Announcement

**Udog** · 11-21-2016, 09:23 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks this week in the Westgate Super Contest:

6) Raiders -5.5 (430)

5) Buccaneers +7.5 (434)- W

4) Vikings even (400)- W

3) Titans +3 (509)- L

2) Dolphins -2.5 (516)- W

1) Ravens +7 (596)- L

season record: 20-44-2

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Colts 24, Titans 17— Indy led 21-0 19:35 into game, held on for dear life; they’ve now won 11 in row over the Titans and 24 of last 28. Tennessee lost its last nine visits here. Indy stays within 1.5 games of Texans in AFC South. Colts have now covered 10 of their last 12 post-bye games, eight in row when favored.

Lions 26, Jaguars 19— Detroit has still trailed every game this year in 4th quarter; all ten of their games were decided by 7 or less points- they actually covered this game on a late FG. Jax lost its last five games; in three games since changing OC’s, Jaguars lost by 5-3-7 points, scoring 18 pts/game while turning ball over nine times on 34 possessions.

Buccaneers 19, Chiefs 17— Tampa Bay is 4-1 on road, 1-4 at home; go figure- they converted 11-16 on 3rd down which is huge in a low scoring game. KC had won 18 of previous 21 games, but in their last three games, have scored three offensive TDs on 30 drives, with nine FGAs. Bucs outgained KC by 99 yards.

Giants 22, Bears 16— Chicago led 16-9 at half, never scored again. Big Blue’s seven wins are by total of 27 points; their biggest win was 17-10 over Rams in London, when one of their two TD’s was scored by defense. Only one of ten Giant games was decided by more than 7 points. Chicago lost five of last six games, is 0-6 on road, 1-4 as a road dog, losing away games by 9-14-6-16-26-6 points.

Vikings 30, Cardinals 24— Minnesota had TD on both defense/special teams, now has six such TDs this year; they snap 4-game skid, are 4-1 at home are tied for first with Lions in NFC North. Arizona allowed 28.5 pts/game in losing three of first four road games, with only win at SF; Cardinals turned ball over eight times in last three games, is 0-2-1 this year in games with spread of 3 or less points.

Bills 16, Bengals 12— When Houston Texans were on Hard Knocks in 2015, Bill O’Brien said this to his team: “You’re a part of the most competitive business in the world.” There is such a fine line between winning/losing these games. One play, one bounce of the ball makes all the difference. Bengals are 1-4-1 in last six games and their season is in freefall.

Cowboys 27, Ravens 17— Baltimore had 136 penalty yards, Cowboys 45. Dallas won/covered nine games in row; Cowboys are 4-1 at home, 3-1 as home favorites, winning home games by 14-14-6-7 points, heading into a Thanksgiving game with their rivals from Washington. NFC East teams are now 16-7 vs spread outside their division. Meanwhile Joe Flacco is taking grief from former Ravens; we’re a fickle society.

Steelers 24, Browns 9— Not only is Cleveland terrible (outscored 70-17 in second half of last four games), they haven’t had their bye yet so they’re tired too. Browns are 1-6-1 vs spread in its last eight games; QB kessler got KO’d, so it is McCown’s turn to get pummeled. All five Steeler wins this year are by 8+ points (wins by 22-8-29-18-15 points).

Dolphins 14, Rams 10— On their first 11 drives, Miami ran 42 plays for 92 yards; they were totally inept. Trailing 10-0 with 6:40 left, they won game with drives of 77-75 yards on 15 plays (10.1 yards per play, with penalties added in). Dolphins have now won/covered five games in a row; playoff teams find a way to win, cruddy teams find a way to lose. Miami is only a game out of the Wild Card slot.

Patriots 30, 49ers 17— There were three 4:00 games Sunday; funny thing is, only one of the three were it didn’t rain was the game in Seattle. 49ers are now 6-20 since Jim Harbaugh took off for Michigan; they were 44-19-1 while he was with Niners. Maybe they should’ve kept him.

Seahawks 26, Eagles 15— Wilson looks like his old self (almost); speed of new RB Prosise (was WR in college) makes Seahawk offense lot more dangerous. Seattle is 5-0 at home this year, 2-3 as home favorites, winning at home by 2-19-2-6-11 points. Eagles lost five of last seven games after a 3-0 start; they lost last five road games, allowing 27.7 pts/game.

Redskins 42, Packers 24— Green Bay is in free fall, losing last four games while allowing 153 points, most they’ve allowed in any 4-game stretch since the year before Vince Lombardi came to Green Bay (1958)— Pack lost last four road games, by 3-1-22-18 points; their only road win was in opener at Jacksonville. Redskins are 6-1-1 in last eight games after an 0-2 start (two home losses).

Under is 11-2 in NFL games this weekend. There were 12 extra points missed yesterday; three of them in domes. Kicking is mental.

**Udog** · 11-21-2016, 09:38 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 21

Phoenix lost four of last five games; they’re 5-3 as road underdogs. Over is 10-1 in Suns’ last 11 games, 8-1 in their road games. Wizards lost four of last five games, are 3-3 at home, 3-2 as home favorites. Last four Washington games went over total. Washington is 5-3 in its last eight games with Phoenix; under is 8-1-1 in last ten series games. Suns won three of their last five visits here.

Warriors won their last seven games, are 4-4 as road favorites. Five of last six Golden State games went over. Pacers won in OT at OKC last night; they won three of last four games, are 6-2 at home, 1-1 as home underdogs. Four of last five Indiana games stayed under. Golden State won four of last five games with Indiana; over is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Warriors lost three of last five visits here.

