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Sunday's Tip Sheet
January 28, 2017
This Sunday’s college basketball betting action gets underway with a big ACC/Big East clash between the No. 12 Virginia Cavaliers and the No. 1 Villanova Wildcats at 1:00 p.m. (ET). At the same time in the ACC, the North Carolina State Wolfpack will go on the road to face the No. 13 Louisville Cardinals.
No. 12 Virginia Cavaliers at No. 1 Villanova Wildcats (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Villanova -4 ½
Betting Matchup
Virginia is one game off the pace for the lead in the ACC at 6-2 straight-up in conference play following this past Tuesday’s 71-54 victory against No. 14 Notre Dame as a 1 ½-point road underdog. The 16-3 Cavaliers are now 4-1 against the spread in their last five games and the total has stayed UNDER in their last three outings.
They are a profitable 6-1 ATS this season on the road. Senior guard London Perrantes led all scorers in the win over the Irish with 22 points. He is the team’s leading scorer this season with an average of 12.3 points as part of Virginia’s 69.6 points per game. Defense is still the name of the game for the Cavaliers with a points-allowed average of 53.3 that is ranked first in the nation.
The nation’s top team saw its current five-game winning streak come to a stunning halt with Tuesday’s 74-72 loss to Marquette as a 5 ½-point favorite on the road. Villanova (19-2 SU) has failed to cover in its last two games to fall to 13-8 ATS overall. The total stayed UNDER the 151 ½-point closing line in that loss and it has stayed UNDER in seven of its last nine games.
The Wildcats blew a 17-point lead against the Golden Eagles while going a dismal 6-for-34 from three-point range. The starting five accounted for 66 of the team’s 72 points with sophomore guard Mikal Bridges posting a game-high 20 points in a losing effort. It was just the second time in 12 games that Villanova allowed more than 70 points.
Betting Trends
-- The Cavaliers are just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games against the Big East, but they are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 nonconference games. The total has stayed UNDER in 19 of their last 26 games on the road.
-- The Wildcats have covered ATS in their last four games against the ACC and they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a SU loss. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight games played on Sunday.
-- Virginia won last season’s meeting 86-75 as a 5 ½-point home favorite. The total went OVER the closing 130-point line.
N.C. State Wolfpack at No. 13 Louisville Cardinals (ACC Network, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Louisville -15
Betting Matchup
It has been tough sledding for NC State in the ACC this season at 3-5 (SU and ATS), but it comes into this matchup with some serious momentum following this past Monday’s stunning 84-82 upset against Duke as a heavy 16 ½-point road underdog. The total in that game went OVER 160 and it has gone OVER in three of its last four games.
The Wolfpack got a huge effort from freshman guard Dennis Smith Jr., who posted 32 points while going 10-for-18 from the field and 4-for-6 from three-point range. He has been the team’s leading scorer all season long with 19.5 PPG. NC State (14-7 SU, 9-10 ATS) is ranked 26th in the nation in scoring with 81.7 PPG, but it is giving up an average of 77.4 points at the other end of the court.
The Cardinals improved their record in the ACC to 5-3 (SU and ATS) with Tuesday’s 106-51 obliteration of Pittsburgh as 4 ½-point road favorites. This was their fourth cover in a row and the total has gone OVER in four of their last five games.
Louisville returns home with a profitable 9-2 record ATS at the KFC Yum! Center this season. It had five players score in double figures against Pitt led by sophomore guard Donovan Mitchell’s 29 points. He hit six of his eight shots from three-point range as part of a 9-for-13 shooting performance from the field.
The downside to that win was the loss of senior guard Tony Hicks, who will miss the next six to eight weeks with a broken hand.
Betting Trends
-- The Wolfpack are 1-5ATS in their last six road games and they have failed to cover in four of their last five Sunday games. The total has gone OVER in 15 of their last 22 ACC games.
-- The Cardinals are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games against a team with a SU winning record, but they fall to 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played on a Sunday. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games following a SU win.
-- Head-to-head in this ACC tilt, Louisville has a SU 2-1 edge in the last three meetings, but NC State is 2-1 ATS. The total has gone OVER in all three games.
