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Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/22

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  • Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/22

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, November 22

    Good Luck on day #327 of 2016!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Six interesting college basketball scores from Monday:

    — Wisconsin 74, Tennessee 62- Badgers were up 17 early; Vols caught up early in second half, went head for a while, but the more veteran team prevailed.

    — Northwestern 77, Texas 58– Could be a huge win for Wildcats, who have never been in NCAA tournament.

    — Bucknell 75, Vanderbilt 72— Oy. Bryce Drew’s old team (Valparaiso) is better than his new one (Vandy). Could be a long winter in Nashville.

    — Creighton 86, Ole Miss 77— High-octane Bluejays win Paradise Jam.

    — Oklahoma State 98, UConn 90— Brad Underwood is a really good coach. UConn is 1-3.

    — Winthrop 84, Illinois 80 OT— Losses like this get coaches fired.

    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

    13) Watching the Maui Classic Monday, got to hear Bill Walton do two games, along with Roxy Bernstein on ESPN2. Walton is a classic, a true original. Here is a partial list of the things he was discussing during the Tennessee-Wisconsin and Oregon-Georgetown games:

    — Scrabble
    — Grateful Dead and his love of music
    — the Dakota Pipeline (Roxy got him off this subject pretty quickly)
    — Banana bread
    — the world record for amount of time holding your breath (24 minutes?)
    — the origin of Georgetown’s mascot (Hoya)
    — Davey Crockett (he is from Tennessee)

    Walton does a lot of prep; I learn something new every time I listen to him, just that often it has zero to do with basketball. He is upbeat and fun to listen to.

    12) Get well soon to Arizona Cardinals’ coach Bruce Arians, who was hospitalized Monday with chest pains. Original prognosis was apparently positive; hopefully he’ll be back on the sidelines very soon.

    11) NHL’s Columbus Blue Jackets have a player named Matt Calvert, who got 36 stitches in his face during a game with the Rangers last week. Mr Calvert got his stitches, came back into the game and wound up scoring the game-winning goal. Hockey players are tough.

    10) Ryan Fitzpatrick is back at QB for the Jets this week; they play New England Sunday, in a game that was supposed to the Sunday night game until NBC flexed out of it and into the Chiefs-Broncos game.

    9) LSU has to hire a football coach soon; Les Miles leaves big shoes to fill, but rumors are out there that big-name candidates are shying away from LSU, because AD Joe Alleva has a bad rap amongst coaches and administrators. People are hesitant to work for a guy who fired a coach with a record as good as Miles has.

    8) Bears QB Jay Cutler may be out for the year with a shoulder issue; Matt Barkley is the backup right now— he’s played in five NFL games, but has never started one.

    7) Quick basketball story: Long time ago I’m watching a high school basketball tournament with some friends; this is the first night of the tournament. Best player on the team that is losing gets his layup blocked, and he goes down in a heap, pounding the floor in pain. Three people carry him off and help him to the locker room.

    One of my friends speaks up: “He isn’t hurt; his pride is hurt. He was getting his ass kicked and didn’t want to play anymore.” It was a bold statement bordering on rude, but we’re there again the next night, and the kid is out there against a lousy team, scores 30 points without a limp.

    My friend was right; the kid had begged out of the game the first night. Go figure.

    6) UCLA’s football team is not having a great year, in part because they had eight kids drafted by the NFL in April, the most Bruins picked in one draft since 1988.

    5) Jim Grobe is the Interim football coach at Baylor this year, where one of the two best players they’ve had is Robert Griffin III. It is ironical that RGIII’s first game at Baylor was against Wake Forest, where the coach at the time was……Jim Grobe.

    4) Mexico City is twice as big a city as Houston and Oakland….combined.

    3) West Virginia got spanked at home by Oklahoma Saturday, but RB Justin Crawford ran ball 24 times for 330 yards, creating 11 missed tackles. He also fumbled near the goal line, which hurt West Virginia when they still had a chance to win, but 13.8 yds/carry is damn good.

    2) FS1 (channel 219 on DirecTV) mainly televises just Big East basketball, which means you get to see a lot of low or mid-majors from now until Christmas, since Big East teams mostly take it easy with their pre-conference schedules.

    It is fun to watch how low-major teams who are usually getting whacked use the game as an education, calling timeouts to teach certain situations; that’ll hopefully pay off for them when their conference play starts in January. But there are other reasons these games are played, too……

    1) Speaking of which, I may not have these numbers exactly right, but if not I’m close; I got into a Twitter dialogue about this with ESPN’s Seth Greenberg last year.

