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Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/14

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  • Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/14

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, November 14

    Good Luck on day #319 of 2016!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Last edited by Udog; 11-14-2016, 07:05 AM.

  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Six most popular picks in Week 10 of the Westgate Super Contest:

    6) San Diego Chargers (412) -4- L

    5) Carolina Panthers (417) -3- L

    4) Green Bay Packers (521) -2.5- L

    3) Atlanta Falcons (538) even- L

    2) New Orleans Saints (550) -2.5- L

    1) Pittsburgh Steelers (671) -2.5- L

    Seahawks 31, Patriots 24– How sweet was this for Pete Carroll? Lost to New England in the Super Bowl couple years ago, fired by the Patriots so they could hire Belichick. Small consolation but also a great game. Wilson looked little more mobile, which generates their offense.

    Rough day for the favorites: 3-9 against the spread.

    Season record: 18-41-2…….popular opinion is taking a beating!!!!

    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

    Texans 24, Jaguars 21— Jax is one of three teams (Cards, Giants) not to score on their first drive of a game: their offense has been outscored 7-0 by opponents’ defense on first drive of their nine games. Texans are now 1-3 on road, after losing first three road games by combined score of 84-22. Jaguars have zero takeaways in their last five games (-12).

    Chiefs 20, Panthers 17— In their last two games, both wins, KC has one offensive TD, eight FGs, six 3/outs. Carolina led this game 17-6 in 4th quarter, but Newton threw a pick-6, then Panthers fumbled it away again in last minute when game was tied.

    Carolina started second half with a 20-play drive that took 10:08 off the clock, but they wound up punting on the drive- they didn’t score in the second half.

    Denver 25, Saints 23— One of weirdest endings in NFL history; Saints tied game on a 32-yard TD with 1:22 left, but Broncos blocked PAT, ran it back for the game-winning two points. New Orleans averaged 9.8 yds/pass attempt but turned ball over 4 times (-2) which is most always fatal. Broncos converted 11 of 19 third down plays, had 9-yard edge in field position.

    Rams 9, Jets 6— On Hard Knocks this summer, rookie WR Cooper was having issues catching punts, so coach Jeff Fisher stepped in and gave him some tips— Fisher ran punts back when he played. With this game tied 6-6 in 4th and Cooper returning punts for banged-up Austin (leg), Cooper made an excellent catch on a short punt that gave Rams good field position on their own 48. If he lets it bounce, Rams could’ve lost 15-20 yards of field position. From there, LA drove for the game-winning FG. Good coaching helps.

    That said, on their last 32 drives, Rams have scored one touchdown, tried six FGs; how much worse could rookie QB Goff really be? LA has four wins; they didn’t score a TD in two of them. The defense could use some help.

    Eagles 24, Falcons 15— Philly is 4-0 at home, allowing 38 points, giving up three offensive TDs on 42 drives. Atlanta had scored 106 points in its last three games; holding them to 15 is really impressive. Falcons were 2-11 on 3rd down in this game, ran ball only 13 times for 48 yards.

    Redskins 26, Vikings 20— Atlanta started 5-0 last season and missed playoffs; is Minnesota headed in same direction? Vikings have lost four games in a row, their OC quit- they missed PAT after their third TD and then got shut out in second half. Vikings have only two takeaways in last three games. Over is 5-0 in Washington home games.

    Titans 47, Packers 25— Tennessee tried onside kick to start game, which didn’t work; still, they are first team since 1986 (Giants) to lead Green Bay by 21 points in first quarter. On their first three drives, Tennessee’s offense ran 17 plays for 236 yards and three TDs- their TE’s ran amok, with over 100 receiving yards and two TDs in first half alone.

    Bucs 36, Bears 10— This seems like a good time to point out that NFL’s TV ratings have gone down in every Presidential election year, not just this year, and by as much as 10% in 2000, so things should get back to normal from here on in, at least as far as TV ratings go.

    This is an awful loss for the Bears, who didn’t get a first down in the second half- they ran 12 plays for -13 yards in the whole second half. No bueno.

    CFL playoffs— Edmonton 24, Hamilton 21 and BC Lions 32, Winnipeg 31.

    Dolphins 31, Chargers 24— On his last five drives, Philip Rivers threw four INTs and a TD pass; the 3rd INT was run back for the game-winning Miami TD by Kiko Alonso. San Diego held Ajayi to 79 rushing yards, Over is now 8-2 in Charger games this year; those of us who have NFL Sunday Ticket will miss them next week, their bye week. Miami has won four games in a row.

