Announcement

**Udog** · 11-26-2016, 08:05 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

— Baylor 66, Louisville 63— Bears came back from down 18 to win Battle of Atlantis- they’re very athletic and very underrated.

— Temple 81, West Virginia 77— Owls have depleted roster but just beat Florida State/West Virginia on consecutive days. Fran Dunphy is a very good coach.

— Iona/Nevada already played once this month, will meet again in the finals of the Alaskan Shootout. Nevada won first meeting 91-76 in Reno Sunday night.

— Butler came from behind and beat Arizona 69-65 in the finals of the Continental Tire tourney at Orleans Hotel in Las Vegas.

— Iowa State/Gonzaga will meet in the finals of Advocate tourney in Orlando Sunday.

— Texas A&M/UCLA will meet in the finals of the Wooden Legacy tournament Sunday at the Honda Center in Anaheim.

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Midnight musings……..

13) Memphis 48, Houston 44— This coaching carousel stuff in college football is terribly unfair to the players playing now. Houston Cougars beat Oklahoma/Louisville this year, but every time they win a game, speculation starts about coach Herman’s next job.

Houston has now lost to Navy-Memphis-SMU; what should have been a great year will now be a very good one- they’re going to have a new coach next year. Such are the realities of major college football. Life changes quickly.; have to win as much as you can while you can

12) So the latest Herman update is that LSU will probably keep Ed Orgeron if Herman goes to Texas and Charlie Strong will keep his job if Herman goes to LSU. We forget that coaches have assistant coaches and everyone has families and a lot of people are affected by this stuff.

11) Miami Ohio’s football team started this season 0-6, obviously a disaster, but the Red Hawks recovered and finished the regular season at 6-6 and bowl eligible. Good for the kids and the coaches who didn’t quit on the season- you don’t see that very often.

10) Pirates signed utility guy Sean Rodriguez for two years, $11.5M. Versatile guy; seems like every team has a guy like him now.

9) I mentioned last week how Long Beach State hoop coach Dan Molson makes $600K a year; well the 49ers are now 1-6 this year and lost to Binghamton/Florida Gulf Coast the last two days. Not exactly $600K worth of coaching.

8) ESPN is televising the Wooden tournament from Cal State-Fullerton this weekend; during UCLA’s game Thursday night, they did something that bugged me. During the game, reporter Jeff Goodman interviews Lonzo Ball’s dad in the stands. Why?

Since when do kid’s parents get interviewed during the game? Why is this a good idea?

7) I’m convinced that NFL teams should throw more towards their sideline, especially on longer passes; you see lot of flags thrown when guys on the sideline scream for a call— you yell loud enough, long enough, you’re going to get one (or two) calls.

6) Long time ago, Ole Miss hoop coach Andy Kennedy was a good player; he took recruiting trips across the south, one of which was to Georgia Tech, where his player/host was Craig Neal, now the coach at New Mexico. Kennedy wound up playing for NC State and later UAB.

Apparently the two guys remained friends thru the years, so when Neal’s son Cullen transferred away from his dad’s team to a place where the home fans were less hostile (seriously) he went to play for his dad’s friend Kennedy at Ole Miss. Very good get for the Rebels.

5) James Madison fired coach Matt Brady LY, despite the Dukes going 40-25 the last two years; they made the NCAAs in 2013. No sure why he was fired but this year JMU is 0-5 and they’re looking stupid for firing Brady, a mostly successful coach. None of JMU’s losses are to a top 100 team, so it doesn’t bode well for their conference games, either.

4) Steve Levy/Brian Greise have been a very good announce combo on college football games this year and Justin Kutcher does well on FS1, mostly with Bill Raftery. Some people just have great chemistry together and the broadcast becomes us listening to two guys talking about ball, which is ideal and what we want. No shtick, just conversation.

3) Virginia Tech has a very good point guard (Justin Robinson) which is why the Hokies are 24-16 the last year-plus, a marked improvement. Robinson played 76 of a possible 80:00 in Tech’s first two games out at Fullerton. They’ll need to get him a little more rest in ACC play.

2) Texas Tech 54, Baylor 35— Wow the wheels really fell off for Baylor; they’re 6-5 and headed straight south, losing five in a row after a 6-0 start. Bears allowed 47.6 pts/game during the skid. You wonder if they’ll even bother going to a bowl game.

1— I was lucky enough to put myself thru college as a student manager of a small college hoop team; it was mostly great fun. One night we’re playing a local rival; one of their players dives for a loose ball and crashes into the scorer’s table, about ten feet from me on the bench. Great effort by the kid, but he didn’t save the ball. Looked like he could even be hurt.