    Long Beach State pays basketball coach Dan Molson roughly $200K a year, but he actually makes around $600K, lot of money for a guy who has taken the 49ers to one NCAA tourney in his nine years in Long Beach. Where does the extra $400K come from?

    Here are Long Beach State’s first five D-I games this season, all on the road, all coming with sizable guarantee checks attached: Wichita State-North Carolina-Louisville-UCLA-Washington. The extra $400K comes out of the guarantee money Long Beach gets for playing these games.

    Long Beach has lost the first four of those this month, allowing 96.8 pts per game, with 26 points the closest loss of the four. Wonder what the players think about getting their butts kicked, just so their coach can fatten his bank account?

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Dunkel

      Tuesday, November 22


      Oklahoma City @ LA Lakers

      Game 507-508
      November 22, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Oklahoma City
      123.530
      LA Lakers
      114.952
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Oklahoma City
      by 8 1/2
      210
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Oklahoma City
      by 2
      221
      Dunkel Pick:
      Oklahoma City
      (-2); Under

      Chicago @ Denver


      Game 505-506
      November 22, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Chicago
      121.598
      Denver
      122.755
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Denver
      by 1
      200
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Chicago
      by 2
      207 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Denver
      (+2); Under

      Portland @ New York


      Game 503-504
      November 22, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Portland
      120.890
      New York
      116.307
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Portland
      by 4 1/2
      228
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      New York
      by 1 1/2
      217
      Dunkel Pick:
      Portland
      (+1 1/2); Over

      New Orleans @ Atlanta


      Game 501-502
      November 22, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      New Orleans
      112.691
      Atlanta
      124.285
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Atlanta
      by 11 1/2
      215
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Atlanta
      by 7 1/2
      209 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Atlanta
      (-7 1/2); Over





      NBA
      Long Sheet

      Tuesday, November 22


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NEW ORLEANS (4 - 10) at ATLANTA (9 - 4) - 11/22/2016, 7:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      NEW ORLEANS is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
      NEW ORLEANS is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
      ATLANTA is 131-99 ATS (+22.1 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
      ATLANTA is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      ATLANTA is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ATLANTA is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
      ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PORTLAND (8 - 7) at NEW YORK (6 - 7) - 11/22/2016, 7:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PORTLAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      NEW YORK is 2-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
      PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CHICAGO (9 - 5) at DENVER (5 - 8) - 11/22/2016, 9:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      DENVER is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
      DENVER is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      DENVER is 4-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      DENVER is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      OKLAHOMA CITY (8 - 6) at LA LAKERS (7 - 7) - 11/22/2016, 10:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-55 ATS (-23.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-46 ATS (-20.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      LA LAKERS are 128-86 ATS (+33.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 75-51 ATS (+18.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
      LA LAKERS are 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      LA LAKERS are 130-166 ATS (-52.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Tuesday, November 22


      New Orleans won three of last four games; they’re 1-5 on road, 2-3-1 as a road underdog. Under is 5-1 in their road games. Atlanta lost last two games, but won/covered six of seven home games- their last four games stayed under the total. Hawks won three of last four games with New Orleans; over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Pelicans lost last two visits here, by 9-8 points.

      Portland lost three of last four games; they’re 4-4 on road, 1-2 as road underdogs. Over is 2-0-1 in their last three games. New York won/covered its last four home games; they’re 4-1 as home favorites. Under is 3-1 in their last four home games. Knicks lost seven of last eight games with Portland (2-6 vs spread); four of last six series games stayed under. Trailblazers won their last four visits to Manhattan.

      Chicago won five of its last six games (6-0 vs spread); they’re 5-4 on road, 1-0 as road favorite. Three of their last four games stayed under total. Nuggets are 2-4 at home, 1-1 as home underdogs; over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Home side won last six Chicago-Denver games; over is 7-2 in last nine series games. Bulls lost their last five visits to Denver.

      Thunder lost five of last seven games, are 2-2 on road, 0-1 as a road favorite. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Lakers lost three of last four games, are 4-3 at home (1-3 in last four home games). Last five LA games went over the total. Lakers lost their last nine games with Oklahoma City (2-7 vs spread); four of last five series tilts stayed under total. Thunder won last four visits here against the Lakers (2-2 vs spread).




