Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/1

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, November 1

Good Luck on day #306 of 2016!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Six of the more interesting football games this weekend:

— Colorado (-12) over UCLA Thursday. Buffs have come a long way to be a double digit favorite in a league game.

— Eagles scored five TDs during recent 1-3 stretch; interesting game with the Giants, who are coming off a bye.

— Pitt-Miami— Hurricanes are on a 4-game losing streak.

— Steelers-Ravens— Will Big Ben play for Pittsburgh?

— Alabama-LSU— Tide won last four series games by average score of 29-16.

—First place in AFC West is at stake in Denver-Oakland game Sunday night in the Coliseum.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Cam Newton was whining about late hits again Sunday, after Carolina beat the Cardinals. Guess he did it then so people could not call him a sore loser, since they had won.

Best part of this is that Carolina goes to LA this week to play the Rams, usually thought of as a dirty team. Refs might start throwing flags during warmups, just to get loosened up. Great.

12) Coco Crisp was going to get $13M from the A’s in 2017 if he played in 140 games this year, something like that. Since his skills are in decline, they were making sure he wasn’t going to reach 140 games, and he voiced his displeasure with that.

Note: It would’ve been incredibly stupid to pay him $13M next year. Fair or unfair, it was good business.

So to quiet the storm and I guess reward a player who had helped the A’s over the last few years, Oakland dealt him to the Indians on August 31 for an obscure lefty reliever named Colt Hynes. Weird circumstances can help a team win a championship.

11) Phoenix Suns have a young player named Alan Williams who was a good very player at Cal-Santa Barbara. If any of the Suns have trouble with the law, they can call Alan up— his mom just got named police chief for the city of Phoenix.

10) Jacksonville Jaguars just fired their OC in large part because the QB had regressed. Who did they replace the OC with? the QB coach, who is in charge of making sure the QB didn’t regress. Oy.

9) Now that the Cleveland Cavaliers are champs, ever wonder what their former coach David Blatt is doing? Guy got fired last year; you have to wonder what he is doing now. Is he coaching somewhere? Did he go back overseas?

Would be interesting if Blatt went on TV, to hear what he had to say. Former coaches are usually better than former players on TV.

8) Who was the first DH in MLB history? Ron Blomberg walked with the bases loaded against Luis Tiant in Fenway Park, in April of 1973, in the first big league AB by a designated hitter.

7) Russell Westbrook is the first NBA player since at least 1983 with 40+ field goal attempts, 20+ free throws and 10+ assists in the same game. He is also the first guy since Kareem Abdul-Jabbar in 1975 to get a triple double with 50+ points.

6) Former Bills’ coach Mark Levy is 91; he looks great. Coach Levy was at Wrigley Field Friday night and was also there for the 1945 World Series, the last time the Cubs played in the Series, before this year.

5) Texas Longhorns haven’t had an offensive player taken in the first round of the NFL Draft since QB Vince Young, in 2006.

4) CFL’s Saskatchewan Roughriders closed out Taylor Field this week; lot of history there. Toronto Blue Jays actually played exhibition games in Regina in 1989 and 1993.

3) If you’ve never experienced Halloween in Las Vegas, I highly recommend it; few years ago, think it was 2012, i spent a weekend at the South Point Casino, which is a really good place, has a bowling alley, movie theater and 24-hour coffee shop as well as an excellent sports book. South Point also has an equestrian arena, so when the pro rodeo is in town, the cowboys stay there.

I had no idea there was such a thing as pro rodeo, so the first night I am there, I walk down into the casino and 95% of the people there are dressed like the cast of Blazing Saddles.

I ask the security guard if it is cowboy Halloween party and he says “No, the pro rodeo is in town.” I tell him I never heard of the pro rodeo. He looks at me and says “Where are you from?”

OK, so we don’t have rodeo in New York…….

2) So couple nights later, the rodeo is out of town and it is Saturday night and I notice a red carpet with TV cameras near the entrance. Ask the same security guard whats up.

“Oh, the fetish and fantasy ball is tonight.” he says. I give him a knowing look, not wanting to be a fool again, since I know we have fetish and fantasy here in New York but I had no idea what I was about to see.

