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  • Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/3

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, December 3

    Good Luck on day #338
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    — Washington 41, Colorado 10— Huskies cruise to Pac-12 championship.

    — Western Michigan 29, Ohio 23— Unbeaten Broncos win MAC title; next thing they’ll probably do is say goodbye to their coach, who will be getting big-money offers elsewhere.

    — Major league managers will be relieved not to be picking All-Star Game reserves anymore; the Commish’s office will do it now.

    — Bulls 111, Cavaliers 105— Cleveland is 0-3 so far this week.

    — Duquesne 64, Pitt 55- Big upset in this crosstown rivalry.

    — According to ESPN.com, since 2003, only 19.3% of regular-season NFL games have seen action in which more bettors were on the underdog more than the favorite. Public supported the under more than the over in just 11.6% of regular-season games.

    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: With December here, some college hoop knowledge……

    13) ACC is currently ranked #1 in conference strength; last time they finished a season #1 was ten years ago. Last time they finished #2 was 2010.

    12) Virginia Tech hasn’t made the NCAAs since 2007; they’re currently #32, with wins over Nebraska-Michigan. Buzz Williams has the Hokies headed towards the NCAA’s.

    11) Eight of ten Big East teams are ranked in top 60; St John’s/DePaul are dragging the league’s rating down. It is amazing to me that schools in NYC/Chicago aren’t good and haven’t been good for a decent amount of time.

    10) Teams who play the fastest tempo:
    1) Citadel 3) BYU 5) Washington 6) Cal-Northridge

    Teams who play the slowest tempo:
    351) Virginia 350) St Mary’s 349) Wisconsin 348) Charleston

    9) Teams making highest %age of 3-pointers:
    Creighton 46.5%, UCLA 45.6%, Air Force 43.7%

    8) Big West is getting pounded like a piñata this fall; their teams are 24-41 SU, 16-34 vs spread. Their conference rank has slipped from 13th to 21st- who is their best team? Hard to tell.

    7) Big X ranked #1 the last three years; they’re ranked #2 right now. Texas at 4-3 has hurt the league so far- they’ve made only 26.2% of their 3’s, are playing pace #217. What happened to the entertaining, pressing style that Shaka Smart’s teams played at VCU?

    6) St Mary’s hasn’t made NCAAs since 2013; last four years they made it, they went a combined 51-9 in conference play. Gaels are 6-0 this year with wins at Dayton/Stanford, they’ve got a great start towards making the NCAAs, with an experienced roster.

    5) Last four years, Sun Belt was ranked 20-20-20-18th; they’re up to #14 this year. Tex-Arlington and Georgia State could have a great conference tournament final, with the one NCAA slot on the line. Those are two good teams that can win a game or two in March.

    4) Iowa finished the last four years in the top 30; they’re #75 now with no wins against any team ranked above #318. Hawkeyes went 3-7 in their last ten games LY with the #55 experience team. Now that they’re inexperienced, it could be a long winter.

    3) UCLA is off to a great start but they’re last in bench minutes, so they can’t afford injuries- their schedule is ranked #271. Bruins are playing at Kentucky Saturday- they’ve finished lower than 40th in five of last six years, but this year looks like it’ll be a big jump up for UCLA.

    2) Teams that’ve played the hardest schedule, thru Thursday’s games:
    1) Long Beach State 5) Michigan State 8) Cal-Riverside 10) Northern Iowa

    1) Teams that’ve played the easiest schedules, thru Thursday’s games:
    351) East Carolina 350) Miami OH 349) Memphis 347) Hawai’i 346) UNLV

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Saturday, December 3


      Brooklyn lost eight of last nine games, is 1-4-1 vs spread in its last six road games. Over is 8-2 in Brooklyn’s last ten games. Milwaukee beat the Nets by 18 in Brooklyn Thursday, its 4th win in last five games. Bucks are 2-3 as home favorites. Over is 8-2 in their home games. Bucks won their last six games with Brooklyn (7-1-1 vs spread last nine series); Nets lost last four visits to Milwaukee, by 6-23-8-2 points (1-3 vs spread). Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

      Minnesota just lost twice to Knicks by 2-4 points; they’ve lost seven of last eight games, are 2-3 as road underdogs. Three of Wolves last four games went over total. Charlotte won three of last four games, is 0-5 vs spread (2-3 SU) in last five home games. Hornets won eight of last nine games with Minnesota, covered five of last six; Timberwolves lost last four visits here, by 1-12-25-5 points. Four of last six series games stayed under total.

