Announcement

**Udog** · 12-04-2016, 10:43 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks for Week 13 in the Westgate Super Contest

— Detroit Lions +6 (564)

— Atlanta Falcons -4 (516)

— New Jersey Giants +6.5 (515)

— Green Bay Packers -6.5 (447)

— Seattle Seahawks -6.5 (417)

— Washington Redskins +2.5 (408)

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……

13) UCLA 97, Kentucky 92— Wildly entertaining, 83-possession game where Bruins showed they’re a legit top-10 team this year. Six of seven Bruins who played double figure minutes scored double figure points.

Both teams basically played seven guys, which is typical of modern college hoops; teams have very little quality depth, so injuries have a lot more impact now.

12) Alabama 54, Florida 16— Crimson Tide is so much better than anyone else this season, it isn’t funny. Doesn’t guarantee they’ll win the 4-team playoff, but it does guarantee they’ll be a heavy favorite in the national semifinal.

11) Life comes full circle: Yesterday was Verne Lundquist’s last SEC title game broadcast; the first football game he ever worked on network TV was a 1974 game involving Kent State, who at the time had a graduate assistant coach named Nick Saban.

10) Brown University has a basketball player named Steven Spieth who went over the 1,000-career point mark earlier this week. He is Jordan Spieth’s younger brother and he lists golf as one of his hobbies. On Brown’s sports website, his older brother is barely mentioned.

9) Maryland 71, Oklahoma State 70— Terrapins are now 26-5 in Melo Trimble era in games decided by six or less points. Maryland ended this game on a 23-10 run.

8) Because there are 40 bowl teams and only 128 I-A college football teams, there have to be some under-.500 teams playing in bowls. There will be three such teams this year:

Mississippi State and North Texas are 5-7, Hawai’i is 6-7- they’ll go bowling.

7) Northwestern 80, DePaul 64— This game was 54-18 at halftime, Fifty-four to eighteen.

If you’re a Big East team and you’re down 36 at the half to Northwestern, there are major issues. Why can’t a Big East team in Chicago win? The Big East team in Omaha wins; the team in Indianapolis wins; the team in Cincinnati wins; why not DePaul?

DePaul hasn’t been good for years; last time they were in NCAA tournament was 2004.

6) West Virginia 66, Virginia 57— Excellent road win for the Mountaineers, who got whacked by the Cavaliers 70-54 on a neutral floor LY.

5) Baylor 76, Xavier 61— Why shouldn’t the Bears be #1 in the country this week? They’re 8-0, have wins over Oregon-VCU-Louisville-Xavier. Real good team.

4) Seattle Mariners signed lefty reliever Marc Rzepczynski to a 2-year, $11M contract. Here is how Mr Rzepczynski fared LY:

He appeared in 70 games, faced 215 batters, so he faced three hitters a game and appeared in less than half his teams’ games. 47.4% of the hitters he faced were right-handed- they had an on-base % of .422 against him- not good. He was tougher on lefties (.265 BA, .322 OB%), but he is making $5.5M a year and is basically an average situational lefty.

Moral of the Story: If you have a little son who likes baseball, teach him to throw lefty.

3) Omaha 98, Iowa 89— Big 14 teams aren’t supposed to lose at home to Summit League teams; at least Indiana’s loss to Fort Wayne was a road game.

2) Temple 34, Navy 10— Matt Rhule is 28-23 as coach of Temple, 20-7 the last two years. Temple, the team that went 24-100 from 1996-2006. Rhule is 28-23.

How does this guy not have a better, higher-paying job by now?

1— Jeff Walz is the women’s basketball coach at Louisville; at a news conference earlier this week, he launched into an extended monologue about players working hard and other players who think they’re entitled to play, just because they’re…….there. It was good stuff, biting without sounding bitter.

Sports is supposed to prepare young people for real life; in real life people who work harder are generally the ones who succeed more, and the sooner young people learn that, the better off they’ll be.

Unless they inherit a fortune, then forget everything I just wrote.

**Udog** · 12-04-2016, 10:56 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, December 4

Indiana @ LA Clippers

Game 507-508
December 4, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
113.835
LA Clippers
128.797
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 15
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 9 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-9 1/2); N/A

Sacramento @ New York

Game 505-506
December 4, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
115.555
New York
121.977
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 6 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 2 1/2
210
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-2 1/2); Over

New Orleans @ Oklahoma City

Game 503-504
December 4, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
120.231
Oklahoma City
119.810
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
Even
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 5 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+5 1/2); Under

Orlando @ Detroit

Game 501-502
December 4, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
121.450
Detroit
125.435
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 4
186
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 7
194 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+7); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, December 4

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ORLANDO (8 - 12) at DETROIT (11 - 10) - 12/4/2016, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 7-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 7-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (7 - 13) at OKLAHOMA CITY (12 - 8) - 12/4/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-48 ATS (-19.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (7 - 12) at NEW YORK (10 - 9) - 12/4/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 152-192 ATS (-59.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
NEW YORK is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (9 - 10) at LA CLIPPERS (16 - 5) - 12/4/2016, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, December 4

Pistons won their last seven games with Orlando (7-0 vs spread); Magic lost their last four visits to Motor City, by 26-16-26-10 points. Over is 7-2 in last nine series games. Magic are 4-6 on road, 5-3 as road underdogs; six of their last seven games stayed under total. Detroit won/covered five of its last six games; they’re 7-2 SU/ATS at home, 6-1 as home favorites. Five of last six Piston games went over the total.

Pelicans are 5-3 in last eight games with Oklahoma City, but they lost last two visits here by 7-26 points. Four of last five series games went over the total. New Orleans lost three of last four games; they’re 2-8 on road, 3-6-1 vs spread, 3-5-1 as a road underdog. Under is 7-3 in their road games. Thunder won/covered their last four games; they covered four of last five games as a home favorite. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Kings won their last four games with New York, winning by 38-8 in last two visits to Manhattan. Four of last six series games went over total. Sacramento lost three of its last four games; they’re 3-6 as a road underdog. Six of Kings’ last nine games went over total. Knicks won/covered six of last seven home games; they’re 6-1 as home favorites this year. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

Clippers are 4-6 in last ten games with Indiana, which won three of last four visits here. Under is 4-0-1 in last five series games. Pacers are 5-4 in last nine games overall, 1-6 on road, 1-3 as road underdogs. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Clippers are home after a 3-3 road trip; they’re 7-2 at home, 0-2-1 in last three games as a home favorite. Over is 10-3 in their last thirteen games.

NBA

Sunday, December 4

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Trend Report
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6:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games
Orlando is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
New Orleans is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Sacramento's last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 9 games
New York is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

9:30 PM
INDIANA vs. LA CLIPPERS
Indiana is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 10 of the LA Clippers last 13 games
LA Clippers are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games

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Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/4

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/4

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