Announcement

**Udog** · 11-06-2016, 07:44 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks in Week 9 of the Westgate Super Contest in Las Vegas:

1) Denver Broncos, even (695)

2) Pittsburgh Steelers, even (605)

3) New Orleans Saints, -3.5 (575)

4) Carolina Panthers, -3 (525)

5) Philadelphia Eagles, +2.5 (474)

6) Chiefs -7/Titans +5 (472)

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

13) Alabama 10, LSU 0— Old-time football. Can’t blame Les Miles for this one. Two QBs were badly overmatched by speedy defenses in this game. This was first time in nine years (Florida State, ’07) that Crimson Tide didn’t score in first half.

Since Nick Saban has been at Alabama (2007) every other SEC team has changed coaches. I’m totally baffled as to what LSU will do for a head coach.

12) Florida State 24, NC State 20— Gutty road win for the Seminoles, making Tuesday night’s Showtime episode another good one. I have a feeling FSU is going to win their bowl game by a lot- it’ll be a lesser bowl and they’ll be lot healthier, especially on defense. NC State had 31 first downs in this game, but lost.

11) Wisconsin 21, Northwestern 7— Evanston is a suburb of Chicago; no way was this a normal week in the Windy City, with the Cubs winning the World Series late Wednesday night, then the parade with five million people Friday afternoon. Did the World Series mess up Northwestern’s prep for this game, or is it a simple case of the better team winning?

10) Mississippi State 35, Texas A&M 28— People get all bent out of shape about the rankings for the playoffs, but these things tend to play themselves out in November. Now Aggies are out of the top 4 so people can stop complaining about A&M and start complaining again Tuesday night, when they’re replaced in the top 4 by someone else.

9) Minnesota 44, Purdue 31— Coaching 101— Gophers led 37-31 with under 2:00 left, score TD with 1:30 left to go up 43-31. It didn’t matter in this game, but you have to to go for 2 points in this spot. Being up 43-31 is the same as 44-31, but 45-31 means if you do give up two TDs, you still get OT to win the game. Minnesota kicked the PAT, which was a mistake.

8) Upset of the Day: Tex-San Antonio 45, Middle Tennessee 25— Roadrunners were a 20-point underdog- they ran ball for 270 yards and only need one more win to become bowl eligible.

Upset of the Day, #2— Charlotte 38, Southern Miss 27— 49ers were a 19.5-point underdog and got a big win for their young program.

7) Illinois 31, Michigan State 27— Spartans were 36-5 the last three years; they’re 2-7 this year and now have lost seven games in a row.

6) Navy 28, Notre Dame 27— Fighting Irish are now 3-6 as they head to San Antonio to play Army next week; they still have to play Virginia Tech and USC. If I was a college football coach, I’d never schedule Navy- they’re too good and no one is impressed if you beat them.

5) TCU 62, Baylor 22— Two straight losses for the Bears; TCU ran 90 plays for 688 yards in an easy win (was 38-14 at the half). Curious to see how the coaching situation at Baylor plays out; doubtful Kendall Briles can stay there, with his dad having been fired. Could be wholesale changes, but they have lot of talented kids who could transfer out, so tough decisions need to be made. they need to keep as many of those players as possible.

4) South Carolina 31, Missouri 21— Gamecocks coach Will Muschamp put mousetraps all over the Carolina football facility this week, to remind players/coaches “not to take the cheese” and think the Gamecocks were bigger than life.

The ploy worked, Carolina won and is now 5-4- they need one more win to go bowling.

3) Oklahoma State 43, Kansas State 37— This was a fun game to watch; OSU ran 64 plays for 637 yards- only six of those 64 plays came on third down, thats how well they moved the ball, passing for 457 yards. K-State had the ball inside the 5-yard line in the last 0:30, before time ran out on them.

2) Georgia 27, Kentucky 24— SEC title game is going to be awful, Alabama favored by 20+ over Tennessee or Florida or some other mediocre team from the SEC East. Kentucky would have been atop East had they won this game. Dawgs kicked FG at the gun for the road win.

1— This is where I advise you to be careful taking big point spreads against teams who are trying to impress pollsters. Coaches won’t think twice about hanging huge scores up so they don’t get bypassed in this playoff system they have now. Consider yourself warned.