      Hawks lost last five games, losing by 36 at home last night to Detroit. Atlanta is 4-7 vs spread on road, 2-3 as a road underdog. Nine of last 11 Atlanta games stayed under total. Raptors won/covered their last five games; they’re 7-2 as home favorites. Over is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games. Toronto won seven of last nine games with Atlanta, which lost four of last five visits north of the border (1-4 vs spread). Five of last six series games stayed under the total.

      Celtics won/covered their last four road games; they’re 7-3 vs spread away from home, 4-1 as a road favorites. Under is 10-3 in their last 13 games. Philly lost its last lost its last five games (1-4 vs spread); they’re 8-4 as home underdogs. Over is 9-5 in 76ers’ last fourteen games. 76ers lost last eight games with Boston; four of last six series games went over total. Celtics won last four visits here, by 11-18-20-15 points.

      Lakers lost four of last five road games, are 6-5 as road underdogs; their last five games stayed under total. Grizzlies are 2-3 in last five games, 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Three of last four Memphis games went over the total. Lakers lost nine of last ten games with Memphis, covering one of last four meetings. LA lost last five visits here, but went 3-2 vs spread in those games. Three of last four series games went over total.

      Dwyane Wade (resting) didn’t make trip to Dallas; he didn’t look tired last night. Bulls beat the Cavaliers last night, are 7-3 in last ten games, covering six of last seven road games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Dallas lost 10 of last 11 games, is 1-3 as a home underdog. Last three Maverick games stayed under total. Mavericks won five of last seven games with Chicago; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Bulls won two of last three visits to Dallas.

      Nuggets lost four of last five games after getting ripped at home by Houston last night; Denver is 5-3 as a road underdog. Over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Jazz won/covered four of last five games; they’re 4-5 vs spread at home, 3-4 as a favorite. Four of last five Utah games went over the total. Utah won six of last seven games with Denver; under is 9-1 in last ten series games. Nuggets lost last four visits to Salt Lake City (1-3 vs spread).

      Miami won/covered its last three road games; they’re 6-3 as road underdogs. Last four Heat games went over the total. Trailblazers lost six of last nine games, are 5-2 SU in last seven home games- they’re 5-2 as home favorites. Last four Portland games went over total. Heat won five of last seven games with Portland; home side won seven of last eight in series. Miami lost by 16-17 points in last two visits here.

      Golden State had its 12-game win streak snapped last game; they’re 3-6 as a home favorite this year, 0-4 in last four tries. Over is 5-1 in Warriors’ last six home games. Phoenix covered three of last four road games, is 7-3 as a road underdog. Under is 3-1 in their last four road games. Warriors won their last nine games with Phoenix but Suns covered last four; Phoenix lost last five visits here (3-2 vs spread) by 19-1-25-7-13 points. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA

        Saturday, December 3


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        5:00 PM
        BROOKLYN vs. MILWAUKEE
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Brooklyn's last 11 games when playing Milwaukee
        Brooklyn is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
        Milwaukee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
        Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn

        7:00 PM
        MINNESOTA vs. CHARLOTTE
        Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Minnesota is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games
        Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

        7:30 PM
        ATLANTA vs. TORONTO
        Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
        Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
        Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta

        7:30 PM
        BOSTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 13 games
        Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
        Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games at home

        8:00 PM
        LA LAKERS vs. MEMPHIS
        LA Lakers are 4-20 SU in their last 24 games on the road
        LA Lakers are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games when playing Memphis
        Memphis is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
        Memphis is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

        8:30 PM
        CHICAGO vs. DALLAS
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 11 games when playing Dallas
        Chicago is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Dallas
        Dallas is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago
        Dallas is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games at home

        9:00 PM
        DENVER vs. UTAH
        Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
        Denver is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Utah
        Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Denver
        Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

        10:00 PM
        MIAMI vs. PORTLAND
        Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
        Portland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami

        10:30 PM
        PHOENIX vs. GOLDEN STATE
        Phoenix is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
        Phoenix is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix
        Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Long Sheet

