Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/8

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, November 8

Good Luck on day #313 of 2016!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Home favorites/Home underdogs in every college football conference:

AAC: HF: 8-9, HU: 6-6, H: 14-15, F: 14-15

ACC: HF: 10-13, HU: 7-7, H: 17-20, F: 17-20

Big 14: HF: 9-8, HU: 7-4, H: 18-23, F: 18-23

Big X: HF: 8-9, HU: 6-6, H: 16-12, F: 13-16

C-USA: HF: 7-13, HU: 7-6, H: 14-19, F: 13-20

MAC: HF: 6-13, HU: 5-9, H: 11-22, F: 15-18

MW: HF: 8-11, HU: 7-4, H: 15-15, F: 12-18

Pac-12: HF: 13-9, HU: 9-5, H: 22-14, F: 18-17

SEC: HF: 12-6, HU: 11-6, H: 22-14, F: 18-17

SBC: HF: 6-9, HU: 5-5, H: 11-14, F: 11-14

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Happy Election Day, people…….

I had originally set today aside for some thoughts on our Presidential election, but then it dawned on me that no one gives a rat’s ass what I think about politics, so instead……some baseball knowledge to ponder, as we head into the offseason………

(Quick reminder that college basketball starts Friday and WE LOVE college hoop here at ***************. So keep logging in every day)

This information is courtesy of the great Bill James Baseball Handbook, which came in the mail last week:

13) Amount of defensive shifts in 2014: 13,299. In 2016: 28,074.

Curious to see what next year brings, as far as shifting goes. More? Less? The same? Will hitters bunt more to beat the shift?

Orioles, Blue Jays were only teams who shifted less this year than they did in 2015.

12) Most hits lost to the shift in 2016: Granderson 24, Kendrys Morales 21, Ortiz 17, Ryan Howard 16

11) Lead-changing RBI’s: Abreu/Yelich 42 each, Longoria/Pujols 41

10) Highest swing/miss %age (minimum 1,500 pitches): Chris Carter 37.3%, Nieuwenhuis 36.6, Chris Davis 35.7, Stanton 34.7

9) Highest swing at first pitch %age: Tomas 49.0%, Adam Jones 44.5, Corey Seager 42.5, Schoop 41.0.

8) Lowest swing at first pitch %age: Mauer 7.0%, Blackmon/Prado 7.9, Granderson 8.3.

7) Opponents’ batting average: Arrieta .194, Scherzer .199, Estrada .203, Verlander/Hendricks .207.

6) No-decisions: Odorizzi 17, Pineda 14, Sanchez-Stroman-Tanaka-Volquez-Teheran, all 13.

5) Home runs allowed: Weaver 37, Tomlin 36, Kennedy/Santiago 33.

4) Pitches per start: Verlander 107.9, Sale 107.7, Bumgarner 105.0, Scherzer 104.8.

3) Pitches per batter: Garcia 3.48, Leake 3.51, Iwakuma 3.57, Perez-Tomlin-Graveman 3.60.

2) Run support (min 162 IP): Porcello 7.63, Happ 6.88, Arrieta 6.84, Price 6.61

1— Stolen bases allowed: Syndergaard 48, Nelson 31, Lester 28, Jimenez 26.

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, November 8

Dallas @ LA Lakers

Game 511-512
November 8, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
115.488
LA Lakers
122.249
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 7
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 4 1/2
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-4 1/2); Over

New Orleans @ Sacramento

Game 509-510
November 8, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
109.549
Sacramento
119.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 9 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 5 1/2
203
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(-5 1/2); Over

Phoenix @ Portland

Game 507-508
November 8, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
113.561
Portland
124.456
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 11
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 7
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-7); Under

Denver @ Memphis

Game 505-506
November 8, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
112.643
Memphis
120.157
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 7 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 2 1/2
202 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-2 1/2); Over

Minnesota @ Brooklyn

Game 503-504
November 8, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
115.872
Brooklyn
115.179
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 4
205
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+4); Over

Atlanta @ Cleveland

Game 501-502
November 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
121.467
Cleveland
131.830
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 10 1/2
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 7 1/2
207
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-7 1/2); Under

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, November 8

Cavaliers won their last 10 games with Atlanta (8-2 vs spread); Hawks lost last six visits to Ohio (0-5 vs spread in last five). Over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Atlanta won four of its last six games; four of its last five games stayed under. Cleveland is 6-0 this season, but failed to cover its last four games; under is 4-2 in their games this season.

