Announcement

**Udog** · 11-07-2016, 08:22 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks in Week 9 of the Westgate Super Contest in Las Vegas:

1) Denver Broncos, even (695)- L

2) Pittsburgh Steelers, even (605)- L

3) New Orleans Saints, -3.5 (575)- W

4) Carolina Panthers, -3 (525)- T

5) Philadelphia Eagles, +2.5 (474)- L

6) Chiefs -7- L/Titans +5 (472)- L

Season record: 18-35-2- rough year for popular opinions

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday
Falcons 43, Buccaneers 28— Tampa Bay is now 17-43 in its last 60 home games; they fired Lovie Smith because they didn’t want QB guru Dirk Koetter to leave, but Winston isn’t playing as well now. This was halfway point of season and Tampa hasn’t won a home game. Atlanta is in good shape at 6-3- they haven’t had their bye yet, either. Over is 8-1 in Falcon games.

Chiefs 19, Jaguars 14— Kansas City had 16-yard edge in field position; they started four drives in Jax territory, kicking three FGs, scoring only one TD, and that was on a 23-yard drive, so if you gave the points, thats why you lost. With 8:23 left and KC up 19-7, Jaguars fumbled on 6-inch line as runner was crossing goal line; they scored on their next drive, but fell just short of pulling the upset. Under is 6-1 in Chiefs’ last seven games.

Lions 22, Vikings 16 OT— Three weeks ago, Vikings were 5-0 and on an 18-2 run against the spread, which rarely happens. Now they’re 5-3, their OC quit and both their OT’s are hurt. In this game, Minnesota scored with 0:23 left in regulation to take lead, then Stafford got Lions into position for game-tying 58-yard FG at gun. Vikings’ PK Blair Walsh missed a PAT and had FG blocked- he might not be employed much longer. Every Detroit game has been decided by 7 or less points. Success in the NFL is extremely fragile.

Giants 28, Eagles 23— Wentz threw picks on first two possessions, Giants grabbed 14-0 lead 5:07 into game; in second quarter, after a Philly FG, Pederson passed up FG tries of 40, 23 yards to try and get a first down, failing both times- they also had a FG blocked, then came up empty in the red zone on their last drive. You get ball in red zone six times and score only 20 points, you deserve to lose. If Eagles kick those 2nd quarter FGs, this might’ve been a different ending.

Cowboys 35, Browns 10— Not much to say here; a complete ass-kicking. During Rams’ game, FOX’s Kevin Burkhardt said “Right now, Dallas is best team in the NFC.” His partner John Lynch responded very quickly/skeptically, “Thats what the records say.” Cleveland is horrible.

Credit to Jason Garrett for this: Cowboys are 7-1 vs spread in last eight games as a road favorite- they win games they’re expected to win.

Dolphins 27, Jets 23— Jets scored in last 6:00 to take lead, but Miami ran kick back 96 yards for game-winning TD. This was Miami’s 4th straight home game, with a bye in between; their next two games are in southern California. Greg Gumbel/Trent Green had this game; they are a better crew than Nantz/Simms, and not because of Nantz.

Ravens 21, Steelers 14— This was Baltimore’s first win since September 25 and they’re in first place in AFC North, which is terrible this year. Ravens scored one offensive TD, a 95-yard pass in first quarter- their other TD was on a blocked punt. Bengals are 3-4-1, only half-game out of first place. Roethlisberger was obviously rusty as he returned too soon from his injury. Ravens are 12-3 off their last 15 bye weeks.

Saints 41, 49ers 23— In their last three games, Saints have run 62 more plays than their opponents. NO is now 4-4 after an 0-3 start. Chip Kelly should take Phil Knight’s $10M and go back to Oregon; 49ers are horrendous. Six of last seven SF games went over the total. Niners were outscored 91-23 in second half of their last five games.

Panthers 13, Rams 10— I could go on for a while about the Rams, but right now, I only want to know one thing; has Jeff Fisher’s contract been extended past this year? No one knows.

If it has been, then what he’s doing with Jared Goff is the proper course of action, let the kid learn on the sidelines and they’ll grow together.

If Fisher’s contract hasn’t been extended, then this is unacceptable, holding the franchise hostage so he can get a new deal, because this Case Keenum-led offense is putrid. Fisher makes $7M a year and right now, his team isn’t good. He really doesn’t deserve the extension.

The last 22 times the Rams have had the ball, their offense has outscored the other team’s defense, 10-7. How much bleeping worse could Goff be?

Colts 31, Packers 26— Misleading score; Indy kicked their butts in this game, running opening kick back for a TD, then running another kick back 61 yards later in first half. Over is 7-2 in Colt games this year. If you had Aaron Rodgers at QB, wouldn’t you get him a couple of really fast WRs? Green Bay scored 58 points in its last two games and lost both of them- they’re not athletic enough.

I’m mad because the Rams are 3-5; hell, the Packers have Rodgers and they’re 4-4.

Chargers 43, Titans 35— Ken Whishenhunt almost hung half a hundred on the team that fired him as HC last year, though they did score two defensive TDs. There is a proposition on the ballot in San Diego Tuesday to raise the hotel tax to pay for a new stadium for the Chargers; it needs 66.7% to pass, but if it gets over 50%, then the stadium is in limbo. Over is 7-2 in Charger games, 6-0 in last six Titan tilts.

