Announcement

**Udog** · 11-15-2016, 07:27 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

— Rob Gronkowski may have punctured a lung during Sunday night’s game with Seattle.

— Former UNC/Miami coach Butch Davis will be the next football coach at FIU.

— Bears WR Alshon Jeffrey gets a 4-game suspension for PED’s.

— Michigan QB Wilton Speight may be out for the year with a broken collarbone.

— Fresno State hired former Cal/CFL coach Jeff Tedford as its new coach; he was Aaron Rodgers’ college coach.

— Rams’ DE Robert Quinn checked himself into a hospital with a non-football illness; apparently the situation looks promising. Obviously, we pray that this situation is resolved quickly so Robert can have a long and healthy life.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) OK, so I go get Chinese take-out for lunch the other day; get the same exact thing every time (chicken fried rice, Dr Pepper) and the same woman takes my order every time. While I wait for the food, she goes outside to her car and gets something out of it.

The woman owns a brand-new, fully loaded white Mercedes SUV, a beautiful car; she works the counter at a take-out place in a strip ****, and she drives a bleepin’ Mercedes. What a country.

12) There have been three NFL QB’s this year who threw 4+ INTs in the 4th quarter of a game:

— Carson Palmer against Buffalo
— Ryan Fitzpatrick against the Chiefs
— Philip Rivers vs Miami two days ago

From 2012-2015, this didn’t happen. Not once.

11) Credit to Pete Carroll for going for two points after Seahawks went up 24-17 with about 4:00 left in Sunday night’s game; if they make it (they didn’t), Seattle is up nine points and game is almost in the bag. If they don’t make it, he still has a 7-point lead to protect.

Only other coach I’ve seen do this is the guy who coaches the Minnesota Gophers in college; he didn’t make it either, but his team also protected the lead and won the game.

10) I looked at my TV around 2:00 Sunday and the screen says: Tennessee 35, Green Bay 10 in the second quarter and I’m like, that makes no sense. Packers’ pass defense was terrible. Not like Marcus Mariota is Dan Fouts or anything.

9) I quoted this stat at the beginning of the NFL season and I’m doing it again:

The Jets’ last five coaches, in the first year with the Jets: 48-32, all either 9-7 or 10-6.

The Jets’ last five coaches, after the first year: 82-104.

I have no explanation for this.

8) Yale (+13) 98, Washington 90— Yale’s best player is out for the year, but they won this game anyway. On the road- they took 34 foul shots in a road game.

College basketball in November is wild, crazy- last year Western Illinois won at Wisconsin- the Leathernecks wound up 10-17, Badgers won two games in the NCAAs.

7) A’s traded 3B Danny Valencia to Seattle over the weekend for a minor leaguer; Valencia hit 17 HRs with a .346 OB% LY but he is 32, arbitration-eligible. so the A’s told him to take a hike, which is bad news for A’s fans (like me) but good news for Ryon Healy’s fantasy owners (like me). Young Healy stood up well in his first major league action last summer.

6) Teams ranked #2, #3 and #4 in college football all lost Saturday, first time that happened on the same day since 1985.

5) There no ugly wins. Ever. None. Bupkus.

4) In their last three games, Carolina Panthers have been outscored 40-12 in the second half.

3) President of the United States makes $400,000 a year; the minimum salary in the major leagues is $507,500.

2) I’ve said this before in this space, going back a couple years, so this is in no way a reaction to last week’s elections, but I’m adamant about this: “The person who gets the most votes should win the election.” The Electoral College should be done away with.

All men were created equal, remember that? One person, one vote and all that…….

1) Speaking of which, Oceanside, CA voters re-elected City Treasurer Gary Ernst to his post last week, but there is one small problem.

Mr Ernst passed away in September; he won the election by 6% anyway. RIP, sir.

**Udog** · 11-15-2016, 07:29 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, November 15

Cleveland won/covered five of last seven games with Toronto; four of last six series games stayed under total. Raptors lost last four visits to Cleveland (0-4 vs spread), losing games on road by 22-31-19-38 points. Toronto won six of its last seven games (over 5-2); they’re 2-0 as a road underdog this year. Cavaliers won eight of last nine games with three of last four staying under total; they’re 1-4 as a home favorite.