January 28, 2017
This Sunday’s college basketball betting action gets underway with a big ACC/Big East clash between the No. 12 Virginia Cavaliers and the No. 1 Villanova Wildcats at 1:00 p.m. (ET). At the same time in the ACC, the North Carolina State Wolfpack will go on the road to face the No. 13 Louisville Cardinals.
No. 12 Virginia Cavaliers at No. 1 Villanova Wildcats (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Villanova -4 ½
Betting Matchup
Virginia is one game off the pace for the lead in the ACC at 6-2 straight-up in conference play following this past Tuesday’s 71-54 victory against No. 14 Notre Dame as a 1 ½-point road underdog. The 16-3 Cavaliers are now 4-1 against the spread in their last five games and the total has stayed UNDER in their last three outings.
They are a profitable 6-1 ATS this season on the road. Senior guard London Perrantes led all scorers in the win over the Irish with 22 points. He is the team’s leading scorer this season with an average of 12.3 points as part of Virginia’s 69.6 points per game. Defense is still the name of the game for the Cavaliers with a points-allowed average of 53.3 that is ranked first in the nation.
The nation’s top team saw its current five-game winning streak come to a stunning halt with Tuesday’s 74-72 loss to Marquette as a 5 ½-point favorite on the road. Villanova (19-2 SU) has failed to cover in its last two games to fall to 13-8 ATS overall. The total stayed UNDER the 151 ½-point closing line in that loss and it has stayed UNDER in seven of its last nine games.
The Wildcats blew a 17-point lead against the Golden Eagles while going a dismal 6-for-34 from three-point range. The starting five accounted for 66 of the team’s 72 points with sophomore guard Mikal Bridges posting a game-high 20 points in a losing effort. It was just the second time in 12 games that Villanova allowed more than 70 points.
Betting Trends
-- The Cavaliers are just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games against the Big East, but they are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 nonconference games. The total has stayed UNDER in 19 of their last 26 games on the road.
-- The Wildcats have covered ATS in their last four games against the ACC and they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a SU loss. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight games played on Sunday.
-- Virginia won last season’s meeting 86-75 as a 5 ½-point home favorite. The total went OVER the closing 130-point line.
N.C. State Wolfpack at No. 13 Louisville Cardinals (ACC Network, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Louisville -15
Betting Matchup
It has been tough sledding for NC State in the ACC this season at 3-5 (SU and ATS), but it comes into this matchup with some serious momentum following this past Monday’s stunning 84-82 upset against Duke as a heavy 16 ½-point road underdog. The total in that game went OVER 160 and it has gone OVER in three of its last four games.
The Wolfpack got a huge effort from freshman guard Dennis Smith Jr., who posted 32 points while going 10-for-18 from the field and 4-for-6 from three-point range. He has been the team’s leading scorer all season long with 19.5 PPG. NC State (14-7 SU, 9-10 ATS) is ranked 26th in the nation in scoring with 81.7 PPG, but it is giving up an average of 77.4 points at the other end of the court.
The Cardinals improved their record in the ACC to 5-3 (SU and ATS) with Tuesday’s 106-51 obliteration of Pittsburgh as 4 ½-point road favorites. This was their fourth cover in a row and the total has gone OVER in four of their last five games.
Louisville returns home with a profitable 9-2 record ATS at the KFC Yum! Center this season. It had five players score in double figures against Pitt led by sophomore guard Donovan Mitchell’s 29 points. He hit six of his eight shots from three-point range as part of a 9-for-13 shooting performance from the field.
The downside to that win was the loss of senior guard Tony Hicks, who will miss the next six to eight weeks with a broken hand.
Betting Trends
-- The Wolfpack are 1-5ATS in their last six road games and they have failed to cover in four of their last five Sunday games. The total has gone OVER in 15 of their last 22 ACC games.
-- The Cardinals are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games against a team with a SU winning record, but they fall to 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played on a Sunday. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games following a SU win.
-- Head-to-head in this ACC tilt, Louisville has a SU 2-1 edge in the last three meetings, but NC State is 2-1 ATS. The total has gone OVER in all three games.
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