Announcement

**Udog** · 11-28-2016, 08:17 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks in Week 12 of the Westgate Super Contest

— Tennessee Titans, -4.5 (514)- W

— Atlanta Falcons, -4 (480)- W

— Washington Redskins +7 (405)- W

— Baltimore Ravens -4 (387)- W

— Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 (380)- W

— Oakland Raiders -3 (379)- W

Season record: 28-43-2

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Chargers 21, Texans 13— First home loss for Texans; Chargers are now 2-4 on road. Houston turned ball over four times (-3); teams who were -2 or worse in turnovers this week are 0-5 this week, 7-59 for the season.

Titans 27, Bears 21— Tennessee is 6-6 and heads into its bye week half a game behind the Texans in a lame AFC South. Barkley threw for 316 yards in his first NFL start, converted 9-17 on third down, but also threw two picks and Bears fell to 2-9. Over is 8-1 in Titans’ last nine games.

Bills 28, Jaguars 21— Jax has now lost six games in a row, last four all by 7 or less points. Bills are 6-5 but winning a Wild Card in AFC is an uphill climb. Over is 8-2 in last ten Buffalo games. I’m guessing Jaguars are changing coaches after the season; curious to see if they hire Tom Coughlin, who is approaching 70 but would be better than some guys who have HC jobs.

Ravens 19, Bengals 14— Justin Tucker nailed three 50+-yard FG’s, all in the first half. Cincy is 1-5-1 in its last seven games, losing last five true road games; I am not a fan of promoting from within when hiring coordinators, which Cincinnati has done a lot recently, losing three coordinators to HC jobs the last three years. Go out and find new blood, new ideas. Bengals’ last four games (0-3-1) were decided by a total of 7 points. Under is 6-1 in last seven Baltimore games.

Falcons 38, Cardinals 19— Hope coach Arians is alright after a medical scare earlier in week; his team isn’t alright, losing three of last four games. Arizona was outscored 41-16 in second half of last three games. Falcons scored five TDs on nine drives, with two TD drives of less than 50 yards. Over is 9-2 in Atlanta games this season.

Dolphins 31, 49ers 24— Miami won its sixth game in row, will be tied for second Wild Card with loser of KC-Denver game. Dolphins led 31-14 with 8:00 left but Kaepernick led comeback which fell a couple yards short as time expired. 49ers have lost ten games in a row, with over 7-3 in those games. Miami is +10 in turnovers during its winning streak.

Saints 49, Rams 21— This game was personal between Sean Payton/Gregg Williams, who won a Super Bowl together in New Orleans. Saints threw a pass with 2:30 left, up 49-21. They’ll be another day for that stuff. NFC West underdogs are 4-11 vs spread outside their division this season.

Jeff Fisher is in his fifth year coaching the Rams: he makes $7M a year. His teams have been 7-8-1/7-9/6-10/7-9 and now this 4-7 disaster (they still have games at both New England/Seattle). If I was paying someone $7M a year to coach, I’d expect better results and most of all, I wouldn’t be very freakin’ happy when my team quit on the field, the way the Rams did in this game.

Giants 27, Browns 13— Cleveland is now 1-4-1 as a home underdog; they’ve been outscored 83-24 in second half of their last five games. Giants won their last six games, getting a defensive TD from Pierre-Paul to put game out of reach. If season ended today, Giants would host Washington in NFC Wild Card game. Good news for Cleveland; next week is their bye.

Buccaneers 14, Seahawks 5— Just second 14-5 game in NFL history; 49ers-Falcons played one in 1984. Bucs had six sacks, held Seattle to 1-11 on third down- they’ve won three games in a row, allowing total of 32 points. This is same Tampa defense that gave up 37 points to the Rams in Week 3. Everyone in NFC West lost today.

Raiders 37, Panthers 32— Oakland has won/covered five games in a row; Derek Carr had a dislocated pinky in third quarter, when Carolina had ball four times, scored four TDs, but they also had PAT blocked and went 0-2 on 2-point conversions. Carr played 4th quarter with a glove on his right hand.

Only two defensive TDs of day were scored by Giants/Raiders. Newton was 3-12 passing for 18 yards in first half, 11-17 for 226 yards in second haldf, including an 88-yard TD pass to Ted Ginn Jr. Over is now 9-2 in Raider games this season.

Patriots 22, Jets 17— New England is 4-0 (3-1 vs spread) with Brady on road; Jets are now 1-4 at home. NFL-wide, home underdogs are 13-8 vs spread this season. Jets’ last four games were all decided by 5 or less points. under is 6-1 in New York’s last seven games.

Chiefs 30, Broncos 27 OT– Santos banked game-winning FG in off left upright to give Chiefs win after they blew lead late in regulation. Denver tried but missed a 62-yard FG to end game earlier in OT. Dolphins are glad game didn’t end in a tie; would’ve left them behind both teams in Wild Card race.