Raiders 30, Broncos 20— Oakland ran ball for 218 yards, had 18-yard edge in field position; before this game, most rushing yards Denver had allowed was 157. In their first eight games, Denver’s defense scored three TDs, created field position for 10 TDs where scoring drive was less than 60 yards. Broncos’ average starting position here was their own 19-yard line, worst in NFL this week. Oakland is 7-2 and atop AFC West, with second-best record in AFC.

In baseball news, Colorado Rockies will name Bud Black their new manager Monday morning. Interesting that a former manager willl manage the Rockies, given the problems pitches have had pitching in high altitude.

**Udog** · 11-07-2016, 08:25 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, November 7

New Orleans @ Golden State

Game 713-714
November 7, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
108.691
Golden State
129.987
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 21 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 17
224
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-17); Under

Detroit @ LA Clippers

Game 711-712
November 7, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
124.209
LA Clippers
127.662
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 3 1/2
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 8 1/2
196
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+8 1/2); Over

Orlando @ Chicago

Game 709-710
November 7, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
116.072
Chicago
117.463
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 7
202 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+7); Over

Miami @ Oklahoma City

Game 707-708
November 7, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
120.146
Oklahoma City
128.163
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 8
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 5 1/2
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-5 1/2); Under

Utah @ Philadelphia

Game 705-706
November 7, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
120.142
Philadelphia
114.685
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 5 1/2
186
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 7 1/2
192 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+7 1/2); Under

Houston @ Washington

Game 703-704
November 7, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
116.996
Washington
121.389
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 4 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-1 1/2); Under

Indiana @ Charlotte

Game 701-702
November 7, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
116.042
Charlotte
122.230
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 6
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 3 1/2
207
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-3 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 11-07-2016, 08:26 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 7

Charlotte won its last three games with Indiana by 7-1-22 points; Pacers lost three of last four visits here, losing by 22-9-7 points. Hornets are 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine series games- over is 3-1 in last four series games played here. Pacers are 0-3 on road this year and were favored in two of three; three of their last four games went over. Charlotte won four of its last five games (over 3-2).

Road team won five of last six Houston-Washington games; Rockets won last three visits here, by 6-8-7 points. Under is 3-1 in last four series games played here. Houston is 2-3 but five of six games were on road- they’re 2-2 as a road underdog- four of their last five games stayed under. Wizards are off to a 1-4 start; their last two games were decided by total of five points- they’re 1-1 at home.

Utah won its last seven games with Philly (4-3 vs spread); last five series games stayed under total. Jazz won last three visits here, by 12-6-28 points (under 3-0). Utah beat the Knicks by 10 yesterday; they’re 2-2 SU on road (over 2-2). 76ers are 0-5 already this season (under 3-2), but they’re 3-1 vs spread as a home underdog, losing by 6-32-2-1 at home.

Oklahoma City won three of last four games with Miami; three of last four series games stayed under the total. Heat lost by 18-25 in last two visits to OKC. Miami lost three of its last four games; over is 3-2 in their games this season. Thunder won four of first five games, with last four games staying under; OKC is 2-1 against the spread as a home favorite.

Orlando won three of last four games with Chicago; Magic covered nine of last ten series tilts. Four of last five series games stayed under. Orlando lost three of last four visits to Windy City, with losses by 8-13-5 points. Magic won last three games by 2-8-2 points; four of their last five games stayed under total- they’re 1-1 as a road dog. Bulls lost last three games by 7-13-17 points; Chicago is 2-1 as a home favorite.

Clippers won their last ten games with Detroit; LA is 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight series games. Pistons are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here, losing all five by 4-32-9-22-5 points. Over is 5-1-1 in last seven series games. Detroit is 0-2 on road (4-0 at home); both their road games went over the total, losing at Toronto/Brooklyn. Clippers won five of first six games (over 3-3); they’re 2-1 as a home favorite.

Golden State won its last eight games with New Orleans, covering four of last five; last three series games went over. Pelicans lost last five visits to Oakland (2-3 vs spread); three of the five losses were by 16+ points. New Orleans are already 0-6 this season, 0-2 as a road dog, losing away games by 9-16 points. Over is 4-2 in their games. Warriors are 4-2 this year, splitting two home games- three of their last four games stayed under.

**Udog** · 11-07-2016, 08:30 AM

NBA

Monday, November 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
UTAH vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games

7:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. WASHINGTON
Houston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing Houston

7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. CHARLOTTE
Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home
Charlotte is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games when playing Indiana

8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

8:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Orlando is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chicago's last 18 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
DETROIT vs. LA CLIPPERS
Detroit is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of the LA Clippers last 22 games at home
LA Clippers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

10:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. GOLDEN STATE
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-07-2016, 11:31 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, November 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (3 - 3) at CHARLOTTE (4 - 1) - 11/7/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 4-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (3 - 3) at WASHINGTON (1 - 4) - 11/7/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 305-246 ATS (+34.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 130-91 ATS (+29.9 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 365-433 ATS (-111.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 101-141 ATS (-54.1 Units) in November games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (4 - 3) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 5) - 11/7/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 105-139 ATS (-47.9 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (2 - 3) at OKLAHOMA CITY (5 - 1) - 11/7/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 112-148 ATS (-50.8 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 154-119 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (3 - 3) at CHICAGO (3 - 3) - 11/7/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 245-297 ATS (-81.7 Units) first half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 7-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 4-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (4 - 2) at LA CLIPPERS (5 - 1) - 11/7/2016, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (0 - 6) at GOLDEN STATE (4 - 2) - 11/7/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 37-50 ATS (-18.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 103-136 ATS (-46.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 117-91 ATS (+16.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 107-82 ATS (+16.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 63-43 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-5 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 11-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/7

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/7

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment