Announcement

**Udog** · 12-02-2016, 07:16 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Week 13 NFL football trends…….

— Jaguars are 10-24-1 in their last 35 games as a home dog.

— 49ers covered twice in their last ten games.

— Oakland covered one in its last nine home games.

— Carolina is 17-8-1 in its last 26 games as a road underdog.

— Falcons covered three of last 15 games as a home favorite.

— Arizona covered three times in its last 12 games.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random thoughts with the weekend here…….

13) Cowboys 17, Vikings 15— Minnesota is 6-6 after starting season 5-0; they scored TD with 0:25 left, but failed on 2-point conversion and lost again. Dallas has now won 11 games in a row but if you bet the Cowboys (-3) this was a discouraging bad beat.

12) Rockets 132, Warriors 127— Excellent NBA game. Golden State’s 12-game win streak ends as both teams take 44 3-pointers. Fun to watch teams pass and shoot and COMPETE.

11) Couple interesting parts of baseball’s new labor agreement:

15-day disabled list is now the 10-day disabled list.
World Series team with best record gets home field edge in Series, instead of the winner of the All-Star Game, which goes back to being a meaningless exhibition, as it should be.

10) NFL referee Gene Steratore worked the Indiana-North Carolina hoop game Wednesday; Bill Vinovich is also an NFL ref who works big time college hoop games. .

9) Philadelphia 76ers raised Joel Embiid’s minutes limit from 24:00 to 28:00 per game, a good sign for the young man who has been injury prone for most of his career.

8) A further sign of the softening of our society; Indiana parted ways with football coach Kevin Wilson (they said he “resigned” which means, “we fired him but he’s doing a good job so we’ll let him say he quit.”) Wilson was 26-47 at Indiana, but 12-13 the last two years, as Hoosiers were becoming a more competitive team.

Apparently Wilson was occasionally stern with his players, maybe forcefully stern, and some of them objected to the AD. I’ll guarantee you, on any 85-person football team, you can find five people who don’t like the coach. If the AD listens to those five, the coach better win a lot.

7) Sunday the Rams play in Foxboro; Jared Goff obviously is 0-2 as an NFL starter. In his head coaching career, Bill Belichick is 21-1 in games against a starting QB with zero career wins.

The lone loss? Andre Ware and the Lions beat Belichick’s Cleveland Browns 24-14 in 1992.

6) Indiana and North Carolina both have five national titles in college basketball. Hoosiers have been in Final Four eight times, but UNC has been there 19 times.

5) On Showtime’s reality show about Florida State football, FSU coaches approached the rivalry game with Florida by telling players “it is about history, about those players who came before you here.” It is an effective approach that works with current players.

The reality is this: these rivalry games are about RECRUITING. Signing Day is only four or five weeks away- these rivalry games can turn a key recruit or two in your favor. It is about future players, future wins, future job security. That is the reality of it.

4) Lonzo Ball is a freshman PG at UCLA, a very, very good player; ESPN’s Scott Van Pelt and Jay Bilas were discussing this Monday night and agreed that Ball reminds them of Jason Kidd at the same age, a huge compliment.

Ball’s brother plays at Chino Hills HS in California; the kid scored 72 points in a recent game, a game his team won 128-108. Who coaches these teams that a 32:00 HS game winds up with a 128-108 final score?

If you’re the losing coach and your team is good enough to score 108 points, then chances are you have a couple players capable of playing defense. You’d think.

3) Best NFL teams in turnover margin this year: Chiefs +14, Vikings +13, Raiders +10

Worst teams in turnover margin: Jaguars -15, Jets -13, Browns/Texans -9

2) NFL teams with most 20+-yard plays this season: Falcons 56, Redskins 55.

Teams with the least 20+-yard plays: Texans 28, Panthers 31

1) Clippers lost in double OT to the Nets Tuesday; Doc Rivers wound up getting tossed at the end of this game, because he was barking at female ref Lauren Holtkamp (who is not good) and another ref stepped in and T’d Rivers up, which enraged the Clippers’ coach.

On the first possession of this game, 0:12 into the game, a Nets player had the ball at the top of the key, dribbled twice, picked up his dribble, looked to pass, couldn’t find anyone, so he dribbled again and nothing was called. Nothing. Bupkus. A 5th-grade CYO ref would’ve called the double dribble, it was that obvious.

