Announcement

**Udog** · 12-02-2016, 08:14 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Week 13 NFL football trends…….

— Jaguars are 10-24-1 in their last 35 games as a home dog.

— 49ers covered twice in their last ten games.

— Oakland covered one in its last nine home games.

— Carolina is 17-8-1 in its last 26 games as a road underdog.

— Falcons covered three of last 15 games as a home favorite.

— Arizona covered three times in its last 12 games.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random thoughts with the weekend here…….

13) Cowboys 17, Vikings 15— Minnesota is 6-6 after starting season 5-0; they scored TD with 0:25 left, but failed on 2-point conversion and lost again. Dallas has now won 11 games in a row but if you bet the Cowboys (-3) this was a discouraging bad beat.

12) Rockets 132, Warriors 127— Excellent NBA game. Golden State’s 12-game win streak ends as both teams take 44 3-pointers. Fun to watch teams pass and shoot and COMPETE.

11) Couple interesting parts of baseball’s new labor agreement:

15-day disabled list is now the 10-day disabled list.
World Series team with best record gets home field edge in Series, instead of the winner of the All-Star Game, which goes back to being a meaningless exhibition, as it should be.

10) NFL referee Gene Steratore worked the Indiana-North Carolina hoop game Wednesday; Bill Vinovich is also an NFL ref who works big time college hoop games. .

9) Philadelphia 76ers raised Joel Embiid’s minutes limit from 24:00 to 28:00 per game, a good sign for the young man who has been injury prone for most of his career.

8) A further sign of the softening of our society; Indiana parted ways with football coach Kevin Wilson (they said he “resigned” which means, “we fired him but he’s doing a good job so we’ll let him say he quit.”) Wilson was 26-47 at Indiana, but 12-13 the last two years, as Hoosiers were becoming a more competitive team.

Apparently Wilson was occasionally stern with his players, maybe forcefully stern, and some of them objected to the AD. I’ll guarantee you, on any 85-person football team, you can find five people who don’t like the coach. If the AD listens to those five, the coach better win a lot.

7) Sunday the Rams play in Foxboro; Jared Goff obviously is 0-2 as an NFL starter. In his head coaching career, Bill Belichick is 21-1 in games against a starting QB with zero career wins.

The lone loss? Andre Ware and the Lions beat Belichick’s Cleveland Browns 24-14 in 1992.

6) Indiana and North Carolina both have five national titles in college basketball. Hoosiers have been in Final Four eight times, but UNC has been there 19 times.

5) On Showtime’s reality show about Florida State football, FSU coaches approached the rivalry game with Florida by telling players “it is about history, about those players who came before you here.” It is an effective approach that works with current players.

The reality is this: these rivalry games are about RECRUITING. Signing Day is only four or five weeks away- these rivalry games can turn a key recruit or two in your favor. It is about future players, future wins, future job security. That is the reality of it.

4) Lonzo Ball is a freshman PG at UCLA, a very, very good player; ESPN’s Scott Van Pelt and Jay Bilas were discussing this Monday night and agreed that Ball reminds them of Jason Kidd at the same age, a huge compliment.

Ball’s brother plays at Chino Hills HS in California; the kid scored 72 points in a recent game, a game his team won 128-108. Who coaches these teams that a 32:00 HS game winds up with a 128-108 final score?

If you’re the losing coach and your team is good enough to score 108 points, then chances are you have a couple players capable of playing defense. You’d think.

3) Best NFL teams in turnover margin this year: Chiefs +14, Vikings +13, Raiders +10

Worst teams in turnover margin: Jaguars -15, Jets -13, Browns/Texans -9

2) NFL teams with most 20+-yard plays this season: Falcons 56, Redskins 55.

Teams with the least 20+-yard plays: Texans 28, Panthers 31

1) Clippers lost in double OT to the Nets Tuesday; Doc Rivers wound up getting tossed at the end of this game, because he was barking at female ref Lauren Holtkamp (who is not good) and another ref stepped in and T’d Rivers up, which enraged the Clippers’ coach.

On the first possession of this game, 0:12 into the game, a Nets player had the ball at the top of the key, dribbled twice, picked up his dribble, looked to pass, couldn’t find anyone, so he dribbled again and nothing was called. Nothing. Bupkus. A 5th-grade CYO ref would’ve called the double dribble, it was that obvious.