      NBA

      Tuesday, November 22


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      7:30 PM
      PORTLAND vs. NEW YORK
      Portland is 5-11-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against New York
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing New York
      The total has gone UNDER in 14 of New York's last 18 games at home
      New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

      7:30 PM
      NEW ORLEANS vs. ATLANTA
      New Orleans is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New Orleans's last 17 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
      Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
      Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

      9:00 PM
      CHICAGO vs. DENVER
      Chicago is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Denver
      Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
      Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
      Denver is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home

      10:30 PM
      OKLAHOMA CITY vs. LA LAKERS
      Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
      LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Short Sheet

        Tuesday, November 22


        New Orleans at Atlanta, 7:35 PM ET
        New Orleans: 12-26 ATS off an upset win as an underdog
        Atlanta: 25-12 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 200

        Portland at New York, 7:35 PM ET
        Portland: 2-12 ATS in road games off a road blowout win by 20 points or more
        New York: 25-14 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog

        Chicago at Denver, 9:05 PM ET
        Chicago: 5-16 ATS in road games after a combined score of 205 points or more
        Denver: 19-8 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games

        Oklahoma City at LA Lakers, 10:35 PM ET
        Oklahoma City: 9-26 ATS after a non-conference game
        Los Angeles: 15-5 ATS after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Tuesday, November 22


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Tuesday’s NBA Game of the Day: Thunder at Lakers
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          The Lakers certainly would like to see D'Angelo Russell on the court as they chase around Russell Westbrook and attempt to keep him in check.

          Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Lakers (+2.5, 220)

          The Los Angeles Lakers might not know until close to game time whether or not they will have the services of point guard D'Angelo Russell when they host Russell Westbrook and the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Russell is listed as questionable due to a sore left knee and didn't participate in Monday's practice.

          The Lakers certainly would like to see D'Angelo Russell on the court as they chase around Russell Westbrook and attempt to keep him in check. Russell missed Friday's game with the San Antonio Spurs due to the ailment and then tried to play through the soreness during Sunday's 118-110 loss to the Chicago Bulls but was highly ineffective. Westbrook is hard to handle for fully healthy point guards and is coming off his fifth triple-double of the season. Westbrook had 35 points, 15 assists and 11 rebounds in Sunday's 115-111 loss to the Indiana Pacers and sharply rebuked his own quality of play afterward.

          TV:
          10:30 p.m. ET, NBA TV, FSN Oklahoma, Spectrum SportsNet (Los Angeles)

          LINE HISTORY:
          The Thunder opened as two-point road favorites but early Tuesday morning that number was bumped up slightly to 2.5. The total hit the betting board at 221 but came down a full point to 220. Check out the complete line history here.

          INJURY REPORT:


          Thunder - PG S. Christon (Out Indefinitely, concussion), PG C. Payne (Late November, foot).

          Lakers - C I. Zubac (Probable, ankle), PG D. Russell (Questionable, knee).

          POWER RANKINGS:
          Thunder (-8.0) - Lakers (-6.5) + home court (-3) = Lakers -1.5

          ABOUT THE THUNDER (8-6 SU, 6-8 ATS, 6-8 O/U):
          Westbrook was a porous 13-of-34 from the field versus the Pacers and was highly disappointed with his showing and the performance of his team. "We just wasn't ready," Westbrook told reporters. "Just wasn't ready, starting with myself. I could have did a lot of things better, man. Got to come out and be ready to play. I felt like I let my guys down all-around. I've got to be better." Westbrook scored 30 or more points in each of the past five games and is averaging 33 points, 12.2 assists and 11.2 rebounds during the stretch.

          ABOUT THE LAKERS (7-7 SU, 8-5-1 ATS, 10-4 O/U):
          Russell was limited to 23 minutes against the Bulls and had just eight points on 3-of-11 shooting. Veteran point guard Jose Calderon could be called on if Russell can't play despite averaging just 8.8 minutes per game, and combo guard Jordan Clarkson also would figure in at the point. Clarkson tallied just five points on 1-of-12 shooting in the loss to Chicago after scoring 20 or more points in three of the previous six games.

          TRENDS:


          * Thunder are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.
          * Lakers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
          * Under is 7-1 in Thunder last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
          * Over is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 home games.
          * Thunder are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

          CONSENSUS:
          The road favorite Thunder are picking up 66 percent of the early action from users. The over is getting 61 percent of the totals action.


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment

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