Announcement

**Udog** · 11-28-2016, 08:11 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks in Week 12 of the Westgate Super Contest

— Tennessee Titans, -4.5 (514)- W

— Atlanta Falcons, -4 (480)- W

— Washington Redskins +7 (405)- W

— Baltimore Ravens -4 (387)- W

— Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 (380)- W

— Oakland Raiders -3 (379)- W

Season record: 28-43-2

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Chargers 21, Texans 13— First home loss for Texans; Chargers are now 2-4 on road. Houston turned ball over four times (-3); teams who were -2 or worse in turnovers this week are 0-5 this week, 7-59 for the season.

Titans 27, Bears 21— Tennessee is 6-6 and heads into its bye week half a game behind the Texans in a lame AFC South. Barkley threw for 316 yards in his first NFL start, converted 9-17 on third down, but also threw two picks and Bears fell to 2-9. Over is 8-1 in Titans’ last nine games.

Bills 28, Jaguars 21— Jax has now lost six games in a row, last four all by 7 or less points. Bills are 6-5 but winning a Wild Card in AFC is an uphill climb. Over is 8-2 in last ten Buffalo games. I’m guessing Jaguars are changing coaches after the season; curious to see if they hire Tom Coughlin, who is approaching 70 but would be better than some guys who have HC jobs.

Ravens 19, Bengals 14— Justin Tucker nailed three 50+-yard FG’s, all in the first half. Cincy is 1-5-1 in its last seven games, losing last five true road games; I am not a fan of promoting from within when hiring coordinators, which Cincinnati has done a lot recently, losing three coordinators to HC jobs the last three years. Go out and find new blood, new ideas. Bengals’ last four games (0-3-1) were decided by a total of 7 points. Under is 6-1 in last seven Baltimore games.

Falcons 38, Cardinals 19— Hope coach Arians is alright after a medical scare earlier in week; his team isn’t alright, losing three of last four games. Arizona was outscored 41-16 in second half of last three games. Falcons scored five TDs on nine drives, with two TD drives of less than 50 yards. Over is 9-2 in Atlanta games this season.

Dolphins 31, 49ers 24— Miami won its sixth game in row, will be tied for second Wild Card with loser of KC-Denver game. Dolphins led 31-14 with 8:00 left but Kaepernick led comeback which fell a couple yards short as time expired. 49ers have lost ten games in a row, with over 7-3 in those games. Miami is +10 in turnovers during its winning streak.

Saints 49, Rams 21— This game was personal between Sean Payton/Gregg Williams, who won a Super Bowl together in New Orleans. Saints threw a pass with 2:30 left, up 49-21. They’ll be another day for that stuff. NFC West underdogs are 4-11 vs spread outside their division this season.

Jeff Fisher is in his fifth year coaching the Rams: he makes $7M a year. His teams have been 7-8-1/7-9/6-10/7-9 and now this 4-7 disaster (they still have games at both New England/Seattle). If I was paying someone $7M a year to coach, I’d expect better results and most of all, I wouldn’t be very freakin’ happy when my team quit on the field, the way the Rams did in this game.

Giants 27, Browns 13— Cleveland is now 1-4-1 as a home underdog; they’ve been outscored 83-24 in second half of their last five games. Giants won their last six games, getting a defensive TD from Pierre-Paul to put game out of reach. If season ended today, Giants would host Washington in NFC Wild Card game. Good news for Cleveland; next week is their bye.

Buccaneers 14, Seahawks 5— Just second 14-5 game in NFL history; 49ers-Falcons played one in 1984. Bucs had six sacks, held Seattle to 1-11 on third down- they’ve won three games in a row, allowing total of 32 points. This is same Tampa defense that gave up 37 points to the Rams in Week 3. Everyone in NFC West lost today.

Raiders 37, Panthers 32— Oakland has won/covered five games in a row; Derek Carr had a dislocated pinky in third quarter, when Carolina had ball four times, scored four TDs, but they also had PAT blocked and went 0-2 on 2-point conversions. Carr played 4th quarter with a glove on his right hand.

Only two defensive TDs of day were scored by Giants/Raiders. Newton was 3-12 passing for 18 yards in first half, 11-17 for 226 yards in second haldf, including an 88-yard TD pass to Ted Ginn Jr. Over is now 9-2 in Raider games this season.

Patriots 22, Jets 17— New England is 4-0 (3-1 vs spread) with Brady on road; Jets are now 1-4 at home. NFL-wide, home underdogs are 13-8 vs spread this season. Jets’ last four games were all decided by 5 or less points. under is 6-1 in New York’s last seven games.

Chiefs 30, Broncos 27 OT– Santos banked game-winning FG in off left upright to give Chiefs win after they blew lead late in regulation. Denver tried but missed a 62-yard FG to end game earlier in OT. Dolphins are glad game didn’t end in a tie; would’ve left them behind both teams in Wild Card race.