Say what you want; college refs are better than NBA refs.

**Udog** · 12-02-2016, 08:34 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, December 2

Philly lost last four games overall, last three at home, but they’re 8-4 as a home underdog. Three of their last four games went over total. Orlando lost by point in Memphis last night; they’ve lost five of last six games, are 3-6 on road, 0-1 as road favorites. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games. 76ers lost eight of last ten games with Orlando; five of last six series games went over total. Magic won their last five visits here (3-2 vs spread).

Lakers split last six games, lost three of last four on road; they’re 6-4 as road underdogs (1-3 in last four). Five of last six LA games stayed under total. Raptors won/covered their last four games; they’re 5-2 as home favorites. Over is 9-2-1 in their last 12 games. Lakers lost last three games with Toronto; all three games stayed under total. LA lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 9-11-5 points.

Sacramento is 3-2 in its last five games but is 3-6 on road, 2-6 as a road underdog. Six of their last eight games went over total. Boston lost its last three home games; they’re 3-3 as a home favorite. Last three Celtic games went over the total. Celtics won five of last seven games with Sacramento; home side won eight of last nine series games. Kings lost last four visits to Beantown (0-4 vs spread).

Knicks won by a hoop in Minnesota Wednesday, despite Towns’ 47 points; New York won last three series games, by 2-8-5 points. Three of last four series games stayed under total. Minnesota lost six of last seven games, is 2-7 on road, 2-3 as a road underdog. Six of their nine road games went over total. Knicks won/covered six of their last seven home games; they’re 5-1 as a home favorite. Over is 6-4 in their home games.

Detroit won four of last five games; they split last six road games, are 3-6 as road underdogs. Four of last five Piston games went over total. Atlanta lost seven of last eight games, is 6-2 as a home favorite. Under is 9-1 in their last ten games. Hawks won six of last eight games with Detroit; Pistons lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 7-11-10 points. Four of last five series games went over.

Cavaliers lost by 19 at home to the Clippers last night; they lost last two games after a 13-2 start. Cleveland is 4-2 on road; four of their last five games went over total. Chicago is 2-3 in its last five games, is 4-2 SU/ATS at home. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Bulls won three of last four games with Cleveland, covered six of last eight series games. Cavaliers lost last two visits here by total of five points. Four of last five series games stayed under the total.

Clippers ended 3-game skid with win in Cleveland last nite; they’re 8-3 on road, 4-5 as road favorites. Over is 9-3 in LA’s last 12 games. Pelicans won/covered its last five home games; they’re 3-0 as a home underdog. Over is 7-2-1 in New Orleans home games. Clippers won four of last five games with New Orleans; LA lost three of last four visits to Bourbon Street- home teams won eight of last nine series games. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Wizards are 1-6 on road, 1-3 as road underdogs; they’re 4-3 in last seven games overall. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games. San Antonio is just 4-4 at home, 2-6 as a home favorite; they’re 10-1 in last 11 games overall. Over is 6-2 in Spurs’ last eight games. Spurs won eight of last ten games with Washington; home side won six of last eight series games, with over 2-0-1 in last three. Wizards lost last five visits to Alamo (1-4 vs spread).

Nuggets lost three of last four games, are 3-6 at home, 2-2 as a home underdog. Over is 5-2-1 in Denver’s last eight games. Houston beat Warriors in double OT in Oakland last night; they’re 8-5 on road, 4-2 as road favorites. Over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Denver won its last three games with Houston by 20-9-6 points; home side won seven of last ten series games (over 6-4). Could be tough game for Rockets to bounce back from.

