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  • Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/4

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, November 4

    Good Luck on day #309 of 2016!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Football trends for Week 9….

    — Cincinnati Bearcats are 8-4 in last 12 games as a home dog.

    — Kansas is 2-10 vs spread in its last 12 road games.

    — Virginia Tech is 4-10 in last 14 games as a road favorite.

    — Fresno State is 1-9 in its last ten games as a home dog.

    — Iowa Hawkeyes covered 15 of their last 18 road games.

    — Home side is 7-1-1 vs spread in Wisconsin-Northwestern series.

    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things I’m looking for this weekend……

    13) Lot of eyes will be on Minnesota Sunday, with Vikings’ OC Norv Turner quitting during the week after two consecutive losses. Minnesota hosts the Lions, a game they’re expected to win.

    12) Miami Hurricanes haven’t lost four games in a row very often over the last 30 years; they’ve lost four in a row after a 4-0 start, and are only a 3.5-point favorite over the Pitt Panthers Saturday.

    11) Eagles’ offense has struggled since their bye, with five TDs in last four games; they visit Swamp Stadium with Giants coming off their bye. Winner stays close to Dallas in NFC East race.

    10) Watching the Showtime reality series on Florida State this fall, can’t help but like the Seminoles, both players/coaches, but at 5-3, they are not having a typical FSU season. Seminoles are in Raleigh this weekend to face NC State Saturday- they’re 2-3 in last five visits there (0-5 vs spread).

    9) Steelers-Ravens are both coming off a bye; seven of last ten series games were decided by 3 or less points. Will Big Ben be back from his injury? Ravens lost last four games, but win here gets them right back in AFC North race- division is down this year.

    8) Notre Dame won its last five games with Navy- they’re 16-3 in last 19 series games. Middies can run ball but gave up 412 rushing yards to USF last week. This game is in Jacksonville, could be interesting if Irish struggle defending the option.

    7) Titans fired Ken Whisenhunt as coach midway thru last year; now he is the Chargers’ OC and San Diego is scoring 31 pts/game at home. This is Chargers’ last game before the election, where the fate of their new stadium could be determined.

    6) Oregon spent most of last five years crushing USC, scoring 49 pts/game, winning last two visits here, 62-51/53-32, but now Trojans are the better team. Favorites covered eight of last ten series games.

    5) Road team won six of last seven Jet-Dolphin games, with Gang Green winning last three visits to Miami. Dolphins won their last two pre-bye games; did the bye cost them their momentum?

    4) Memphis gave up 101 points in losing its last two games, and a Tiger WR’s car got shot up few hours he had an argument with a teammate in practice- no bueno. Memphis are at SMU this week, with 4-4 Mustangs coming off consecutive wins.

    3) Cam Newton whined last week about taking late hits with no flags; Panthers are in LA this week, where Gregg Williams’ defense has a rep for being…..aggressive. Both teams need a win to get back into contention. Will Jared Goff play for LA?

    2) Alabama-LSU in Baton Rouge will be quite an event Saturday night; Tide won last four series games. LSU’s interim coach Ed Orgeron needs to win to get the full-time gig.

    If you ever read the book Meat Market, about recruiting which centers around the Orgeron era at Ole Miss, you realize they’d probably be crazy to hire him, but strange things happen all the time. Just ask Cub fans.

    1— Seattle QB Russell Wilson has a sprained left knee, a sprained right ankle and a pectoral injury. Seahawks already had their bye week, so Wilson has to gut it out until the injuries heal, or until the season ends.

    Buffalo lost its last two games, need win here to have winning record heading into their bye week.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Dunkel

      Friday, November 4


      Golden State @ LA Lakers

      Game 517-518
      November 4, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Golden State
      125.978
      LA Lakers
      117.999
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Golden State
      by 8
      231
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Golden State
      by 11
      226 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      LA Lakers
      (+11); Over

      San Antonio @ Utah


      Game 515-516
      November 4, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      San Antonio
      128.927
      Utah
      121.838
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      San Antonio
      by 7
      182
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      San Antonio
      by 3 1/2
      186 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      San Antonio
      (-3 1/2); Under

      Portland @ Dallas


      Game 513-514
      November 4, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Portland
      120.160
      Dallas
      117.100
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Portland
      by 3
      196
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Portland
      by 1
      206
      Dunkel Pick:
      Portland
      (-1); Under

      LA Clippers @ Memphis


      Game 511-512
      November 4, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      LA Clippers
      119.834
      Memphis
      119.541
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Memphis
      Even
      194
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      LA Clippers
      by 6
      198
      Dunkel Pick:
      Memphis
      (+6); Under