Say what you want; college refs are better than NBA refs.

**Udog** · 12-02-2016, 07:27 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, December 2

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DUQUESNE (3 - 5) vs. PITTSBURGH (6 - 1) - 12/2/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUQUESNE is 126-162 ATS (-52.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
DUQUESNE is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 23-42 ATS (-23.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 23-42 ATS (-23.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus DUQUESNE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against DUQUESNE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST JOHNS (2 - 5) at TULANE (1 - 6) - 12/2/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST JOHNS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ST JOHNS is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
TULANE is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOHNS is 1-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
ST JOHNS is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ALABAMA (4 - 2) at TEXAS (3 - 3) - 12/2/2016, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
ALABAMA is 33-55 ATS (-27.5 Units) in December games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CANISIUS (2 - 4) at MANHATTAN (2 - 4) - 12/2/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 3-1 against the spread versus CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
MANHATTAN is 3-1 straight up against CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NIAGARA (1 - 5) at MARIST (3 - 4) - 12/2/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 2-2 against the spread versus NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
MARIST is 2-2 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SIU EDWARDSVL (4 - 3) at INDIANA (5 - 1) - 12/2/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MONMOUTH (4 - 2) at QUINNIPIAC (1 - 4) - 12/2/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
QUINNIPIAC is 3-1 against the spread versus MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
QUINNIPIAC is 2-2 straight up against MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IONA (3 - 2) at ST PETERS (3 - 2) - 12/2/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
IONA is 42-64 ATS (-28.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
IONA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
IONA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
ST PETERS is 62-92 ATS (-39.2 Units) in all home games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 62-92 ATS (-39.2 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 57-82 ATS (-33.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
ST PETERS is 19-43 ATS (-28.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST PETERS is 3-1 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 3-1 straight up against ST PETERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-02-2016, 07:28 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, December 2

Light card tonight but some more MAAC games, the first conference games of the season:

Pitt has beaten Duquesne 15 years in a row (at least), last four years by 14+ points. Panthers are 6-1 this year, winning by 19-13 points in games vs teams outside the top 200. Pitt had a big win at Maryland three nights ago; they’re 5th-worst team in country at forcing turnovers. Duquesne is 3-5 with home losses to Tenn-Martin, UMBC, bad losses; Dukes are #304 experience team turning ball over 22.5% of time while playing #44 pace. ACC favorites are 13-9 vs spread on neutral floors; A-14 underdogs are 8-11 away from home.

St John’s lost its last five games after starting season with wins over teams #342-283; their last game was an unsightly home loss to #330 Delaware State. Red Storm lost by 6 at Minnesota in there only true road game. St John’s is 2nd-least experienced team in country. Tulane is 1-6 with only win by 17 over #243 SE Louisiana, in its only home game; five of six losses were to teams in top 150. Green Wave are starting two frosh in Dunleavy’s first season. Big East favorites are 10-9 vs spread away from home. AAC underdogs are 14-12.

Texas lost its last three games, all vs top 80 teams, after a 3-0 start (all vs teams outside top 200); Longhorns scored 57.7 pts/game in their recent skid- they’re shooting only 26.2% on arc. Alabama is playing its first true road game; they split of neutral floor games with Valparaiso/Saint Louis out in Vegas. Crimson Tide is forcing turnovers 25.4% of time; their bench is playing 9th-most minutes in country. Big X home favorites are 12-7 vs spread; SEC underdogs are 10-10. Big X teams are 14-8 in last 22 games vs SEC teams, 7-6 vs spread when favored.

Manhattan is 15-22 the last 1+ seasons, since making NCAAs two years in row; they’ve won six of last seven games with Canisius- Griffins lost four of last five visits to Draddy Gym, with three of four losses by 9+ points. Underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in last six series games. Jaspers turned ball over 40 times at West Virginia in last game; they turn ball over 29.3% of time, 2nd-worst in country- they split two home games. Canisius is 2-4 with both wins on road, at Duquesne and Youngstown; Griffins are turning ball over 21.3% of the time.

Niagara beat Marist twice LY by total of seven points; Purple Eagles are 6-3 in last nine series games, but lost two of last three visits here, with losses by 14-2 points. Niagara is 0-4 on road, with three losses to teams ranked #261 or worse- their only win is over #268 Drexel; Eagles are shooting 39.4% on arc, only 45.1% inside it. Marist won three of last four games after an 0-3 start; Red Foxes are 3-0 vs teams outside the top 200, 0-4 vs top 200 teams. Marist has #327 eFG% defense, meaning they’re a bad defensive team.

