Announcement

**Udog** · 11-13-2016, 09:32 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks in Week 10 of the Westgate Super Contest:

6) San Diego Chargers (412) -4

5) Carolina Panthers (417) -3

4) Green Bay Packers (521) -2.5

3) Atlanta Falcons (538) even

2) New Orleans Saints (550) -2.5

1) Pittsburgh Steelers (671) -2.5

Season record: 18-35-2

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up the first part of the weekend

13) Pitt 43, Clemson 42— Watson was 52-70/580 passing, but threw three INTs and Clemson didn’t score in 4th quarter. Panthers kicked 48-yard FG with 0:06 left to send everyone in Death Valley home unhappy.

12) UNLV 69, Wyoming 66 OT— Weird game. Rebels ran for 401 yards, totally dominated with their running game but still needed OT to beat lackluster Wyoming team that turned ball over four times. UNLV’s basketball team lost 76-68 Friday nite; the football team outscored them.

11) USC 26, Washington 13— Trojans are now 7-3 after a 1-3 start and Clay Helton has fought off the critics to lead his team to a decent season. Total upheaval in the top five this week, with Clemson, Washington, Michigan all losing Saturday. As for the Huskies, if your school color is purple, then wear purple jerseys (not black) for the biggest game of your season.

10) Miami Oh 35, Buffalo 24— Red Hawks started out this season 0-6, after being 5-19 the last two years, but have righted ship, won five games in a row and if they win their last game, they’ll be 6-6 and bowl eligible. Won’t be a great bowl, but when you were 0-6, any bowl will do. Three of their five wins came on the road; impressive turnaround.

9) Iowa 14, Michigan 13— Wolverines have now lost their last four visits to Iowa City, hadn’t won at Iowa since 2005. True freshman made a 33-yard FG at the gun to win it, in a game where neither side had 250 total yards. Kirk Ferentz had five state troopers around him after the game; I bet Iowa’s governor isn’t protected that well.

8) Albany 87, Penn State 81— Great Danes were supposed to open the season at Duke, but due to NY State not allowing anyone in state employ to do business in North Carolina because of the LGBT/bathroom issue, that game was cancelled and Albany scheduled Penn State instead, and they scored a solid road win.

7) Penn State 45, Indiana 31— Hoosiers (+7) led 31-28 with 5:00 left; Penn State scored a TD with 3:58 left, kicked a FG with 1:07 left that pushed the spread, but then, with 0:29 left, Penn State ran a fumble in from nine yards out for the covering TD, in a very brutal beat for Indiana backers.

6) South Florida 49, Memphis 42— After watching this game, I’m half-thinking that USF doesn’t have an actual offense; they just line up in spread, snap the ball and junior QB Flowers runs amok and makes something happen out of the chaos. Bulls have a lot of fast guys, but no wonder Florida State beat ‘em by three TD’s- they can match USF’s speed.

5) Georgia 13, Auburn 7— Hard to cover a 10.5-point spread if you score 7. Auburn gained a total of 164 yards on 54 plays- they had zero first downs in the second half. Some of these teams in the AAC, Big 12 get that in the first quarter of games. The SEC title game is going to be awful, probably a 20+ pointspread with Alabama ready to crush whoever shows up.

4) West Virginia 24, Texas 20— Mountaineers have four road games this year: Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, Texas and Iowa State— why are they in the Big X? It makes no sense for them not to play Va Tech, Pitt, Penn State, Maryland, Virginia- the teams close to them. Texas is 5-5 and people have to be wondering why they fired Mack Brown.

3) Louisville 44, Wake Forest 12— Deacons led this game 12-3 at the half, 12-10 after three quarters, so what we have here is a misleading final score.

2) Oklahoma 45, Baylor 24— Bears were 6-0 but have now lost three games in row, giving up 914 rushing yards and 142 points. Wonder if they’ll go to a bowl game. given the off-field issues the program has.