**Udog** · 11-28-2016, 08:20 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, November 28

Northwestern St @ Mississippi State

Game 531-532
November 28, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northwestern St
43.832
Mississippi State
54.455
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi State
by 10 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi State
by 13
144 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northwestern St
(+13); Under

Tulsa @ Oral Roberts

Game 529-530
November 28, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
55.092
Oral Roberts
50.515
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulsa
by 4 1/2
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulsa
by 1
168
Dunkel Pick:
Tulsa
(-1); Under

Manhattan @ West Virginia

Game 527-528
November 28, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Manhattan
48.268
West Virginia
78.203
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 30
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
West Virginia
by 24 1/2
174 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(-24 1/2); Under

Boise State @ Oregon

Game 525-526
November 28, 2016 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boise State
52.380
Oregon
77.477
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 25
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon
by 16 1/2
136 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon
(-16 1/2); Over

Butler @ Utah

Game 523-524
November 28, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Butler
76.385
Utah
67.594
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Butler
by 9
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Butler
by 2
144
Dunkel Pick:
Butler
(-2); Over

Wake Forest @ Northwestern

Game 521-522
November 28, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wake Forest
67.907
Northwestern
66.056
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wake Forest
by 2
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northwestern
by 4
153
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(+4); Under

Minnesota @ Florida State

Game 519-520
November 28, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
62.434
Florida State
69.082
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida State
by 6 1/2
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 9 1/2
155 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+9 1/2); Under

Arizona State @ Kentucky

Game 517-518
November 28, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona State
65.591
Kentucky
77.713
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 12
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 15 1/2
159 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona State
(+15 1/2); Under

Appalachian St @ Charlotte

Game 515-516
November 28, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Appalachian St
47.653
Charlotte
52.224
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 4 1/2
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 8 1/2
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Appalachian St
(+8 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 11-28-2016, 08:21 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, November 28

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APPALACHIAN ST (2 - 3) at CHARLOTTE (3 - 2) - 11/28/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 1-1 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 2-0 straight up against APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA ST (4 - 2) vs. KENTUCKY (6 - 0) - 11/28/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (6 - 0) at FLORIDA ST (5 - 1) - 11/28/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 84-113 ATS (-40.3 Units) in road games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 84-113 ATS (-40.3 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WAKE FOREST (5 - 1) at NORTHWESTERN (4 - 2) - 11/28/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUTLER (6 - 0) at UTAH (4 - 0) - 11/28/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 139-102 ATS (+26.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
UTAH is 139-102 ATS (+26.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
UTAH is 65-38 ATS (+23.2 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
UTAH is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
UTAH is 99-69 ATS (+23.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BUTLER is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
BUTLER is 140-100 ATS (+30.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
BUTLER is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 198-157 ATS (+25.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOISE ST (3 - 2) at OREGON (4 - 2) - 11/28/2016, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 0-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MANHATTAN (2 - 3) at W VIRGINIA (4 - 1) - 11/28/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULSA (2 - 2) at ORAL ROBERTS (1 - 4) - 11/28/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORAL ROBERTS is 76-103 ATS (-37.3 Units) in all games since 1997.
ORAL ROBERTS is 76-103 ATS (-37.3 Units) in all lined games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORAL ROBERTS is 2-0 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
ORAL ROBERTS is 2-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTHWESTERN ST (2 - 3) at MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 2) - 11/28/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-28-2016, 08:22 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 28

Charlotte beat Appalachian State the last three years, by 16-10-18 points; 49ers lost last two games, by 22 at Davidson, in OT at home to SC-Upstate after a 3-0 start. Charlotte starts two sophs, two seniors; they’re making 47.1% of their 3’s, #2 in country. Appalachian State lost by 35 at Duke Saturday; they lost to Davidson, Tennessee by 12-9 points, won at Hartford by 9. ASU starts a freshman and three sophs. C-USA home favorites are 8-5 vs spread. Sun Belt road underdogs are 10-8.

Kentucky beat Michigan State by 21 in its only neutral court game; that was also their only top 10 0game so far. Young Wildcats (#344 in experience) are forcing turnovers 25.7% of time, but their schedule so far has also been #290. Arizona State lost by 19 to Northern Iowa, 8 to Davidson in its two top 100 games so far; ASU won its last game 127-110 over Citadel, which uses a Westhead-like system. Sun Devils start two juniors, two seniors; they don’t sub much. Pac-12 underdogs are 3-8 vs spread this month.

Florida State blew an 18-point lead with 13:29 left and lost to Temple in Brooklyn Thursday; Seminoles are 5-1, beating Iona by 21, Illinois by 11 in their other top 100 games. FSU is playing #54 tempo; their bench is playing #37 minutes- they start two sops and a freshman. Minnesota is 6-0 (all at home) with top 100 wins over Tex-Arlington/St John’s, Arkansas. Gophers have #11 eFG% defense so far, but this is their first road game. ACC home favorites are 15-9 against spread. Big 14 underdogs are 11-10 vs spread.

Northwestern is 4-2, but 1-2 vs top 100 teams, with tough losses to Butler/Notre Dame and win over Texas; Wildcats have made 43.5% of 3-pointers, have #36 eFG%- they start two juniors, two sophs. Wake Forest is 5-1 with a 78-61 win at Charleston; Deacons are #263 experience team playing #68 tempo; their best wins are Charleston/Bucknell. Wake also start two juniors, two sophs. Big 14 home favorites are 11-11 vs spread; ACC underdogs are 3-9, but this is their first true road games as an underdog this year.