Indiana beat North Carolina in an emotional home win Wednesday; quick turnaround here vs SIU-Edwardsville team that is 4-3, 2-1 in true road games, with only loss by 18 at Arkansas State. Cougars are shooting 39.3% on arc, are #7 team at getting to foul line, but are shooting only 69.4% on line once they get there. Hoosiers are 3-0 vs teams outside top 200, winning by 22-39-33 points. Best team SIU-E has played in Southern Illinois, wh beat Cougars by 18. OVC road underdogs are 16-15 vs spread.

Iona won six of last seven games with St Peter’s, going 5-2 in last seven visits here; Gaels won Alaskan Shootout last weekend, are 3-2 this season, losing true road games at Florida State, Nevada by 21-15 points- they haven’t played a home game yet, but did avenge the Nevada loss in finals in Alaska. St Peter’s scored 80+ points in its three wins, 57-41 in losses to Lafayette, Fordham; best team Peacocks have played is #162 Boston U- St Peter’s beat them 80-67. Peacocks start three seniors and a junior. Iona is starting two new transfers.

**Udog** · 12-02-2016, 07:31 AM

NCAAB

Friday, December 2

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Trend Report
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2:00 PM
COLGATE vs. THE CITADEL
No trends available
The Citadel is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
The Citadel is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
NIAGARA vs. MARIST
Niagara is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Niagara's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marist's last 5 games when playing at home against Niagara
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marist's last 6 games when playing Niagara

7:00 PM
SIU EDWARDSVILLE vs. INDIANA
SIU Edwardsville is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
GRAMBLING STATE vs. KENT STATE
No trends available
Kent State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

7:00 PM
IONA vs. SAINT PETER'S
Iona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Saint Peter's
Iona is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Saint Peter's is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saint Peter's last 6 games when playing Iona

7:00 PM
CANISIUS vs. MANHATTAN
Canisius is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Manhattan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Canisius's last 7 games when playing on the road against Manhattan
Manhattan is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Manhattan's last 5 games

7:00 PM
DUQUESNE vs. PITTSBURGH
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 2-9-1 ATS in its last 12 games

7:00 PM
DELAWARE STATE vs. DELAWARE
No trends available
Delaware is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home
Delaware is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games

8:00 PM
CS BAKERSFIELD vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
CS Bakersfield is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
ST. JOHN'S vs. TULANE
St. John's is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
St. John's is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tulane is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
Tulane is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

9:30 PM
ALABAMA vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Alabama's last 13 games on the road
Alabama is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Texas is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games

10:00 PM
LAMAR vs. SAN FRANCISCO
No trends available
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

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**Udog** · 12-02-2016, 09:30 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, December 2

Iona @ St Peter's

Game 533-534
December 2, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iona
55.546
St Peter's
61.312
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Peter's
by 6
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iona
by 2 1/2
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St Peter's
(+2 1/2); Over

SIU-Edwardsville @ Indiana

Game 529-530
December 2, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SIU-Edwardsville
48.727
Indiana
77.892
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 29
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 25 1/2
146
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-25 1/2); Under

Niagara @ Marist

Game 527-528
December 2, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Niagara
45.958
Marist
49.472
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marist
by 3 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marist
by 6 1/2
147 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Niagara
(+6 1/2); Under

Canisius @ Manhattan

Game 525-526
December 2, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Canisius
49.965
Manhattan
49.162
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Canisius
by 1
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Manhattan
by 4
145 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Canisius
(+4); Over

Alabama @ Texas

Game 523-524
December 2, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama
56.942
Texas
67.782
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 11
128
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 3 1/2
123
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-3 1/2); Over

St John's @ Tulane

Game 521-522
December 2, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St John's
50.173
Tulane
53.195
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulane
by 3
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St John's
by 4 1/2
146 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tulane
(+4 1/2); Under

Duquesne @ Pittsburgh

Game 519-520
December 2, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Duquesne
47.299
Pittsburgh
72.577
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 25 1/2
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 13 1/2
149
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-13 1/2); Under

Announcement

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/2

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/2

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