          Saturday, December 3


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          BROOKLYN (5 - 13) at MILWAUKEE (9 - 8) - 12/3/2016, 5:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          BROOKLYN is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
          MILWAUKEE is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
          MILWAUKEE is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.
          MILWAUKEE is 140-181 ATS (-59.1 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
          MILWAUKEE is 51-85 ATS (-42.5 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
          MILWAUKEE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MILWAUKEE is 7-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
          MILWAUKEE is 8-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
          6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MINNESOTA (5 - 14) at CHARLOTTE (11 - 8) - 12/3/2016, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MINNESOTA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games this season.
          MINNESOTA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) first half of the season this season.
          MINNESOTA is 193-240 ATS (-71.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
          MINNESOTA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
          CHARLOTTE is 154-193 ATS (-58.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          CHARLOTTE is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
          CHARLOTTE is 5-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ATLANTA (10 - 10) at TORONTO (13 - 6) - 12/3/2016, 7:35 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          TORONTO is 6-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
          TORONTO is 6-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          BOSTON (11 - 8) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 15) - 12/3/2016, 7:35 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BOSTON is 7-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          BOSTON is 8-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          LA LAKERS (10 - 11) at MEMPHIS (12 - 8) - 12/3/2016, 8:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MEMPHIS is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          LA LAKERS is 5-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
          MEMPHIS is 7-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          CHICAGO (11 - 7) at DALLAS (3 - 15) - 12/3/2016, 8:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DALLAS is 354-292 ATS (+32.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
          DALLAS is 309-254 ATS (+29.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
          DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          DENVER (7 - 12) at UTAH (11 - 9) - 12/3/2016, 9:05 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          UTAH is 7-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
          UTAH is 7-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
          9 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MIAMI (7 - 12) at PORTLAND (10 - 10) - 12/3/2016, 10:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MIAMI is 156-121 ATS (+22.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.
          PORTLAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          PORTLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
          PORTLAND is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          PHOENIX (6 - 13) at GOLDEN STATE (16 - 3) - 12/3/2016, 10:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          GOLDEN STATE is 124-96 ATS (+18.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          GOLDEN STATE is 114-87 ATS (+18.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
          GOLDEN STATE is 66-47 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
          GOLDEN STATE is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
          GOLDEN STATE is 55-39 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
          PHOENIX is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          PHOENIX is 6-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
          GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Dunkel

            Saturday, December 3


            Phoenix @ Golden State

            Game 717-718
            December 3, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Phoenix
            116.867
            Golden State
            127.286
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Golden State
            by 10 1/2
            217
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Golden State
            by 16
            229
            Dunkel Pick:
            Phoenix
            (+16); Under

            Miami @ Portland


            Game 715-716
            December 3, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Miami
            115.336
            Portland
            128.343
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Portland
            by 13
            221
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Portland
            by 6 1/2
            213
            Dunkel Pick:
            Portland
            (-6 1/2); Over

            Denver @ Utah


            Game 713-714
            December 3, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Denver
            118.250
            Utah
            120.753
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Utah
            by 2 1/2
            204
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Utah
            by 6
            199
            Dunkel Pick:
            Denver
            (+6); Over

            Chicago @ Dallas


            Game 711-712
            December 3, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Chicago
            115.682
            Dallas
            119.837
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Dallas
            by 4
            186
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Chicago
            by 4
            191
            Dunkel Pick:
            Dallas
            (+4); Under

            LA Lakers @ Memphis


            Game 709-710
            December 3, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            LA Lakers
            118.372
            Memphis
            114.978
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            LA Lakers
            by 3 1/2
            194
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Memphis
            by 2 1/2
            199 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            LA Lakers
            (+2 1/2); Under

            Boston @ Philadelphia


            Game 707-708
            December 3, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Boston
            123.958
            Philadelphia
            109.278
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Boston
            by 14 1/2
            196
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Boston
            by 9 1/2
            205
            Dunkel Pick:
            Boston
            (-9 1/2); Under

            Atlanta @ Toronto


            Game 705-706
            December 3, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Atlanta
            110.583
            Toronto
            131.711
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Toronto
            by 21
            198
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Toronto
            by 9
            207 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Toronto
            (-9); Under

            Minnesota @ Charlotte


            Game 703-704
            December 3, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Minnesota
            114.133
            Charlotte
            123.103
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Charlotte
            by 9
            217
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Charlotte
            by 6 1/2
            209
            Dunkel Pick:
            Charlotte
            (-6 1/2); Over

            Brooklyn @ Milwaukee


            Game 701-702
            December 3, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Brooklyn
            112.637
            Milwaukee
            118.280
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Milwaukee
            by 5 1/2
            223
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Milwaukee
            by 9 1/2
            216 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Brooklyn
            (+9 1/2); Over

            Comment

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