An astounding parade of people in all kinds of costumes that were, um……revealing to say the least. I’m leaning up against a slot machine watching this in total amazement.

1) So I watch the parade for a little while then go watch the late college football games; after that I’m going up to my room for something and I get on the elevator with this couple from the fetish and fantasy ball.

He is dressed as a prison guard, handcuffs, night stick and all; she is in shackles and a neck collar, with an outfit that is torn in very strategic places. She had to be a model or a porn star, totally gorgeous and it is just the three of us on the elevator. I have zero idea what to do or say.

So I say nothing until we get to my floor and I wish them a Happy Halloween as I get off the elevator. I’m guessing they did.

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, November 1

Not much to go on for 7-10 days, but we’ll share the info we have.

Rockets won seven of last eight games with Cleveland, which was Lebron-less for most of those games; Rockets won their last four visits here. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Houston is off to 2-1 start (under 2-1), but beat Dirk-less Mavericks twice. Cavaliers won first three games by 29-3-6 points (1-2 vs spread, under 3-0).

Indiana won seven of last nine games with Lakers; LA is 2-0-1 vs spread in last three. Lakers lost last three visits here by 19-20-2 points. Over is 4-1 in last five meetings here. Lakers are 1-1 as a road underdog, losing first two road games by 7-17 points (under 2-0). Indiana lost its last two games by 9-17 points; they won only home game so far, by 9 in OT (over 2-1).

Orlando is 7-2 in its last nine games vs Philly; Magic covered three of those last four. Four of last five series games went over total. Orlando lost its first three games by 12-26-6 points (1-2 vs spread, under 2-1). 76ers lost first two games by 6-32 points, both at home (under 2-0); this is their road opener.

Pistons are 5-3 in last eight games with New York; four of last five series games went over total. Knicks lost four of last five visits to Motor City (2-3 vs spread), last three of which went over the total. Knicks split their first two games, losing only road game by 29 in Cleveland. Detroit won its first two home games by 26-15 points, after losing their road opener.

Miami won nine of last ten games with Sacramento, but Kings are 4-3 vs spread in last seven; Kings lost last six visits to South Beach (3-3 vs spread). Nine of last ten series games went over the total. Sacramento is 2-2 (under 3-1) after losing by 11 in Atlanta last nite. Miami lost its first two home games, by 6-7 points.

Timberwolves lost 102-98 at Memphis in season opener; they’ve lost four of last six games with Grizzlies— over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Minnesota lost its first two games (both road games) by total of 7 points and already got called out by Thibodeau. Memphis won two of first three games (over 3-0) but lost only road game by 7 at New York.

Pelicans won eight of last ten games with Milwaukee (7-3 vs spread); four of last six series games went over total. Bucks lost last four visits to Bourbon Street by 21-8-1-17 points; Milwaukee lost two of first three games, losing road opener by 15 in Detroit. New Orleans lost its first three games, by 5-8-19 points (over 2-1).

Spurs won their last four games with Utah (3-1 vs spread); under is 4-2 in last six series games. Jazz dropped their last five visits to Alamo (1-4 vs spread, over 4-1). Utah lost its first two road games by 9-13 points- their last two games stayed under. San Antonio is 4-0 already, 3-0-1 vs spread (over 2-2). Spurs won their home opener by 19 over New Orleans.

Golden State ousted Portland from playoffs in five games LY, but Warriors won Game 4 in OT when series was 2-1, so it was tense. Golden State split last four games here (over 4-0); over is 9-1 in last ten series games. Warriors won their first two road games by 8-6 points after the loss to Spurs in opener. Trailblazers are 2-1 so far (over 3-0) with only loss to Clippers by 8.

