Announcement

**Udog** · 11-11-2016, 07:09 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

My six favorite Bill Murray movies:

6) Quick Change– Saw this on my first date with my future ex-wife.

5) St Vincent– Any time a guy takes a little kid he is babysitting to the racetrack, the movie has a chance.

4) Caddyshack– This was more of a Rodney/Chevy Chase movie.

3) Stripes– The late Harold Rams should’ve acted in more movies.

2) Meatballs– Morty, the guy who ran the summer camp, later wound up as a judge on Law and Order.

1) Lost in Translation– Underrated movie with Scarlett Johansson.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Bottom 5, Top 8 in the NFL

32) Browns— Cleveland is 0-10, but not the only team that has trailed all its games in 4th quarter. 5-4 Lions have trailed all nine of their games in 4th quarter- they easily could be 0-9, or 8-1.

31) 49ers— Allowed a 100-yard rusher in each of their last seven games, which doesn’t happen very often.

30) Jaguars— Ran ball better last week than they have all season but teams that turn ball over four times almost never win. Host a Houston team this week that is 0-3 on the road.

29) Bears— They should start playing better with Cutler back at QB and Bucs-Titans-49ers on schedule in next month. For what it is worth, Jay Cutler grew up in a town called Santa Claus, IN; wonder what the high school’s mascot is?

28) Rams— I let this slide Monday because there were so many other things to be annoyed about, but Rams’ only TD against the Panthers came on a 4th-and-goal play from the 10 in last 0:40 when LA trailed 13-3. Going for it on 4th-and-goal from the 10, when you had an easy FG and you needed 10 points, was coaching malpractice.

Just because the play worked doesn’t make it a good decision; in a lot of ways, this ticked me off more than losing the damn game.

8) Broncos— Wade Phillips feels better, may be back on sidelines for this week’s game; if his defense doesn’t create opportunities for the Denver offense, it’ll be a long second half of the season— Broncos’ offense isn’t very good.

7) Giants— One of three teams (Cards, Jags) that haven’t scored a point yet on their first drive of the game. Wentz threw INTs on Eagles’ first two drives, so Giants got TDs on drives of 31-30 yards on their 2nd/3rd drives of the game, but when the coach is also the playcaller, shouldn’t they do better on their first drive?

6) Seahawks— Long trip east to Foxboro on a short week Sunday nite; they play Patriots for first time since their Super Bowl loss to New England. Seahawks’ rushing attempts in last three games: 19-17-12- they need more balance on offense. They also need a more mobile Wilson.

5) Chiefs— Have NFL’s best record (17-3) in their last 20 games, but only one of those wins was a playoff game. Alex Smith is back at QB this week, which should improve their play in red zone.

4) Falcons— 6-3 with bye week in Week 11, so they should be well-rested for stretch run, with little bit of a soft schedule, other than the KC game. Will Kyle Shanahan be a head coach elsewhere in ’17?

3) Raiders— Last time they were in the playoffs was 2002, when they lost Super Bowl to Tampa Bay. They’ll be there this year. First game after their bye is against the Texans on a Monday night in Mexico City.

2) Cowboys— If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it; at 7-1, no reason for Dallas to change QBs; they seem to be set there for the next 10-12 years. Interesting game in Pittsburgh this week, against the banged-up Steelers.

1— Patriots— After playing Seattle this week, their next three games are against 49ers-Jets-Rams; they’ll have to guard against boredom, playing those three stiffs in a row.

I’m not kidding; closest game they’ve had since Brady came back is 11 points- you need to play in close games during season to tighten up for the playoffs, when games will be close.

**Udog** · 11-11-2016, 07:17 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, November 11

Indiana won its last six games with the 76ers (5-1 vs spread); three of last four series games went over total. Pacers won their last three visits here, by 11-27-13 points. Indiana is 0-4 on the road, 0-2 as road favorites- over is 6-2 in their games. Philly hasn’t won yet; they’re 3-2 against spread as a home underdog, Under is 3-2 in 76ers’ home games.

Orlando won three of last four games with Utah; last three series games went over. Jazz won three of last four visits to Orlando, in series where visitor won five of last seven games. Utah won four of its last six games; favorites covered five of its six road games. Magic is 3-5, losing last two games; underdogs covered all four of their home games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Cavaliers won five of last seven games with Washington; four of last six series games went over the total. Cavaliers are 3-2 in their last five visits here. Cavs are 6-1 this year, winning their two road games by total of four points- they’re 1-1 as a road favorite. Washington is off to a 2-5 start, splitting their four home games; three of their last four games stayed under.

Toronto won four of last five games with Charlotte; over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Raptors lost three of last four visits here. Toronto won four of last five games overall; they won both their road games by 10 points each. Over is 4-3 in Raptor games. Hornets won their last four games, are 3-0 as a home favorite this season. Four of last five Hornet games went over total.

Celtics won six of last seven games with New York; four of last five series games stayed under the total. Knicks lost last three visits to Boston by 21-1-9 points. Celtics lost last three games, allowing 123 pts/game; they’re 2-1 as home favorites. New York lost three of last five games; they’re 1-2 as road dogs. Under is 4-3 in Knick games, 3-4 in Boston games.