**Udog** · 11-06-2016, 07:47 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, November 6

Phoenix @ LA Lakers

Game 511-512
November 6, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
120.476
LA Lakers
116.335
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 4
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 3
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+3); Over

Denver @ Boston

Game 509-510
November 6, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
119.210
Boston
117.804
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 8
211
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+8); Under

Milwaukee @ Dallas

Game 507-508
November 6, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
112.227
Dallas
122.528
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 10 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 2
199
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-2); Over

Sacramento @ Toronto

Game 505-506
November 6, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
112.483
Toronto
127.297
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 15
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 6
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-6); N/A

Portland @ Memphis

Game 503-504
November 6, 2016 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
119.743
Memphis
114.870
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 5
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 1 1/2
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-1 1/2); Over

Utah @ New York

Game 501-502
November 6, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
121.319
New York
118.543
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 3
189
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 1
195
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-1); Under

**Udog** · 11-06-2016, 07:48 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, November 6

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UTAH (3 - 3) at NEW YORK (2 - 3) - 11/6/2016, 12:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 87-60 ATS (+21.0 Units) on Sunday games since 1996.
UTAH is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 2-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (3 - 3) at MEMPHIS (3 - 3) - 11/6/2016, 3:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 8-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 10-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (2 - 4) at TORONTO (4 - 1) - 11/6/2016, 6:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (3 - 2) at DALLAS (0 - 5) - 11/6/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 238-295 ATS (-86.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (2 - 2) at BOSTON (3 - 2) - 11/6/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 96-131 ATS (-48.1 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
BOSTON is 97-129 ATS (-44.9 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (2 - 4) at LA LAKERS (3 - 3) - 11/6/2016, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 55-80 ATS (-33.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 192-236 ATS (-67.6 Units) after a division game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 146-189 ATS (-61.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 129-165 ATS (-52.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 11-06-2016, 07:49 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, November 6

Jeff Hornacek played 6.5 years for the Jazz; his Knicks lost three of last four games with Utah- under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Jazz lost six of last seven visits to Manhattan- they are 3-3 this season (over 3-3), 1-2 on road, losing by 9-13 but with a win in San Antonio. New York is 2-3 (under 3-2), splitting its two home games- they won last game Friday in Chicago.

Memphis won seven of last ten games with Portland; four of last five series games went over total. Trailblazers lost five of last six visits to Memphis (2-3-1 vs spread). Portland split its first six games (over 5-1), winning two of three road games- favorite covered all six of their games so far. Grizzlies split first six games, with last three staying under- they’re 3-1 at home.

Sacramento won six of last nine games with Toronto (over 5-3 in last eight); Kings won three of last five visits to Canada. Raptors won their last three games, are 2-1 as home favorites; over is 3-2 in their games. Sacramento lost its last four games (0-4 vs spread); under is 3-2 in their road games. Kings are 1-3 as a road underdog.

Dallas won six of last seven games with Milwaukee (5-1-1 vs spread); Bucks lost last three visits to Dallas, by 13-23-10 points- under is 3-2 in their last five games in Dallas. Milwaukee crushed the Kings last night- they’ve won three of last four games. five of their last six games went over total. Bucks are 1-1 as road underdogs. Mavericks are 0-5, 0-2 at home; their last four games stayed under.

Celtics won their last four games with Denver (3-1 vs spread); four of last six series games went over the total. Nuggets lost their last four visits to Boston (1-3 vs spread). Denver got whacked in Detroit yesterday; they’ve lost three of last four games but are 3-1 vs spread as road dogs. Celtics won their two home games by 5-7 points (1-1 as home favorite); over is 3-2 in their games this season.

Lakers won both their home games so far, are 5-1 vs spread overall, but trap game here, with LA coming off its upset of Golden State Friday. Suns won seven of last eight games with LA (over 5-2-1); Phoenix won three of last four visits here. Suns won their last two games, both in OT; four of their last five games went over- they’re 2-1 as road dogs. Lakers are favored for first time this season- their home wins are by 6-20 points.

**Udog** · 11-06-2016, 07:50 AM

NBA

Sunday, November 6

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Trend Report
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12:00 PM
UTAH vs. NEW YORK
Utah is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
Utah is 2-20 ATS in its last 22 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 7 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of New York's last 21 games

3:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. MEMPHIS
Portland is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Memphis
Memphis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Portland

6:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. TORONTO
Sacramento is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games ,on the road
Sacramento is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games

7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. DALLAS
Milwaukee is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Dallas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:30 PM
DENVER vs. BOSTON
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Denver
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

9:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
LA Lakers are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games when playing at home against Phoenix
LA Lakers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home

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Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/6

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/6

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