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Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/27

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  • Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/27

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, November 27

    Good Luck on day #332
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Six most popular picks in Week 12 of the Westgate Super Contest

    — Tennessee Titans, -4.5 (514)

    — Atlanta Falcons, -4 (480)

    — Washington Redskins +7 (405)— W

    — Baltimore Ravens -4 (387)

    — Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 (380)

    — Oakland Raiders -3 (379)

    Season record: 23-43-2

    Latenight Update: Iona wins Alaskan Shootout, 75-73 over Nevada

    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

    13) Ohio State 30, Michigan 27 OT— Urban Meyer is a walking advertisement for hypertension. Please smile now and then; he was like that in his year on TV too, totally humorless. He made broadcast partner Chris Spielman sound like Carrot Top and Spielman is no barrel of laughs, either. Meyer must be a joy to be around every day. Great coach, wins a ton of games, but if you do not enjoy it, what good is it?

    Wolverines fumbled in red zone, threw a pick-6, they’ll be sick about this game for months, maybe years. Not sure how Ohio State can make a 4-team national playoff if they couldn’t make a 2-team playoff in their own league, but I could be wrong about that.

    12) Colorado 27, Utah 22— Last 8 years, Buffs were 11-58 in conference games; they are now in the Pac-12 title game against Washington next Friday.

    11 and 58 for eight years. 8-1 this year. Tremendous coaching job by Mike MacIntyre.

    11) LSU 54, Texas A&M 39— I’m trying to process this: LSU fired Les Miles and replaced him with freakin’ Ed Orgeron, who is beloved by people around him but went 10-25 in three years as head coach at Ole Miss (3-21 in SEC games!!!!). If you’re an LSU fan and read the book Meat Market, about Orgeron’s recruiting efforts at Ole Miss, you’re probably a little queasy today. Maybe a lot queasy.

    10) Two scores from around the country Saturday:
    Pittsburgh 76, Syracuse 61
    South Carolina 64, Syracuse 50

    One of these was a football game, one was a basketball game. Neither was good for the Orange.

    When college football has its Signing Day in February, the first thing I’m going to look at is how any defensive players Dino Babers signs for Syracuse- they need a lot of them.

    9) Kentucky 41, Louisville 38— Lamar Jackson fumbled on the Kentucky 10 with under 2:00 left in a tie game; Cardinals lost their last two games, allowing 77 points. This snaps a five-game winning streak against their in-state rivals.

    8) Memphis 48, Houston 44— Coach Herman gets really rich in Austin, Cougars players get to go to the Boca Raton Bowl or the Bahamas Bowl, not exactly what they expected after starting this season with an upset of Oklahoma.

    You can do worse than a few days in the Bahamas, but a New Year’s Day bowl was what they wanted.

    7) TCU 31, Texas 9— Charlie Strong gets $10.5M to go away after Texas told him to take a hike with three straight losses to TCU and a 16-21 record in three years with the Longhorns.

    6) USC 45, Notre Dame 27— Trojans scored two TD’s in 0:17 span of second quarter, one on a punt return, one on a pick-6. Adoree’ Jackson scored three TDs and he is mostly a DB. Late at night, while I’ve been typing this, there is stuff on TV about Brian Kelly looking for a new job.

    I’m guessing the Notre Dame people will write him a very nice letter of recommendation if he wants to leave.

    5) Navy 75, SMU 31— Middies ran for 496 yards, have now scored 141 points in their last two games, all while throwing 14 passes. Wouldn’t want to be the team Navy plays in a bowl; going to be a long afternoon for whoever that is.

    4) California 36, UCLA 10— Vincent Rivera is a Cal WR and Ron Rivera’s nephew; Coach Rivera was on the field for Senior Day ceremonies. Ron Rivera’s Panthers play in nearby Oakland today; think Carolina requested to be in the Bay Area this weekend, or was this just a really fortunate coincidence?

    3) Idaho 38, South Alabama 31– I’m pretty sure this is the Vandals’ last year of I-A football and they’re going to a bowl game; good for them. Idaho’s QB is Matt Linehan, whose dad Scott is OC for the Dallas Cowboys. Been a terrific year for both father and son.

    2) Vanderbilt 45, Tennessee 34— Commodores become bowl eligible with this win; they actually won their last two bowls, by 14-17 points. Vandy is now 3-2 in its last five games vs Tennessee, after a 1-14 stretch against the Vols.