Oklahoma City beat the Clippers in LA 8 days ago, their 4th win in last five series games. Clippers lost four of last five visits here, with last four of those going over total. Clippers won/covered seven of first eight games, last four in row; they’re 2-0 as road favorites. Four of last five LA games stayed under. Thunder are off to a 6-2 start, 4-1 at home; five of their last six games stayed under total.

Spurs won four of last five games with Detroit; over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Pistons lost four of last five visits to Alamo (3-2 vs spread). Detroit is 0-4 on road (4-0 at home); over is 3-1 in their road games- they’re 0-2 as road underdogs. San Antonio lost three in row at home for first time in two years; they’re 1-3 as home favorites. Four of Spurs’ last five games went over.

Portland won its last six games with Sacramento, covering four of last five; seven of last eight series games stayed under. Kings lost last four visits to Portland but covered three of those four games. Trailblazers won three of last four games; they’re 2-2 at home, 1-1 as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under. Kings lost tough game at home with Lakers last night; they’re 2-4 as road underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under.

**Udog** · 11-11-2016, 07:18 AM

NBA

Friday, November 11

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CHARLOTTE
Toronto is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing Toronto
Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto

7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana

7:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Washington's last 19 games when playing Cleveland
Washington is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cleveland

7:00 PM
UTAH vs. ORLANDO
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

7:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. BOSTON
New York is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Boston
New York is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 15 games when playing at home against New York

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games
LA Clippers are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Oklahoma City is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing LA Clippers

8:30 PM
DETROIT vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
San Antonio is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Detroit

10:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. PORTLAND
Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Sacramento is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Portland's last 12 games

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**Udog** · 11-11-2016, 09:25 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, November 11

Sacramento @ Portland

Game 715-716
November 11, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
113.235
Portland
122.301
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 9
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 6 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-6 1/2); Over

Detroit @ San Antonio

Game 713-714
November 11, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
114.731
San Antonio
125.532
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 11
188
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 8 1/2
195
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-8 1/2); Under

LA Clippers @ Oklahoma City

Game 711-712
November 11, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
127.848
Oklahoma City
131.478
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 3 1/2
194
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 5
203
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+5); Under

New York @ Boston

Game 709-710
November 11, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
110.946
Boston
121.898
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 11
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 4
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-4); N/A

Toronto @ Charlotte

Game 707-708
November 11, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
122.044
Charlotte
126.541
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 4 1/2
191
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 1
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-1); N/A

Cleveland @ Washington

Game 705-706
November 11, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
125.020
Washington
123.110
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 6
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+6); N/A

Utah @ Orlando

Game 703-704
November 11, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
121.619
Orlando
114.989
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 6 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(+2); N/A

Indiana @ Philadelphia

Game 701-702
November 11, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
119.181
Philadelphia
107.147
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 12
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 4 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-4 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 11-11-2016, 09:29 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, November 11

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INDIANA (4 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 7) - 11/11/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games in November games since 1996.
INDIANA is 205-151 ATS (+38.9 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 41-65 ATS (-30.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 105-140 ATS (-49.0 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 93-126 ATS (-45.6 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 106-150 ATS (-59.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (5 - 4) at ORLANDO (3 - 5) - 11/11/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 3-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (6 - 1) at WASHINGTON (2 - 5) - 11/11/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (5 - 2) at CHARLOTTE (6 - 1) - 11/11/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 4-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (3 - 4) at BOSTON (3 - 4) - 11/11/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (7 - 1) at OKLAHOMA CITY (6 - 2) - 11/11/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 67-42 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games after allowing 85 points or less since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (4 - 4) at SAN ANTONIO (5 - 3) - 11/11/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 959-836 ATS (+39.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 52-39 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 142-109 ATS (+22.1 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 488-407 ATS (+40.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 317-260 ATS (+31.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 197-138 ATS (+45.2 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
DETROIT is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (4 - 6) at PORTLAND (5 - 4) - 11/11/2016, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 73-94 ATS (-30.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 42-60 ATS (-24.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 71-102 ATS (-41.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-11-2016, 11:49 AM

NBA
Short Sheet

Friday, November 11

Indiana at Philadelphia, 7:05 PM ET
Indiana: 19-14 ATS after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots
Philadelphia: 4-13 ATS in home games after 5 or more consecutive losses

Utah at Orlando, 7:05 PM ET
Utah: 6-1 ATS when playing their 4th road game in 7 days
Orlando: 8-11 ATS off a home loss by 10 points or more

Cleveland at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
Cleveland: 27-19 ATS against Southeast division opponents
Washington: 13-27 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread

Toronto at Charlotte, 7:05 PM ET
Toronto: 13-21 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread
Charlotte: 11-8 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite

New York at Boston, 7:35 PM ET
New York: 4-10 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more
Boston: 28-14 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

LA Clippers at Oklahoma City, 8:05 PM ET
Los Angeles: 32-55 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite
Oklahoma City: 47-28 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games

Detroit at San Antonio, 8:35 PM ET
Detroit: 6-16 ATS in road games after playing a road game
San Antonio: 10-1 ATS after a close loss by 3 points or less

Sacramento at Portland, 10:05 PM ET
Sacramento: 27-43 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread
Portland: 33-19 ATS after allowing 110 points or more

Announcement

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/11

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/11

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