1) Ole Miss 29, Texas A&M 28— Freshman QB Shea Patterson, in his first college start, was 25-42/338 passing, as he rallied Rebels from down 21-6 for the unlikely win. You win on the road with a freshman making his first college start in November, that is solid coaching, especially since the kid drove the bus with his passing, he just didn’t hand off and manage the game.

**Udog** · 11-13-2016, 09:44 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, November 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (6 - 2) at CLEVELAND (7 - 1) - 11/13/2016, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 6-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (6 - 4) at MINNESOTA (2 - 6) - 11/13/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 191-238 ATS (-70.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 5-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 4-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (3 - 6) at OKLAHOMA CITY (6 - 3) - 11/13/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
ORLANDO is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-43 ATS (-18.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (3 - 7) at GOLDEN STATE (7 - 2) - 11/13/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 119-92 ATS (+17.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 109-83 ATS (+17.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 64-44 ATS (+15.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 64-45 ATS (+14.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 50-35 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (3 - 6) at PORTLAND (6 - 4) - 11/13/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 163-212 ATS (-70.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DENVER is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 71-102 ATS (-41.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 8-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, November 13

Cavaliers won six of last seven games with Charlotte, covering five of last six. Four of last five series games went over total. Hornets lost last four visits to Cleveland, are 0-3 vs spread in last three. Charlotte is 3-0 on road but they were favored in all three games; they’re 0-2 as a home dog. Cavaliers are 1-4 as a home favorite; their last three home games went over the total.

Lakers won four of last six games with Minnesota; six of last eight series games went over the total. LA covered four of last five visits here (2-3 SU); they’re 5-1 as a road underdog this year after spanking the Pelicans last night- over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Minnesota lost at home to the Clippers last night; they’re 2-6 this season, with last three games going over.

Thunder won nine of last ten games with Orlando, but Magic covered seven of last eight series games- four of last five series games went over the total. Orlando lost its last three games, by 32-13-16 points; they’re 1-3 vs spread on road, 1-2 as underdogs. Oklahoma City lost its last two home games, is 3-2 as a home favorite. Five of their last seven games stayed under total.

Warriors beat Suns by 6 in Phoenix couple weeks ago; they’ve won last eight games with the Suns, but Phoenix covered the last three. Four of last six series games went over total. Suns got whacked at home by Brooklyn last night; they’ve lost three of last four games- their last seven went over total. Warriors are 2-2 as a home favorite; their last three games all went over.

Portland won nine of its last ten games with Denver, covering three of last four. Seven of last nine series games went over total. Nuggets lost last five visits to Portland (2-3 vs spread), with three of last four going over. Denver got beat at home by Detroit last night; they lost four of last five games, with three of last four going over total. Portland won four of last five games; they’re 2-1 as home favorites.

NBA

Sunday, November 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. CLEVELAND
Charlotte is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Charlotte

7:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Orlando is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando

7:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. MINNESOTA
LA Lakers are 13-3 SU in their last 16 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the LA Lakers last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Minnesota is 3-13 SU in their last 16 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Golden State
Phoenix is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games
Golden State is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix

9:00 PM
DENVER vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 9 games
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Portland is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Denver
Portland is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, November 13

Denver @ Portland

Game 709-710
November 13, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
112.715
Portland
122.176
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 9 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 6
216
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-6); Under

Phoenix @ Golden State

Game 707-708
November 13, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
117.298
Golden State
127.173
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 10
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 16 1/2
230
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+16 1/2); Under

Orlando @ Oklahoma City

Game 705-706
November 13, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
115.710
Oklahoma City
122.305
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 6 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 9
203
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+9); Over

LA Lakers @ Minnesota

Game 703-704
November 13, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
114.431
Minnesota
124.862
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 10 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 4 1/2
217
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-4 1/2); Under

Charlotte @ Cleveland

Game 701-702
November 13, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
120.315
Cleveland
131.383
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 11
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 8
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-8); Over

Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/13

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/13

Comment

Comment