    This is where I’m supposed to write something unkind about Vols’ coach Butch Jones, but I’ll politely decline. I’m guessing he’ll take enough grief on talk radio for the next nine months or so.

    1— Florida State 31, Florida 13— Seminoles didn’t have Senior Night at their last home game, they had it when they played Boston College; Jimbo Fisher didn’t want any distractions for any of the real important games, like this one.

    Florida State defense had allowed 450+ TY in five of last nine games before this one, but they held Florida to 191 yards and 0-12 on third down conversions. Great night for the Seminole defense.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Long Sheet

      Sunday, November 27


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      CLEVELAND (12 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 12) - 11/27/2016, 1:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CLEVELAND is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
      PHILADELPHIA is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
      PHILADELPHIA is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons.
      PHILADELPHIA is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
      PHILADELPHIA is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      PHILADELPHIA is 109-151 ATS (-57.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PHILADELPHIA is 7-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
      CLEVELAND is 7-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      DENVER (6 - 10) at PHOENIX (5 - 12) - 11/27/2016, 3:35 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PHOENIX is 4-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
      PHOENIX is 4-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      SACRAMENTO (6 - 10) at BROOKLYN (4 - 11) - 11/27/2016, 6:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SACRAMENTO is 29-46 ATS (-21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
      BROOKLYN is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      BROOKLYN is 4-0 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
      BROOKLYN is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MILWAUKEE (6 - 8) at ORLANDO (6 - 10) - 11/27/2016, 6:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ORLANDO is 6-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
      MILWAUKEE is 5-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      LA CLIPPERS (14 - 3) at INDIANA (8 - 9) - 11/27/2016, 6:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      LA CLIPPERS are 248-298 ATS (-79.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
      LA CLIPPERS are 212-263 ATS (-77.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
      INDIANA is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      INDIANA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      INDIANA is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
      LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NEW ORLEANS (6 - 11) at DALLAS (2 - 13) - 11/27/2016, 7:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      NEW ORLEANS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
      DALLAS is 308-254 ATS (+28.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
      NEW ORLEANS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
      DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
      DALLAS is 56-82 ATS (-34.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      DALLAS is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
      DALLAS is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      HOUSTON (10 - 6) at PORTLAND (9 - 9) - 11/27/2016, 9:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PORTLAND is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
      HOUSTON is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
      PORTLAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
      PORTLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PORTLAND is 5-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
      PORTLAND is 4-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ATLANTA (10 - 6) at LA LAKERS (8 - 9) - 11/27/2016, 9:35 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      LA LAKERS is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
      ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Sunday, November 27


        Cleveland won six of last seven games, is 3-1 on road (2-2 as road favorite); under is 4-0 in their road games. 76ers lost last two games by 5-16 points; they’re 7-4 as home underdogs. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Cavaliers won their last seven games with Philly but are 1-7 vs spread in last eight series games. Cleveland won its last three visits here, by 7-1-10 points. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

        Denver lost its last three road games by 1-20-25 points; they’re 5-3 vs spread on road, but last SU road win was Nov 6. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Phoenix lost six of its last eight games; they’re 2-4 at home, 3-3 vs spread. Under is 4-1 in their last five games. Nuggets won last three games with Phoenix by 8-18-16 points; under is 4-2 in last six series games. Denver won/covered once in last four visits to desert.

        Brooklyn lost its last six games (0-5-1 vs spread); six of its last seven games went over. Nets are 3-4 at home, 4-2 as a home underdog. Sacramento is 2-5 on road, both SU/ATS; five of their last six games went over the total. Nets won seven of last nine games with Sacramento (8-1 vs spread); Kings lost last four trips to Brooklyn (0-4 vs spread). Last four series games went over the total.

        Milwaukee lost four of last five games; they’re 1-4 on road, both SU/ATS. Four of Bucks’ last five games stayed under total. Orlando lost last three games by 4-5-3 points; they’re 4-5 at home, 1-2 as a home underdog. Last six Magic games stayed under the total. Home side won six of last seven Milwaukee-Orlando games; Bucks lost by 24-9 points in last two visits here. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

        Clippers won four of their last five games, are 7-1 on road, 3-3 as a road favorite. Eight of last nine LA games went over total. Pacers lost three of their last four home games, are 6-4 at home, 1-2 as home underdogs. Under is 6-2 in Indiana’s last eight games. Clippers won three of last four games with Indiana; LA won three of its last four visits here. Under is 3-0-1 in last four series games.