Minnesota won three of its last four games with Brooklyn; under is 4-3 in last seven series games. Timberwolves won four of last five visits to Brooklyn, in series where road team won six of last six meetings. Minnesota lost four of its first five games; their last three stayed under total. Nets lost three of their last four games; under is 3-1 in their home games.

Memphis won seven of its last nine games with Denver; under is 7-2 in those nine games. Nuggets lost four of last five visits to Memphis (3-2 vs spread). Nuggets split their first six games but are 4-1 vs spread as a road underdog. Over is 4-2 in their games this season. Grizzlies lost three of last four games, with all four staying under the total.

Suns won three of last four games with Portland, beating Blazers in OT at home last week; six of last seven series games stayed under the total. Teams split their last four meetings in Portland. Phoenix is off to a 2-5 start; they’re 2-2 vs spread as a road underdog- Suns’ last four games went over total. Portland lost its last two home games but won last two overall; over is 5-2 in their games this season.

Pelicans won their last six games with Sacramento (5-1 vs spread); last three series games went over the total. New Orleans won its last four visits to Sacramento (3-1 vs spread). Three of their last five visits here stayed under. Kings lost four of their last five games; they split their two home games so far. Under is 5-3 in their games this season. Pelicans are off to an 0-6 start (1-5 vs spread); four of their six games went over total- they played in Oakland last night.

Dallas won its last ten games with the Lakers (7-3 vs spread, 3-3 in last six) but Walton’s Lakers are much-improved, already 6-1 vs spread, winning all three home games SU, including a win over Golden State. LA also won its last three games overall, while Mavericks are 1-5 SU, 2-4 vs spread, with their last five games staying under total. Dallas is 1-2 as a road underdog.

[Udog]

NBA

Tuesday, November 8

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Atlanta's last 25 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta

7:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. BROOKLYN
Minnesota is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

8:00 PM
DENVER vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games when playing Memphis
Memphis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games when playing Denver

10:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
Phoenix is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Orleans's last 18 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 13 of New Orleans's last 18 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans

10:30 PM
DALLAS vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Lakers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when playing Dallas
LA Lakers are 7-17 SU in their last 24 games


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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 8

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ATLANTA (4 - 2) at CLEVELAND (6 - 0) - 11/8/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 26-41 ATS (-19.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 10-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 12-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (1 - 4) at BROOKLYN (2 - 4) - 11/8/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (3 - 3) at MEMPHIS (3 - 4) - 11/8/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (2 - 5) at PORTLAND (4 - 3) - 11/8/2016, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (0 - 7) at SACRAMENTO (3 - 5) - 11/8/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 24-39 ATS (-18.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 72-93 ATS (-30.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 33-49 ATS (-20.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 51-75 ATS (-31.5 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 41-59 ATS (-23.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 7-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (1 - 5) at LA LAKERS (4 - 3) - 11/8/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 349-285 ATS (+35.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 465-386 ATS (+40.4 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 149-113 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 306-252 ATS (+28.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 147-189 ATS (-60.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, November 8

Atlanta at Cleveland, 7:05 PM ET
Atlanta: 60-39 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5
Cleveland: 27-42 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 10 or less offensive rebounds

Minnesota at Brooklyn, 7:35 PM ET
Minnesota: 4-15 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more
Brooklyn: 18-5 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days

Denver at Memphis, 8:05 PM ET
Denver: 15-4 ATS in road games after allowing 105 points or more
Memphis: 14-2 UNDER after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds

Phoenix at Portland, 10:05 PM ET
Phoenix: 4-14 ATS in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more
Portland: 19-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog

New Orleans at Sacramento, 10:35 PM ET
New Orleans: 33-17 ATS after 6 or more consecutive losses
Sacramento: 11-24 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread

Dallas at LA Lakers, 10:35 PM ET
Dallas: 92-62 ATS in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6
LA Lakers: 57-85 ATS in home games after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more