    Cardinals 23, 49ers 20– Kaepernick played well in leading 49ers back to tie game with 1:55 left, but Palmer drove Arizona 69 yards for the winning FG at the gun. Penalty yardage in this game: SF 100, Arizona 10. Cardinals turned ball over four times (-3) but won, which rarely happens.

    Cowboys 35, Steelers 30— Pittsburgh went for two points four times and went 0-4. What is the reason for doing it after your first two TDs of the game? Dallas has won eight in row for first time since 1977; there were seven lead changes in this game. Pittsburgh/Green Bay both have Hall of Fame QBs and are both 4-5; go figure.

    Seahawks 31, Patriots 24– How sweet was this for Pete Carroll? Lost to New England in the Super Bowl couple years ago, fired by the Patriots so they could hire Belichick. Small consolation but also a great game. Wilson looked little more mobile, which generates their offense.

    Rough day for the favorites: 3-9 against the spread.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Monday, November 14


      Pacers won seven of last eight games with Orlando (7-1 vs spread); three of last four series games stayed under. Magic lost four of last five visits here (1-4 vs spread) but won last one. Orlando snapped 3-game skid with win at OKC yesterday; they’re 2-2 as road underdogs, Four of last six Magic games stayed under. Indiana is 2-2 as home favorite; they lost three of last four games. Over is 6-2 in Pacers’ last eight games.

      Thunder won eight of last ten games with Detroit, but Pistons covered four of last five; last four series games stayed under the total. OKC won three of last four visits here (1-3 vs spread). Thunder lost at home to Orlando yesterday; they lost last three games, are 1-1 as road dogs. Detroit won/covered all four of its home games; they’ve lost three of last four games overall. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

      Knicks lost their last five games with Dallas; Mavericks won last three visits here, by 2-20-7 points. Over is 3-2 in last five series games. Dallas is 2-3 as a road underdog; they’ve lost six of their first eight games, with five of last seven staying under total. New York is 2-1 as a home favorite; they’ve lost five of last seven series games. Over is 2-2 in Knicks’ home games.

      Celtics won their last four games with New Orleans (3-1 vs spread); they won last two visits to Bourbon Street by 6-18 points. Over is 3-2 in their last five visits here. Boston is 2-0 as a road favorite; favorite covered four of their five road games (2-3 SU). Last three Boston games stayed under the total. New Orleans is 0-5 at home; they were favored in four of five games. Four of last five Pelican games went over total.

      Houston won its last five games with Philly; 76ers covered three of last four series games. Sixers lost their last five visits here (2-3 vs spread) but covered last two. Over is 6-2 in last eight series games. 76ers are 1-8 this season, 1-2 as a road underdog, losing road games by 16-7-21 points. Houston split its two home games, which were decided by total of 7 points; under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

      Spurs won/covered their last eight games with Miami, last three of which went over the total. Heat lost last three visits to Alamo by 13-17-24 points. Miami lost six of its last seven games; they’re 1-4 as an underdog, 1-2 on road, losing last two away games by 9-12 points. Spurs won last two games by 6-10 points; they’re 2-3 as home favorites, losing three of last four SU at home. Spurs’ last three games stayed under the total.

      Memphis is 6-4 in its last ten games with Utah; under is 7-2 in last nine series games. Grizzlies lost last two visits here, by 5-10 points. Memphis lost three of last four games; they’re 0-3 as a road underdog, losing away games by 7-36-10 points. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Jazz won six of its last eight games; they’re 2-1 at home, 1-1 as a home favorite. Five of last six Jazz games went over the total.

      Clippers won five of last seven games with Brooklyn; four of last five series games stayed under the total. Nets lost last five visits to Staples to play the Clippers, covering three of last four. LA is off to a 9-1 start; they’re 4-1 as home favorites, with all four of their home wins by 13+ points. Clippers’ last three home games stayed under. Brooklyn won three of last five games; they’re 3-1 as a road underdog. Over is 3-1 in their road games.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA

        Monday, November 14


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        7:00 PM
        ORLANDO vs. INDIANA
        Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
        Orlando is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games
        Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

        7:30 PM
        OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DETROIT
        Oklahoma City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
        Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

        7:30 PM
        DALLAS vs. NEW YORK
        Dallas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New York
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New York's last 15 games at home
        New York is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games

        8:00 PM
        BOSTON vs. NEW ORLEANS
        Boston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games
        New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
        New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

        8:00 PM
        PHILADELPHIA vs. HOUSTON
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
        Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
        Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia

        8:30 PM
        MIAMI vs. SAN ANTONIO
        Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
        San Antonio is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
        San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami

        9:00 PM
        MEMPHIS vs. UTAH
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games
        Memphis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Memphis
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games