**Udog** · 12-02-2016, 08:37 AM

NBA

Friday, December 2

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Orlando's last 23 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Orlando
Philadelphia is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Orlando

7:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. BOSTON
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Sacramento is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. TORONTO
LA Lakers are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games when playing on the road against Toronto
LA Lakers are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 12 games
Toronto is 8-17 SU in their last 25 games when playing LA Lakers

7:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NEW YORK
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
New York is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CHICAGO
Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Cleveland

8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Detroit

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the LA Clippers last 9 games on the road
LA Clippers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. SAN ANTONIO
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

10:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. DENVER
Houston is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Denver
Houston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
Denver is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games at home

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**Udog** · 12-02-2016, 09:35 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, December 2

Houston @ Denver

Game 517-518
December 2, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
117.496
Denver
123.417
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 6
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 1 1/2
222
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-1 1/2); Under

Washington @ San Antonio

Game 515-516
December 2, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
110.376
San Antonio
127.488
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 17
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 9 1/2
201 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-9 1/2); Over

LA Clippers @ New Orleans

Game 513-514
December 2, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
122.500
New Orleans
121.528
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 1
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 3 1/2
207
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+3 1/2); Over

Cleveland @ Chicago

Game 511-512
December 2, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
119.764
Chicago
124.117
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 5 1/2
186
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 4
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+4); N/A

Detroit @ Atlanta

Game 509-510
December 2, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
123.498
Atlanta
117.524
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 6
191
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 6 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+6 1/2); N/A

Minnesota @ New York

Game 507-508
December 2, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
120.402
New York
115.807
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 4 1/2
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 2 1/2
210
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+2 1/2); Over

Sacramento @ Boston

Game 505-506
December 2, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
117.879
Boston
121.634
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 4
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 7
208
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+7); Over

LA Lakers @ Toronto

Game 503-504
December 2, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
120.705
Toronto
124.378
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 10 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+10 1/2); Under

Orlando @ Philadelphia

Game 501-502
December 2, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
115.784
Philadelphia
114.944
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 1
186
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 2
196
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+2); Under

**Udog** · 12-02-2016, 10:27 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, December 2

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ORLANDO (7 - 12) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 14) - 12/2/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-64 ATS (-33.4 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 6-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (10 - 10) at TORONTO (12 - 6) - 12/2/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (7 - 11) at BOSTON (10 - 8) - 12/2/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 151-192 ATS (-60.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
BOSTON is 121-157 ATS (-51.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
BOSTON is 98-132 ATS (-47.2 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
BOSTON is 98-132 ATS (-47.2 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (5 - 13) at NEW YORK (9 - 9) - 12/2/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) first half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (10 - 10) at ATLANTA (10 - 9) - 12/2/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (13 - 4) at CHICAGO (10 - 7) - 12/2/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 9-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 8-6 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (15 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 12) - 12/2/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (6 - 11) at SAN ANTONIO (15 - 4) - 12/2/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 140-183 ATS (-61.3 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 964-841 ATS (+38.9 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 772-653 ATS (+53.7 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 489-410 ATS (+38.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 83-49 ATS (+29.1 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 320-263 ATS (+30.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 387-311 ATS (+44.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (12 - 7) at DENVER (7 - 11) - 12/2/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-02-2016, 01:32 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Friday, December 2

Orlando at Philadelphia, 7:05 PM ET
Orlando: 19-8 ATS in road games after 2 straight games giving up 10 or less offensive rebounds
Philadelphia: 5-16 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games

LA Lakers at Toronto, 7:35 PM ET
Los Angeles: 1-5 ATS after a game with 65 or more rebounds
Toronto: 29-15 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more

Sacramento at Boston, 7:35 PM ET
Sacramento: 8-14 ATS against Atlantic division opponents
Boston: 24-9 ATS after a game where they made 12 or more 3 point shots

Minnesota at New York, 7:35 PM ET
Minnesota: 0-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders
New York: 32-16 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games

Detroit at Atlanta, 8:05 PM ET
Detroit: 37-20 ATS after a game outrebounding opponent by 20 or more
Atlanta: 1-5 ATS after playing 4 consecutive road games

Cleveland at Chicago, 8:05 PM ET
Cleveland: 15-30 ATS vs. division opponents
Chicago: 4-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses

LA Lakers at New Orleans, 8:05 PM ET
Los Angeles: 6-17 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread
New Orleans: 26-12 ATS as a home underdog

Washington at San Antonio, 8:35 PM ET
Washington: 24-44 ATS in road games after a combined score of 225 points or more
San Antonio: 83-49 ATS against Southeast division opponents

Houston at Denver, 10:35 PM ET
Houston: 11-2 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more
Denver: 16-30 ATS in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread

Announcement

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/2

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/2

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