      Phoenix @ New Orleans


      Game 509-510
      November 4, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Phoenix
      111.199
      New Orleans
      116.967
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      New Orleans
      by 6
      216
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      New Orleans
      by 3
      212 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      New Orleans
      (-3); Over

      New York @ Chicago


      Game 507-508
      November 4, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      New York
      115.908
      Chicago
      118.721
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Chicago
      by 3
      204
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Chicago
      by 6 1/2
      209 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      New York
      (+6 1/2); Under

      Miami @ Toronto


      Game 505-506
      November 4, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Miami
      121.877
      Toronto
      125.566
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Toronto
      by 3 1/2
      195
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Toronto
      by 7 1/2
      200 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Miami
      (+7 1/2); Under

      Charlotte @ Brooklyn


      Game 503-504
      November 4, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Charlotte
      123.611
      Brooklyn
      109.798
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Charlotte
      by 14
      201
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Charlotte
      by 6
      206
      Dunkel Pick:
      Charlotte
      (-6); Under

      Atlanta @ Washington


      Game 501-502
      November 4, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Atlanta
      121.156
      Washington
      119.680
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Atlanta
      by 1 1/2
      215
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Washington
      by 2
      209 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Atlanta
      (+2); Over

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Friday, November 4


        Hawks won six of last eight games with Washington; four of last five series games went over. Atlanta won three of last four visits here; underdogs covered five of last seven series games. Hawks won three of last four games (over 2-2); they won only road game at Philly. Wizards lost first three games (over 3-0), losing only home game by 10 to Toronto.

        Hornets won last four games with Brooklyn, but Nets covered four of last five in series; over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Charlotte won three of first four games (over 3-1), winning both road games, at Miami/Milwaukee. Brooklyn is 2-3, 2-1 at home (over 3-2); they’re 4-1 vs spread so far this season.

        Toronto ousted Heat from playoffs in seven games LY; Miami lost its last three games here by 4-8-27 points. Last three series games went over total. Heat split their first four games (over 3-1) this season, winning only road game by 12 at Orlando. Raptors won three of their first four games (over 3-1).

        Rose/Noah return to Chicago here, on same day Cubs have their victory parade. New York won three of last four games against the Bulls, but lost four of last five visits to Windy City (2-3 vs spread). Knicks are off to 1-3 start, losing last two games by 13-19 points; three of their four games stayed under total. Chicago are off to 3-1 start, covering both games as a home favorite.

        Home side won seven of last ten Phoenix-New Orleans games; three of last four went over total. Suns lost three of last four visits (over 3-1) to Bourbon Street, with losses by 4-15-6 points; they’re off to a 1-4 start, 1-1 as a road underdog. Three of last four Phoenix games went over total. Pelicans lost their first five games (1-4 vs spread); they’re 0-2 as a home favorite. Over is 3-2 in New Orleans games.

        Clippers won four of last five games with Memphis but Grizzlies covered six of last eight series games; five of last six series games stayed under total. Clippers lost three of last four visits to Memphis, with losses by 11-16-6 points. Grizzlies are 3-0 at home, 0-2 on road (over 3-2); their last two wins were both in OT. Clippers are off to 3-1 start, winning only road game, at Portland.

        Dallas won three of last four games with Portland (over 3-1); Trailblazers lost last four visits to Dallas, by 12-16-10-5 points. Three of last six series games went to OT. Portland lost three of last four games; they’ve split pair of OT games on road- all five of their games have gone over total. Dallas lost its first four games, losing only home game to Houston by 8- their last three games stayed under.

        Spurs won four of last five games with Utah, but loss was 106-91 Jazz win in Alamo Tuesday night; last three meetings in Utah stayed under the total. San Antonio is 4-1 this season (over 3-2), 3-0 on road, 1-0-1 as a road favorite. Utah beat Lakers/Dallas in its two home games; they are 3-2 overall, 1-1 as home favorite. Three of last four Jazz games stayed under total.

        Former Golden State assistant Walton is now Lakers’ coach. Golden State won eight of last ten games with LA (7-3 vs spread); Warriors lost two of last three against the Lakers here. Last four series games stayed under total. Golden State had “big game” with Thunder last night; they’ve won four games in row, but are 1-2 as road favorites. Lakers are 2-3 this season, 4-1 vs spread; they upset Rockets in only home game so far.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Friday, November 4


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          7:00 PM
          ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
          Atlanta is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
          Washington is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Atlanta
          Washington is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta

          7:30 PM
          CHARLOTTE vs. BROOKLYN
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 9 games on the road
          Charlotte is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
          Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte
          Brooklyn is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Charlotte

          7:30 PM
          MIAMI vs. TORONTO
          Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
          Miami is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
          Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
          Toronto is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami

          8:00 PM
          NEW YORK vs. CHICAGO
          New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
          New York is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
          Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against New York