Heat won its last two games, covered its last four; they’re 2-3 on road, 0-0 as road favorites. Under is 6-2 in last eight Miami games. Philly won its last three home games; they’re 6-2 as home underdogs. Over is 8-3 in Sixers’ last 11 games. Miami won its last five games with the 76ers (2-2-1 vs spread); last three series games here went over the total. Heat won last four visits here, by 10-4-18-15 points.

Charlotte is off to an 8-4 start; they’re 4-2 at home, 4-0 as home favorites. Memphis won/covered its last four games; they’re 3-3 on road, 2-3 as road underdogs. Four of their last six games went over total. Hornets won last two games with Memphis after losing six of previous seven meetings; over is 4-2 in last six series games. Charlotte covered last three series games; teams split last seven meetings here.

Detroit lost three in row, six of last eight games; they’re 5-1 SU at home, 0-0 as home dogs. Under is 7-2 in Pistons’ last nine games. Rockets won three of last four games, are 4-4 on road (1-1 as road favorites). Under is 4-2 in their last six games. Pistons won three of last four games with Houston; five of last six series games went over the total. Rockets lost by 13-11 points in last two visits here.

Orlando won three of its last four games; they’re 3-3 as road underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under. Milwaukee lost five of last six games; they’re 4-3 at home, 2-2 as home favorites. Over is 8-4 in their last twelve games. Home side won eight of last ten Orlando-Milwaukee games; Magic lost five of last six visits to Milwaukee (3-4 vs spread). Over is 3-1 in last four series games.

Boston won four of its last six games; they’re 2-4 on road, 2-1 as road favorites. Last six Celtic games stayed under the total. Minnesota is 3-3 at home, 0-2 as home underdogs; over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Home side won last eight Boston-Minnesota games; last three series games went over total. Celtics lost last four visits here, by 18-10-2-12 points.

Dallas lost its last five games (0-5 vs spread); under is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Mavericks are 2-5 as road underdogs. San Antonio is 3-3 at home, 2-4 as home favorite; four of their last six games stayed under the total. Spurs won their last five games with Dallas (4-1 vs spread); seven of last eight series games stayed under. Mavericks lost last five visits to Alamo (2-3 vs spread).

Toronto lost tough game in Sacramento last night; they’ve lost three of last four games, are 4-2 on road, 3-0 as road underdogs. Six of their last seven games went over total. Clippers are 0-3 vs spread in last three games; they’re 6-2 as home favorites; five of their last six games went over total. Clippers lost their last four games with Toronto (under 3-1); Raptors won by 12-11 in last two visits here.

**Udog** · 11-21-2016, 09:41 AM

NBA

Monday, November 21

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

7:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. WASHINGTON
Phoenix is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Phoenix

7:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. INDIANA
Golden State is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Golden State is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
Indiana is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games

7:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. MILWAUKEE
Orlando is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 9 games
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 9 games

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. MINNESOTA
Boston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 10 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing at home against Boston

8:30 PM
DALLAS vs. SAN ANTONIO
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 11 games
San Antonio is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

10:30 PM
TORONTO vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Toronto is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 6 games when playing Toronto

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**Udog** · 11-21-2016, 10:07 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, November 21

Toronto @ LA Clippers

Game 717-718
November 21, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
126.004
LA Clippers
127.152
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 1
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 8 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+8 1/2); Over

Dallas @ San Antonio

Game 715-716
November 21, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
115.805
San Antonio
120.856
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 5
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 9
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+9); N/A

Boston @ Minnesota

Game 713-714
November 21, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
115.974
Minnesota
121.005
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 5
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 2 1/2
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+2 1/2); Over

Orlando @ Milwaukee

Game 711-712
November 21, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
111.356
Milwaukee
118.796
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 7 1/2
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 5 1/2
202 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-5 1/2); Under

Houston @ Detroit

Game 709-710
November 21, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
122.930
Detroit
119.016
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 4
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
205
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-1 1/2); Under

Memphis @ Charlotte

Game 707-708
November 21, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
117.147
Charlotte
129.202
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 12
189
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 6
195
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-6); Under

Miami @ Philadelphia

Game 705-706
November 21, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
120.681
Philadelphia
113.782
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 7
192
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 4 1/2
198
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-4 1/2); Under

Golden State @ Indiana

Game 703-704
November 21, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
132.151
Indiana
114.585
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 17 1/2
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 12 1/2
219
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-12 1/2); Over

Phoenix @ Washington

Game 701-702
November 21, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
112.278
Washington
119.462
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 7
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 4 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-4 1/2); N/A

**Udog** · 11-21-2016, 10:10 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, November 21

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PHOENIX (4 - 10) at WASHINGTON (3 - 9) - 11/21/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (11 - 2) at INDIANA (7 - 7) - 11/21/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 120-94 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 110-85 ATS (+16.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 51-37 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (4 - 8) at PHILADELPHIA (3 - 10) - 11/21/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 116-151 ATS (-50.1 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 155-120 ATS (+23.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (8 - 5) at CHARLOTTE (8 - 4) - 11/21/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 238-191 ATS (+27.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 151-114 ATS (+25.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 43-70 ATS (-34.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 152-191 ATS (-58.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 2-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (8 - 5) at DETROIT (6 - 8) - 11/21/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 307-246 ATS (+36.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (6 - 7) at MILWAUKEE (5 - 7) - 11/21/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 145-106 ATS (+28.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 48-77 ATS (-36.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (7 - 6) at MINNESOTA (4 - 8) - 11/21/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (2 - 10) at SAN ANTONIO (10 - 3) - 11/21/2016, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (8 - 5) at LA CLIPPERS (12 - 2) - 11/21/2016, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-0 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-0 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/21

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/21

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