His coach was a pretty intense guy; he comes over, I figure the coach is going to help the kid up, see if he is OK. He looks down at the kid, who is slowly getting up and screams “Next time, get it!!!!” and storms away.

Not a great moment, but it was part of why we almost always beat them. How about patting the kid on the back for a great try? No bueno.

**Udog** · 11-26-2016, 08:11 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, November 26

New York beat the Hornets in OT at home last nite; Anthony played 41:00, scored 35 points. Charlotte lost its last four games, by 5-15-5-2 points; they’re 4-4 at home, 3-1 as home favorites. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. New York won five of last six games but lost last three on road- they’re 1-5 on road. Knicks lost six of last eight games with Charlotte. Underdogs covered seven of last nine series games.

San Antonio won its last eight games, covering three of last four; they’re 9-0 on road (7-1 as road favorite); Spurs’ last six games went over the total. SA won eight of last ten games with Washington, but lost last two visits here, by 8-3 points. Under is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Wizards won three of last four games, are 4-4 at home (3-5 vs spread). Four of last six Washington games went over the total.

Detroit won its last two games but is 1-7 on road, 1-5 as a road underdog; under is 11-5 in their last 16 games (4-2 last six on road). Thunder is 7-3 in its last ten games with Detroit; Pistons lost four of last five visits here (3-2 vs spread). Last five series games stayed under the total. Oklahoma City won an OT game in high altitude in Denver last nite, snapping 3-game skid; Thunder lost four of last six home games, is 5-4 as a home favorite.

Miami won 90-81 in Memphis last night; Grizzlies won four of last six games with Heat (4-1-1 vs spread in last six). Grizzlies lost three of last four visits here- they won six of its last seven games overall (five wins on road). Memphis is 3-3 as a road underdog; four of their last five games stayed under total. Heat is 3-2 in its last five games; they’re 3-6 at home, 2-2 as a home favorite. Under is 8-3 in last 11 Miami games.

Warriors won seven of their last eight games with Minnesota but T’Wolves covered five of the last six meetings; Minnesota won its last visit here, is 4-1 vs spread in last five trips to Oakland. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Golden State won its last ten games, winning last three by 37-43-24 points; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as a road favorite. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

NBA

Saturday, November 26

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. CHARLOTTE
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New York's last 15 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 10 games

7:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. WASHINGTON
San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games on the road
Washington is 3-16 ATS in its last 19 games when playing San Antonio
Washington is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games when playing San Antonio

8:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Memphis's last 25 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Miami is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games at home
Oklahoma City is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

10:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Minnesota's last 23 games when playing Golden State
Minnesota is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 10 games
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 11-26-2016, 09:11 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, November 26

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NEW YORK (8 - 7) at CHARLOTTE (8 - 7) - 11/26/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 6-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (13 - 3) at WASHINGTON (5 - 9) - 11/26/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 963-839 ATS (+40.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 56-42 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 82-48 ATS (+29.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 323-253 ATS (+44.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 319-262 ATS (+30.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 288-234 ATS (+30.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 386-309 ATS (+46.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 367-437 ATS (-113.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 104-147 ATS (-57.7 Units) in November games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (8 - 9) at OKLAHOMA CITY (9 - 8) - 11/26/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in November games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 160-120 ATS (+28.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (10 - 6) at MIAMI (5 - 10) - 11/26/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (5 - 10) at GOLDEN STATE (14 - 2) - 11/26/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 30-46 ATS (-20.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 66-52 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 113-85 ATS (+19.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 65-45 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 66-47 ATS (+14.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 54-37 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 11-26-2016, 10:56 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, November 26

Minnesota @ Golden State

Game 509-510
November 26, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
115.260
Golden State
137.279
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 22
235
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 13 1/2
219
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-13 1/2); Over

Memphis @ Miami

Game 507-508
November 26, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
125.142
Miami
116.290
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 9
182
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 2 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-2 1/2); N/A

Detroit @ Oklahoma City

Game 505-506
November 26, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
117.219
Oklahoma City
125.047
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 8
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 4
206
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-4); Under

San Antonio @ Washington

Game 503-504
November 26, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
126.798
Washington
114.506
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 12 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 6
204
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-6); Over

New York @ Charlotte

Game 501-502
November 26, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
112.939
Charlotte
126.996
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 14
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 6
206
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-6); Over

Announcement

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/26

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/26

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