Miami won its last three games with Atlanta; five of last six series games stayed under the total. Hawks won three of last four visits to Miami- road team won five of last seven series games. Atlanta won its last four games, with last three going over total; Hawks are 2-1 on road, 1-0 as road favorite. Heat lost in Alamo last night; they’ve lost five in row, seven of last eight games. Miami is 1-4 at home, 0-2 as a home underdog.

Charlotte won its last five games with Minnesota; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Hornets won three of last four visits to Twin Cities. Charlotte lost its last two games after a 6-1 start; they are 3-1 on road, 1-1 as road favorites- over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Timberwolves are off to a 3-6 start; they’re 2-2 at home, 0-1 as a home underdog. Minnesota’s last four games all went over the total.

Portland won eight of last ten games with Chicago (7-3 vs spread); four of last five series games stayed under total. Bulls lost four of last five visits to Portland (2-3 vs spread). Chicago won three of its last four games; they’re 1-3 as a road underdog. Under is 4-1 in their road games this year. Trailblazers won five of their last six games; three of their last four went over the total. Portland is 2-2 as a home favorite.

Lakers won seven of last ten games with Brooklyn, winning last two by 6 points each; Nets did win two of last three against the Lakers in Staples Center, plus they played Clippers here last night. Brooklyn is 1-4 on road, 3-1 as road underdog; over is 3-1 in their road games. Lakers are 3-1 at home, 1-1 as a home favorite; three of their four home games stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 11-15-2016, 07:42 AM

NBA

Tuesday, November 15

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CLEVELAND
Toronto is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
Cleveland is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. MIAMI
Atlanta is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. MINNESOTA
Charlotte is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Charlotte

10:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. PORTLAND
Chicago is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Chicago's last 22 games
Portland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Chicago
Portland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
BROOKLYN vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 8 games on the road
LA Lakers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 11-15-2016, 08:38 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, November 15

Brooklyn @ LA Lakers

Game 709-710
November 15, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
115.893
LA Lakers
119.088
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 3
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 7
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+7); Under

Chicago @ Portland

Game 707-708
November 15, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
120.076
Portland
120.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 1
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 3 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+3 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ Minnesota

Game 705-706
November 15, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
121.121
Minnesota
123.204
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 2
206
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+2); Under

Atlanta @ Miami

Game 703-704
November 15, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
129.054
Miami
116.521
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 12 1/2
193
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 6 1/2
200
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-6 1/2); Under

Toronto @ Cleveland

Game 701-702
November 15, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
122.133
Cleveland
131.576
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 9 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 5 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-5 1/2); Over

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 15

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TORONTO (7 - 2) at CLEVELAND (8 - 1) - 11/15/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 68-95 ATS (-36.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 8-6 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 9-5 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (7 - 2) at MIAMI (2 - 7) - 11/15/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 81-61 ATS (+13.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 113-151 ATS (-53.1 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 120-162 ATS (-58.2 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (6 - 3) at MINNESOTA (3 - 6) - 11/15/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 18-40 ATS (-26.0 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 151-190 ATS (-58.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 192-238 ATS (-69.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (6 - 4) at PORTLAND (7 - 4) - 11/15/2016, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 248-298 ATS (-79.8 Units) first half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (4 - 6) at LA LAKERS (6 - 5) - 11/15/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 147-190 ATS (-62.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 130-166 ATS (-52.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 2-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 2-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-15-2016, 01:15 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, November 15

Toronto at Cleveland, 7:05 PM ET
Toronto: 4-15 ATS after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread
Cleveland: 55-34 ATS in home games after a game where they made 12 or more 3 point shots

Atlanta at Miami, 7:35 PM ET
Atlanta: 81-61 ATS as a favorite
Miami: 34-53 ATS after a game where they covered the spread

Charlotte at Minnesota, 8:05 PM ET
Charlotte: 15-5 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers
Minnesota: 10-22 ATS in home games after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog

Chicago at Portland, 10:05 PM ET
Chicago: 3-13 ATS in road games after scoring 105 points or more
Portland: 19-8 OVER after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games

Brooklyn at LA Lakers, 10:35 PM ET
Brooklyn: 29-17 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
Los Angeles: 34-54 ATS in home games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/15

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/15

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