**Udog** · 11-28-2016, 08:13 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 28

Sacramento won three of last four games, covered five of last six; Kings are 2-5 as a road underdog- six of their last seven games went over total. Washington is 4-5 at home, 3-4 as a home favorite. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Home side won last six Sacramento-Washington games; Kings lost last three visits here, by 9-16-14 points (0-3 vs spread). Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Raptors are 4-3 at home, 3-2 as home favorites; they won last two games, by 13-7 points. Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Toronto games. Sixers lost tough home game with Cleveland; they’re 0-5 on road, 1-4 as road underdogs. Over is 10-5 in Philly’s last fifteen games. Toronto won its last ten games with Philly, covering last five; 76ers lost last five visits here (2-3 vs spread). Four of last five series games went over total.

Oklahoma City won last two games by 3-18 points, but they’ve lost four of last five road games, are 3-4 overall on road (2-5 vs spread). Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Knicks won/covered their last six home games; they’re 6-1 vs spread in last seven games overall. Under is 4-2 in their last six home tilts. Thunder is 7-3 in last ten games with New York, 3-1 in last four visits to Manhattan; Knicks covered last three series games. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Boston won three of its last four games; they’re 5-4 on road (6-3 vs spread). Under is 8-1 in their last nine games. Miami lost three of its last four games; they’re 2-6 at home, 2-2 as a home favorite. Under is 8-4 in Miami’s last twelve games. Celtics won four of their last five games with Miami; under is 6-1 in last seven series games. Boston won its last two visits to Miami, both by 10 points.

Utah won its last two games by 25-27 points; they’re 5-5 on road, 4-0 as a road favorite. Under is 4-2 in last six Jazz games. Minnesota lost four of last five games, is 3-4 at home, 0-3 as a home underdog. Under is 4-2 in Wolves’ last six games. Jazz won seven of last nine games with Minnesota; three of last four series games stayed under the total. Utah won four of its last five visits to Twin Cities.

Charlotte lost four of last five games; they lost three of last four on road, are 1-0-1 as a road underdog. Over is 3-1-1 in last five Hornet games. Grizzlies won seven of last eight games, are 5-3 at home, 3-2 as a home underdog. Under is 4-2 in their last six games. Memphis won seven of last ten games with Charlotte; last three series games played here went over total. Hornets lost three of last four visits to Memphis (2-2 vs spread).

Hawks got hammered by the Lakers in Staples last night; they’ve lost five of last six games, are 1-3 as road underdogs. Last eight Atlanta games stayed under the total. Warriors won their last 11 games, are 2-4 as home favorites. Last four Warrior home games went over total. Golden State won eight of last nine games with Atlanta (6-3 vs spread, 3-3 in last six); Hawks lost last four visits to Oakland (1-3 vs spread).

**Udog** · 11-28-2016, 08:14 AM

NBA

Monday, November 28

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. WASHINGTON
Sacramento is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Sacramento's last 20 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games at home
Washington is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games

7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 10 games
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. TORONTO
Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Philadelphia is 4-16-1 SU in its last 21 games ,
Toronto is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

7:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. NEW YORK
Oklahoma City is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing New York
Oklahoma City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New York's last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

8:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. MEMPHIS
Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Charlotte is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Memphis is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Charlotte

8:00 PM
UTAH vs. MINNESOTA
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

10:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. GOLDEN STATE
Atlanta is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games at home
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

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**Udog** · 11-28-2016, 09:03 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, November 28

Atlanta @ Golden State

Game 513-514
November 28, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
112.394
Golden State
136.754
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 24 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 15
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-15); N/A

Charlotte @ Memphis

Game 511-512
November 28, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
118.590
Memphis
124.157
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 5 1/2
189
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 2
197 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-2); Under

Utah @ Minnesota

Game 509-510
November 28, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
122.982
Minnesota
118.846
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 4
188
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 2
196
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-2); Under

Boston @ Miami

Game 507-508
November 28, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
123.121
Miami
116.275
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 7
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 3 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-3 1/2); N/A

Oklahoma City @ New York

Game 505-506
November 28, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
118.270
New York
122.445
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 4
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
Pick
213
Dunkel Pick:
New York
Over

Philadelphia @ Toronto

Game 503-504
November 28, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
108.728
Toronto
131.890
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 23
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 14 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-14 1/2); Under

Sacramento @ Washington

Game 501-502
November 28, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
118.117
Washington
118.835
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+5); Under

**Udog** · 11-28-2016, 10:19 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, November 28

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SACRAMENTO (7 - 10) at WASHINGTON (5 - 10) - 11/28/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 45-71 ATS (-33.1 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 151-191 ATS (-59.1 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 30-46 ATS (-20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 367-438 ATS (-114.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 104-148 ATS (-58.8 Units) in November games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 89-123 ATS (-46.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (4 - 13) at TORONTO (10 - 6) - 11/28/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 8-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (10 - 8) at NEW YORK (8 - 8) - 11/28/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 38-57 ATS (-24.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 2-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (9 - 7) at MIAMI (5 - 11) - 11/28/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (9 - 8) at MINNESOTA (5 - 11) - 11/28/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 78-99 ATS (-30.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (9 - 7) at MEMPHIS (11 - 6) - 11/28/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 44-71 ATS (-34.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 153-192 ATS (-58.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 240-193 ATS (+27.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (10 - 7) at GOLDEN STATE (15 - 2) - 11/28/2016, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/28

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/28

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