[Udog]

NBA

Tuesday, November 1

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Trend Report
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6:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. CLEVELAND
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Houston

7:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando's last 11 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Orlando is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Orlando
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando

7:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. INDIANA
LA Lakers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games on the road
LA Lakers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indiana's last 15 games when playing LA Lakers

7:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games on the road
New York is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Detroit is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home

7:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. MIAMI
Sacramento is 6-19 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Miami
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 10 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games

8:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. MINNESOTA
Memphis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Memphis

8:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 16 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee

8:30 PM
UTAH vs. SAN ANTONIO
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
Utah is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Antonio's last 8 games at home
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

10:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. PORTLAND
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Golden State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Portland's last 11 games when playing Golden State
Portland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Golden State


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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, November 1

Golden State @ Portland

Game 717-718
November 1, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
128.321
Portland
121.901
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 6 1/2
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 4 1/2
228
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-4 1/2); Under

Utah @ San Antonio

Game 715-716
November 1, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
122.755
San Antonio
127.101
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 4 1/2
182
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 10 1/2
187
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(+10 1/2); Under

Milwaukee @ New Orleans

Game 713-714
November 1, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
111.422
New Orleans
111.656
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
Even
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 3
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+3); Over

Memphis @ Minnesota

Game 711-712
November 1, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
112.612
Minnesota
119.710
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 7
192
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 5
199 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-5); Under

Sacramento @ Miami

Game 709-710
November 1, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
118.359
Miami
123.823
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 5 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 3 1/2
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-3 1/2); Over

New York @ Detroit

Game 707-708
November 1, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
118.156
Detroit
118.782
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 4
199
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+4); Over

Orlando @ Philadelphia

Game 705-706
November 1, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
119.633
Philadelphia
106.958
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 12 1/2
191
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 4 1/2
198
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(-4 1/2); Under

LA Lakers @ Indiana

Game 703-704
November 1, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
109.566
Indiana
121.501
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 12
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 9
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-9); Over

Houston @ Cleveland

Game 701-702
November 1, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
117.091
Cleveland
135.146
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 18
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 8 1/2
219
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-8 1/2); Under

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 1

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HOUSTON (2 - 1) at CLEVELAND (3 - 0) - 11/1/2016, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 303-245 ATS (+33.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (1 - 2) at INDIANA (1 - 2) - 11/1/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 42-60 ATS (-24.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 153-117 ATS (+24.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (0 - 3) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 2) - 11/1/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 103-139 ATS (-49.9 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (1 - 1) at DETROIT (2 - 1) - 11/1/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (2 - 2) at MIAMI (1 - 2) - 11/1/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 45-69 ATS (-30.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 111-147 ATS (-50.7 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 119-160 ATS (-57.0 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (2 - 1) at MINNESOTA (0 - 2) - 11/1/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (1 - 2) at NEW ORLEANS (0 - 3) - 11/1/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 237-295 ATS (-87.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (1 - 2) at SAN ANTONIO (4 - 0) - 11/1/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 59-88 ATS (-37.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 958-833 ATS (+41.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 51-36 ATS (+11.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 488-404 ATS (+43.6 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 145-100 ATS (+35.0 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 321-252 ATS (+43.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 286-231 ATS (+31.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (2 - 1) at PORTLAND (2 - 1) - 11/1/2016, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 115-90 ATS (+16.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 105-81 ATS (+15.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 65-47 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 47-33 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 9-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
10 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, November 1

Houston at Cleveland, 6:05 PM ET
Houston: 15-3 ATS on Tuesday nights
Cleveland: 41-26 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 200

LA Lakers at Indiana, 7:05 PM ET
Los Angeles: 8-20 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 210
Indiana: 13-4 ATS when playing with 2 days rest

Orlando at Philadelphia, 7:05 PM ET
Orlando: 24-9 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog
Philadelphia: 1-9 ATS in home games against Southeast division opponents

New York at Detroit, 7:35 PM ET
New York: 35-21 UNDER as an underdog
Detroit: 25-9 ATS after a division game

Sacramento at Miami, 7:35 PM ET
Sacramento: 45-69 ATS against Southeast division opponents
Miami: 14-4 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 200

Memphis at Minnesota, 8:05 PM ET
Memphis: 12-3 ATS after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points
Minnesota: 8-21 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent

Milwaukee at New Orleans, 8:05 PM ET
Milwaukee: 29-15 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders
New Orleans: 19-8 OVER in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses

Utah at San Antonio, 8:35 PM ET
Utah: 9-19 ATS as a road underdog
San Antonio: 28-14 ATS in home games after playing a road game

Golden State at Portland, 10:05 PM ET
Golden State: 33-18 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders
Portland: 75-48 UNDER after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game