        New Orleans won four of last five games, they’re 2-6 on road, 0-0 as road favorites. Three of last four Pelican games went over total. Mavericks lost their last eight games (1-7 vs spread); they’re 1-4 at home, 0-3 as home underdogs. Last three Dallas games went over total. Dallas won seven of last ten games with New Orleans; four of last five series games stayed under total. Pelicans lost five of last six visits to Dallas (3-3 vs spread).

        Rockets won four of last five games, are 6-4 on road, 2-1 as road favorites. Over is 3-1-1 in last five Houston games. Portland lost five of last seven games; they’re 5-3 at home, 0-2 as home underdogs. Houston won its last two games with Portland by 14-17 points, but Rockets lost three of last four visits here, in series where home team won seven of last ten series games. Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.

        Hawks lost four of last five games, are 4-4 on road, 3-5 vs spread. Last seven Atlanta games stayed under the total. Lakers lost four of last five games, but their last two were both against the Warriors. LA is 5-4 at home, 4-4-1 vs spread. Over is 10-4 in their last 14 games. Lakers lost three of last four games with Atlanta; three of those four games stayed under total. Hawks won last two games against the Lakers here, by 29-5 points.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Sunday, November 27


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          1:00 PM
          CLEVELAND vs. PHILADELPHIA
          Cleveland is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
          Cleveland is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home
          Philadelphia is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games

          3:30 PM
          DENVER vs. PHOENIX
          Denver is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Phoenix
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
          Phoenix is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Denver
          The total has gone OVER in 10 of Phoenix's last 14 games

          6:00 PM
          MILWAUKEE vs. ORLANDO
          Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
          Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
          Orlando is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games
          Orlando is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

          6:00 PM
          LA CLIPPERS vs. INDIANA
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of the LA Clippers last 9 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games at home

          6:00 PM
          SACRAMENTO vs. BROOKLYN
          Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
          Sacramento is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games
          Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

          7:00 PM
          NEW ORLEANS vs. DALLAS
          New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Dallas
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
          Dallas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home

          9:00 PM
          HOUSTON vs. PORTLAND
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
          Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
          Portland is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games
          Portland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

          9:30 PM
          ATLANTA vs. LA LAKERS
          Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
          Atlanta is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
          LA Lakers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home
          LA Lakers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Dunkel

            Sunday, November 27


            Atlanta @ LA Lakers

            Game 715-716
            November 27, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Atlanta
            114.544
            LA Lakers
            117.419
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            LA Lakers
            by 3
            226
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Atlanta
            by 4
            212 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            LA Lakers
            (+4); Over

            Houston @ Portland


            Game 713-714
            November 27, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Houston
            125.827
            Portland
            116.880
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Houston
            by 9
            227
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Houston
            by 2 1/2
            223
            Dunkel Pick:
            Houston
            (-2 1/2); Over

            New Orleans @ Dallas


            Game 711-712
            November 27, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            New Orleans
            115.409
            Dallas
            113.791
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            New Orleans
            by 1 1/2
            191
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            New Orleans
            by 4 1/2
            200
            Dunkel Pick:
            Dallas
            (+4 1/2); Under

            LA Clippers @ Indiana


            Game 709-710
            November 27, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            LA Clippers
            130.946
            Indiana
            112.492
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            LA Clippers
            by 18 1/2
            205
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            LA Clippers
            by 10
            209 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            LA Clippers
            (-10); Under

            Milwaukee @ Orlando


            Game 707-708
            November 27, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Milwaukee
            119.368
            Orlando
            110.404
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Milwaukee
            by 9
            186
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Milwaukee
            by 1
            196
            Dunkel Pick:
            Milwaukee
            (-1); Under

            Sacramento @ Brooklyn


            Game 705-706
            November 27, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Sacramento
            112.413
            Brooklyn
            114.398
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Brooklyn
            by 2
            212
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Sacramento
            by 4 1/2
            217 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Brooklyn
            (+4 1/2); Under

            Denver @ Phoenix


            Game 703-704
            November 27, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Denver
            115.909
            Phoenix
            114.507
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Denver
            by 1 1/2
            224
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Phoenix
            by 1 1/2
            215 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Denver
            (+1 1/2); Over

            Cleveland @ Philadelphia


            Game 701-702
            November 27, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Cleveland
            127.070
            Philadelphia
            117.579
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Cleveland
            by 9 1/2
            216
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Cleveland
            by 12 1/2
            209 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Philadelphia
            (+12 1/2); Over

            Comment

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