the #2 Wild Card now; as for San Diego, sounds like they’re moving to the new stadium in LA, which opens in 2019. They need to draft a QB in April, someone who will be in place as a starter when they try to sell tickets in their new location.

Cardinals 31, Redskins 23— Washington’s loss drops them out of the playoff picture, for now; they’re half-game behind the Wild Cards. Arizona was 10-16 on third down, and didn’t turn the ball over; they had turned it over nine times in previous four games. Over is 10-2 in Redskin games this season.

Steelers 24, Giants 14— Pittsburgh won its third straight game, allowing total of 30 points- they’re 4-1 as home favorites this year. Giants had 6-game win streak snapped, in game where Victor Cruz had zero targets. Under is 7-2 in Giants’ last nine games.

Seahawks 40, Panthers 7– Carolina benched QB Cam Newton for first series of this game, a HUGE red flag; chances are it was for more than one offense. First series lasted one play, an INT on a tipped ball, and game went downhill from there. Your QB is one of the team’s leaders, for better or worse- this isn’t a good sign.

**Udog** · 12-05-2016, 09:43 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, December 5

Stetson @ Iowa

Game 735-736
December 5, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stetson
44.792
Iowa
56.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa
by 12
179
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa
by 18
170
Dunkel Pick:
Stetson
(+18); Over

WI-Milwaukee @ Montana State

Game 733-734
December 5, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
WI-Milwaukee
51.327
Montana State
55.212
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montana State
by 4
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montana State
by 9 1/2
145
Dunkel Pick:
WI-Milwaukee
(+9 1/2); Under

NE-Omaha @ Iowa State

Game 731-732
December 5, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NE-Omaha
59.193
Iowa State
70.782
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 11 1/2
163
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 18
157
Dunkel Pick:
NE-Omaha
(+18); Over

Siena @ Rider

Game 729-730
December 5, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Siena
58.685
Rider
47.808
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Siena
by 11
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Siena
by 3 1/2
149
Dunkel Pick:
Siena
(-3 1/2); Over

Boise State @ Loyola Marymount

Game 727-728
December 5, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boise State
54.594
Loyola Marymount
63.162
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Loyola Marymount
by 8 1/2
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Loyola Marymount
by 1
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Loyola Marymount
(-1); Under

Connecticut @ Syracuse

Game 725-726
December 5, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
54.234
Syracuse
72.029
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Syracuse
by 18
124
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Syracuse
by 8 1/2
130 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(-8 1/2); Under

Northridge @ St John's

Game 723-724
December 5, 2016 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northridge
41.150
St John's
61.509
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St John's
by 20 1/2
173
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St John's
by 12
168
Dunkel Pick:
St John's
(-12); Over

**Udog** · 12-05-2016, 09:43 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, December 5

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CS-NORTHRIDGE (3 - 5) at ST JOHNS (3 - 5) - 12/5/2016, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.
ST JOHNS is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CONNECTICUT (3 - 4) vs. SYRACUSE (5 - 2) - 12/5/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 75-52 ATS (+17.8 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 75-52 ATS (+17.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOISE ST (4 - 4) at LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT (2 - 2) - 12/5/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 94-126 ATS (-44.6 Units) in all home games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 94-126 ATS (-44.6 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 90-120 ATS (-42.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 1-1 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SIENA (3 - 5) at RIDER (3 - 3) - 12/5/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SIENA is 65-92 ATS (-36.2 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
RIDER is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
RIDER is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 72-104 ATS (-42.4 Units) in all home games since 1997.
RIDER is 72-104 ATS (-42.4 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
RIDER is 59-86 ATS (-35.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
RIDER is 31-56 ATS (-30.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SIENA is 3-1 against the spread versus RIDER over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 3-1 straight up against RIDER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEBRASKA-OMAHA (4 - 4) at IOWA ST (5 - 2) - 12/5/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WI-MILWAUKEE (3 - 5) at MONTANA ST (5 - 3) - 12/5/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MONTANA ST is 27-50 ATS (-28.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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STETSON (4 - 5) at IOWA (3 - 5) - 12/5/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 94-124 ATS (-42.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
IOWA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-05-2016, 09:45 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 5

Cal-Northridge is long way from home in NYC; Matadors lost by 15 at UCLA, 27 at Stanford in their only true road games- they’re 2-5 vs schedule #42, while playing pace #16. St John’s is 3-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200, winning by 20-16-47 points; they’ve lost five of last six games overall, but won last game in New Orleans, at Tulane Friday. Red Storm is second-least experienced team in country, playing pace #45 Big West road underdogs are 6-15 vs spread; Big East home favorites are 13-7.