          8:00 PM
          PHOENIX vs. NEW ORLEANS
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
          Phoenix is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans
          New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
          New Orleans is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games

          8:00 PM
          LA CLIPPERS vs. MEMPHIS
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 6 games when playing Memphis
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
          Memphis is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers

          8:30 PM
          PORTLAND vs. DALLAS
          Portland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games
          Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
          Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

          9:00 PM
          SAN ANTONIO vs. UTAH
          San Antonio is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
          Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
          Utah is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

          10:30 PM
          GOLDEN STATE vs. LA LAKERS
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
          Golden State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
          LA Lakers are 5-17 SU in their last 22 games


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Long Sheet

            Friday, November 4


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ATLANTA (3 - 1) at WASHINGTON (0 - 3) - 11/4/2016, 7:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            WASHINGTON is 364-433 ATS (-112.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
            WASHINGTON is 99-141 ATS (-56.1 Units) in November games since 1996.
            WASHINGTON is 138-182 ATS (-62.2 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
            WASHINGTON is 168-210 ATS (-63.0 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
            WASHINGTON is 88-123 ATS (-47.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            ATLANTA is 9-5 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
            ATLANTA is 10-5 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
            11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CHARLOTTE (3 - 1) at BROOKLYN (2 - 3) - 11/4/2016, 7:35 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            BROOKLYN is 4-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
            CHARLOTTE is 5-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MIAMI (2 - 2) at TORONTO (3 - 1) - 11/4/2016, 7:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MIAMI is 112-147 ATS (-49.7 Units) in November games since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            TORONTO is 8-6 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
            TORONTO is 9-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
            8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NEW YORK (1 - 3) at CHICAGO (3 - 1) - 11/4/2016, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CHICAGO is 245-295 ATS (-79.5 Units) first half of the season since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
            CHICAGO is 4-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PHOENIX (1 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (0 - 5) - 11/4/2016, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PHOENIX is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ORLEANS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ORLEANS is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NEW ORLEANS is 5-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
            NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LA CLIPPERS (3 - 1) at MEMPHIS (3 - 2) - 11/4/2016, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MEMPHIS is 70-43 ATS (+22.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
            LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
            LA CLIPPERS are 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games after allowing 85 points or less since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MEMPHIS is 5-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
            LA CLIPPERS is 4-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
            5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PORTLAND (2 - 3) at DALLAS (0 - 4) - 11/4/2016, 8:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            DALLAS is 349-284 ATS (+36.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DALLAS is 5-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
            DALLAS is 4-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            SAN ANTONIO (4 - 1) at UTAH (3 - 2) - 11/4/2016, 9:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            UTAH is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 958-834 ATS (+40.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 51-37 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
            SAN ANTONIO is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            SAN ANTONIO is 196-137 ATS (+45.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 131-94 ATS (+27.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            UTAH is 4-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
            SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            GOLDEN STATE (4 - 1) at LA LAKERS (2 - 3) - 11/4/2016, 10:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            GOLDEN STATE is 117-90 ATS (+18.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            GOLDEN STATE is 107-81 ATS (+17.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
            GOLDEN STATE is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
            GOLDEN STATE is 62-44 ATS (+13.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
            GOLDEN STATE is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
            LA LAKERS are 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
            LA LAKERS are 54-80 ATS (-34.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
            LA LAKERS are 128-165 ATS (-53.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            GOLDEN STATE is 4-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
            GOLDEN STATE is 6-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA
              Short Sheet

              Friday, November 4


              Atlanta at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
              Atlanta: 69-45 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 200
              Washington: 18-33 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games

              Charlotte at Brooklyn, 7:35 PM ET
              Charlotte: 13-3 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more
              Brooklyn: 28-48 ATS in home games after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points

              Miami at Toronto, 7:35 PM ET
              Miami: 19-8 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
              Toronto: 1-11 ATS after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds

              New York at Chicago, 8:05 PM ET
              New York: 139-97 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 200
              Chicago: 8-20 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games

              Phoenix at New Orleans, 8:05 PM ET
              Phoenix: 4-16 ATS after a win by 6 points or less
              New Orleans: 16-5 OVER in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders

              LA Clippers at Memphis, 8:05 PM ET
              Los Angeles: 13-3 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points
              Memphis: 13-2 UNDER after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds

              Portland at Dallas, 8:35 PM ET
              Portland: 10-22 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games
              Dallas: 56-35 ATS after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog

              San Antonio at Utah, 9:05 PM ET
              San Antonio: 19-6 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 points or more
              Utah: 21-9 UNDER after playing a game as a home favorite

              Golden State at LA Lakers, 10:35 PM ET
              Golden State: 36-18 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more
              Los Angeles: 1-10 ATS after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more

              Comment

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