        10:30 PM
        BROOKLYN vs. LA CLIPPERS
        Brooklyn is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games on the road
        Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
        LA Clippers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games when playing Brooklyn
        The total has gone UNDER in 20 of the LA Clippers last 24 games at home


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Dunkel

          Monday, November 14


          Brooklyn @ LA Clippers

          Game 515-516
          November 14, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Brooklyn
          115.462
          LA Clippers
          135.781
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Brooklyn
          by 20 1/2
          221
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          LA Clippers
          by 14 1/2
          214
          Dunkel Pick:
          LA Clippers
          (-14 1/2); Over

          Memphis @ Utah


          Game 513-514
          November 14, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Memphis
          111.267
          Utah
          126.780
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Utah
          by 15 1/2
          179
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Utah
          by 4
          No Total
          Dunkel Pick:
          Utah
          (-4); N/A

          Miami @ San Antonio


          Game 511-512
          November 14, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Miami
          117.513
          San Antonio
          125.576
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          San Antonio
          by 8
          196
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          San Antonio
          by 12 1/2
          190 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Miami
          (+12 1/2); Over

          Philadelphia @ Houston


          Game 509-510
          November 14, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Philadelphia
          113.771
          Houston
          117.981
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Houston
          by 4
          210
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Houston
          by 11 1/2
          214
          Dunkel Pick:
          Philadelphia
          (+11 1/2); Under

          Boston @ New Orleans


          Game 507-508
          November 14, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Boston
          115.544
          New Orleans
          113.784
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Boston
          by 2
          206
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Boston
          by 5
          211 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          New Orleans
          (+5); Under

          Dallas @ New York


          Game 505-506
          November 14, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Dallas
          117.566
          New York
          115.554
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Dallas
          by 2
          217
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          New York
          by 4 1/2
          No Total
          Dunkel Pick:
          Dallas
          (+4 1/2); N/A

          Oklahoma City @ Detroit


          Game 503-504
          November 14, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Oklahoma City
          121.956
          Detroit
          119.479
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Oklahoma City
          by 2 1/2
          208
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Detroit
          by 3 1/2
          201 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Oklahoma City
          (+3 1/2); Over

          Orlando @ Indiana


          Game 501-502
          November 14, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Orlando
          113.159
          Indiana
          116.537
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Indiana
          by 3 1/2
          192
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Indiana
          by 7 1/2
          No Total
          Dunkel Pick:
          Orlando
          (+7 1/2); N/A

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Long Sheet

            Monday, November 14


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ORLANDO (4 - 6) at INDIANA (4 - 6) - 11/14/2016, 7:05 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            INDIANA is 6-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
            INDIANA is 6-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            OKLAHOMA CITY (6 - 4) at DETROIT (5 - 5) - 11/14/2016, 7:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-54 ATS (-22.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
            OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
            DETROIT is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
            DETROIT is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            OKLAHOMA CITY is 75-49 ATS (+21.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
            OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
            DETROIT is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
            DETROIT is 2-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DALLAS (2 - 6) at NEW YORK (3 - 6) - 11/14/2016, 7:35 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NEW YORK is 2-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
            DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            BOSTON (5 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 9) - 11/14/2016, 8:05 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
            BOSTON is 4-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PHILADELPHIA (1 - 8) at HOUSTON (5 - 4) - 11/14/2016, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PHILADELPHIA is 42-65 ATS (-29.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
            PHILADELPHIA is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
            HOUSTON is 306-246 ATS (+35.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
            PHILADELPHIA is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.
            PHILADELPHIA is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
            HOUSTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons.
            HOUSTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
            HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MIAMI (2 - 6) at SAN ANTONIO (7 - 3) - 11/14/2016, 8:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MIAMI is 112-151 ATS (-54.1 Units) in November games since 1996.
            MIAMI is 55-81 ATS (-34.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 961-836 ATS (+41.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 54-39 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
            SAN ANTONIO is 489-407 ATS (+41.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            SAN ANTONIO is 82-46 ATS (+31.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 318-260 ATS (+32.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 286-232 ATS (+30.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 386-307 ATS (+48.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            SAN ANTONIO is 5-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
            SAN ANTONIO is 5-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MEMPHIS (4 - 5) at UTAH (7 - 4) - 11/14/2016, 9:05 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            UTAH is 5-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
            UTAH is 4-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
            5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            BROOKLYN (4 - 5) at LA CLIPPERS (9 - 1) - 11/14/2016, 10:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            BROOKLYN is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            LA CLIPPERS are 246-296 ATS (-79.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
            LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by Udog; 11-14-2016, 09:36 AM.

            Comment

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