UConn is hurting at 2-4 vs D-I teams, with wins by 3 at Loyola Marymount, 2 over Boston U; Huskies lost by 8-10 points to Oklahoma State/Oregon out at Maui Classic, their two top 100 games. UConn basically played 7 guys in last game, using three starters 34:00+. Huskies lost by 3 to Syracuse at the Atlantis tourney LY. Orange is 2-1 vs top 100 teams, beating Monmouth but losing to South Carolina/Wisconsin. ACC favorites are 13-10 vs spread on neutral floors. AAC underdogs are 13-13 vs spread. ACC teams are 7-3 vs spread in last 10 games vs AAC.

Loyola Marymount is 2-2 but hasn’t played in ten days; they lost last two years to Boise State by 1-8 points, lost to Nevada of Mountain West this year by 15. Lions are #26 experience team, have an ex-NBA head coach but are shooting 57.8% on foul line. Boise State lost 72-67 at Evansville Saturday; they’re 0-3 on road, losing by 13-5-5 points. Broncos are shooting only 31.9% on arc. Mountain West teams are 10-12 vs spread in last 22 games against teams from WCC. WCC home favorites are 14-9 vs spread. MW road underdogs are 12-6.

Siena won five of last six games with Rider, stepping Broncs LY by 11-20 points. Saints won two of last three visits to the Broncs Gym. Rider is shooting 22.1% on arc, worst in America right now- they’re also tuning ball over 22.5% of time; they’ve lost three of last four games overall, losing by 9 at Fairfield in MAAC home opener Thursday. Siena is 3-0 at home, 0-5 on road, with losses at NC-Asheville/Albany; Saints have played schedule #70 but are also #87 experience team. Home teams are 2-7-1 vs spread in MAAC conference games the last few days.

Omaha will have Iowa State’s attention after upsetting Iowa 98-89 in Iowa City Saturday; Mavericks are 4-4 vs schedule #89- they’ve only played one D-I home game. Omaha starts two juniors, two seniors; they play #21 pace, are #7 foul shooting tea, but aren’t great on arc. Iowa State lost OT game to Cincinnati Saturday; Cyclones lost last two games by total to 3 points, also losing by hoop to Gonzaga in Florida. Iowa State is #4 experience team- three of their five wins are vs teams outside top 200. Summit League road underdogs are 13-17 vs spread.

Milwaukee is 3-5 with new coach and #302 experience team playing pace #331; Panthers lost by 6 at Montana Saturday despite making 10-23 on arc- they’re 1-5 vs top 200 teams. Montana State is 5-0 at home with wins over UL-Lafayette and James Madison; Bobcats only lost by 8 at Utah Saturday, a strong result. State is shooting 38.9% on arc and protecting ball well while they play #39 pace. Horizon League road underdogs are 12-12 vs spread. Big Sky home favorites are 2-7 against the spread.

**Udog** · 12-05-2016, 09:48 AM

NCAAB

Monday, December 5

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Trend Report
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6:30 PM
CS NORTHRIDGE vs. ST. JOHN'S
CS Northridge is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of CS Northridge's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of St. John's last 12 games
St. John's is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games at home

7:00 PM
STETSON vs. IOWA
No trends available
Iowa is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
Iowa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. SYRACUSE
No trends available
Syracuse is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
Syracuse is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut

7:00 PM
SIENA vs. RIDER
Siena is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Rider is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Siena
Rider is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Siena

7:30 PM
ALCORN STATE vs. LOUISIANA TECH
No trends available
Louisiana Tech is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Louisiana Tech is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

7:30 PM
MARS HILL vs. UNC GREENSBORO
No trends available
UNC Greensboro is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
UNC Greensboro is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
TEXAS A&M C.C. vs. TEXAS A&M
No trends available
Texas A&M is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home
Texas A&M is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games

8:00 PM
NEBRASKA OMAHA vs. IOWA STATE
No trends available
Iowa State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games

8:00 PM
TEXAS-DALLAS vs. TEXAS-ARLINGTON
No trends available
Texas-Arlington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Texas-Arlington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:30 PM
CS BAKERSFIELD vs. NORTHERN ARIZONA
CS Bakersfield is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Northern Arizona is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
Northern Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
COLORADO CHRISTIAN vs. WYOMING
No trends available
Wyoming is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Wyoming is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

9:05 PM
WISC-MILWAUKEE vs. MONTANA STATE
Wisc-Milwaukee is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Montana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Montana State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

10:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boise State's last 5 games on the road
Boise State is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Loyola Marymount is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Loyola Marymount is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boise State

10:00 PM
TEXAS-PAN AMERICAN vs. PORTLAND
Texas-Pan American is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Portland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Portland is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games

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Announcement

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/5

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/5

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