Butler is 6-0 after couple of tough wins in Las Vegas, by 9 over Vandy, 4 over Arizona; Bulldogs already have three top 100 wins; this is their first true road game. Butler is forcing turnovers 24.6% of time (#17). Utah is 4-0 against easiest schedule in country (two non-D-I teams); Utes are pretty young but playing lot of guys- they start two juniors and a senior. Big East favorites are 15-14 vs spread, 8-9 away from home. Pac-12 underdogs are 3-8 vs spread, but none of those were as home underdogs.

Oregon is 4-2 but has struggled a little, losing by 17 at Baylor, by 4 to Georgetown on Maui; Ducks are turning ball over 22.2% of time, but got Brooks back- they beat Tennessee in OT, UConn in Maui Classic after losing to Hoyas- they’re only playing seven guys. Boise State is 2-3, losing by 12-13 to Charleston/Miss State; Broncos start a freshman and two sophs. Mountain West road underdogs are 8-3 vs spread this month. Pac-12 home favorites are 14-15 against the spread.

Manhattan is turning ball over 25.5% of time in its 2-3 start, bad news against an annoyed West Virginia team. WVU was down 20 at the half to Temple Friday, stormed back but lost by 4; my guess is their practices since have been fierce. Mountaineers are forcing turnovers 32.1% of time (#1 in country); their three wins vs teams outside the top 100 are all by 28+ points. Manhattan needed double OT to win at Detroit Saturday; Jaspers lost by 21 at Temple before that- they’re 1-2 in true road games, with losses by 12-21 points.

Oral Roberts beat local rival Tulsa last three years by 2-5-9 points, beating Hurricane LY even when Tulsa was playing seven seniors- now those kids are graduated, Tulsa is rebuilding, and is 2-2 this season, losing by 27 at Wichita State in its only road game- they beat Oregon State by 12 in only other top 200 game. Oral Roberts is 0-4 vs D-I teams, losing to Ole Miss in OT in first round on Virgin Islands- they’re turning ball over 21.1% of time, shooting only 30% on arc. Summit League underdogs are 11-16 vs spread away from home.

**Udog** · 11-28-2016, 08:22 AM

NCAAB

Monday, November 28

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Trend Report
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12:00 AM
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF vs. HAWAII
No trends available
Hawaii is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Hawaii is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home

7:00 PM
BRYANT vs. BROWN
No trends available
Brown is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Bryant
Brown is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games

7:00 PM
APPALACHIAN STATE vs. CHARLOTTE
Appalachian State is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Appalachian State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Appalachian State
Charlotte is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Appalachian State

7:00 PM
HIWASSEE vs. TENNESSEE TECH
No trends available
Tennessee Tech is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home
Tennessee Tech is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games

7:00 PM
KENNESAW STATE vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
No trends available
South Florida is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
South Florida is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games at home

7:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN STATE vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
No trends available
Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northwestern State
Mississippi State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
BOSTON UNIVERSITY vs. SAINT PETER'S
No trends available
Saint Peter's is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
Saint Peter's is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston University

7:00 PM
PRESBYTERIAN vs. THE CITADEL
No trends available
The Citadel is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games

7:00 PM
KENTUCKY vs. ARIZONA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kentucky's last 7 games on the road
Kentucky is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Arizona State is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
MANHATTAN vs. WEST VIRGINIA
Manhattan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
West Virginia is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
West Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
DARTMOUTH vs. LONGWOOD
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dartmouth's last 6 games on the road
Dartmouth is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
No trends available

7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. FLORIDA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Minnesota's last 15 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Florida State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Florida State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota

7:35 PM
SE MISSOURI STATE vs. UMKC
SE Missouri State is 3-21 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of SE Missouri State's last 5 games on the road
UMKC is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
UMKC is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
TULSA vs. ORAL ROBERTS
Tulsa is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Tulsa is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
No trends available

8:00 PM
MOUNT ST. MARY'S vs. ARKANSAS
No trends available
Arkansas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
No trends available
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Stephen F. Austin
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Stephen F. Austin

8:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL vs. MISSOURI
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri's last 5 games at home
Missouri is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games

9:00 PM
WAKE FOREST vs. NORTHWESTERN
Wake Forest is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Wake Forest is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Northwestern is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Northwestern is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

9:00 PM
SIU EDWARDSVILLE vs. GRAND CANYON
SIU Edwardsville is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Grand Canyon is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Grand Canyon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
DALTON STATE vs. OREGON STATE
No trends available
Oregon State is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
Oregon State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
ARIZONA CHRISTIAN vs. MONTANA STATE
No trends available
Montana State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Montana State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
BUTLER vs. UTAH
Butler is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Utah is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
Utah is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games

10:00 PM
SAVANNAH STATE vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
No trends available
San Diego State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
San Diego State is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games

11:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. OREGON
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boise State's last 13 games on the road
Boise State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Oregon is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
Oregon is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games

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Announcement

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/28

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/28

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